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Flora II vs FC Tallinn Result & Analysis

Date: 09/03/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 2-0
Flora II
Flora II
Vs
49%
25%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC Tallinn
FC Tallinn
Estonia: Esiliiga A
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flora II winâś“ Hit
48.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
24.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Tallinn winâś— Miss
26.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

Flora IIFlora II

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-641W20W11D61W23L14L12L42W01L20WA·JK 19/09H·ELV22/09A·FC 28/09H·TAL06/10A·VII19/10A·LAA24/10H·PAI29/10A·FCI02/11H·TAR10/11H·FCI02/03
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.771.532.401.203.131.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)2.531.472.121.002.891.89
vs Weaker (13)3.081.622.711.433.501.83
Clean sheet %17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC TallinnFC Tallinn

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W11D10W20W32W01L02L11D22D12LH·JK 24/09H·FLO28/09A·ELV06/10A·TAL09/10A·FCI20/10H·VII24/10H·LAA27/10A·TAR03/11A·PAI10/11H·NĂ•M01/03
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.502.121.751.501.21
vs Stronger (3)0.001.330.001.500.001.00
vs Similar (27)2.041.522.431.791.621.23
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Flora II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.3%
Under 1.5
16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
61.0%
Under 2.5
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.7%
Under 3.5
61.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
62.5%
No
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
2-0 âś“
7.2%
1-0
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
0-0
5.3%
Flora II goals ↓
FC Tallinn goals →
01234
05.3%4.6%3.7%1.6%0.5%
16.8%11%6.8%3.0%1.0%
27.2%9.5%6.2%2.7%0.9%
34.4%5.8%3.8%1.7%0.5%
42.0%2.7%1.8%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Flora II goals (down), columns = FC Tallinn goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Nõmme United
2.56
Viimsi
2.17
Tartu Welco
1.75
Elva
1.61
Flora II
1.33
Nõmme Kalju II
1.25
FCI Levadia II
1.25
FC Tallinn
1.11
Phoenix
1.00
Tallinna Kalev II
0.75
Luunja
0.28
Flora II is 0.23 points better than FC Tallinn in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.11).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Nõmme United
3.47
Viimsi
2.31
Tartu Welco
2.11
Elva
1.72
FCI Levadia II
1.72
Flora II
1.69
FC Tallinn
1.66
Nõmme Kalju II
1.56
Tallinna Kalev II
1.47
Luunja
1.11
Phoenix
1.00
Flora II is 0.04 goals better than FC Tallinn in terms of goals scored per game (1.69 vs 1.66).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nõmme United
0.75
Viimsi
0.75
Phoenix
1.00
Tartu Welco
1.56
Flora II
1.56
Elva
1.64
FCI Levadia II
1.86
FC Tallinn
2.03
Nõmme Kalju II
2.19
Tallinna Kalev II
2.67
Luunja
3.81
Flora II is 0.47 goals better than FC Tallinn in terms of goals conceded per game (1.56 vs 2.03).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Flora IIFlora II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D10W20W01L12L00D32W00D10WA·JK 19/09H·ELV22/09A·FC 28/09H·TAL06/10A·VII19/10A·LAA24/10H·PAI29/10A·FCI02/11H·TAR10/11H·FCI02/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.571.000.331.270.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.060.590.880.251.220.89
vs Weaker (13)1.230.541.140.431.330.67
Clean sheet %57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC TallinnFC Tallinn

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W01L10W10W22D00D01L00D02L01LH·JK 24/09H·FLO28/09A·ELV06/10A·TAL09/10A·FCI20/10H·VII24/10H·LAA27/10A·TAR03/11A·PAI10/11H·NĂ•M01/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.631.190.750.500.50
vs Stronger (3)0.000.670.000.500.001.00
vs Similar (27)0.960.631.360.790.540.46
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Flora II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Flora II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Tallinn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Tallinn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Tallinn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Flora IIFlora II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W20W01L41W22D02L12L10W01L10WA·JK 19/09H·ELV22/09A·FC 28/09H·TAL06/10A·VII19/10A·LAA24/10H·PAI29/10A·FCI02/11H·TAR10/11H·FCI02/03
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.630.971.400.871.871.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.470.881.250.751.671.00
vs Weaker (13)1.851.081.571.002.171.17
Clean sheet %33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC TallinnFC Tallinn

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W00D10W10W01L01L11D20W11DH·JK 24/09H·FLO28/09A·ELV06/10A·TAL09/10A·FCI20/10H·VII24/10H·LAA27/10A·TAR03/11A·PAI10/11H·NĂ•M01/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.870.941.001.000.71
vs Stronger (3)0.000.670.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (27)1.070.891.071.001.080.77
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Flora II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Flora II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Tallinn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Tallinn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Tallinn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.3%-------âś“ Hit

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NU (26)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NU (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

đź§  Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NU (7)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NU (11)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
6
FI wins
1
Draws
1
FT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Flora II vs FC Tallinn · H/A from FI
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/24AFC Tallinn Vs FI1-1
24/08/24HFI Vs FC Tallinn4-0
13/07/24HFI Vs FC Tallinn0-4
13/04/24AFC Tallinn Vs FI2-4
23/09/23AFC Tallinn Vs FI0-2
04/07/23HFI Vs FC Tallinn2-1
06/05/23AFC Tallinn Vs FI1-2
12/03/23HFI Vs FC Tallinn1-0

Flora IIFlora II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/03/25HFI Vs FCI Levadia II2-0
10/11/24HFI Vs Tartu Welco0-1
02/11/24AFCI Levadia II Vs FI2-4
29/10/24HFI Vs Paide II1-2
24/10/24ALaagri Vs FI4-1
19/10/24AViimsi Vs FI3-2
06/10/24HFI Vs Tallinna Kalev II6-1
28/09/24AFC Tallinn Vs FI1-1
22/09/24HFI Vs Elva2-0
19/09/24AJK Tabasalu Vs FI1-4

FC TallinnFC Tallinn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/03/25HFT Vs Nõmme United1-2
10/11/24APaide II Vs FT2-2
03/11/24ATartu Welco Vs FT1-1
27/10/24HFT Vs Laagri0-2
24/10/24HFT Vs Viimsi0-1
20/10/24AFCI Levadia II Vs FT2-3
09/10/24ATallinna Kalev II Vs FT0-2
06/10/24AElva Vs FT0-1
28/09/24HFT Vs Flora II1-1
24/09/24HFT Vs JK Tabasalu3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Flora II
Flora II
Estonia: Esiliiga A
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLW1.86
HomeWWLLW1.92
AwayWDLLW1.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%62%54%
AVG goals4.203.734.71
Over 1.5 %98%96%100%
Over 2.5 %74%69%79%
Over 3.5 %66%54%79%
Scored2.682.542.83
Conceded1.521.191.88
BTTS70%58%83%
Clean Sheet20%35%4%
Corners---
Cards---
FC Tallinn
FC Tallinn
Estonia: Esiliiga A
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDL1.40
HomeWDLLL1.04
AwayWWWDD1.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%28%52%
AVG goals3.463.883.04
Over 1.5 %84%96%72%
Over 2.5 %66%72%60%
Over 3.5 %48%48%48%
Scored1.862.081.64
Conceded1.601.801.40
BTTS60%68%52%
Clean Sheet18%12%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Nõmme UnitedNõmme United3692
83%
2.6
12527+98
4.2
92%
75%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1013.50.8
-
2ViimsiViimsi3678
67%
2.2
8327+56
3.1
81%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.30.8
-
3Tartu WelcoTartu Welco3663
50%
1.8
7656+20
3.7
86%
72%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.6
-
4ElvaElva3658
47%
1.6
6259+3
3.4
86%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.6
-
5Flora IIFlora II3648
36%
1.3
6156+5
3.2
83%
56%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.6
-
6FCI Levadia IIFCI Levadia II3645
33%
1.2
6267-5
3.6
89%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.9
-
7Nõmme Kalju IINõmme Kalju II3645
36%
1.2
5679-23
3.8
86%
78%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.2
-
8FC TallinnFC Tallinn3842
29%
1.1
6377-14
3.7
89%
66%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.0
-
9Tallinna Kalev IITallinna Kalev II3627
14%
0.8
5396-43
4.1
94%
81%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.7
-
10LuunjaLuunja3610
8%
0.3
40137-97
4.9
89%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.13.8
-
11PhoenixPhoenix22
0%
1.0
22+0
2.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
Estonia: Esiliiga A 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Esiliiga A stats & trends →

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