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Floriana vs Valletta FC Result & Analysis

Date: 18/04/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 2-0
Floriana
Floriana
Vs
35%
34%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Valletta FC
Valletta FC
Malta: Premier League
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Floriana win✓ Hit
34.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
33.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Valletta FC win✗ Miss
31.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

FlorianaFloriana

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D21W20W00D41W11D10W22D10W31WA·VAL04/02A·GZI08/02H·TAR15/02H·MAR18/02H·HIB22/02A·HAM01/03A·SLI07/03A·BIR14/03A·NAX11/04A·MAR15/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.600.801.591.001.620.54
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.081.081.111.221.000.75
vs Weaker (17)2.000.592.120.751.890.44
Clean sheet %40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Valletta FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Valletta FCValletta FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L20W00D01L11D31W11D21W11DH·FLO04/02A·BIR08/02A·GZI13/02A·ZAB17/02H·SLI21/02A·HIB28/02H·TAR08/03A·MAR14/03H·GZI12/04A·NAX15/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.400.671.560.751.210.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.400.671.560.751.210.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Floriana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%15%025%128%218%39%43%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
59.8%
Under 1.5
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
31.4%
Under 2.5
68.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
13.7%
Under 3.5
86.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
40.5%
No
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.4%
1-1
14.9%
1-0
12.9%
0-1
11.9%
2-0 ✓
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
6.3%
Floriana goals ↓
Valletta FC goals →
01234
015%12%6.3%2.0%0.5%
113%15%6.4%2.0%0.5%
27.2%6.9%3.3%1.0%0.2%
32.5%2.3%1.1%0.3%0.1%
40.6%0.6%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Floriana goals (down), columns = Valletta FC goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Floriana
2.18
Hamrun Spartans
1.94
Marsaxlokk
1.68
Valletta FC
1.59
Sliema Wanderers
1.50
Gzira United
1.34
Hibernians
1.22
Birkirkara
1.09
Naxxar Lions
1.06
Zabbar St. Patrick
0.97
Mosta
0.88
Tarxien Rainbows
0.71
Floriana is 0.59 points better than Valletta FC in terms of average points per game (2.18 vs 1.59).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Hamrun Spartans
1.62
Floriana
1.56
Hibernians
1.41
Marsaxlokk
1.29
Naxxar Lions
1.24
Zabbar St. Patrick
1.24
Valletta FC
1.21
Gzira United
1.19
Sliema Wanderers
1.16
Mosta
1.06
Tarxien Rainbows
0.97
Birkirkara
0.91
Floriana is 0.35 goals better than Valletta FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.56 vs 1.21).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hamrun Spartans
0.65
Valletta FC
0.76
Floriana
0.82
Birkirkara
1.12
Sliema Wanderers
1.12
Marsaxlokk
1.15
Zabbar St. Patrick
1.32
Gzira United
1.34
Hibernians
1.53
Naxxar Lions
1.58
Tarxien Rainbows
1.74
Mosta
1.76
Floriana is 0.06 goals worse than Valletta FC in terms of goals conceded per game (0.82 vs 0.76).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FlorianaFloriana

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L10W00D11D10W00D21W10W21WA·VAL04/02A·GZI08/02H·TAR15/02H·MAR18/02H·HIB22/02A·HAM01/03A·SLI07/03A·BIR14/03A·NAX11/04A·MAR15/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.400.820.531.000.23
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.770.380.780.440.750.25
vs Weaker (17)1.000.410.880.621.110.22
Clean sheet %63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Valletta FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Valletta FCValletta FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D10W00D00D00D10W00D00D10WH·FLO04/02A·BIR08/02A·GZI13/02A·ZAB17/02H·SLI21/02A·HIB28/02H·TAR08/03A·MAR14/03H·GZI12/04A·NAX15/04
Avg total
0.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.170.500.190.430.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.470.170.500.190.430.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %87% (+56pp vs league)
This opponent (Floriana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Floriana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floriana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floriana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valletta FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valletta FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valletta FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FlorianaFloriana

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W10W00D30W01L10W01L00D10WA·VAL04/02A·GZI08/02H·TAR15/02H·MAR18/02H·HIB22/02A·HAM01/03A·SLI07/03A·BIR14/03A·NAX11/04A·MAR15/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.400.760.470.620.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.310.690.330.780.250.50
vs Weaker (17)1.000.181.250.120.780.22
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Valletta FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Valletta FCValletta FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L10W00D01L11D21W11D21W01LH·FLO04/02A·BIR08/02A·GZI13/02A·ZAB17/02H·SLI21/02A·HIB28/02H·TAR08/03A·MAR14/03H·GZI12/04A·NAX15/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.501.060.560.790.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.930.501.060.560.790.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Floriana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Floriana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floriana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floriana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valletta FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valletta FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valletta FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.586.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SW (25)
€7m
HIB (28)
€5m
HS (23)
€5m
FLO (22)
€5m
VF (20)
€4m
ZSP (24)
€4m
MAR (22)
€4m
MOS (24)
€3m
GU (13)
€3m
BIR (12)
€3m
NL (16)
€1m
TR (8)
€1m
Floriana and Valletta FC have a similar squad value (both €5m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SW (11)
€3m
HIB (10)
€2m
FLO (7)
€2m
VF (7)
€2m
BIR (6)
€2m
MAR (8)
€1m
MOS (8)
€1m
ZSP (6)
€1m
HS (7)
€1m
GU (4)
€1m
NL (4)
€0m
TR (2)
€0m
Floriana and Valletta FC have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HS (10)
€3m
SW (4)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
VF (5)
€1m
FLO (6)
€1m
MOS (4)
€1m
ZSP (6)
€1m
GU (3)
€1m
HIB (4)
€1m
BIR (2)
€1m
NL (5)
€0m
TR (2)
€0m
Floriana and Valletta FC have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HIB (14)
€3m
ZSP (12)
€2m
SW (10)
€2m
FLO (9)
€2m
VF (8)
€2m
GU (6)
€1m
HS (6)
€1m
MOS (12)
€1m
BIR (4)
€1m
MAR (8)
€1m
NL (7)
€1m
TR (4)
€0m
Floriana and Valletta FC have a similar defence value (both €2m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
3
FLO wins
3
Draws
1
VF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Floriana vs Valletta FC · H/A from FLO
DateH/AGameScore
04/02/26AValletta FC Vs FLO0-0
10/01/26HFLO Vs Valletta FC0-0
16/09/25HFLO Vs Valletta FC0-2
06/04/24AValletta FC Vs FLO0-2
03/12/23HFLO Vs Valletta FC1-0
29/01/23AValletta FC Vs FLO0-0
10/09/22HFLO Vs Valletta FC1-0

FlorianaFloriana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/04/26AMarsaxlokk Vs FLO1-3
11/04/26ANaxxar Lions Vs FLO0-1
14/03/26ABirkirkara Vs FLO2-2
07/03/26ASliema Wanderers Vs FLO0-1
01/03/26AHamrun Spartans Vs FLO1-1
22/02/26HFLO Vs Hibernians4-1
18/02/26HFLO Vs Marsaxlokk0-0
15/02/26HFLO Vs Tarxien Rainbows2-0
08/02/26AGzira United Vs FLO1-2
04/02/26AValletta FC Vs FLO0-0

Valletta FCValletta FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/04/26ANaxxar Lions Vs VF1-1
12/04/26HVF Vs Gzira United2-1
14/03/26AMarsaxlokk Vs VF1-1
08/03/26HVF Vs Tarxien Rainbows3-1
28/02/26AHibernians Vs VF1-1
21/02/26HVF Vs Sliema Wanderers0-1
17/02/26AZabbar St. Patrick Vs VF0-0
13/02/26AGzira United Vs VF0-2
08/02/26ABirkirkara Vs VF1-0
04/02/26HVF Vs Floriana0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Floriana
Floriana
Malta: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWW1.98
HomeWWWDW1.79
AwayDWDWW2.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%48%67%
AVG goals2.402.312.52
Over 1.5 %74%79%67%
Over 2.5 %48%45%52%
Over 3.5 %24%21%29%
Scored1.521.381.71
Conceded0.880.930.81
BTTS50%52%48%
Clean Sheet40%34%48%
Corners---
Cards---
Valletta FC
Valletta FC
Malta: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWD2.12
HomeWDLWW2.27
AwayWDDDD1.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%69%54%
AVG goals2.242.541.92
Over 1.5 %66%73%58%
Over 2.5 %40%54%25%
Over 3.5 %16%23%8%
Scored1.701.961.42
Conceded0.540.580.50
BTTS38%38%38%
Clean Sheet52%54%50%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FlorianaFloriana3474
65%
2.2
5328+25
2.4
71%
47%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.60.8
-
2Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans3466
56%
1.9
5522+33
2.3
74%
32%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1311.60.6
-
3MarsaxlokkMarsaxlokk3457
47%
1.7
4439+5
2.4
76%
50%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.31.1
-
4Valletta FCValletta FC3454
41%
1.6
4126+15
2.0
62%
26%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.20.8
-
5Sliema WanderersSliema Wanderers3248
38%
1.5
3736+1
2.3
72%
38%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.21.1
-
6Gzira UnitedGzira United3243
38%
1.3
3843-5
2.5
72%
44%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.3
-
7HiberniansHibernians3239
31%
1.2
4549-4
2.9
78%
53%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2131.41.5
-
8BirkirkaraBirkirkara3235
25%
1.1
2936-7
2.0
62%
34%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2110.91.1
-
9Naxxar LionsNaxxar Lions3335
27%
1.1
4152-11
2.8
76%
55%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.6
-
10Zabbar St. PatrickZabbar St. Patrick3433
18%
1.0
4245-3
2.6
79%
44%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.21.3
-
11MostaMosta3329
21%
0.9
3558-23
2.8
70%
48%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.8
-
12Tarxien RainbowsTarxien Rainbows3424
12%
0.7
3359-26
2.7
76%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.7
-
Malta: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Malta: Premier League stats & trends →

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