Floriana vs Sliema Wanderers Result & Analysis

The match between Floriana and Sliema Wanderers is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win at 39%. The probability of a draw sits just below the home win at 29%, leaving Floriana’s chances at 31%. The average number of goals expected is 2.5, and the most likely total is two goals, with a 27% chance. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14% probability. Floriana, playing at home against a team of similar strength, averages 0.44 goals scored and 1.11 conceded, while Sliema Wanderers, on the road, averages 1.0 goal scored and only 0.25 conceded. Suggested selections from the model include Under 3.5 with a 75.8% chance and Over 1.5 with a 72.5% chance. The model’s pick, an away win, is the most likely outcome.

The match ended 2-2, a draw that left the pre-match favourite - the model’s pick of an away win with a 39% probability - disappointed. The model’s call was wrong, as the result was a stalemate. Floriana, unbeaten in their last five with a 1-1 draw over Hamrun Spartans, could not break the deadlock, while Sliema Wanderers, coming off a win against Birzebbuga, were unable to secure the victory they were tipped for. The model’s other selections also fell short: the Under 3.5 total, predicted at 75.8%, missed, whereas the Over 1.5, at 72.5%, hit. The final score of 2-2 confirms the unexpected outcome.