PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Flint Town United vs Briton Ferry Result & Analysis

Date: 21/08/2026
Time: 18:45
Final 0-1
Flint Town United
Flint Town United
Vs
28%
26%
45%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Briton Ferry
Briton Ferry
Wales: Premier League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The away side, Briton Ferry, is expected to emerge victorious in this encounter, with a 47% chance of winning. The overall shape of the match suggests a closely contested game, with a high-scoring outcome likely. The expected total number of goals is 3.1, indicating a potentially thrilling encounter.

The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, although the probability of this occurring is relatively low at 11.7%. The home side, Flint Town United, has struggled at home, scoring an average of 1.23 goals and conceding 1.62 per game against similar opponents. In contrast, Briton Ferry has been decent on the road, scoring 1.27 goals and conceding 1.55 per game against similar opponents.

The model suggests an Over 1.5 goals selection with a high probability of 82.4%. The home side has a 27% chance of winning, a draw is possible at 25%, and the away side has a 47% chance of winning. The model also selects the Away win with a 47% chance.

Results analysis

Flint Town United’s run of four straight defeats ended as the model’s favoured away win proved correct, with Briton Ferry securing a 0-1 victory. The prediction that the match would finish 0-1 was spot on, and the favoured result landed as expected. The model’s selection of an Away win carried a 45 % probability, and it hit. Every suggested pick also came in: Under 7.5 goals (98.9 %) hit, Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.0 %) hit, Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.6 %) hit, Under 6.5 (96.9 %) hit, Home under 3.5 goals (95.8 %) hit, Under 5.5 (92.1 %) hit, Away under 3.5 goals (91.1 %) hit, and Away under 1.5 HT goals (90.0 %) hit. The match’s low scoring reflected the teams’ recent form, with Flint Town United struggling and Briton Ferry riding a win-draw-lose-win-win streak.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flint Town United win✗ Miss
28.4%
Avg Implied 47.4% · @ 1.90
Edge
-19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.97
10Bet
1.95
William Hil
1.95
Dafabet
1.94
Unibet
1.93
Draw✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied 25.1% · @ 3.59
Edge
+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
3.80
Pinnacle
3.76
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Dafabet
3.75
Briton Ferry win✓ Hit
45.4%
Avg Implied 27.5% · @ 3.27
Edge
+17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.50
Pinnacle
3.43
William Hil
3.40
1xBet
3.38
Superbet
3.35

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-551W11D00D12L01L03L22D23L23L01LH·BAN07/03H·BAL14/03A·BRI21/03H·LLA28/03H·HAV03/04A·CAE12/04A·CAR18/04A·LLA31/07H·BAR07/08A·CAM14/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.501.531.601.471.40
vs Stronger (4)2.751.002.671.333.000.00
vs Similar (25)1.321.641.271.821.361.50
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Briton Ferry) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Briton FerryBriton Ferry

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W20W20W00D01L31W21W21W11D01LH·BAL21/02A·LLA13/03A·CAR16/03H·FLI21/03A·HAV28/03H·CAR03/04A·BAL18/04H·AMM31/07A·CAM07/08A·THE14/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.471.131.531.331.40
vs Stronger (2)0.001.500.002.000.001.00
vs Similar (26)1.311.501.151.541.461.46
vs Weaker (2)1.501.002.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Flint Town United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
80.5%
@ 1.16+1.4%
Under 1.5
19.5%
@ 4.37-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Unibet
1.18
888Sport
1.18
Betfair
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Under
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.75
1xBet
4.75
888Sport
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.7%
@ 1.55-2.5%
Under 2.5
43.3%
@ 2.24+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.62
Unibet
1.60
Betfair
1.57
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Under
Pinnacle
2.38
Bet365
2.35
10Bet
2.35
Betano
2.30
Marathonbet
2.28
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.3%
@ 2.38-4.4%
Under 3.5
65.7%
@ 1.50+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.55
888Sport
2.50
Unibet
2.48
Betano
2.40
Pinnacle
2.40
Under
Pinnacle
1.53
Bet365
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Betano
1.53
1xBet
1.52
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.8%
@ 1.50-1.1%
No
40.2%
@ 2.34+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.57
William Hil
1.53
Betano
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Unibet
1.53
No
1xBet
2.45
Marathonbet
2.40
10Bet
2.40
Betfair
2.38
888Sport
2.38

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%@ 6.91+5.9%
1-2
9.3%@ 10.59+5.2%
0-1 ✓
7.6%@ 12.34+4.0%
0-2
7.3%@ 18.52+4.9%
2-1
7.2%@ 7.71+1.4%
0-0
6.3%@ 13.69+3.1%
2-2
6.0%@ 10.98+2.0%
1-0
5.6%@ 9.10+0.7%
Flint Town United goals ↓
Briton Ferry goals →
01234
06.3%7.6%7.3%4.0%1.7%
15.6%12%9.3%5.2%2.2%
24.3%7.2%6.0%3.3%1.4%
31.8%3.1%2.6%1.4%0.6%
40.6%1.0%0.8%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Flint Town United goals (down), columns = Briton Ferry goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Barry Town
3.00
The New Saints
2.60
Llandudno
2.40
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.40
Caernarfon Town
2.40
Penybont
2.20
Cardiff MET
1.80
Colwyn Bay
1.40
Cambrian & Clydach
1.40
Briton Ferry
1.40
Airbus UK
1.20
Ammanford AFC
0.40
Flint Town United
0.20
Trefelin
0.20
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.00
Holywell
0.00
Flint Town United is 1.20 points worse than Briton Ferry in terms of average points per game (0.20 vs 1.40).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
GAP Connah S Quay FC
3.00
The New Saints
2.60
Llandudno
2.60
Barry Town
2.60
Caernarfon Town
2.60
Cardiff MET
2.20
Penybont
1.60
Holywell
1.40
Colwyn Bay
1.20
Cambrian & Clydach
1.20
Airbus UK
1.00
Flint Town United
1.00
Ammanford AFC
0.80
Briton Ferry
0.80
Trefelin
0.20
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.00
Flint Town United is 0.20 goals better than Briton Ferry in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.80).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
The New Saints
0.20
Penybont
0.60
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0.60
Llandudno
1.00
Cambrian & Clydach
1.20
Barry Town
1.20
Briton Ferry
1.20
Caernarfon Town
1.20
Airbus UK
1.40
Cardiff MET
1.40
Ammanford AFC
1.80
Flint Town United
1.80
Colwyn Bay
2.00
Haverfordwest County AFC
2.20
Trefelin
3.00
Holywell
4.00
Flint Town United is 0.60 goals worse than Briton Ferry in terms of goals conceded per game (1.80 vs 1.20).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Flint Town United or Draw✗ Miss
54.6%
Avg Implied 72.5% · @ 1.26
Edge
-17.9%
28%
26%
45%
covers Flint Town United + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.33
BetVictor
1.29
888Sport
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Flint Town United or Briton Ferry✓ Hit
73.8%
Avg Implied 76.0% · @ 1.20
Edge
-2.3%
28%
26%
45%
covers Flint Town United + Briton Ferry
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.25
888Sport
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Unibet
1.22
Draw or Briton Ferry✓ Hit
71.6%
Avg Implied 51.4% · @ 1.78
Edge
+20.2%
28%
26%
45%
covers Draw + Briton Ferry
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.87
Betano
1.85
888Sport
1.85
William Hil
1.85
Betfair
1.83

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Flint Town United over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
72.3%
@ 1.14-8.5%
Under
27.7%
@ 4.82+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
888Sport
1.14
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Under
1xBet
5.40
888Sport
5.00
Betano
4.85
Superbet
4.65
10Bet
4.50
Flint Town United over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
36.8%
@ 1.72-16.8%
Under
63.2%
@ 1.99+16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
Bet365
1.73
888Sport
1.73
Unibet
1.72
Under
Pinnacle
2.07
Betano
2.02
Marathonbet
2.02
Superbet
2.00
888Sport
2.00
Flint Town United over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.9%
@ 3.20-14.9%
Under
86.1%
@ 1.30+14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Betano
3.25
Marathonbet
3.20
888Sport
3.20
Superbet
3.10
Under
1xBet
1.33
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Superbet
1.28
Flint Town United over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.2%
@ 6.70-9.8%
Under
95.8%
@ 1.08+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Betano
6.40
1xBet
6.40
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
888Sport
1.08
Briton Ferry over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
81.2%
@ 1.29+9.7%
Under
18.8%
@ 3.24-9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.33
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Superbet
1.28
Under
Bet365
3.40
Marathonbet
3.34
10Bet
3.30
1xBet
3.25
Betano
3.20
Briton Ferry over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
49.8%
@ 2.39+11.3%
Under
50.2%
@ 1.49-11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
2.50
Pinnacle
2.48
Superbet
2.40
Betano
2.40
Bet365
2.38
Under
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
Marathonbet
1.50
Briton Ferry over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
23.5%
@ 5.42+6.5%
Under
76.5%
@ 1.11-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
6.00
1xBet
5.70
Marathonbet
5.70
Betano
5.10
Superbet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
888Sport
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Briton Ferry over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.9%
@ 12.92+1.5%
Under
91.1%
@ 1.03-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
19.00
Bet365
10.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.03
888Sport
1.02

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Flint Town United, so a minus line means Flint Town United give that many goals of a start and Briton Ferry receive them. At -1, Flint Town United must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Flint Town United win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Flint Town United)Actual: Briton Ferry
Flint Town United -2
4.2%
@ 6.62-9.3%
Draw -2
8.3%
@ 5.65-7.5%
Briton Ferry +2
87.5%
@ 1.26+16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
6.75
Bet365
6.50
Draw
Marathonbet
5.80
Bet365
5.50
Away
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
Handicap -1 (Flint Town United)Actual: Briton Ferry
Flint Town United -1
12.5%
@ 3.24-14.3%
Draw -1
15.8%
@ 3.72-7.6%
Briton Ferry +1
71.6%
@ 1.75+21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.28
Betfair
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Unibet
2.95
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.90
10Bet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Unibet
3.15
Away
Betfair
1.83
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Unibet
1.66
Handicap +1 (Flint Town United)Actual: Draw
Flint Town United +1
54.6%
@ 1.25-13.7%
Draw +1
20.9%
@ 4.78+3.1%
Briton Ferry -1
24.5%
@ 6.17+10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.24
Unibet
1.23
Draw
Marathonbet
5.35
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
4.00
Away
Marathonbet
7.10
Bet365
6.00
Unibet
5.40
Handicap +2 (Flint Town United)Actual: Flint Town United
Flint Town United +2
75.5%
@ 1.10-9.0%
Draw +2
14.1%
@ 10.00+4.8%
Briton Ferry -2
10.4%
@ 15.00+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.10
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Away
Bet365
15.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W10W00D01L01L03L10W21W21W00DH·BAN07/03H·BAL14/03A·BRI21/03H·LLA28/03H·HAV03/04A·CAE12/04A·CAR18/04A·LLA31/07H·BAR07/08A·CAM14/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.630.800.670.870.60
vs Stronger (4)1.500.501.670.671.000.00
vs Similar (25)0.760.680.640.730.860.64
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Briton Ferry) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Briton FerryBriton Ferry

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W00D00D00D30W00D11D10W00DH·BAL21/02A·LLA13/03A·CAR16/03H·FLI21/03A·HAV28/03H·CAR03/04A·BAL18/04H·AMM31/07A·CAM07/08A·THE14/08
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.570.670.670.670.47
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.002.000.000.00
vs Similar (26)0.690.540.690.540.690.54
vs Weaker (2)1.000.501.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Flint Town United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
71.0%
@ 1.25-1.6%
Under 0.5
29.0%
@ 3.31+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
William Hil
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Under
William Hil
3.50
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.45
1xBet
3.42
Marathonbet
3.42
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
39.1%
@ 2.24-1.6%
Under 1.5
60.9%
@ 1.54+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.35
William Hil
2.30
Pinnacle
2.29
1xBet
2.28
Unibet
2.28
Under
Pinnacle
1.59
Betfair
1.57
William Hil
1.57
10Bet
1.57
1xBet
1.55
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.6%
@ 4.86-5.2%
Under 2.5
86.4%
@ 1.12+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.20
1xBet
5.20
William Hil
5.00
Betano
4.85
Under
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Flint Town United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
45.9%
@ 1.67-9.4%
Under
54.1%
@ 2.07+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.72
Pinnacle
1.68
Superbet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
1xBet
1.64
Under
Pinnacle
2.13
1xBet
2.13
Superbet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.04
Betano
2.00
Flint Town United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
14.0%
@ 4.33-7.3%
Under
86.0%
@ 1.17+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.60
Betano
4.30
1xBet
4.10
Under
1xBet
1.20
Betano
1.18
Marathonbet
1.14
Flint Town United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 9.25-7.6%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.03+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Briton Ferry over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
46.8%
@ 2.11+2.9%
Under
53.2%
@ 1.65-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.15
Superbet
2.12
1xBet
2.12
Betano
2.10
Marathonbet
2.05
Under
Pinnacle
1.67
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Superbet
1.63
Briton Ferry over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.0%
@ 6.70-3.8%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.07+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.20
1xBet
7.00
Betano
5.90
Under
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
Briton Ferry over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 11.00-6.4%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W01L00D11D00D00D12L02L02L01LH·BAN07/03H·BAL14/03A·BRI21/03H·LLA28/03H·HAV03/04A·CAE12/04A·CAR18/04A·LLA31/07H·BAR07/08A·CAM14/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.870.730.930.600.80
vs Stronger (4)1.250.501.000.672.000.00
vs Similar (25)0.560.960.641.090.500.86
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Briton Ferry) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Briton FerryBriton Ferry

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W10W20W00D01L01L21W10W01L01LH·BAL21/02A·LLA13/03A·CAR16/03H·FLI21/03A·HAV28/03H·CAR03/04A·BAL18/04H·AMM31/07A·CAM07/08A·THE14/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.900.470.870.670.93
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.620.960.461.000.770.92
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Flint Town United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Flint Town United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flint Town United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flint Town United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Briton Ferry over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Briton Ferry over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Briton Ferry over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.598.9%1.01-----+4.5%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.0%1.01
Betano
1.01
----+6.4%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals97.6%1.03
Betano
1.03
----+7.6%✓ Hit
Under 6.596.9%1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
--+6.1%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals95.8%1.08
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
888Sport
1.08
-+9.8%✓ Hit
Under 5.592.1%1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.05
+4.8%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals91.1%1.03
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.03
888Sport
1.02
---1.5%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals90.0%1.07
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
--+3.8%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap87.5%1.26
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
---+16.8%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals86.4%1.12
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
+5.2%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals86.1%1.30
1xBet
1.33
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Superbet
1.28
+14.9%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals86.0%1.17
1xBet
1.20
Betano
1.18
Marathonbet
1.14
--+7.3%✓ Hit
Under 4.582.3%1.18
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.20
888Sport
1.18
+4.9%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals81.2%1.29
888Sport
1.33
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Superbet
1.28
+9.7%✓ Hit
Over 1.580.5%1.16
Betano
1.19
Unibet
1.18
888Sport
1.18
Betfair
1.17
10Bet
1.17
+1.4%✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals76.5%1.11
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
888Sport
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
-6.5%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap75.5%1.10
Bet365
1.10
-----9.0%✓ Hit
Home or Away73.8%1.20
Betano
1.25
888Sport
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Unibet
1.22
-2.3%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals72.3%1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
888Sport
1.14
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
-8.5%✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals71.0%1.25
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
William Hil
1.25
10Bet
1.25
-1.6%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (25)
€3m
HCA (23)
€1m
PEN (18)
€1m
CB (20)
€1m
CT (16)
€1m
BF (19)
€1m
BT (14)
€1m
GCS (9)
€1m
FTU (10)
€1m
CM (11)
€1m
C&C (4)
€0m
LLA (3)
€0m
HOL (3)
€0m
AA (3)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
Flint Town United and Briton Ferry have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (10)
€1m
PEN (8)
€1m
BF (7)
€0m
GCS (5)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CB (5)
€0m
CT (3)
€0m
CM (5)
€0m
FTU (2)
€0m
BT (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
LLA (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
Flint Town United and Briton Ferry have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (7)
€1m
CB (7)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CT (4)
€0m
BT (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
CM (2)
€0m
FTU (3)
€0m
BF (2)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
LLA (0)
€0m
Flint Town United and Briton Ferry have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (8)
€1m
HCA (9)
€1m
CT (9)
€1m
BF (10)
€0m
PEN (7)
€0m
BT (7)
€0m
CB (8)
€0m
FTU (5)
€0m
CM (4)
€0m
C&C (4)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
LLA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
Flint Town United and Briton Ferry have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
FTU wins
4
Draws
0
BF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Flint Town United vs Briton Ferry · H/A from FTU
DateH/AGameScore
21/03/26ABriton Ferry Vs FTU0-0
14/02/26HFTU Vs Briton Ferry0-0
29/11/25ABriton Ferry Vs FTU2-2
27/09/25HFTU Vs Briton Ferry2-1
12/04/25ABriton Ferry Vs FTU1-2
22/02/25HFTU Vs Briton Ferry3-1
23/11/24HFTU Vs Briton Ferry2-1
21/09/24ABriton Ferry Vs FTU1-1

Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/08/26ACambrian & Clydach Vs FTU1-0
07/08/26HFTU Vs Barry Town2-3
31/07/26ALlandudno Vs FTU3-2
18/04/26ACardiff MET Vs FTU2-2
12/04/26ACaernarfon Town Vs FTU3-0
03/04/26HFTU Vs Haverfordwest County AFC0-1
28/03/26HFTU Vs llanelli AFC1-2
21/03/26ABriton Ferry Vs FTU0-0
14/03/26HFTU Vs Bala Town1-1
07/03/26HFTU Vs Bangor City 1876 FC5-1

Briton FerryBriton Ferry

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/08/26AThe New Saints Vs BF1-0
07/08/26ACambrian & Clydach Vs BF1-1
31/07/26HBF Vs Ammanford AFC2-1
18/04/26ABala Town Vs BF1-2
03/04/26HBF Vs Cardiff MET3-1
28/03/26AHaverfordwest County AFC Vs BF1-0
21/03/26HBF Vs Flint Town United0-0
16/03/26ACardiff MET Vs BF0-2
13/03/26Allanelli AFC Vs BF0-2
21/02/26HBF Vs Bala Town2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Flint Town United
Flint Town United
Wales: Premier League
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLL1.34
HomeWDLLL1.46
AwayDLDLL1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%42%31%
AVG goals3.343.293.38
Over 1.5 %82%79%85%
Over 2.5 %68%62%73%
Over 3.5 %50%46%54%
Scored1.661.791.54
Conceded1.681.501.85
BTTS56%50%62%
Clean Sheet26%29%23%
Corners---
Cards---
Briton Ferry
Briton Ferry
Wales: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDL1.34
HomeLWDWW1.12
AwayWLWDL1.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%29%42%
AVG goals3.082.833.31
Over 1.5 %78%79%77%
Over 2.5 %58%54%62%
Over 3.5 %40%29%50%
Scored1.441.171.69
Conceded1.641.671.62
BTTS58%54%62%
Clean Sheet24%21%27%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Barry TownBarry Town515
100%
3.0
136+7
3.8
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.61.2
-
2The New SaintsThe New Saints513
80%
2.6
131+12
2.8
60%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.60.2
-
3GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC512
80%
2.4
153+12
3.6
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0003.00.6
-
4LlandudnoLlandudno512
80%
2.4
135+8
3.6
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.0
-
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town512
80%
2.4
136+7
3.8
100%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.61.2
-
6PenybontPenybont511
60%
2.2
83+5
2.2
80%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.60.6
-
7Cardiff METCardiff MET59
60%
1.8
117+4
3.6
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.21.4
-
8Cambrian & ClydachCambrian & Clydach57
40%
1.4
66+0
2.4
80%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
9Briton FerryBriton Ferry57
40%
1.4
46-2
2.0
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.2
-
10Colwyn BayColwyn Bay57
40%
1.4
610-4
3.2
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.0
-
11Airbus UKAirbus UK56
40%
1.2
57-2
2.4
60%
20%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
12Ammanford AFCAmmanford AFC52
0%
0.4
49-5
2.6
100%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.8
-
13Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United51
0%
0.2
59-4
2.8
60%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.8
-
14TrefelinTrefelin51
0%
0.2
115-14
3.2
100%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.23.0
-
15Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC50
0%
0.0
011-11
2.2
80%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.02.2
-
16HolywellHolywell50
0%
0.0
720-13
5.4
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.44.0
-
Wales: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: Premier League stats & trends →

← all matches