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Fola Esch vs Union Titus Petange Result & Analysis

Date: 12/02/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 1-2
Fola Esch
Fola Esch
Vs
29%
27%
44%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Union Titus Petange
Union Titus Petange
Luxembourg: National Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fola Esch win✗ Miss
28.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Union Titus Petange win✓ Hit
44.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Fola EschFola Esch

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-801L18L02L23L41W15L13L23L01L24LH·US 11/09A·SWI18/09H·F9109/10A·UN 16/10H·VIC23/10A·WIL06/11H·AS 13/11A·PRO27/11H·US 04/12A·RAC11/12
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
3.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.122.760.881.251.334.11
vs Stronger (7)1.003.570.001.501.404.40
vs Similar (9)1.332.441.401.401.253.75
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %6% (-20pp vs league)
This opponent (Union Titus Petange) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Union Titus PetangeUnion Titus Petange

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L10W51W20W00D32W41W20W01L52WH·F9111/09A·UN 18/09H·VIC09/10A·WIL16/10H·AS 23/10A·PRO06/11H·US 13/11A·RAC27/11H·UNA04/12H·MON10/12
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.201.272.621.381.711.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.751.251.251.002.251.50
vs Weaker (7)2.711.294.001.751.000.67
Clean sheet %27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Fola Esch) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.1%
Under 1.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.2%
Under 2.5
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.9%
Under 3.5
69.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.3%
No
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
1-2 ✓
9.2%
0-1
8.4%
0-2
7.5%
0-0
7.2%
2-1
7.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
5.7%
Fola Esch goals ↓
Union Titus Petange goals →
01234
07.2%8.4%7.5%4.0%1.6%
16.3%13%9.2%4.9%1.9%
24.6%7.2%5.7%3.0%1.2%
31.9%2.9%2.3%1.2%0.5%
40.6%0.9%0.7%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fola Esch goals (down), columns = Union Titus Petange goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Swift Hesperange
2.57
Progres Niederkorn
2.33
F91 Dudelange
2.23
Union Titus Petange
1.97
FC Differdange 03
1.50
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.50
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.43
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.43
UNA Strassen
1.30
Wiltz
1.20
Victoria Rosport
1.07
Jeunesse Canach
1.00
Mondercange
0.97
UN Kaerjeng 97
0.90
Fola Esch
0.87
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.77
US Hostert
0.60
Bettembourg
0.00
Fola Esch is 1.10 points worse than Union Titus Petange in terms of average points per game (0.87 vs 1.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Swift Hesperange
3.33
Jeunesse Canach
3.00
F91 Dudelange
2.87
Progres Niederkorn
2.23
Union Titus Petange
2.07
FC Differdange 03
2.00
Bettembourg
2.00
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.73
Victoria Rosport
1.60
Wiltz
1.60
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.47
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.43
Mondercange
1.37
Fola Esch
1.26
UNA Strassen
1.10
Etzella Ettelbruck
1.07
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.06
US Hostert
0.67
Fola Esch is 0.81 goals worse than Union Titus Petange in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 2.07).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Swift Hesperange
0.93
Progres Niederkorn
1.03
F91 Dudelange
1.27
Union Titus Petange
1.27
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.30
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.30
FC Differdange 03
1.43
UNA Strassen
1.53
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.73
Mondercange
1.83
Victoria Rosport
1.93
Wiltz
1.97
US Hostert
2.17
UN Kaerjeng 97
2.29
Etzella Ettelbruck
2.37
Fola Esch
2.39
Jeunesse Canach
3.00
Bettembourg
3.00
Fola Esch is 1.12 goals worse than Union Titus Petange in terms of goals conceded per game (2.39 vs 1.27).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Fola EschFola Esch

For 4.5 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.5

🚩 Corners

90534589A·TREH·TRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 4.0 · Total 7.0

🟨 Cards

80244468A·TREH·TRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Union Titus PetangeUnion Titus Petange

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Fola EschFola Esch

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (17)8.59.08.00.81.00.7---
vs Stronger (7)8.59.08.02.04.01.2---
vs Similar (9)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (1)---0.00.0----
% over line0%0%0%12%12%11%---
% under line100%100%100%88%88%89%---
This opponent (Union Titus Petange) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Union Titus PetangeUnion Titus Petange

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (15)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (8)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (7)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Fola Esch) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
FC Differdange 03
12.5
F91 Dudelange
9.6
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
8.5
Fola Esch
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
FC Differdange 03
9.0
Fola Esch
7.0
F91 Dudelange
5.4
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
F91 Dudelange
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Fola EschFola Esch

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L02L02L30W11D12L02L01L03LH·US 11/09A·SWI18/09H·F9109/10A·UN 16/10H·VIC23/10A·WIL06/11H·AS 13/11A·PRO27/11H·US 04/12A·RAC11/12
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.350.620.750.331.89
vs Stronger (7)0.291.860.001.000.402.20
vs Similar (9)0.671.111.000.800.251.50
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %29% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Union Titus Petange) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Union Titus PetangeUnion Titus Petange

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L00D30W10W00D21W30W10W00D42WH·F9111/09A·UN 18/09H·VIC09/10A·WIL16/10H·AS 23/10A·PRO06/11H·US 13/11A·RAC27/11H·UNA04/12H·MON10/12
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.400.531.750.621.000.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.000.620.500.501.500.75
vs Weaker (7)1.860.433.000.750.330.00
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Fola Esch) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fola Esch over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fola Esch over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fola Esch over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Titus Petange over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Titus Petange over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Titus Petange over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Fola EschFola Esch

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L16L00D21W11D04L01L21W00D21WH·US 11/09A·SWI18/09H·F9109/10A·UN 16/10H·VIC23/10A·WIL06/11H·AS 13/11A·PRO27/11H·US 04/12A·RAC11/12
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.651.410.250.501.002.22
vs Stronger (7)0.711.710.000.501.002.20
vs Similar (9)0.671.330.400.601.002.25
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %29% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Union Titus Petange) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Union Titus PetangeUnion Titus Petange

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W21W10W00D11D11D10W01L10WH·F9111/09A·UN 18/09H·VIC09/10A·WIL16/10H·AS 23/10A·PRO06/11H·US 13/11A·RAC27/11H·UNA04/12H·MON10/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.730.880.750.710.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.750.620.750.500.750.75
vs Weaker (7)0.860.861.001.000.670.67
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Fola Esch) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fola Esch over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fola Esch over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fola Esch over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Titus Petange over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Titus Petange over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Titus Petange over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (19)
€3m
UK9 (18)
€2m
UM (22)
€2m
FD0 (16)
€2m
PN (19)
€2m
VR (15)
€2m
RFU (15)
€1m
AJE (17)
€1m
FD (16)
€1m
UH (16)
€1m
SH (12)
€1m
EE (6)
€0m
WIL (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UK9 (5)
€1m
FD0 (6)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
PN (8)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
UM (5)
€0m
UH (6)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
FD (6)
€0m
SH (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (5)
€1m
UM (6)
€1m
UK9 (5)
€0m
FD (4)
€0m
RFU (3)
€0m
VR (4)
€0m
UH (3)
€0m
FD0 (3)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
SH (3)
€0m
EE (2)
€0m
PN (0)
€0m
WIL (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (9)
€1m
PN (11)
€1m
UM (11)
€1m
FD0 (7)
€1m
AJE (9)
€1m
UK9 (8)
€1m
VR (6)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
FD (6)
€0m
UH (7)
€0m
SH (7)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
FE wins
0
Draws
0
UTP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Fola Esch vs Union Titus Petange · H/A from FE
DateH/AGameScore
13/08/22AUnion Titus Petange Vs FE2-3

Fola EschFola Esch

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/12/22ARacing FC Union Luxembourg Vs FE4-2
04/12/22HFE Vs US Hostert0-1
27/11/22AProgres Niederkorn Vs FE3-2
13/11/22HFE Vs AS Jeunesse Esch1-3
06/11/22AWiltz Vs FE5-1
23/10/22HFE Vs Victoria Rosport4-1
16/10/22AUN Kaerjeng 97 Vs FE3-2
09/10/22HFE Vs F91 Dudelange0-2
18/09/22ASwift Hesperange Vs FE8-1
11/09/22HFE Vs US Mondorf-les-bains0-1

Union Titus PetangeUnion Titus Petange

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/12/22HUTP Vs Mondercange5-2
04/12/22HUTP Vs UNA Strassen0-1
27/11/22ARacing FC Union Luxembourg Vs UTP0-2
13/11/22HUTP Vs US Hostert4-1
06/11/22AProgres Niederkorn Vs UTP2-3
23/10/22HUTP Vs AS Jeunesse Esch0-0
16/10/22AWiltz Vs UTP0-2
09/10/22HUTP Vs Victoria Rosport5-1
18/09/22AUN Kaerjeng 97 Vs UTP0-1
11/09/22HUTP Vs F91 Dudelange1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Fola Esch
Fola Esch
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 0 Draws / 9 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.59
HomeLLWLL0.88
AwayLLLLL0.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%25%11%
AVG goals3.882.125.44
Over 1.5 %76%50%100%
Over 2.5 %71%38%100%
Over 3.5 %59%25%89%
Scored1.120.881.33
Conceded2.761.254.11
BTTS59%38%78%
Clean Sheet6%12%0%
Corners8.509.008.00
Cards7.008.006.00
Union Titus Petange
Union Titus Petange
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLW1.80
HomeWDWLW1.62
AwayDWWWW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %53%50%57%
AVG goals3.474.002.86
Over 1.5 %80%75%86%
Over 2.5 %53%75%29%
Over 3.5 %47%62%29%
Scored2.202.621.71
Conceded1.271.381.14
BTTS60%75%43%
Clean Sheet27%12%43%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange3077
80%
2.6
10028+72
4.3
93%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0003.30.9
-
2Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn3070
73%
2.3
6731+36
3.3
73%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.21.0
-
3F91 DudelangeF91 Dudelange3067
73%
2.2
8638+48
4.1
93%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.91.3
-
4Union Titus PetangeUnion Titus Petange3059
60%
2.0
6238+24
3.3
87%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.3
-
5FC Differdange 03FC Differdange 033045
47%
1.5
6043+17
3.4
80%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.01.4
-
6US Mondorf-les-bainsUS Mondorf-les-bains3045
47%
1.5
5252+0
3.5
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.71.7
-
7AS Jeunesse EschAS Jeunesse Esch3043
40%
1.4
4439+5
2.8
80%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.51.3
-
8Racing FC Union LuxembourgRacing FC Union Luxembourg3043
37%
1.4
4339+4
2.7
70%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.41.3
-
9UNA StrassenUNA Strassen3039
40%
1.3
3346-13
2.6
70%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.5
-
10WiltzWiltz3036
33%
1.2
4859-11
3.6
90%
77%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.0
-
11Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport3032
27%
1.1
4858-10
3.5
87%
70%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.9
-
12MondercangeMondercange3029
23%
1.0
4155-14
3.2
83%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
13UN Kaerjeng 97UN Kaerjeng 973128
19%
0.9
3371-38
3.4
84%
58%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.12.3
-
14Fola EschFola Esch3127
26%
0.9
3974-35
3.6
81%
71%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.4
-
15Etzella EttelbruckEtzella Ettelbruck3023
20%
0.8
3271-39
3.4
90%
77%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.4
-
16US HostertUS Hostert3018
13%
0.6
2065-45
2.8
67%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.72.2
-
17Jeunesse CanachJeunesse Canach11
0%
1.0
33+0
6.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.03.0
-
18BettembourgBettembourg10
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.03.0
-
Luxembourg: National Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Luxembourg: National Division stats & trends →

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