Floridsdorfer AC are favoured to win this match, and the overall shape of the game is likely to be a closely contested, low-scoring encounter. The home side has been struggling recently, coming off a defeat to Sturm Graz II, but they have historically been solid at home, scoring 1.5 goals and conceding 0.5 against similar opponents. In contrast, SKU Amstetten have been inconsistent away from home, scoring 1.08 goals and conceding 1.5 against similar opponents.
The model predicts a home win, with a 46% probability, while the draw is 30% likely, and an away win is 25% likely. The expected total number of goals is 2.4, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 14%. The model's selection is the home win.
The model also suggests "Over 21.5 fouls" (87.6%), "Over 3.5 cards" (83.0%), and "Under 3.5" (78.5%) as its selections. The home win percentage is 46%, the draw percentage is 30%, and the away win percentage is 25%.
In a stunning upset, Floridsdorfer AC drew 2-2 with SKU Amstetten, spoiling the pre-match favourite's chances. The model's selection, a home win, was incorrect as Floridsdorfer AC's recent form, coming off a draw, didn't quite translate to a win. The model's call was wrong, as Floridsdorfer AC's home win probability stood at 46%. SKU Amstetten's away win probability was 25%. The model also suggested an under 3.5 goal total, which missed, with a probability of 78.3%.
Floridsdorfer AC| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.40 | 0.87 | 1.27 | 1.00 | 1.53 | 0.73 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 1.50 | 1.50 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| vs Similar (28) | 1.39 | 0.82 | 1.21 | 1.07 | 1.57 | 0.57 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+20pp vs league) | |||||
SKU Amstetten| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.50 | 1.23 | 1.56 | 1.00 | 1.43 | 1.50 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 1.67 | 1.33 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (27) | 1.48 | 1.22 | 1.50 | 0.86 | 1.46 | 1.62 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 33% (+7pp vs league) | |||||
| SKU Amstetten goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 11% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 12% | 14% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 9.2% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Floridsdorfer AC
SKU Amstetten
Floridsdorfer AC| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 7.8 | 9.7 | 5.0 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 26.5 | 30.3 | 21.2 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 7.0 | - | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 28.0 | - | 28.0 |
| vs Similar (46) | 7.8 | 9.7 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 26.4 | 30.3 | 19.5 |
| vs Weaker (1) | - | - | - | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| % over line | 25% | 43% | 0% | 16% | 24% | 8% | 83% | 100% | 60% |
| % under line | 75% | 57% | 100% | 84% | 76% | 92% | 17% | 0% | 40% |
SKU Amstetten| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.2 | 12.2 | 7.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 26.0 | 24.5 | 27.8 |
| vs Stronger (5) | 10.0 | 12.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 21.5 | 13.0 | 30.0 |
| vs Similar (45) | 10.2 | 12.2 | 7.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 27.0 | 26.8 | 27.2 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 55% | 83% | 20% | 20% | 25% | 15% | 64% | 67% | 60% |
| % under line | 45% | 17% | 80% | 80% | 75% | 85% | 36% | 33% | 40% |
Floridsdorfer AC| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.73 | 0.17 | 0.67 | 0.20 | 0.80 | 0.13 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.50 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (28) | 0.75 | 0.18 | 0.64 | 0.21 | 0.86 | 0.14 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 87% (+60pp vs league) | |||||
SKU Amstetten| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.70 | 0.47 | 0.81 | 0.25 | 0.57 | 0.71 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 1.00 | 0.33 | 1.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (27) | 0.67 | 0.48 | 0.71 | 0.21 | 0.62 | 0.77 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 63% (+37pp vs league) | |||||
Floridsdorfer AC| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.67 | 0.70 | 0.60 | 0.80 | 0.73 | 0.60 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 1.00 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| vs Similar (28) | 0.64 | 0.64 | 0.57 | 0.86 | 0.71 | 0.43 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+27pp vs league) | |||||
SKU Amstetten| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.80 | 0.77 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0.86 | 0.79 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (27) | 0.81 | 0.74 | 0.79 | 0.64 | 0.85 | 0.85 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+24pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 89.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 19.5 fouls | 86.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 3.5 | 78.3% | 1.28 | 1.32 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 1.30 | +6.0% | ✗ Miss |
| Over 3.5 cards | 77.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 11.5 corners | 76.9% | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | +4.6% | - |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 74.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 | H | 5-0 | |
| 26/10/25 | A | 1-1 | |
| 26/04/25 | H | 1-0 | |
| 25/10/24 | A | 2-1 | |
| 03/05/24 | A | 3-2 | |
| 20/10/23 | H | 0-0 | |
| 10/03/23 | A | 1-0 | |
| 26/08/22 | H | 2-3 |
Floridsdorfer AC| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 | A | 4-2 | |
| 31/07/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 24/07/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 14/05/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 02/05/26 | A | 0-5 | |
| 24/04/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 17/04/26 | H | 5-0 | |
| 11/04/26 | A | 3-1 | |
| 06/04/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 03/04/26 | A | 0-2 |
SKU Amstetten| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 31/07/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 24/07/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 14/05/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 08/05/26 | H | 3-0 | |
| 24/04/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 17/04/26 | A | 5-0 | |
| 10/04/26 | H | 2-3 | |
| 06/04/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 03/04/26 | H | 1-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | FC BW Linz | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 13 | 3 | +10 | 3.2 | 80% | 80% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2.6 | 0.6 | - |
| 2 | FC Liefering | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 4.2 | 100% | 100% | 80% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2.6 | 1.6 | - |
| 3 | First Vienna | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 3.0 | 60% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 4 | Floridsdorfer AC | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 3.0 | 80% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 5 | Austria Salzburg | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 3.4 | 80% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 1.4 | - |
| 6 | Wacker Innsbruck | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 2.4 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | - |
| 7 | Austria Vienna (Am) | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 2.6 | 80% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.4 | 1.2 | - |
| 8 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 3.2 | 80% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 2.0 | - |
| 9 | Admira Wacker | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 2.2 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 10 | SKU Amstetten | 5 | 6 | 20% | 1.2 | 6 | 6 | +0 | 2.4 | 80% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | - |
| 11 | Sturm Graz II | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 4.6 | 100% | 80% | 80% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 2.6 | - |
| 12 | Rapid Wien II | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3.4 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 2.2 | - |
| 13 | Voitsberg | 5 | 5 | 20% | 1.0 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3.4 | 80% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 2.0 | - |
| 14 | WSPG Wels | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 3.2 | 100% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 2.0 | - |
| 15 | SKN ST. Polten | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | - |
| 16 | SV Kapfenberg | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 3.6 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 2.4 | - |