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Flint Town United vs Trearddur Bay Result & Analysis

Date: 31/01/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 3-0
Flint Town United
Flint Town United
Vs
30%
22%
47%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Trearddur Bay
Trearddur Bay
Wales: Welsh Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Squad value14 Games History15 Overall Statistics16 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Flint Town United’s recent slump of four straight defeats and a 0-1 loss to Briton Ferry set the stage for a high-scoring encounter, yet the model still favours an away win. The probabilities are 30% for a home victory, 22% for a draw, and 47% for Trearddur Bay to triumph. With an expected total of 3.9 goals, the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 8.4% chance. Flint’s home form shows they average 1.33 goals scored and conceded against stronger opposition, while Trearddur Bay, playing away against weaker sides, averages 2.75 goals scored and only 0.25 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (95.4%), Over 1.5 (90.9%), Home under 3.5 goals (90.2%), Under 6.5 (89.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (82.5%), Home over 0.5 goals (82.3%) and Away over 0.5 goals (88.6%). The model also lists Away +2 handicap at 84.5%. These figures paint a picture of a game where Trearddur Bay’s potent attack and defensive solidity give them the edge, but Flint Town United’s recent form suggests a challenging outing.

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, Trearddur Bay, was expected to win with a 47% probability, but Flint Town United overturned the odds, taking a 3-0 victory. The model’s pick was wrong, and the final score confirmed a home win. The match saw the model’s other selections largely hit: Under 7.5 goals (95.4%) and Over 1.5 (90.9%) were correct, as were Home under 3.5 goals (90.2%) and Under 6.5 (89.9%). Home over 0.5 goals (82.3%) and Away under 3.5 goals (82.5%) also proved accurate. However, Away over 0.5 goals (88.6%) and Away +2 handicap (84.5%) missed. The game’s total of three goals matched the most likely 3-goal outcome, and Flint’s win extended their recent run of four straight defeats into a decisive triumph.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flint Town United win✓ Hit
30.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Trearddur Bay win✗ Miss
47.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L10W22D11D00D22D02L21W04L43WH·THE14/11H·AIR22/11A·BRI29/11A·CAE05/12A·PEN13/12H·HAV20/12H·GAP26/12A·COL01/01H·BAL13/01A·BAL23/01
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.831.791.861.751.81
vs Stronger (6)1.831.501.331.332.331.67
vs Similar (22)1.772.052.002.201.581.92
vs Weaker (2)1.500.501.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Trearddur Bay) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Trearddur BayTrearddur Bay

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-621W21W00D30W60W52W53WH·NFA21/09A·LLA19/10A·HOL16/11A·BER20/09A·BRO18/10A·GLY22/11H·NEW13/12
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
3.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game3.291.003.502.003.200.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (1)5.002.00--5.002.00
vs Weaker (6)3.000.833.502.002.750.25
Clean sheet %43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Flint Town United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%20%3%06%116%220%320%415%520%6+
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.9%
Under 1.5
9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
74.7%
Under 2.5
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
54.7%
Under 3.5
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
73.7%
No
26.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
2-1
6.6%
1-3
6.0%
2-3
5.2%
0-2
4.8%
3-2
4.1%
Flint Town United goals ↓
Trearddur Bay goals →
01234
02.8%3.6%4.8%3.4%1.9%
12.7%8.4%8.2%6.0%3.2%
23.0%6.6%7.1%5.2%2.8%
31.7%3.8%4.1%3.0%1.6%
40.8%1.6%1.8%1.3%0.7%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Flint Town United goals (down), columns = Trearddur Bay goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
The New Saints
3.00
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.50
llanelli AFC
2.40
Trearddur Bay
2.33
Denbigh Town
2.25
Airbus UK
2.25
Caersws
2.25
Trethomas Bluebirds
2.00
Ammanford AFC
2.00
Trefelin
2.00
Llandudno
2.00
Mold Alexandra
2.00
Llantwit Major
2.00
Flint Town United
2.00
Buckley Town
2.00
Swansea University
2.00
Pill AFC
2.00
Caerau (Ely)
1.75
Morriston Town
1.67
Penydarren BGC
1.67
Cambrian & Clydach
1.60
Cardiff MET
1.50
Briton Ferry
1.50
Holyhead Hotspur
1.50
Penrhyncoch
1.50
Bangor City 1876 FC
1.50
Cardiff Draconians
1.50
Porthmadog
1.50
Kinmel Bay
1.50
Llanefydd
1.50
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
1.50
Gresford Athletic
1.50
Colwyn Bay
1.33
Bala Town
1.33
Carmarthen Town
1.25
Ynyshir Albions
1.00
Caerphilly Athletic
1.00
Barry Town
1.00
Caernarfon Town
1.00
Treowen Stars
1.00
Holywell
1.00
Newtown AFC
1.00
Afan Lido
1.00
Evans & Williams
1.00
Cefn Cribwr
1.00
Saltney Town
1.00
Goytre United
1.00
Flint Mountain
1.00
CPD Sychdyn United
1.00
Berriew
1.00
Abertillery Excelsiors AFC
1.00
Llanfair United
1.00
Glynneath Town
1.00
Dinas Powys
1.00
Llanrug United
1.00
Blaenavon Blues
1.00
Port Talbot Town
1.00
Pentwynmawr Athletic
1.00
Pwllheli
1.00
Abercarn United
1.00
Rhostyllen
1.00
Forden United
1.00
Broughton United FC
1.00
Dolgellau Athletic
1.00
Hawarden Rangers
1.00
Penygraig United FC
1.00
Bow Street
1.00
Welshpool Town
1.00
Pontyclun
1.00
Cwm Welfare AFC
1.00
Garden Village
1.00
Canton Liberal
1.00
Rhayader Town
1.00
Nefyn United
1.00
Tredegar Town
1.00
Lliswerry
1.00
Seven Sisters Onllwyn
1.00
Afan United
1.00
Tata Steel
1.00
Cwmbach Royal Stars
1.00
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.67
Rhyl
0.50
Ruthin Town
0.50
Guilsfield
0.00
Newport City
0.00
Brickfield Rangers
0.00
Baglan Dragons
0.00
Pontypridd Town
0.00
Aberystwyth Town
0.00
Queens Park
0.00
St Asaph City
0.00
Taffs Well
0.00
Cefn Albion
0.00
Llanberis
0.00
Cwmbran Town
0.00
NFA
0.00
Llwydcoed
0.00
Caldicot Town
0.00
Cwmbran Celtic
0.00
Penybont
0.00
Flint Town United is 0.33 points worse than Trearddur Bay in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 2.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
The New Saints
5.83
Gresford Athletic
5.00
Buckley Town
4.50
Flint Town United
3.50
Denbigh Town
3.50
Caersws
3.50
Trefelin
3.33
Llandudno
3.33
Caerau (Ely)
3.00
Barry Town
3.00
Porthmadog
3.00
Kinmel Bay
3.00
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
3.00
Cwmbran Celtic
3.00
Airbus UK
2.75
Rhyl
2.50
Swansea University
2.33
Penydarren BGC
2.33
llanelli AFC
2.20
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.17
Briton Ferry
2.00
Carmarthen Town
1.75
Mold Alexandra
1.67
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Bala Town
1.67
Penrhyncoch
1.50
Llantwit Major
1.50
Bangor City 1876 FC
1.50
Cardiff Draconians
1.50
Ynyshir Albions
1.46
Caerphilly Athletic
1.46
Treowen Stars
1.46
Evans & Williams
1.46
Cefn Cribwr
1.46
Saltney Town
1.46
CPD Sychdyn United
1.46
Berriew
1.46
Abertillery Excelsiors AFC
1.46
Llanfair United
1.46
Glynneath Town
1.46
Dinas Powys
1.46
Llanrug United
1.46
Blaenavon Blues
1.46
Port Talbot Town
1.46
Pentwynmawr Athletic
1.46
Pwllheli
1.46
Abercarn United
1.46
Rhostyllen
1.46
Forden United
1.46
Broughton United FC
1.46
Dolgellau Athletic
1.46
Hawarden Rangers
1.46
Penygraig United FC
1.46
Bow Street
1.46
Welshpool Town
1.46
Pontyclun
1.46
Cwm Welfare AFC
1.46
Garden Village
1.46
Canton Liberal
1.46
Rhayader Town
1.46
Nefyn United
1.46
Tredegar Town
1.46
Lliswerry
1.46
Seven Sisters Onllwyn
1.46
Afan United
1.46
Tata Steel
1.46
Cwmbach Royal Stars
1.46
Afan Lido
1.33
Pill AFC
1.33
Trearddur Bay
1.33
Cambrian & Clydach
1.20
Cardiff MET
1.00
Ammanford AFC
1.00
Holyhead Hotspur
1.00
Brickfield Rangers
1.00
Baglan Dragons
1.00
Holywell
1.00
Ruthin Town
1.00
Queens Park
1.00
Morriston Town
1.00
Flint Mountain
1.00
Cwmbran Town
1.00
Llanefydd
1.00
NFA
1.00
Caldicot Town
1.00
Trethomas Bluebirds
0.50
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.33
Guilsfield
0.00
Newport City
0.00
Caernarfon Town
0.00
Newtown AFC
0.00
Pontypridd Town
0.00
Aberystwyth Town
0.00
St Asaph City
0.00
Taffs Well
0.00
Goytre United
0.00
Cefn Albion
0.00
Llanberis
0.00
Llwydcoed
0.00
Penybont
0.00
Flint Town United is 2.17 goals better than Trearddur Bay in terms of goals scored per game (3.50 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Trethomas Bluebirds
0.00
Caernarfon Town
0.00
Holyhead Hotspur
0.00
Newtown AFC
0.00
Goytre United
0.00
llanelli AFC
0.40
Ammanford AFC
0.50
The New Saints
0.50
Cardiff Draconians
0.50
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0.67
Morriston Town
0.67
Trearddur Bay
0.67
Haverfordwest County AFC
1.00
Briton Ferry
1.00
Mold Alexandra
1.00
Llantwit Major
1.00
Denbigh Town
1.00
Holywell
1.00
Aberystwyth Town
1.00
Taffs Well
1.00
Flint Mountain
1.00
Llanefydd
1.00
Llwydcoed
1.00
Penybont
1.00
Bala Town
1.33
Afan Lido
1.33
Swansea University
1.33
Cardiff MET
1.50
Caerau (Ely)
1.50
Flint Town United
1.50
Bangor City 1876 FC
1.50
Airbus UK
1.50
Porthmadog
1.50
Ruthin Town
1.50
Cambrian & Clydach
1.60
Trefelin
1.67
Penydarren BGC
1.67
Caersws
1.75
Newport City
2.00
Llandudno
2.00
Carmarthen Town
2.00
Penrhyncoch
2.00
Buckley Town
2.00
Pontypridd Town
2.00
St Asaph City
2.00
Pill AFC
2.00
NFA
2.00
Caldicot Town
2.00
Ynyshir Albions
2.17
Caerphilly Athletic
2.17
Treowen Stars
2.17
Evans & Williams
2.17
Cefn Cribwr
2.17
Saltney Town
2.17
CPD Sychdyn United
2.17
Berriew
2.17
Abertillery Excelsiors AFC
2.17
Llanfair United
2.17
Glynneath Town
2.17
Dinas Powys
2.17
Llanrug United
2.17
Blaenavon Blues
2.17
Port Talbot Town
2.17
Pentwynmawr Athletic
2.17
Pwllheli
2.17
Abercarn United
2.17
Rhostyllen
2.17
Forden United
2.17
Broughton United FC
2.17
Dolgellau Athletic
2.17
Hawarden Rangers
2.17
Penygraig United FC
2.17
Bow Street
2.17
Welshpool Town
2.17
Pontyclun
2.17
Cwm Welfare AFC
2.17
Garden Village
2.17
Canton Liberal
2.17
Rhayader Town
2.17
Nefyn United
2.17
Tredegar Town
2.17
Lliswerry
2.17
Seven Sisters Onllwyn
2.17
Afan United
2.17
Tata Steel
2.17
Cwmbach Royal Stars
2.17
Colwyn Bay
2.33
Kinmel Bay
2.50
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
2.50
Gresford Athletic
2.50
Barry Town
3.00
Brickfield Rangers
3.00
Cwmbran Town
3.00
Rhyl
4.00
Llanberis
4.00
Cwmbran Celtic
4.00
Guilsfield
5.00
Baglan Dragons
5.00
Cefn Albion
5.00
Queens Park
6.00
Flint Town United is 0.83 goals worse than Trearddur Bay in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 0.67).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Flint Town United or Draw✓ Hit
52.5%
Avg Implied -
30%
22%
47%
covers Flint Town United + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Flint Town United or Trearddur Bay✓ Hit
77.9%
Avg Implied -
30%
22%
47%
covers Flint Town United + Trearddur Bay
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Trearddur Bay✗ Miss
69.5%
Avg Implied -
30%
22%
47%
covers Draw + Trearddur Bay
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Flint Town United over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
82.3%
Under
17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flint Town United over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
51.6%
Under
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flint Town United over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
25.1%
Under
74.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flint Town United over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.8%
Under
90.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trearddur Bay over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
88.6%
Under
11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trearddur Bay over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
63.8%
Under
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trearddur Bay over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
37.0%
Under
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trearddur Bay over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
17.5%
Under
82.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Flint Town United, so a minus line means Flint Town United give that many goals of a start and Trearddur Bay receive them. At -1, Flint Town United must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Flint Town United win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Flint Town United)Actual: Flint Town United
Flint Town United -2
6.3%
Draw -2
9.1%
Trearddur Bay +2
84.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Flint Town United)Actual: Flint Town United
Flint Town United -1
15.5%
Draw -1
15.0%
Trearddur Bay +1
69.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Flint Town United)Actual: Flint Town United
Flint Town United +1
52.5%
Draw +1
19.0%
Trearddur Bay -1
28.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Flint Town United)Actual: Flint Town United
Flint Town United +2
71.5%
Draw +2
14.3%
Trearddur Bay -2
14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L00D22D01L00D10W01L00D03L41WH·THE14/11H·AIR22/11A·BRI29/11A·CAE05/12A·PEN13/12H·HAV20/12H·GAP26/12A·COL01/01H·BAL13/01A·BAL23/01
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.831.000.931.120.75
vs Stronger (6)0.830.831.001.000.670.67
vs Similar (22)1.180.911.101.001.250.83
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Trearddur Bay) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Trearddur BayTrearddur Bay

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D20W20W21W20WA·LLA19/10A·HOL16/11A·BER20/09A·BRO18/10A·GLY22/11H·NEW13/12
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.330.172.000.001.200.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
vs Weaker (5)1.200.002.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %83% (+60pp vs league)
This opponent (Flint Town United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Flint Town United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flint Town United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flint Town United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trearddur Bay over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trearddur Bay over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trearddur Bay over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W00D10W00D12L01L21W01L02LH·THE14/11H·AIR22/11A·BRI29/11A·CAE05/12A·PEN13/12H·HAV20/12H·GAP26/12A·COL01/01H·BAL13/01A·BAL23/01
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.000.790.930.621.06
vs Stronger (6)1.000.670.330.331.671.00
vs Similar (22)0.591.140.901.200.331.08
vs Weaker (2)1.000.501.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Trearddur Bay) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Trearddur BayTrearddur Bay

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W00D10W40W31W33DA·LLA19/10A·HOL16/11A·BER20/09A·BRO18/10A·GLY22/11H·NEW13/12
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.170.833.003.002.000.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
vs Weaker (5)2.000.803.003.001.750.25
Clean sheet %50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Flint Town United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Flint Town United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flint Town United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flint Town United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trearddur Bay over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trearddur Bay over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trearddur Bay over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.595.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.590.9%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals90.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.589.9%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals88.6%-------✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap84.5%-------✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals82.5%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals82.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.580.0%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away77.9%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals74.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.574.7%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes73.7%-------✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap71.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (25)
€3m
QP (28)
€3m
HCA (23)
€1m
PEN (18)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
QP (14)
€2m
TNS (10)
€1m
PEN (8)
€1m
HCA (7)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (7)
€1m
HCA (7)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
QP (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
QP (12)
€1m
TNS (8)
€1m
HCA (9)
€1m
PEN (7)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
FTU wins
0
Draws
0
TB wins

Head-to-head

Flint Town United vs Trearddur Bay · H/A from FTU
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/01/26ABala Town Vs FTU3-4
13/01/26HFTU Vs Bala Town0-4
01/01/26AColwyn Bay Vs FTU1-2
26/12/25HFTU Vs GAP Connah S Quay FC0-2
20/12/25HFTU Vs Haverfordwest County AFC2-2
13/12/25APenybont Vs FTU0-0
05/12/25ACaernarfon Town Vs FTU1-1
29/11/25ABriton Ferry Vs FTU2-2
22/11/25HFTU Vs Airbus UK1-0
14/11/25HFTU Vs The New Saints0-3

Trearddur BayTrearddur Bay

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/12/25HTB Vs Newport City5-3
22/11/25AGlynneath Town Vs TB2-5
18/10/25ABroughton United FC Vs TB0-6
20/09/25ABerriew Vs TB0-3
16/11/24AHolyhead Hotspur Vs TB0-0
19/10/24ALlanefydd Vs TB1-2
21/09/24HTB Vs NFA2-1

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Flint Town United
Flint Town United
Wales: Welsh Cup
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLW1.40
HomeLWDLL1.79
AwayDDDWW1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%54%27%
AVG goals3.763.543.96
Over 1.5 %90%88%92%
Over 2.5 %78%75%81%
Over 3.5 %56%50%62%
Scored1.762.041.50
Conceded2.001.502.46
BTTS60%54%65%
Clean Sheet22%29%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Trearddur Bay
Trearddur Bay
Wales: Welsh Cup
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW2.71
HomeWW3.00
AwayWDWWW2.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %86%100%80%
AVG goals4.295.503.80
Over 1.5 %86%100%80%
Over 2.5 %86%100%80%
Over 3.5 %43%50%40%
Scored3.293.503.20
Conceded1.002.000.60
BTTS57%100%40%
Clean Sheet43%0%60%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 16. League Table

Flint Town United plays in Wales - Premier League
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1The New SaintsThe New Saints3280
81%
2.5
8125+56
3.3
88%
66%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.50.8
-
2GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC3258
50%
1.8
6138+23
3.1
88%
69%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.2
-
3Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC3449
41%
1.4
4946+3
2.8
71%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.41.4
-
4Barry TownBarry Town3347
36%
1.4
4434+10
2.4
64%
39%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.0
-
5Colwyn BayColwyn Bay3346
36%
1.4
4137+4
2.4
64%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.1
-
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town3245
38%
1.4
5647+9
3.2
91%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
7Briton FerryBriton Ferry3245
38%
1.4
4647-1
2.9
81%
56%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
8PenybontPenybont3445
35%
1.3
4149-8
2.6
68%
41%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.4
-
9Cardiff METCardiff MET3238
25%
1.2
4351-8
2.9
88%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United3235
25%
1.1
4859-11
3.3
81%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
11Bala TownBala Town3232
25%
1.0
3345-12
2.4
72%
44%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
12llanelli AFCllanelli AFC3213
9%
0.4
1782-65
3.1
78%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.6
-
Wales: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: Premier League stats & trends →

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