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Fola Esch vs Mondercange Result & Analysis

Date: 26/11/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 2-2
Fola Esch
Fola Esch
Vs
42%
27%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Mondercange
Mondercange
Luxembourg: National Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fola Esch win✗ Miss
42.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mondercange win✗ Miss
30.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Fola EschFola Esch

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L12L13L12L12L01L23L01L11D10WA·AS 20/08H·MAR27/08A·SCH03/09H·SWI17/09A·UNI23/09H·VIC27/09A·PRO08/10H·WIL22/10H·UNA05/11A·RAC11/11
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.202.071.251.691.142.50
vs Stronger (10)1.302.501.332.171.253.00
vs Similar (19)1.001.951.201.400.782.56
vs Weaker (1)4.000.00--4.000.00
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Mondercange) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MondercangeMondercange

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L10W10W12L22D06L04L33D11D13LA·FC 20/08H·F9127/08A·AS 03/09H·MAR17/09A·SCH24/09H·SWI27/09A·UNI08/10H·VIC22/10A·PRO05/11H·WIL12/11
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.202.101.361.931.062.25
vs Stronger (9)1.332.562.671.330.673.17
vs Similar (20)1.101.951.002.091.221.78
vs Weaker (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Fola Esch) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.2%
Under 1.5
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.7%
Under 2.5
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.4%
Under 3.5
67.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.8%
No
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.9%
0-0
6.8%
0-1
6.3%
2-2 ✓
5.9%
Fola Esch goals ↓
Mondercange goals →
01234
06.8%6.3%4.9%2.1%0.7%
17.7%13%7.6%3.3%1.1%
26.9%9.0%5.9%2.6%0.8%
33.6%4.7%3.1%1.3%0.4%
41.4%1.8%1.2%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fola Esch goals (down), columns = Mondercange goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Differdange 03
2.20
F91 Dudelange
2.03
Swift Hesperange
2.03
Progres Niederkorn
1.83
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.50
UNA Strassen
1.47
Victoria Rosport
1.47
Union Titus Petange
1.30
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.27
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.27
Wiltz
1.10
Mondercange
1.07
US Rumelange
1.00
US Hostert
1.00
Fola Esch
0.94
UN Kaerjeng 97
0.94
Marisca Mersch
0.87
Schifflange
0.83
Fola Esch is 0.13 points worse than Mondercange in terms of average points per game (0.94 vs 1.07).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Differdange 03
2.33
Swift Hesperange
2.20
US Rumelange
2.00
F91 Dudelange
1.97
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.83
Progres Niederkorn
1.80
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.70
Union Titus Petange
1.60
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.53
Victoria Rosport
1.50
Wiltz
1.43
UNA Strassen
1.33
Marisca Mersch
1.33
Schifflange
1.20
Fola Esch
1.13
Mondercange
1.10
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.03
US Hostert
1.00
Fola Esch is 0.03 goals better than Mondercange in terms of goals scored per game (1.13 vs 1.10).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Differdange 03
0.77
US Hostert
1.00
Swift Hesperange
1.17
Progres Niederkorn
1.17
F91 Dudelange
1.20
UNA Strassen
1.27
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.37
Victoria Rosport
1.47
Union Titus Petange
1.57
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.61
Wiltz
1.73
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.77
Mondercange
1.90
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.93
Schifflange
1.97
US Rumelange
2.00
Fola Esch
2.03
Marisca Mersch
2.07
Fola Esch is 0.13 goals worse than Mondercange in terms of goals conceded per game (2.03 vs 1.90).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Fola EschFola Esch

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

MondercangeMondercange

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Fola EschFola Esch

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (45)8.59.08.00.30.30.3---
vs Stronger (17)8.59.08.00.81.00.7---
vs Similar (26)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (2)---0.00.00.0---
% over line0%0%0%4%4%5%---
% under line100%100%100%96%96%95%---
This opponent (Mondercange) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MondercangeMondercange

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (42)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (12)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (28)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (2)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Fola Esch) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Progres Niederkorn
10.8
FC Differdange 03
10.0
F91 Dudelange
9.3
Swift Hesperange
8.6
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
8.5
Fola Esch
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
FC Differdange 03
8.8
Progres Niederkorn
7.5
Fola Esch
7.0
Swift Hesperange
5.8
F91 Dudelange
5.1
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FC Differdange 03
48.0
Swift Hesperange
31.5
Progres Niederkorn
29.0
F91 Dudelange
17.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Fola EschFola Esch

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L01L01L01L00D00D12L01L00D00DA·AS 20/08H·MAR27/08A·SCH03/09H·SWI17/09A·UNI23/09H·VIC27/09A·PRO08/10H·WIL22/10H·UNA05/11A·RAC11/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.030.440.690.431.43
vs Stronger (10)0.501.200.501.000.501.50
vs Similar (19)0.321.000.400.500.221.56
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Mondercange) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MondercangeMondercange

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W00D00D11D01L03L21W11D02LA·FC 20/08H·F9127/08A·AS 03/09H·MAR17/09A·SCH24/09H·SWI27/09A·UNI08/10H·VIC22/10A·PRO05/11H·WIL12/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.870.500.790.620.94
vs Stronger (9)0.891.441.330.670.671.83
vs Similar (20)0.450.650.270.820.670.44
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Fola Esch) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fola Esch over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fola Esch over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fola Esch over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mondercange over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mondercange over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mondercange over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Fola EschFola Esch

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D12L11D12L01L11D00D11D10WA·AS 20/08H·MAR27/08A·SCH03/09H·SWI17/09A·UNI23/09H·VIC27/09A·PRO08/10H·WIL22/10H·UNA05/11A·RAC11/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.030.811.000.711.07
vs Stronger (10)0.801.300.831.170.751.50
vs Similar (19)0.680.950.800.900.561.00
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Mondercange) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MondercangeMondercange

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L00D10W12L11D05L01L12L00D11DA·FC 20/08H·F9127/08A·AS 03/09H·MAR17/09A·SCH24/09H·SWI27/09A·UNI08/10H·VIC22/10A·PRO05/11H·WIL12/11
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.230.861.140.441.31
vs Stronger (9)0.441.111.330.670.001.33
vs Similar (20)0.651.300.731.270.561.33
vs Weaker (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Fola Esch) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fola Esch over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fola Esch over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fola Esch over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mondercange over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mondercange over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mondercange over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (19)
€3m
UK9 (18)
€2m
UM (22)
€2m
FD0 (16)
€2m
PN (19)
€2m
VR (15)
€2m
RFU (15)
€1m
AJE (17)
€1m
FD (16)
€1m
UH (16)
€1m
SH (12)
€1m
WIL (2)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UK9 (5)
€1m
FD0 (6)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
PN (8)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
UM (5)
€0m
UH (6)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
FD (6)
€0m
SH (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (5)
€1m
UM (6)
€1m
UK9 (5)
€0m
FD (4)
€0m
RFU (3)
€0m
VR (4)
€0m
UH (3)
€0m
FD0 (3)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
SH (3)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
PN (0)
€0m
WIL (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (9)
€1m
PN (11)
€1m
UM (11)
€1m
FD0 (7)
€1m
AJE (9)
€1m
UK9 (8)
€1m
VR (6)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
FD (6)
€0m
UH (7)
€0m
SH (7)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
FE wins
0
Draws
1
MON wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Fola Esch vs Mondercange · H/A from FE
DateH/AGameScore
26/02/23HFE Vs Mondercange2-0
28/08/22AMondercange Vs FE3-0

Fola EschFola Esch

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/11/23ARacing FC Union Luxembourg Vs FE0-1
05/11/23HFE Vs UNA Strassen1-1
22/10/23HFE Vs Wiltz0-1
08/10/23AProgres Niederkorn Vs FE3-2
27/09/23HFE Vs Victoria Rosport0-1
23/09/23AUnion Titus Petange Vs FE2-1
17/09/23HFE Vs Swift Hesperange1-2
03/09/23ASchifflange Vs FE3-1
27/08/23HFE Vs Marisca Mersch1-2
20/08/23AAS Jeunesse Esch Vs FE4-1

MondercangeMondercange

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/11/23HMON Vs Wiltz1-3
05/11/23AProgres Niederkorn Vs MON1-1
22/10/23HMON Vs Victoria Rosport3-3
08/10/23AUnion Titus Petange Vs MON4-0
27/09/23HMON Vs Swift Hesperange0-6
24/09/23ASchifflange Vs MON2-2
17/09/23HMON Vs Marisca Mersch1-2
03/09/23AAS Jeunesse Esch Vs MON0-1
27/08/23HMON Vs F91 Dudelange1-0
20/08/23AFC Differdange 03 Vs MON2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Fola Esch
Fola Esch
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDW0.76
HomeLLLLD0.96
AwayLLLLW0.55
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%26%18%
AVG goals3.492.744.27
Over 1.5 %78%70%86%
Over 2.5 %69%52%86%
Over 3.5 %49%30%68%
Scored1.181.171.18
Conceded2.311.573.09
BTTS60%57%64%
Clean Sheet11%9%14%
Corners8.509.008.00
Cards7.008.006.00
Mondercange
Mondercange
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDL1.05
HomeWLLDL1.10
AwayLWDLD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%29%24%
AVG goals3.263.293.24
Over 1.5 %83%76%90%
Over 2.5 %67%71%62%
Over 3.5 %40%38%43%
Scored1.331.521.14
Conceded1.931.762.10
BTTS62%62%62%
Clean Sheet17%24%10%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC Differdange 03FC Differdange 033066
63%
2.2
7023+47
3.1
90%
43%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.30.8
-
2Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange3061
60%
2.0
6635+31
3.4
90%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.21.2
-
3F91 DudelangeF91 Dudelange3061
63%
2.0
5936+23
3.2
80%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.2
-
4Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn3055
53%
1.8
5435+19
3.0
83%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.2
-
5AS Jeunesse EschAS Jeunesse Esch3045
43%
1.5
5141+10
3.1
83%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.71.4
-
6UNA StrassenUNA Strassen3044
37%
1.5
4038+2
2.6
77%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.3
-
7Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport3044
40%
1.5
4544+1
3.0
80%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.5
-
8Union Titus PetangeUnion Titus Petange3039
37%
1.3
4847+1
3.2
83%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.6
-
9US Mondorf-les-bainsUS Mondorf-les-bains3038
33%
1.3
5553+2
3.6
97%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.81.8
-
10Racing FC Union LuxembourgRacing FC Union Luxembourg3038
37%
1.3
4658-12
3.5
90%
73%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.51.9
-
11WiltzWiltz3033
23%
1.1
4352-9
3.2
87%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
12MondercangeMondercange3032
27%
1.1
3357-24
3.0
87%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
13UN Kaerjeng 97UN Kaerjeng 973129
23%
0.9
3250-18
2.6
71%
52%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.6
-
14Fola EschFola Esch3129
26%
0.9
3563-28
3.2
77%
68%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
15Marisca MerschMarisca Mersch3026
23%
0.9
4062-22
3.4
87%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.1
-
16SchifflangeSchifflange3025
20%
0.8
3659-23
3.2
80%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
17US RumelangeUS Rumelange11
0%
1.0
22+0
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.0
-
18US HostertUS Hostert11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.0
-
Luxembourg: National Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Luxembourg: National Division stats & trends →

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