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Floriana vs Mosta Result & Analysis

Date: 02/03/2025
Time: 12:45
Final 2-2
Floriana
Floriana
Vs
66%
22%
12%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Mosta
Mosta
Malta: Premier League
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Floriana win✗ Miss
65.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
22.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mosta win✗ Miss
12.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

FlorianaFloriana

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L10W10W40W02L00D10W21W00D21WH·HAM08/12H·SLI17/12A·BIR21/12H·NAX05/01A·MEL18/01H·HAM25/01H·ZAB02/02H·MAR09/02A·BAL16/02A·SLI22/02
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.001.500.941.211.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.821.360.331.331.401.40
vs Weaker (19)1.680.792.200.701.110.89
Clean sheet %43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Mosta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MostaMosta

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L21W13L10W23L01L10W02L21W02LA·HIB07/12A·HAM17/12A·SLI21/12H·GZI04/01A·BAL17/01H·SLI25/01H·NAX02/02A·BIR08/02H·MAR14/02A·HIB23/02
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.571.291.070.942.00
vs Stronger (9)0.442.000.251.750.602.20
vs Similar (21)1.381.381.700.801.091.91
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Floriana) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%016%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.4%
Under 1.5
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.1%
Under 2.5
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.0%
Under 3.5
71.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.0%
No
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.9%
1-0
12.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.5%
0-0
7.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-0
4.2%
Floriana goals ↓
Mosta goals →
01234
07.6%3.9%1.8%0.4%0.1%
112%11%3.6%0.9%0.2%
213%9.6%3.5%0.9%0.2%
38.5%6.3%2.3%0.6%0.1%
44.2%3.1%1.2%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Floriana goals (down), columns = Mosta goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Floriana
1.94
Birkirkara
1.74
Sliema Wanderers
1.71
Hamrun Spartans
1.65
Hibernians
1.53
Marsaxlokk
1.47
Gzira United
1.31
Mosta
1.19
Zabbar St. Patrick
1.12
Naxxar Lions
1.06
Balzan FC
0.91
Melita
0.88
Floriana is 0.75 points better than Mosta in terms of average points per game (1.94 vs 1.19).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Floriana
1.53
Sliema Wanderers
1.47
Marsaxlokk
1.47
Hamrun Spartans
1.44
Zabbar St. Patrick
1.41
Birkirkara
1.35
Hibernians
1.34
Melita
1.15
Mosta
1.09
Balzan FC
1.06
Gzira United
1.06
Naxxar Lions
0.94
Floriana is 0.44 goals better than Mosta in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.09).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Floriana
0.68
Hamrun Spartans
0.82
Birkirkara
0.85
Sliema Wanderers
0.94
Marsaxlokk
1.22
Hibernians
1.25
Gzira United
1.31
Balzan FC
1.56
Zabbar St. Patrick
1.56
Mosta
1.66
Naxxar Lions
1.67
Melita
1.91
Floriana is 0.98 goals better than Mosta in terms of goals conceded per game (0.68 vs 1.66).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FlorianaFloriana

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W00D20W01L00D10W10W00D10WH·HAM08/12H·SLI17/12A·BIR21/12H·NAX05/01A·MEL18/01H·HAM25/01H·ZAB02/02H·MAR09/02A·BAL16/02A·SLI22/02
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.600.620.560.500.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.361.090.171.000.601.20
vs Weaker (19)0.680.320.900.300.440.33
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Mosta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MostaMosta

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L11D11D00D11D00D10W01L01L01LA·HIB07/12A·HAM17/12A·SLI21/12H·GZI04/01A·BAL17/01H·SLI25/01H·NAX02/02A·BIR08/02H·MAR14/02A·HIB23/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.700.430.430.380.94
vs Stronger (9)0.220.890.000.750.401.00
vs Similar (21)0.480.620.600.300.360.91
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Floriana) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Floriana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floriana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floriana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mosta over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mosta over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mosta over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FlorianaFloriana

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W20W01L00D00D11D00D11DH·HAM08/12H·SLI17/12A·BIR21/12H·NAX05/01A·MEL18/01H·HAM25/01H·ZAB02/02H·MAR09/02A·BAL16/02A·SLI22/02
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.400.880.380.710.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.450.270.170.330.800.20
vs Weaker (19)1.000.471.300.400.670.56
Clean sheet %63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Mosta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MostaMosta

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W10W02L10W12L01L00D01L20W01LA·HIB07/12A·HAM17/12A·SLI21/12H·GZI04/01A·BAL17/01H·SLI25/01H·NAX02/02A·BIR08/02H·MAR14/02A·HIB23/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.870.860.640.561.06
vs Stronger (9)0.221.110.251.000.201.20
vs Similar (21)0.900.761.100.500.731.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Floriana) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Floriana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floriana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floriana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mosta over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mosta over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mosta over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.576.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SW (25)
€7m
HIB (28)
€5m
HS (23)
€5m
FLO (22)
€5m
ZSP (24)
€4m
MAR (22)
€4m
MOS (24)
€3m
GU (13)
€3m
BIR (12)
€3m
BF (10)
€2m
NL (16)
€1m
Floriana's squad is €2m more valuable than Mosta's (€5m vs €3m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SW (11)
€3m
HIB (10)
€2m
FLO (7)
€2m
BIR (6)
€2m
MAR (8)
€1m
MOS (8)
€1m
ZSP (6)
€1m
HS (7)
€1m
BF (4)
€1m
GU (4)
€1m
NL (4)
€0m
Floriana and Mosta have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HS (10)
€3m
SW (4)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
FLO (6)
€1m
MOS (4)
€1m
ZSP (6)
€1m
GU (3)
€1m
HIB (4)
€1m
BIR (2)
€1m
NL (5)
€0m
BF (2)
€0m
Floriana and Mosta have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HIB (14)
€3m
ZSP (12)
€2m
SW (10)
€2m
FLO (9)
€2m
GU (6)
€1m
HS (6)
€1m
MOS (12)
€1m
BIR (4)
€1m
MAR (8)
€1m
NL (7)
€1m
BF (4)
€1m
Floriana and Mosta have a similar defence value (both €2m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
4
FLO wins
1
Draws
1
MOS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Floriana vs Mosta · H/A from FLO
DateH/AGameScore
23/11/24HFLO Vs Mosta1-0
03/10/24AMosta Vs FLO0-2
13/04/24HFLO Vs Mosta4-0
09/12/23AMosta Vs FLO0-3
12/02/23AMosta Vs FLO2-0
08/10/22HFLO Vs Mosta1-1

FlorianaFloriana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/02/25ASliema Wanderers Vs FLO1-2
16/02/25ABalzan FC Vs FLO0-0
09/02/25HFLO Vs Marsaxlokk2-1
02/02/25HFLO Vs Zabbar St. Patrick1-0
25/01/25HFLO Vs Hamrun Spartans0-0
18/01/25AMelita Vs FLO2-0
05/01/25HFLO Vs Naxxar Lions4-0
21/12/24ABirkirkara Vs FLO0-1
17/12/24HFLO Vs Sliema Wanderers1-0
08/12/24HFLO Vs Hamrun Spartans1-2

MostaMosta

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/02/25AHibernians Vs MOS2-0
14/02/25HMOS Vs Marsaxlokk2-1
08/02/25ABirkirkara Vs MOS2-0
02/02/25HMOS Vs Naxxar Lions1-0
25/01/25HMOS Vs Sliema Wanderers0-1
17/01/25ABalzan FC Vs MOS3-2
04/01/25HMOS Vs Gzira United1-0
21/12/24ASliema Wanderers Vs MOS3-1
17/12/24AHamrun Spartans Vs MOS1-2
07/12/24AHibernians Vs MOS3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Floriana
Floriana
Malta: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWDW2.02
HomeWWDWW2.08
AwayWWLDW1.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%62%58%
AVG goals2.502.652.33
Over 1.5 %76%69%83%
Over 2.5 %46%50%42%
Over 3.5 %22%31%12%
Scored1.701.811.58
Conceded0.800.850.75
BTTS36%38%33%
Clean Sheet50%50%50%
Corners---
Cards---
Mosta
Mosta
Malta: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWL1.24
HomeDWLWW1.54
AwayWLLLL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%46%23%
AVG goals2.302.292.31
Over 1.5 %68%62%73%
Over 2.5 %40%42%38%
Over 3.5 %20%21%19%
Scored0.941.000.88
Conceded1.361.291.42
BTTS38%29%46%
Clean Sheet28%33%23%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FlorianaFloriana3466
53%
1.9
5223+29
2.2
74%
41%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.50.7
-
2BirkirkaraBirkirkara3459
50%
1.7
4629+17
2.2
65%
26%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.40.9
-
3Sliema WanderersSliema Wanderers3458
50%
1.7
5032+18
2.4
62%
41%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.50.9
-
4Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans3456
47%
1.6
4928+21
2.3
62%
38%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1311.40.8
-
5HiberniansHibernians3249
44%
1.5
4340+3
2.6
81%
44%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2131.31.2
-
6MarsaxlokkMarsaxlokk3247
41%
1.5
4739+8
2.7
72%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.51.2
-
7Gzira UnitedGzira United3242
34%
1.3
3442-8
2.4
69%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.3
-
8MostaMosta3238
38%
1.2
3553-18
2.8
75%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.7
-
9Zabbar St. PatrickZabbar St. Patrick3236
31%
1.1
4550-5
3.0
84%
66%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.41.6
-
10Naxxar LionsNaxxar Lions3335
27%
1.1
3155-24
2.6
76%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.7
-
11Balzan FCBalzan FC3229
19%
0.9
3450-16
2.6
78%
53%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.6
-
12MelitaMelita3329
21%
0.9
3863-25
3.1
88%
55%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.9
-
Malta: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Malta: Premier League stats & trends →

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