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Flint Town United vs GAP Connah S Quay FC Result & Analysis

Date: 31/08/2026
Time: 13:30
Final 1-2
Flint Town United
Flint Town United
Vs
18%
24%
57%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
GAP Connah S Quay FC
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Wales: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The model favours an away win, with a 57% chance for GAP Connah S Quay FC, a 24% chance for a draw, and an 18% chance of a Flint Town United victory. The expected total goals hover at 2.9, but the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 11.5% probability. Flint Town United, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 0.91 goals scored and 1.91 conceded, while GAP Connah S Quay FC on the road averages 2.08 goals scored and only 0.77 conceded. Recent form tells a story: Flint Town United has suffered four straight defeats, losing 0-1 to Briton Ferry, whereas GAP Connah S Quay FC is on a three-game winning streak, beating Ammanford AFC 2-0. The model’s suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.0%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.1%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (98.1%), Under 6.5 (97.2%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (95.4%), Away +2 handicap (93.2%), and Away under 2.5 2H goals (93.0%).

Results analysis

The away side continued its five-game winning streak, extending a run that saw them beat Flint Town United 2-1 in their previous fixture. The model’s favourite, an away win, proved correct as GAP Connah S Quay FC edged Flint Town United 1-2. The pre-match probability for the favourite was 57%. The model’s selections largely hit: Under 7.5 goals (99%) was correct, as were Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.9%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.1%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (98%), Under 6.5 (97.2%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (94.6%), Away +2 handicap (93.2%) and Away under 2.5 2H goals (93.2%). All predictions settled as indicated.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flint Town United win✗ Miss
18.4%
Avg Implied 19.1% · @ 4.71
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
5.21
Marathonbet
5.15
William Hil
5.00
Pinnacle
4.99
10Bet
4.75
Draw✗ Miss
24.3%
Avg Implied 23.7% · @ 3.80
Edge
+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
4.10
Pinnacle
3.98
Betfair
3.90
10Bet
3.90
Superbet
3.90
GAP Connah S Quay FC win✓ Hit
57.3%
Avg Implied 57.1% · @ 1.58
Edge
+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.64
Superbet
1.63
William Hil
1.60
Unibet
1.60
Betano
1.60

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D12L01L03L22D23L23L01L01L11DA·BRI21/03H·LLA28/03H·HAV03/04A·CAE12/04A·CAR18/04A·LLA31/07H·BAR07/08A·CAM14/08H·BRI21/08A·PEN28/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.571.271.671.331.47
vs Stronger (3)2.671.332.671.33--
vs Similar (26)1.151.650.911.911.331.47
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (GAP Connah S Quay FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-642W21W11D12L11D12L31W60W20W30WA·CAE13/03H·PEN21/03H·BAR29/03A·THE03/04H·COL18/04H·CAE02/08A·HOL07/08H·TRE14/08A·AMM22/08H·CAM28/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.301.002.531.072.070.93
vs Stronger (3)1.671.672.001.501.002.00
vs Similar (23)2.261.002.271.182.250.83
vs Weaker (4)3.000.504.500.001.501.00
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Flint Town United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.4%
@ 1.19+2.7%
Under 1.5
20.6%
@ 3.91-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Under
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.33
1xBet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.2%
@ 1.66-0.3%
Under 2.5
44.8%
@ 2.07+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Unibet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Under
SBO
2.16
Bet365
2.15
Pinnacle
2.14
Superbet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.8%
@ 2.59-2.3%
Under 3.5
67.2%
@ 1.41+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.75
Betfair
2.70
Pinnacle
2.67
Unibet
2.65
Bet365
2.62
Under
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
Superbet
1.42
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.7%
@ 1.69+0.6%
No
45.3%
@ 1.99-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.80
Betfair
1.73
Betano
1.72
10Bet
1.70
Unibet
1.70
No
William Hil
2.10
Superbet
2.05
Betfair
2.05
1xBet
2.03
Betano
2.00

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%@ 6.95+5.2%
0-2
10.0%@ 7.63+4.2%
1-2 ✓
9.9%@ 7.21+3.9%
0-1
9.5%@ 7.17+3.4%
0-0
6.6%@ 11.53+2.8%
0-3
6.3%@ 11.42+2.5%
1-3
6.3%@ 11.28+2.4%
2-1
5.2%@ 14.02+2.1%
Flint Town United goals ↓
GAP Connah S Quay FC goals →
01234
06.6%9.5%10.0%6.3%3.0%
14.5%12%9.9%6.3%3.0%
22.8%5.2%4.9%3.1%1.5%
30.9%1.7%1.6%1.0%0.5%
40.2%0.4%0.4%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Flint Town United goals (down), columns = GAP Connah S Quay FC goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Barry Town
3.00
The New Saints
2.67
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.50
Penybont
2.00
Llandudno
2.00
Cardiff MET
2.00
Caernarfon Town
2.00
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Airbus UK
1.50
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Briton Ferry
1.17
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.50
Ammanford AFC
0.33
Flint Town United
0.17
Trefelin
0.17
Holywell
0.00
Flint Town United is 2.33 points worse than GAP Connah S Quay FC in terms of average points per game (0.17 vs 2.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Barry Town
2.83
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.83
The New Saints
2.67
Cardiff MET
2.67
Caernarfon Town
2.50
Llandudno
2.17
Airbus UK
1.83
Penybont
1.67
Holywell
1.50
Colwyn Bay
1.33
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Flint Town United
1.00
Briton Ferry
0.83
Ammanford AFC
0.67
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.33
Trefelin
0.33
Flint Town United is 1.83 goals worse than GAP Connah S Quay FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.83).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
The New Saints
0.50
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0.67
Penybont
0.83
Llandudno
1.17
Barry Town
1.17
Cardiff MET
1.17
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Airbus UK
1.50
Caernarfon Town
1.50
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Briton Ferry
1.67
Flint Town United
1.83
Haverfordwest County AFC
2.00
Ammanford AFC
2.33
Trefelin
2.83
Holywell
4.33
Flint Town United is 1.17 goals worse than GAP Connah S Quay FC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.83 vs 0.67).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Flint Town United or Draw✗ Miss
42.7%
Avg Implied 42.1% · @ 2.16
Edge
+0.6%
18%
24%
57%
covers Flint Town United + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.30
10Bet
2.25
Betfair
2.20
William Hil
2.20
Marathonbet
2.20
Flint Town United or GAP Connah S Quay FC✓ Hit
75.7%
Avg Implied 77.1% · @ 1.18
Edge
-1.4%
18%
24%
57%
covers Flint Town United + GAP Connah S Quay FC
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Draw or GAP Connah S Quay FC✓ Hit
81.6%
Avg Implied 80.7% · @ 1.13
Edge
+0.8%
18%
24%
57%
covers Draw + GAP Connah S Quay FC
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.13

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Flint Town United over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
63.1%
@ 1.49+1.4%
Under
36.9%
@ 2.40-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.54
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.52
10Bet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.48
Under
Superbet
2.47
Betano
2.45
Pinnacle
2.42
1xBet
2.40
Marathonbet
2.40
Flint Town United over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
26.3%
@ 3.29-1.7%
Under
73.7%
@ 1.28+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
10Bet
3.30
Betano
3.30
1xBet
3.10
Under
1xBet
1.32
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
Flint Town United over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.0%
@ 8.34-3.2%
Under
92.0%
@ 1.04+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.80
1xBet
9.10
Bet365
8.00
Betano
7.70
Superbet
7.10
Under
Bet365
1.06
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Flint Town United over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 13.75-5.0%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
85.0%
@ 1.11+2.1%
Under
15.0%
@ 5.39-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Under
1xBet
6.00
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Betano
5.20
Superbet
5.00
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
56.5%
@ 1.61-0.8%
Under
43.5%
@ 2.16+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.65
Bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
Superbet
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Under
Pinnacle
2.24
1xBet
2.22
Bet365
2.20
Marathonbet
2.18
Betano
2.15
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
29.5%
@ 2.89-2.5%
Under
70.5%
@ 1.36+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
Betano
2.90
Marathonbet
2.88
1xBet
2.85
Superbet
2.82
Under
Betano
1.38
1xBet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
12.4%
@ 5.83-3.5%
Under
87.6%
@ 1.11+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
6.00
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
1xBet
1.09

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Flint Town United, so a minus line means Flint Town United give that many goals of a start and GAP Connah S Quay FC receive them. At -1, Flint Town United must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Flint Town United win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Flint Town United)Actual: GAP Connah S Quay FC
Flint Town United -2
1.8%
@ 29.00-1.4%
Draw -2
5.0%
@ 15.00-1.3%
GAP Connah S Quay FC +2
93.2%
@ 1.04+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
29.00
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Away
Bet365
1.04
Handicap -1 (Flint Town United)Actual: GAP Connah S Quay FC
Flint Town United -1
6.8%
@ 8.55-3.0%
Draw -1
11.6%
@ 5.53-3.5%
GAP Connah S Quay FC +1
81.6%
@ 1.11+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
7.10
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
4.55
Away
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Handicap +1 (Flint Town United)Actual: Draw
Flint Town United +1
42.7%
@ 2.16+2.5%
Draw +1
23.1%
@ 3.47-2.0%
GAP Connah S Quay FC -1
34.2%
@ 2.50-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.25
Betfair
2.20
Marathonbet
2.20
Bet365
2.15
Unibet
2.00
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
10Bet
3.50
Unibet
2.95
Away
Betfair
2.60
10Bet
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Marathonbet
2.49
Unibet
2.35
Handicap +2 (Flint Town United)Actual: Flint Town United
Flint Town United +2
65.8%
@ 1.43+3.2%
Draw +2
17.9%
@ 4.78-0.8%
GAP Connah S Quay FC -2
16.3%
@ 4.78-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.42
Draw
Marathonbet
4.80
Bet365
4.75
Away
Marathonbet
4.80
Bet365
4.75

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L01L03L10W21W21W00D01L01LA·BRI21/03H·LLA28/03H·HAV03/04A·CAE12/04A·CAR18/04A·LLA31/07H·BAR07/08A·CAM14/08H·BRI21/08A·PEN28/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.700.670.730.800.67
vs Stronger (3)1.670.671.670.67--
vs Similar (26)0.650.730.450.820.800.67
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (GAP Connah S Quay FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W10W01L00D11D10W31W20W10W20WA·CAE13/03H·PEN21/03H·BAR29/03A·THE03/04H·COL18/04H·CAE02/08A·HOL07/08H·TRE14/08A·AMM22/08H·CAM28/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.371.130.271.070.47
vs Stronger (3)0.670.001.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (23)1.130.391.000.361.250.42
vs Weaker (4)1.250.502.000.000.501.00
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Flint Town United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
71.7%
@ 1.29+1.0%
Under 0.5
28.3%
@ 3.11-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Under
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.12
1xBet
3.12
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
37.0%
@ 2.40-1.1%
Under 1.5
63.0%
@ 1.48+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Betfair
2.50
Pinnacle
2.47
1xBet
2.41
Under
Pinnacle
1.51
Betfair
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Superbet
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.9%
@ 5.36-1.1%
Under 2.5
84.1%
@ 1.10+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
William Hil
5.80
1xBet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.75
Bet365
5.50
Under
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Betano
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.10

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Flint Town United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
35.4%
@ 2.55-0.8%
Under
64.6%
@ 1.45+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.68
Marathonbet
2.57
Betano
2.57
1xBet
2.50
Superbet
2.45
Under
1xBet
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.44
Marathonbet
1.42
Flint Town United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.3%
@ 9.12-1.9%
Under
91.7%
@ 1.04+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.25
1xBet
9.40
Betano
7.70
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Flint Town United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.1%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
60.9%
@ 1.61+3.5%
Under
39.1%
@ 2.17-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.67
Pinnacle
1.61
Superbet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
Under
Pinnacle
2.25
1xBet
2.22
Superbet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.15
Betano
2.07
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
20.9%
@ 3.93-2.5%
Under
79.1%
@ 1.20+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.10
Betano
3.90
1xBet
3.80
Under
1xBet
1.22
Betano
1.21
Marathonbet
1.18
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.4%
@ 9.75-4.1%
Under
94.6%
@ 1.02+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D00D00D12L02L02L01L00D10WA·BRI21/03H·LLA28/03H·HAV03/04A·CAE12/04A·CAR18/04A·LLA31/07H·BAR07/08A·CAM14/08H·BRI21/08A·PEN28/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.870.600.930.530.80
vs Stronger (3)1.000.671.000.67--
vs Similar (26)0.500.920.451.090.530.80
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (GAP Connah S Quay FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W11D10W12L00D02L00D40W10W10WA·CAE13/03H·PEN21/03H·BAR29/03A·THE03/04H·COL18/04H·CAE02/08A·HOL07/08H·TRE14/08A·AMM22/08H·CAM28/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.631.400.801.000.47
vs Stronger (3)1.001.671.001.501.002.00
vs Similar (23)1.130.611.270.821.000.42
vs Weaker (4)1.750.002.500.001.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Flint Town United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.6%
@ 1.17+2.2%
Under 0.5
19.4%
@ 4.23-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
Under
Marathonbet
4.40
1xBet
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.15
Superbet
4.10
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
48.0%
@ 1.90-0.7%
Under 1.5
52.0%
@ 1.80+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.95
10Bet
1.93
Bet365
1.91
1xBet
1.89
Marathonbet
1.89
Under
Betano
1.85
Superbet
1.82
1xBet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.81
Bet365
1.80
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.6%
@ 3.77-3.7%
Under 2.5
79.4%
@ 1.21+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
4.00
1xBet
3.78
Marathonbet
3.78
Superbet
3.55
Under
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Flint Town United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
42.7%
@ 2.10-1.1%
Under
57.3%
@ 1.64+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.15
1xBet
2.12
Superbet
2.07
Betano
2.07
Under
Betano
1.67
Superbet
1.66
1xBet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.59
Flint Town United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.8%
@ 6.90-0.6%
Under
87.2%
@ 1.07+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.80
1xBet
7.00
Betano
5.90
Under
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.04
Flint Town United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 10.75-6.6%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.01
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
65.1%
@ 1.41-0.0%
Under
34.9%
@ 2.63+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.42
1xBet
1.40
Under
1xBet
2.70
Betano
2.65
Superbet
2.55
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
27.8%
@ 2.88-4.3%
Under
72.2%
@ 1.36+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.93
1xBet
2.85
Betano
2.85
Under
1xBet
1.37
Betano
1.37
Marathonbet
1.33
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.8%
@ 6.80-6.8%
Under
93.2%
@ 1.07+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.40
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.06

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.0%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.9%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals98.1%1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
---+5.0%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals98.0%1.01
Betano
1.01
----+6.6%✓ Hit
Under 6.597.2%1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
--+5.4%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals94.6%1.02
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.01
---+4.1%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap93.2%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+2.7%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals93.2%1.07
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.06
---+6.8%✓ Hit
Under 5.592.7%1.05
Bet365
1.06
Betano
1.06
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.04
BetVictor
1.02
+4.7%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals92.0%1.04
Bet365
1.06
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-+3.2%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals91.7%1.04
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.03
---+1.9%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals87.6%1.11
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
1xBet
1.09
--+3.5%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals87.2%1.07
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.04
--+0.6%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals85.0%1.11
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
+2.1%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals84.1%1.10
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Betano
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.10
+1.1%✓ Hit
Under 4.583.3%1.14
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
+3.7%✓ Hit
Draw or Away81.6%1.13
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.13
+0.8%✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap81.6%1.11
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
---+6.4%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals80.6%1.17
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
+2.2%✓ Hit
Over 1.579.4%1.19
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
+2.7%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals79.4%1.21
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
+3.7%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals79.1%1.20
1xBet
1.22
Betano
1.21
Marathonbet
1.18
--+2.5%✓ Hit
Home or Away75.7%1.18
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Unibet
1.19
-1.4%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals73.7%1.28
1xBet
1.32
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
+1.7%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals72.2%1.36
1xBet
1.37
Betano
1.37
Marathonbet
1.33
--+4.3%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals71.7%1.29
Betano
1.35
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
+1.0%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals70.5%1.36
Betano
1.38
1xBet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
+2.5%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (25)
€3m
HCA (23)
€1m
PEN (18)
€1m
CB (20)
€1m
CT (16)
€1m
BF (19)
€1m
BT (14)
€1m
GCS (9)
€1m
FTU (10)
€1m
CM (11)
€1m
C&C (4)
€0m
LLA (3)
€0m
HOL (3)
€0m
AA (3)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
Flint Town United and GAP Connah S Quay FC have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (10)
€1m
PEN (8)
€1m
BF (7)
€0m
GCS (5)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CB (5)
€0m
CT (3)
€0m
CM (5)
€0m
FTU (2)
€0m
BT (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
LLA (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
Flint Town United and GAP Connah S Quay FC have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (7)
€1m
CB (7)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CT (4)
€0m
BT (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
CM (2)
€0m
FTU (3)
€0m
BF (2)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
LLA (0)
€0m
Flint Town United and GAP Connah S Quay FC have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (8)
€1m
HCA (9)
€1m
CT (9)
€1m
BF (10)
€0m
PEN (7)
€0m
BT (7)
€0m
CB (8)
€0m
FTU (5)
€0m
CM (4)
€0m
C&C (4)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
LLA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
Flint Town United and GAP Connah S Quay FC have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
FTU wins
1
Draws
6
GCS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Flint Town United vs GAP Connah S Quay FC · H/A from FTU
DateH/AGameScore
26/12/25HFTU Vs GAP Connah S Quay FC0-2
25/08/25AGAP Connah S Quay FC Vs FTU3-2
11/03/25AGAP Connah S Quay FC Vs FTU4-0
25/01/25HFTU Vs GAP Connah S Quay FC2-1
26/12/24AGAP Connah S Quay FC Vs FTU7-2
26/08/24HFTU Vs GAP Connah S Quay FC0-1
31/12/22HFTU Vs GAP Connah S Quay FC0-0
26/12/22AGAP Connah S Quay FC Vs FTU2-0

Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26APenybont Vs FTU1-1
21/08/26HFTU Vs Briton Ferry0-1
14/08/26ACambrian & Clydach Vs FTU1-0
07/08/26HFTU Vs Barry Town2-3
31/07/26ALlandudno Vs FTU3-2
18/04/26ACardiff MET Vs FTU2-2
12/04/26ACaernarfon Town Vs FTU3-0
03/04/26HFTU Vs Haverfordwest County AFC0-1
28/03/26HFTU Vs llanelli AFC1-2
21/03/26ABriton Ferry Vs FTU0-0

GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26HGCS Vs Cambrian & Clydach3-0
22/08/26AAmmanford AFC Vs GCS0-2
14/08/26HGCS Vs Trefelin6-0
07/08/26AHolywell Vs GCS1-3
02/08/26HGCS Vs Caernarfon Town1-2
18/04/26HGCS Vs Colwyn Bay1-1
03/04/26AThe New Saints Vs GCS2-1
29/03/26HGCS Vs Barry Town1-1
21/03/26HGCS Vs Penybont2-1
13/03/26ACaernarfon Town Vs GCS2-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Flint Town United
Flint Town United
Wales: Premier League
Recent: 0 Wins / 3 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD1.30
HomeDLLLL1.33
AwayLDLLD1.27
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%38%31%
AVG goals3.283.253.31
Over 1.5 %80%75%85%
Over 2.5 %66%62%69%
Over 3.5 %48%46%50%
Scored1.621.711.54
Conceded1.661.541.77
BTTS56%50%62%
Clean Sheet24%25%23%
Corners---
Cards---
GAP Connah S Quay FC
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Wales: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW1.84
HomeDDLWW1.83
AwayLWLWW1.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%54%54%
AVG goals3.023.382.69
Over 1.5 %88%96%81%
Over 2.5 %66%75%58%
Over 3.5 %32%38%27%
Scored1.962.211.73
Conceded1.061.170.96
BTTS58%67%50%
Clean Sheet32%25%38%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Barry TownBarry Town618
100%
3.0
177+10
4.0
83%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.81.2
-
2The New SaintsThe New Saints616
83%
2.7
163+13
3.2
67%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.70.5
-
3GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC615
83%
2.5
174+13
3.5
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.80.7
-
4Cardiff METCardiff MET612
67%
2.0
167+9
3.8
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.71.2
-
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town612
67%
2.0
159+6
4.0
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.51.5
-
6LlandudnoLlandudno612
67%
2.0
137+6
3.3
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
7PenybontPenybont612
50%
2.0
105+5
2.5
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.70.8
-
8Colwyn BayColwyn Bay610
50%
1.7
810-2
3.0
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.7
-
9Airbus UKAirbus UK69
50%
1.5
119+2
3.3
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
10Cambrian & ClydachCambrian & Clydach68
33%
1.3
88+0
2.7
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
11Briton FerryBriton Ferry67
33%
1.2
510-5
2.5
67%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.7
-
12Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC63
17%
0.5
212-10
2.3
83%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.32.0
-
13Ammanford AFCAmmanford AFC62
0%
0.3
414-10
3.0
100%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.3
-
14Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United61
0%
0.2
611-5
2.8
67%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.8
-
15TrefelinTrefelin61
0%
0.2
217-15
3.2
100%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.32.8
-
16HolywellHolywell60
0%
0.0
926-17
5.8
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.54.3
-
Wales: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: Premier League stats & trends →

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