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Fola Esch vs Swift Hesperange Result & Analysis

Date: 19/03/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
Fola Esch
Fola Esch
Vs
22%
25%
53%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Swift Hesperange
Swift Hesperange
Luxembourg: National Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fola Esch win✗ Miss
21.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Swift Hesperange win✓ Hit
53.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Fola EschFola Esch

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-515L13L23L01L24L12L40W20W32W05LA·WIL06/11H·AS 13/11A·PRO27/11H·US 04/12A·RAC11/12H·UNI12/02A·ETZ19/02H·MON26/02H·FC 04/03A·US 12/03
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.322.551.181.271.453.82
vs Stronger (9)1.223.221.001.751.404.40
vs Similar (11)1.272.451.501.171.004.00
vs Weaker (2)2.000.000.000.004.000.00
Clean sheet %14% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Swift Hesperange) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-540W42W00D42W20W51W31W30W12L22DA·F9106/11H·UN 13/11A·VIC27/11H·WIL04/12H·AS 10/12H·US 12/02A·RAC19/02H·UNA26/02A·UNI05/03H·ETZ12/03
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game3.251.003.731.362.670.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)2.831.003.001.172.670.83
vs Weaker (8)3.881.004.601.602.670.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Fola Esch) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
80.8%
Under 1.5
19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.2%
Under 2.5
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.8%
Under 3.5
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.1%
No
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.7%
0-1 ✓
8.3%
0-0
6.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-1
6.0%
2-2
5.5%
Fola Esch goals ↓
Swift Hesperange goals →
01234
06.1%8.3%8.7%5.4%2.5%
14.7%12%9.8%6.1%2.8%
23.2%6.0%5.5%3.4%1.6%
31.2%2.3%2.1%1.3%0.6%
40.3%0.6%0.6%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fola Esch goals (down), columns = Swift Hesperange goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Swift Hesperange
2.57
Progres Niederkorn
2.33
F91 Dudelange
2.23
Union Titus Petange
1.97
FC Differdange 03
1.50
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.50
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.43
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.43
UNA Strassen
1.30
Wiltz
1.20
Victoria Rosport
1.07
Jeunesse Canach
1.00
Mondercange
0.97
UN Kaerjeng 97
0.90
Fola Esch
0.87
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.77
US Hostert
0.60
Bettembourg
0.00
Fola Esch is 1.70 points worse than Swift Hesperange in terms of average points per game (0.87 vs 2.57).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Swift Hesperange
3.33
Jeunesse Canach
3.00
F91 Dudelange
2.87
Progres Niederkorn
2.23
Union Titus Petange
2.07
FC Differdange 03
2.00
Bettembourg
2.00
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.73
Victoria Rosport
1.60
Wiltz
1.60
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.47
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.43
Mondercange
1.37
Fola Esch
1.26
UNA Strassen
1.10
Etzella Ettelbruck
1.07
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.06
US Hostert
0.67
Fola Esch is 2.08 goals worse than Swift Hesperange in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 3.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Swift Hesperange
0.93
Progres Niederkorn
1.03
F91 Dudelange
1.27
Union Titus Petange
1.27
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.30
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.30
FC Differdange 03
1.43
UNA Strassen
1.53
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.73
Mondercange
1.83
Victoria Rosport
1.93
Wiltz
1.97
US Hostert
2.17
UN Kaerjeng 97
2.29
Etzella Ettelbruck
2.37
Fola Esch
2.39
Jeunesse Canach
3.00
Bettembourg
3.00
Fola Esch is 1.45 goals worse than Swift Hesperange in terms of goals conceded per game (2.39 vs 0.93).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Fola EschFola Esch

For 4.5 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.5

🚩 Corners

90534589A·TREH·TRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 4.0 · Total 7.0

🟨 Cards

80244468A·TREH·TRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Fola EschFola Esch

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (22)8.59.08.00.60.70.5---
vs Stronger (9)8.59.08.01.62.01.2---
vs Similar (11)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (2)---0.00.00.0---
% over line0%0%0%9%9%9%---
% under line100%100%100%91%91%91%---
This opponent (Swift Hesperange) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (20)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (12)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (8)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Fola Esch) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
FC Differdange 03
12.5
F91 Dudelange
9.6
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
8.5
Fola Esch
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
FC Differdange 03
9.0
Fola Esch
7.0
F91 Dudelange
5.4
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
F91 Dudelange
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Fola EschFola Esch

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D12L02L01L03L11D20W10W11D02LA·WIL06/11H·AS 13/11A·PRO27/11H·US 04/12A·RAC11/12H·UNI12/02A·ETZ19/02H·MON26/02H·FC 04/03A·US 12/03
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.591.230.730.730.451.73
vs Stronger (9)0.441.670.501.000.402.20
vs Similar (11)0.641.091.000.670.201.60
vs Weaker (2)1.000.000.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %32% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Swift Hesperange) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W12L00D22D10W31W10W30W12L11DA·F9106/11H·UN 13/11A·VIC27/11H·WIL04/12H·AS 10/12H·US 12/02A·RAC19/02H·UNA26/02A·UNI05/03H·ETZ12/03
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.450.601.640.911.220.22
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.420.501.500.671.330.33
vs Weaker (8)1.500.751.801.201.000.00
Clean sheet %65% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Fola Esch) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fola Esch over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fola Esch over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fola Esch over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swift Hesperange over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swift Hesperange over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swift Hesperange over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Fola EschFola Esch

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L01L21W00D21W01L20W10W21W03LA·WIL06/11H·AS 13/11A·PRO27/11H·US 04/12A·RAC11/12H·UNI12/02A·ETZ19/02H·MON26/02H·FC 04/03A·US 12/03
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.320.450.551.002.09
vs Stronger (9)0.781.560.500.751.002.20
vs Similar (11)0.641.360.500.500.802.40
vs Weaker (2)1.000.000.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %32% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Swift Hesperange) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W30W00D20W10W20W21W00D00D11DA·F9106/11H·UN 13/11A·VIC27/11H·WIL04/12H·AS 10/12H·US 12/02A·RAC19/02H·UNA26/02A·UNI05/03H·ETZ12/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.800.402.090.451.440.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.420.501.500.501.330.50
vs Weaker (8)2.380.252.800.401.670.00
Clean sheet %65% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Fola Esch) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fola Esch over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fola Esch over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fola Esch over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swift Hesperange over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swift Hesperange over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swift Hesperange over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.8%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (19)
€3m
UK9 (18)
€2m
UM (22)
€2m
FD0 (16)
€2m
PN (19)
€2m
VR (15)
€2m
RFU (15)
€1m
AJE (17)
€1m
FD (16)
€1m
UH (16)
€1m
SH (12)
€1m
EE (6)
€0m
WIL (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UK9 (5)
€1m
FD0 (6)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
PN (8)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
UM (5)
€0m
UH (6)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
FD (6)
€0m
SH (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (5)
€1m
UM (6)
€1m
UK9 (5)
€0m
FD (4)
€0m
RFU (3)
€0m
VR (4)
€0m
UH (3)
€0m
FD0 (3)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
SH (3)
€0m
EE (2)
€0m
PN (0)
€0m
WIL (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (9)
€1m
PN (11)
€1m
UM (11)
€1m
FD0 (7)
€1m
AJE (9)
€1m
UK9 (8)
€1m
VR (6)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
FD (6)
€0m
UH (7)
€0m
SH (7)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
FE wins
0
Draws
1
SH wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Fola Esch vs Swift Hesperange · H/A from FE
DateH/AGameScore
18/09/22ASwift Hesperange Vs FE8-1

Fola EschFola Esch

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/03/23AUS Mondorf-les-bains Vs FE5-0
04/03/23HFE Vs FC Differdange 033-2
26/02/23HFE Vs Mondercange2-0
19/02/23AEtzella Ettelbruck Vs FE0-4
12/02/23HFE Vs Union Titus Petange1-2
11/12/22ARacing FC Union Luxembourg Vs FE4-2
04/12/22HFE Vs US Hostert0-1
27/11/22AProgres Niederkorn Vs FE3-2
13/11/22HFE Vs AS Jeunesse Esch1-3
06/11/22AWiltz Vs FE5-1

Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/03/23HSH Vs Etzella Ettelbruck2-2
05/03/23AUnion Titus Petange Vs SH2-1
26/02/23HSH Vs UNA Strassen3-0
19/02/23ARacing FC Union Luxembourg Vs SH1-3
12/02/23HSH Vs US Hostert5-1
10/12/22HSH Vs AS Jeunesse Esch2-0
04/12/22HSH Vs Wiltz4-2
27/11/22AVictoria Rosport Vs SH0-0
13/11/22HSH Vs UN Kaerjeng 974-2
06/11/22AF91 Dudelange Vs SH0-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Fola Esch
Fola Esch
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWL0.86
HomeLLLWW1.18
AwayLLLWL0.55
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%36%18%
AVG goals3.862.455.27
Over 1.5 %82%64%100%
Over 2.5 %73%45%100%
Over 3.5 %59%27%91%
Scored1.321.181.45
Conceded2.551.273.82
BTTS55%45%64%
Clean Sheet14%18%9%
Corners8.509.008.00
Cards7.008.006.00
Swift Hesperange
Swift Hesperange
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLD2.55
HomeWWWWD2.64
AwayWWDWL2.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %80%82%78%
AVG goals4.255.093.22
Over 1.5 %95%100%89%
Over 2.5 %85%82%89%
Over 3.5 %65%73%56%
Scored3.253.732.67
Conceded1.001.360.56
BTTS60%73%44%
Clean Sheet40%27%56%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange3077
80%
2.6
10028+72
4.3
93%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0003.30.9
-
2Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn3070
73%
2.3
6731+36
3.3
73%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.21.0
-
3F91 DudelangeF91 Dudelange3067
73%
2.2
8638+48
4.1
93%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.91.3
-
4Union Titus PetangeUnion Titus Petange3059
60%
2.0
6238+24
3.3
87%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.3
-
5FC Differdange 03FC Differdange 033045
47%
1.5
6043+17
3.4
80%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.01.4
-
6US Mondorf-les-bainsUS Mondorf-les-bains3045
47%
1.5
5252+0
3.5
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.71.7
-
7AS Jeunesse EschAS Jeunesse Esch3043
40%
1.4
4439+5
2.8
80%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.51.3
-
8Racing FC Union LuxembourgRacing FC Union Luxembourg3043
37%
1.4
4339+4
2.7
70%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.41.3
-
9UNA StrassenUNA Strassen3039
40%
1.3
3346-13
2.6
70%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.5
-
10WiltzWiltz3036
33%
1.2
4859-11
3.6
90%
77%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.0
-
11Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport3032
27%
1.1
4858-10
3.5
87%
70%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.9
-
12MondercangeMondercange3029
23%
1.0
4155-14
3.2
83%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
13UN Kaerjeng 97UN Kaerjeng 973128
19%
0.9
3371-38
3.4
84%
58%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.12.3
-
14Fola EschFola Esch3127
26%
0.9
3974-35
3.6
81%
71%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.4
-
15Etzella EttelbruckEtzella Ettelbruck3023
20%
0.8
3271-39
3.4
90%
77%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.4
-
16US HostertUS Hostert3018
13%
0.6
2065-45
2.8
67%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.72.2
-
17Jeunesse CanachJeunesse Canach11
0%
1.0
33+0
6.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.03.0
-
18BettembourgBettembourg10
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.03.0
-
Luxembourg: National Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Luxembourg: National Division stats & trends →

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