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Floriana vs Birkirkara Result & Analysis

Date: 12/03/2025
Time: 18:00
Final 0-2
Floriana
Floriana
Vs
37%
33%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Birkirkara
Birkirkara
Malta: Premier League
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Floriana win✗ Miss
36.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Birkirkara win✓ Hit
30.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

FlorianaFloriana

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W40W02L00D10W21W00D21W22D30WA·BIR21/12H·NAX05/01A·MEL18/01H·HAM25/01H·ZAB02/02H·MAR09/02A·BAL16/02A·SLI22/02H·MOS02/03A·GZI08/03
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.530.871.620.751.431.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.901.000.400.601.401.40
vs Weaker (20)1.850.802.180.821.440.78
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Birkirkara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BirkirkaraBirkirkara

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L52W22D11D00D20W12L30W20W11DH·FLO21/12H·BAL06/01H·GZI18/01H·MEL26/01A·HAM01/02H·MOS08/02A·NAX15/02A·ZAB23/02H·HIB01/03H·MAR08/03
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.500.931.501.061.500.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)1.480.971.471.121.500.75
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Floriana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
63.4%
Under 1.5
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
35.0%
Under 2.5
65.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.1%
Under 3.5
83.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.5%
No
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.6%
1-0
12.2%
0-1
10.8%
2-0
7.5%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
0-2 ✓
6.0%
Floriana goals ↓
Birkirkara goals →
01234
014%11%6.0%2.0%0.5%
112%15%6.7%2.2%0.5%
27.5%7.4%3.7%1.2%0.3%
32.8%2.7%1.4%0.5%0.1%
40.8%0.8%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Floriana goals (down), columns = Birkirkara goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Floriana
1.94
Birkirkara
1.74
Sliema Wanderers
1.71
Hamrun Spartans
1.65
Hibernians
1.53
Marsaxlokk
1.47
Gzira United
1.31
Mosta
1.19
Zabbar St. Patrick
1.12
Naxxar Lions
1.06
Balzan FC
0.91
Melita
0.88
Floriana is 0.21 points better than Birkirkara in terms of average points per game (1.94 vs 1.74).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Floriana
1.53
Sliema Wanderers
1.47
Marsaxlokk
1.47
Hamrun Spartans
1.44
Zabbar St. Patrick
1.41
Birkirkara
1.35
Hibernians
1.34
Melita
1.15
Mosta
1.09
Balzan FC
1.06
Gzira United
1.06
Naxxar Lions
0.94
Floriana is 0.18 goals better than Birkirkara in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.35).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Floriana
0.68
Hamrun Spartans
0.82
Birkirkara
0.85
Sliema Wanderers
0.94
Marsaxlokk
1.22
Hibernians
1.25
Gzira United
1.31
Balzan FC
1.56
Zabbar St. Patrick
1.56
Mosta
1.66
Naxxar Lions
1.67
Melita
1.91
Floriana is 0.18 goals better than Birkirkara in terms of goals conceded per game (0.68 vs 0.85).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FlorianaFloriana

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W01L00D10W10W00D10W01L20WA·BIR21/12H·NAX05/01A·MEL18/01H·HAM25/01H·ZAB02/02H·MAR09/02A·BAL16/02A·SLI22/02H·MOS02/03A·GZI08/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.500.620.380.640.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.400.800.200.400.601.20
vs Weaker (20)0.750.350.820.360.670.33
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Birkirkara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BirkirkaraBirkirkara

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L11D11D00D10W11D10W10W11DH·FLO21/12H·BAL06/01H·GZI18/01H·MEL26/01A·HAM01/02H·MOS08/02A·NAX15/02A·ZAB23/02H·HIB01/03H·MAR08/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.570.670.610.670.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.660.590.650.650.670.50
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Floriana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Floriana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floriana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floriana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birkirkara over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birkirkara over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birkirkara over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FlorianaFloriana

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W01L00D00D11D00D11D21W10WA·BIR21/12H·NAX05/01A·MEL18/01H·HAM25/01H·ZAB02/02H·MAR09/02A·BAL16/02A·SLI22/02H·MOS02/03A·GZI08/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.371.000.380.790.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.500.200.200.200.800.20
vs Weaker (20)1.100.451.360.450.780.44
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Birkirkara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BirkirkaraBirkirkara

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L40W11D00D00D10W01L20W10W00DH·FLO21/12H·BAL06/01H·GZI18/01H·MEL26/01A·HAM01/02H·MOS08/02A·NAX15/02A·ZAB23/02H·HIB01/03H·MAR08/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.370.830.440.830.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.830.380.820.470.830.25
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Floriana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Floriana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floriana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floriana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birkirkara over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birkirkara over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birkirkara over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.583.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SW (25)
€7m
HIB (28)
€5m
HS (23)
€5m
FLO (22)
€5m
ZSP (24)
€4m
MAR (22)
€4m
MOS (24)
€3m
GU (13)
€3m
BIR (12)
€3m
BF (10)
€2m
NL (16)
€1m
Floriana's squad is €2m more valuable than Birkirkara's (€5m vs €3m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SW (11)
€3m
HIB (10)
€2m
FLO (7)
€2m
BIR (6)
€2m
MAR (8)
€1m
MOS (8)
€1m
ZSP (6)
€1m
HS (7)
€1m
BF (4)
€1m
GU (4)
€1m
NL (4)
€0m
Floriana and Birkirkara have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HS (10)
€3m
SW (4)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
FLO (6)
€1m
MOS (4)
€1m
ZSP (6)
€1m
GU (3)
€1m
HIB (4)
€1m
BIR (2)
€1m
NL (5)
€0m
BF (2)
€0m
Floriana and Birkirkara have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HIB (14)
€3m
ZSP (12)
€2m
SW (10)
€2m
FLO (9)
€2m
GU (6)
€1m
HS (6)
€1m
MOS (12)
€1m
BIR (4)
€1m
MAR (8)
€1m
NL (7)
€1m
BF (4)
€1m
Floriana's defence is €1m more valuable than Birkirkara's (€2m vs €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
4
FLO wins
0
Draws
2
BIR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Floriana vs Birkirkara · H/A from FLO
DateH/AGameScore
21/12/24ABirkirkara Vs FLO0-1
07/11/24ABirkirkara Vs FLO1-3
03/02/24ABirkirkara Vs FLO1-2
23/09/23HFLO Vs Birkirkara2-0
21/01/23HFLO Vs Birkirkara1-2
03/09/22ABirkirkara Vs FLO1-0

FlorianaFloriana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/25AGzira United Vs FLO0-3
02/03/25HFLO Vs Mosta2-2
22/02/25ASliema Wanderers Vs FLO1-2
16/02/25ABalzan FC Vs FLO0-0
09/02/25HFLO Vs Marsaxlokk2-1
02/02/25HFLO Vs Zabbar St. Patrick1-0
25/01/25HFLO Vs Hamrun Spartans0-0
18/01/25AMelita Vs FLO2-0
05/01/25HFLO Vs Naxxar Lions4-0
21/12/24ABirkirkara Vs FLO0-1

BirkirkaraBirkirkara

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/25HBIR Vs Marsaxlokk1-1
01/03/25HBIR Vs Hibernians2-0
23/02/25AZabbar St. Patrick Vs BIR0-3
15/02/25ANaxxar Lions Vs BIR2-1
08/02/25HBIR Vs Mosta2-0
01/02/25AHamrun Spartans Vs BIR0-0
26/01/25HBIR Vs Melita1-1
18/01/25HBIR Vs Gzira United2-2
06/01/25HBIR Vs Balzan FC5-2
21/12/24HBIR Vs Floriana0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Floriana
Floriana
Malta: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWDW2.02
HomeWDWWD2.08
AwayWLDWW1.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%62%58%
AVG goals2.542.732.33
Over 1.5 %76%69%83%
Over 2.5 %48%54%42%
Over 3.5 %24%35%12%
Scored1.721.851.58
Conceded0.820.880.75
BTTS36%38%33%
Clean Sheet50%50%50%
Corners---
Cards---
Birkirkara
Birkirkara
Malta: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWD1.62
HomeDDWWD1.46
AwayWWDLW1.82
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%39%50%
AVG goals2.302.571.95
Over 1.5 %76%86%64%
Over 2.5 %32%32%32%
Over 3.5 %16%21%9%
Scored1.321.361.27
Conceded0.981.210.68
BTTS38%50%23%
Clean Sheet44%29%64%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FlorianaFloriana3466
53%
1.9
5223+29
2.2
74%
41%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.50.7
-
2BirkirkaraBirkirkara3459
50%
1.7
4629+17
2.2
65%
26%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.40.9
-
3Sliema WanderersSliema Wanderers3458
50%
1.7
5032+18
2.4
62%
41%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.50.9
-
4Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans3456
47%
1.6
4928+21
2.3
62%
38%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1311.40.8
-
5HiberniansHibernians3249
44%
1.5
4340+3
2.6
81%
44%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2131.31.2
-
6MarsaxlokkMarsaxlokk3247
41%
1.5
4739+8
2.7
72%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.51.2
-
7Gzira UnitedGzira United3242
34%
1.3
3442-8
2.4
69%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.3
-
8MostaMosta3238
38%
1.2
3553-18
2.8
75%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.7
-
9Zabbar St. PatrickZabbar St. Patrick3236
31%
1.1
4550-5
3.0
84%
66%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.41.6
-
10Naxxar LionsNaxxar Lions3335
27%
1.1
3155-24
2.6
76%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.7
-
11Balzan FCBalzan FC3229
19%
0.9
3450-16
2.6
78%
53%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.6
-
12MelitaMelita3329
21%
0.9
3863-25
3.1
88%
55%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.9
-
Malta: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Malta: Premier League stats & trends →

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