This opponent (Union Titus Petange) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Union Titus Petange
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.37
1.79
1.43
1.38
1.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
1.21
1.74
1.29
1.86
1.17
1.67
vs Weaker (11)
2.18
0.73
2.29
1.00
2.00
0.25
Clean sheet %
33% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Fola Esch) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
63.4%
Under 1.5
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
35.2%
Under 2.5
64.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
16.2%
Under 3.5
83.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
39.9%
No
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
15.6%
1-1
13.4%
0-0
13.4%
0-2
11.6%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
7.6%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
4.4%
Fola Esch goals ↓
Union Titus Petange goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
16%
12%
5.3%
1.8%
1
7.6%
13%
8.4%
3.9%
1.3%
2
3.2%
4.4%
3.1%
1.4%
0.5%
3
0.8%
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fola Esch goals (down), columns = Union Titus Petange goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Differdange 03
2.67
F91 Dudelange
2.67
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2.40
Wiltz
2.40
Bastendorf
2.25
Progres Niederkorn
2.25
The Belval Belvaux
2.25
Yellow Boys Weiler
2.25
UNA Strassen
2.25
Union Titus Petange
2.25
Sporting Bertrange
2.00
URB
2.00
Union Kayl-Tétange
2.00
AS Luxembourg
2.00
Marisca Mersch
2.00
Victoria Rosport
2.00
Clemency
2.00
AS Jeunesse Esch
2.00
Jeunesse Junglinster
2.00
Minerva Lintgen
2.00
Orania Vianden
2.00
Jeunesse Canach
2.00
US Hostert
2.00
Daring Echternach
1.67
Olympia Christnach
1.50
Mondercange
1.50
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.50
Stengefort
1.50
Bourscheid
1.50
Jeunesse Useldange
1.50
Union Mertert
1.50
Obercorn
1.50
Alliance Aischdall
1.50
Red Black Egalité
1.50
US Rumelange
1.50
Résidence Walferdange
1.50
Red Boys Aspelt
1.50
Lorentzweiler
1.50
Bettembourg
1.50
Rodange 91
1.50
Young Boys
1.50
Ehlerange
1.50
Syra Mensdorf
1.50
Schifflange
1.50
Sporting Mertzig
1.50
Schengen
1.50
Jeunesse Schieren
1.50
Alisontia Steinsel
1.50
Folschette
1.50
Colmarberg
1.50
Swift Hesperange
1.50
Fola Esch
1.50
Moutfort / Medingen
1.50
Blô-Weiss Medernach
1.50
Blo-Wäiss Izeg
1.50
Rupensia Lusitanos
1.50
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.33
Etzella Ettelbruck
1.00
Luna Obercorn
0.00
Feulen
0.00
Racing Troisvierges
0.00
Brouch
0.00
Kehlen
0.00
Excelsior Grevels
0.00
Minière Lasauvage
0.00
Schouweiler
0.00
Berdorf Consdorf
0.00
Munsbach
0.00
Boevange / Attert
0.00
Red Star Merl-Belair
0.00
Atert Bissen
0.00
Grevenmacher
0.00
SC Ell
0.00
Mamer
0.00
Kischpelt Wilwerwiltz
0.00
Claravallis Clervaux
0.00
Sanem
0.00
Biekerech
0.00
Koeppchen
0.00
Noertzange
0.00
Green Boys
0.00
Pratzerthal-Redange
0.00
Les Aiglons Dalheim
0.00
Jeunesse Gilsdorf
0.00
Les Ardoisiers Perlé
0.00
Koerich
0.00
Heiderscheid / Eschdorf
0.00
Sandweiler
0.00
US Esch
0.00
Hosingen
0.00
Norden
0.00
Kopstal 33
0.00
Reisdorf
0.00
Tricolore Gasperich
0.00
Berdenia Berbourg
0.00
Erpeldange
0.00
Avenir Beggen
0.00
Wincrange
0.00
Jeunesse Biwer
0.00
RM Hamm Benfica
0.00
Rambrouch
0.00
Fola Esch is 0.75 points worse than Union Titus Petange in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 2.25).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bastendorf
5.00
Schengen
4.50
FC Differdange 03
4.33
Progres Niederkorn
4.00
Pratzerthal-Redange
4.00
Jeunesse Schieren
4.00
UNA Strassen
4.00
Mondercange
3.50
US Rumelange
3.50
F91 Dudelange
3.50
Union Titus Petange
3.50
US Hostert
3.33
Brouch
3.00
Schouweiler
3.00
The Belval Belvaux
3.00
Alliance Aischdall
3.00
Red Black Egalité
3.00
Kischpelt Wilwerwiltz
3.00
Koerich
3.00
Ehlerange
3.00
Wiltz
3.00
Sporting Mertzig
3.00
Hosingen
3.00
Berdenia Berbourg
3.00
Wincrange
3.00
Rupensia Lusitanos
3.00
Yellow Boys Weiler
2.75
AS Jeunesse Esch
2.67
Orania Vianden
2.67
Bourscheid
2.50
Young Boys
2.50
Moutfort / Medingen
2.50
Blo-Wäiss Izeg
2.50
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2.40
Sporting Bertrange
2.33
URB
2.33
Union Kayl-Tétange
2.33
Clemency
2.33
Daring Echternach
2.33
Jeunesse Junglinster
2.33
US Mondorf-les-bains
2.00
Luna Obercorn
2.00
Jeunesse Useldange
2.00
Marisca Mersch
2.00
Racing Troisvierges
2.00
Union Mertert
2.00
Lorentzweiler
2.00
Koeppchen
2.00
Bettembourg
2.00
Les Ardoisiers Perlé
2.00
Syra Mensdorf
2.00
Colmarberg
2.00
Tricolore Gasperich
2.00
Fola Esch
2.00
Jeunesse Biwer
2.00
RM Hamm Benfica
2.00
Etzella Ettelbruck
2.00
Victoria Rosport
1.67
Jeunesse Canach
1.67
Olympia Christnach
1.50
Rodange 91
1.50
Schifflange
1.50
Alisontia Steinsel
1.50
Swift Hesperange
1.50
AS Luxembourg
1.33
Minerva Lintgen
1.20
Feulen
1.00
Kehlen
1.00
Excelsior Grevels
1.00
Berdorf Consdorf
1.00
Munsbach
1.00
Boevange / Attert
1.00
Grevenmacher
1.00
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.00
SC Ell
1.00
Mamer
1.00
Résidence Walferdange
1.00
Sanem
1.00
Biekerech
1.00
Red Boys Aspelt
1.00
Noertzange
1.00
Green Boys
1.00
Les Aiglons Dalheim
1.00
US Esch
1.00
Folschette
1.00
Kopstal 33
1.00
Erpeldange
1.00
Blô-Weiss Medernach
1.00
Rambrouch
1.00
Stengefort
0.50
Obercorn
0.50
Minière Lasauvage
0.00
Red Star Merl-Belair
0.00
Atert Bissen
0.00
Claravallis Clervaux
0.00
Jeunesse Gilsdorf
0.00
Heiderscheid / Eschdorf
0.00
Sandweiler
0.00
Norden
0.00
Reisdorf
0.00
Avenir Beggen
0.00
Fola Esch is 1.50 goals worse than Union Titus Petange in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 3.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Differdange 03
0.33
US Mondorf-les-bains
0.50
Obercorn
0.50
Schifflange
0.50
The Belval Belvaux
0.75
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
0.80
AS Luxembourg
1.00
Marisca Mersch
1.00
Victoria Rosport
1.00
Minière Lasauvage
1.00
Atert Bissen
1.00
Progres Niederkorn
1.00
Résidence Walferdange
1.00
Norden
1.00
Jeunesse Canach
1.00
Reisdorf
1.00
Swift Hesperange
1.00
UNA Strassen
1.25
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.33
Daring Echternach
1.33
Minerva Lintgen
1.40
Wiltz
1.40
Stengefort
1.50
US Rumelange
1.50
Bettembourg
1.50
Rodange 91
1.50
Jeunesse Schieren
1.50
Alisontia Steinsel
1.50
US Hostert
1.67
Union Titus Petange
1.75
F91 Dudelange
1.83
URB
2.00
Bastendorf
2.00
Jeunesse Useldange
2.00
Feulen
2.00
Union Mertert
2.00
Munsbach
2.00
Boevange / Attert
2.00
Red Star Merl-Belair
2.00
Grevenmacher
2.00
UN Kaerjeng 97
2.00
Claravallis Clervaux
2.00
Sanem
2.00
Lorentzweiler
2.00
Jeunesse Junglinster
2.00
Orania Vianden
2.00
Kopstal 33
2.00
Fola Esch
2.00
Avenir Beggen
2.00
Moutfort / Medingen
2.00
Etzella Ettelbruck
2.00
Rambrouch
2.00
Yellow Boys Weiler
2.25
Clemency
2.33
Red Black Egalité
2.50
Young Boys
2.50
Syra Mensdorf
2.50
Sporting Mertzig
2.50
Blô-Weiss Medernach
2.50
Olympia Christnach
3.00
Berdorf Consdorf
3.00
Alliance Aischdall
3.00
Mamer
3.00
Koeppchen
3.00
Green Boys
3.00
Les Aiglons Dalheim
3.00
Heiderscheid / Eschdorf
3.00
Ehlerange
3.00
Schengen
3.00
Erpeldange
3.00
Jeunesse Biwer
3.00
RM Hamm Benfica
3.00
Sporting Bertrange
3.33
Mondercange
3.50
Folschette
3.50
Blo-Wäiss Izeg
3.50
Union Kayl-Tétange
4.00
Racing Troisvierges
4.00
SC Ell
4.00
Red Boys Aspelt
4.00
Noertzange
4.00
Jeunesse Gilsdorf
4.00
Les Ardoisiers Perlé
4.00
Koerich
4.00
US Esch
4.00
Tricolore Gasperich
4.00
Berdenia Berbourg
4.00
Wincrange
4.00
Bourscheid
4.50
Rupensia Lusitanos
4.50
Luna Obercorn
5.00
Brouch
5.00
Kehlen
5.00
Schouweiler
5.00
Kischpelt Wilwerwiltz
5.00
Pratzerthal-Redange
5.00
Sandweiler
5.00
Hosingen
5.00
Excelsior Grevels
8.00
Colmarberg
8.00
Biekerech
13.00
Fola Esch is 0.25 goals worse than Union Titus Petange in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.75).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Fola Esch or Draw✗ Miss
48.7%
Avg Implied -
18%
30%
51%
covers Fola Esch + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Fola Esch or Union Titus Petange✓ Hit
69.8%
Avg Implied -
18%
30%
51%
covers Fola Esch + Union Titus Petange
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Union Titus Petange✓ Hit
81.5%
Avg Implied -
18%
30%
51%
covers Draw + Union Titus Petange
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Fola Esch over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
51.6%
Under
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fola Esch over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
16.5%
Under
83.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fola Esch over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fola Esch over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.7%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Titus Petange over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.8%
Under
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Titus Petange over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
40.1%
Under
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Titus Petange over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
16.2%
Under
83.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Titus Petange over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.1%
Under
94.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Fola Esch, so a minus line means Fola Esch give that many goals of a start and Union Titus Petange receive them. At -1, Fola Esch must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Fola Esch win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Fola Esch)Actual: Union Titus Petange
Fola Esch -2
1.2%
Draw -2
4.4%
Union Titus Petange +2
94.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Fola Esch)Actual: Union Titus Petange
Fola Esch -1
5.6%
Draw -1
12.9%
Union Titus Petange +1
81.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Fola Esch)Actual: Union Titus Petange
Fola Esch +1
48.7%
Draw +1
25.5%
Union Titus Petange -1
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Fola Esch)Actual: Draw
Fola Esch +2
74.2%
Draw +2
16.0%
Union Titus Petange -2
9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Fola Esch
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
1.03
0.33
0.80
0.27
1.27
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
1.40
0.40
1.20
0.20
1.60
vs Similar (19)
0.26
0.89
0.22
0.67
0.30
1.10
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Union Titus Petange) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Union Titus Petange
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.50
0.64
0.50
0.38
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.32
0.63
0.57
0.57
0.17
0.67
vs Weaker (11)
0.82
0.27
0.71
0.43
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Fola Esch) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fola Esch over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fola Esch over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fola Esch over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Titus Petange over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Titus Petange over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Titus Petange over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Fola Esch
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.20
0.47
0.87
0.80
1.53
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
1.50
0.00
0.40
0.60
2.60
vs Similar (19)
0.79
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.90
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Union Titus Petange) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Union Titus Petange
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.87
1.14
0.93
1.00
0.81
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.89
1.11
0.71
1.29
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (11)
1.36
0.45
1.57
0.57
1.00
0.25
Clean sheet %
50% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Fola Esch) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fola Esch over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fola Esch over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fola Esch over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Titus Petange over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Titus Petange over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Titus Petange over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 goals
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
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Luxembourg: National Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Luxembourg: National Division stats & trends →