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Folgore vs Murata Result & Analysis

Date: 28/08/2026
Time: 19:15
Final 5-0
Folgore
Folgore
Vs
70%
18%
12%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Murata
Murata
San-Marino: Campionato
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Folgore’s recent form, a 1-3 loss to Domagnano after a shaky start, still leaves them as the clear favourite, with a 70% chance of victory. The model’s high rating stems from their strong home performance against weaker opponents, averaging 3.75 goals scored and only 0.75 conceded, while Murata, playing away against a stronger side, averages just one goal scored and 2.5 conceded. The predicted outcome is a home win, with an expected total of 3.5 goals and a 22% chance of exactly three goals. The single most likely scoreline is 2-0, carrying a 9.9% probability. Home win probability is 70%, draw 18%, away win 12%. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.2%), Over 19.5 fouls (99.1%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.4%), Under 7.5 (97.5%), Over 21.5 fouls (97.4%), Home +2 handicap (96.0%), and Away under 1.5 HT goals (94.6%).

Results analysis

The win extends Folgore’s strong run, finishing the match 5-0 to confirm the model’s prediction of a home victory. The pre-match favourite, Home win, carried a 70% probability and proved correct. The model’s selections all materialised: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.2%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.7%, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.4%, Under 7.5 at 97.5%, Home +2 handicap at 96.0%, and Away under 1.5 HT goals at 94.7%. Folgore’s dominant form, with an average of 3.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded at home, contrasted sharply with Murata’s weaker away showing, which saw them concede 2.5 goals on average. The match’s outcome matched the model’s expectations across the board.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Folgore win✓ Hit
70.4%
Avg Implied 85.2% · @ 1.07
Edge
-14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.09
Dafabet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Draw✗ Miss
18.1%
Avg Implied 10.7% · @ 8.52
Edge
+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
9.56
Bet365
9.50
1xBet
8.90
Marathonbet
8.90
Superbet
8.60
Murata win✗ Miss
11.5%
Avg Implied 4.1% · @ 22.15
Edge
+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
29.00
Marathonbet
26.00
1xBet
26.00
Dafabet
23.00
Superbet
21.00

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FolgoreFolgore

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-742W11D22D11D00D22D30W73W10W13LA·LIB01/03H·LA 08/03H·SAN15/03A·TRE22/03H·COS08/04A·JUV12/04H·SAN19/04A·DOM25/04A·DOM02/05H·DOM05/05
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.101.172.071.292.121.06
vs Stronger (6)1.171.671.331.671.001.67
vs Similar (14)1.861.291.431.432.291.14
vs Weaker (10)3.000.703.750.752.500.67
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Murata) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MurataMurata

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-514L05L03L12L04L02L03L14L14L25LH·SAN14/02A·DOM22/02H·COS01/03A·SAN07/03H·TRE15/03A·PEN21/03H·TRE08/04A·VIR12/04H·FIO18/04A·JUV26/04
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
3.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.702.730.332.871.072.60
vs Stronger (13)0.462.620.002.711.002.50
vs Similar (17)0.882.820.623.001.112.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %3% (-25pp vs league)
This opponent (Folgore) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.7%
@ 1.07-0.1%
Under 1.5
13.3%
@ 7.00+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.07
Under
1xBet
7.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.0%
@ 1.27-4.5%
Under 2.5
33.0%
@ 3.21+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Under
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.15
1xBet
3.14
Marathonbet
3.14
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
45.3%
@ 1.70-8.5%
Under 3.5
54.7%
@ 1.98+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.73
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.69
Pinnacle
1.67
Under
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.02
Pinnacle
2.02
Superbet
1.97
Betano
1.88
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.1%
@ 2.52+20.5%
No
42.9%
@ 1.45-20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
1xBet
2.63
Marathonbet
2.63
William Hil
2.40
Superbet
2.40
No
Superbet
1.51
William Hil
1.50
1xBet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.39

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
9.9%@ 6.53+3.4%
2-1
9.4%@ 11.72+5.8%
1-1
8.3%@ 15.75+5.6%
3-0
8.3%@ 6.04+1.3%
3-1
7.9%@ 12.03+4.3%
1-0
7.2%@ 9.93+2.9%
4-0
5.2%@ 6.72-1.1%
4-1
4.9%@ 13.50+1.8%
Folgore goals ↓
Murata goals →
01234
03.9%2.3%1.4%0.5%0.1%
17.2%8.3%3.6%1.1%0.3%
29.9%9.4%4.5%1.4%0.3%
38.3%7.9%3.7%1.2%0.3%
45.2%4.9%2.3%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Folgore goals (down), columns = Murata goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Tre Fiori
2.43
Virtus
2.34
Tre Penne
2.17
La Fiorita
1.97
Folgore
1.88
Domagnano
1.57
Fiorentino
1.53
Cosmos
1.42
Juvenes / Dogana
1.18
Libertas
1.16
San Giovanni
1.03
Pennarossa
1.03
Faetano
0.73
San Marino Academy
0.53
Cailungo
0.37
Murata
0.23
Folgore is 1.64 points better than Murata in terms of average points per game (1.88 vs 0.23).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Virtus
2.37
Folgore
2.16
Tre Penne
2.14
Tre Fiori
2.10
La Fiorita
2.00
Domagnano
1.89
Fiorentino
1.25
Juvenes / Dogana
1.12
Libertas
1.06
Cosmos
1.00
Pennarossa
0.94
San Giovanni
0.80
San Marino Academy
0.77
Cailungo
0.77
Faetano
0.73
Murata
0.67
Folgore is 1.49 goals better than Murata in terms of goals scored per game (2.16 vs 0.67).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tre Fiori
0.43
Tre Penne
0.60
Virtus
0.69
Cosmos
0.70
La Fiorita
0.89
Folgore
1.12
Juvenes / Dogana
1.24
Domagnano
1.26
Fiorentino
1.41
San Giovanni
1.43
Pennarossa
1.81
Faetano
1.83
San Marino Academy
2.00
Libertas
2.06
Cailungo
2.37
Murata
2.77
Folgore is 1.64 goals better than Murata in terms of goals conceded per game (1.12 vs 2.77).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Tre Fiori
64%
Tre Penne
60%
San Giovanni
53%
San Marino Academy
51%
Libertas
49%
Juvenes / Dogana
47%
Fiorentino
40%
Cosmos
36%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

FolgoreFolgore

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

MurataMurata

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

FolgoreFolgore

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)5.05.0-0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (10)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (22)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (18)5.05.0-0.00.00.0---
% over line0%0%-0%0%0%---
% under line100%100%-100%100%100%---
This opponent (Murata) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MurataMurata

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (20)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (30)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Folgore) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Libertas
12.0
San Marino Academy
12.0
Fiorentino
10.0
Cosmos
8.7
Tre Penne
7.8
La Fiorita
7.8
Tre Fiori
7.7
Folgore
5.0
Cailungo
5.0
San Giovanni
4.0
Juvenes / Dogana
4.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Tre Fiori
5.3
San Giovanni
5.0
Juvenes / Dogana
5.0
Cosmos
4.7
La Fiorita
4.5
Fiorentino
4.0
Tre Penne
3.6
Libertas
3.0
San Marino Academy
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Fiorentino
34.0
San Giovanni
32.0
Juvenes / Dogana
32.0
Cosmos
30.0
Tre Penne
28.5
Tre Fiori
28.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
19.9%
Under 9.5
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
61.4%
Under 3.5
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
97.4%
Under 21.5
2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Folgore or Draw✓ Hit
88.5%
Avg Implied 93.1% · @ 1.02
Edge
-4.6%
70%
18%
12%
covers Folgore + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.02
William Hil
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Folgore or Murata✓ Hit
81.9%
Avg Implied 91.3% · @ 1.04
Edge
-9.4%
70%
18%
12%
covers Folgore + Murata
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.06
William Hil
1.06
Superbet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
Draw or Murata✗ Miss
29.6%
Avg Implied 15.6% · @ 6.07
Edge
+14.0%
70%
18%
12%
covers Draw + Murata
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.65
1xBet
6.65
William Hil
6.50
Superbet
5.65

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Folgore over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
91.8%
Under
8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Folgore over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
71.3%
Under
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Folgore over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
45.7%
@ 1.44-17.8%
Under
54.3%
@ 2.50+17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Under
1xBet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.50
Folgore over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
24.3%
@ 2.07-20.4%
Under
75.7%
@ 1.67+20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.30
1xBet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.95
Under
1xBet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.74
Pinnacle
1.52
Murata over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
61.4%
@ 2.49+24.7%
Under
38.6%
@ 1.44-24.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.56
Marathonbet
2.56
Pinnacle
2.34
Under
Pinnacle
1.50
1xBet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
Murata over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
24.6%
@ 9.80+15.3%
Under
75.4%
@ 1.01-15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.80
1xBet
9.80
Under
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Murata over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.1%
@ 11.00-1.3%
Under
92.9%
@ 1.01+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Under
1xBet
1.01
Murata over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.6%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Folgore, so a minus line means Folgore give that many goals of a start and Murata receive them. At -1, Folgore must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Folgore win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Folgore)Actual: Folgore
Folgore -2
28.7%
@ 1.60-26.5%
Draw -2
20.5%
@ 4.55+1.1%
Murata +2
50.8%
@ 3.48+25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.60
Draw
Marathonbet
4.55
Away
Marathonbet
3.48
Handicap -1 (Folgore)Actual: Folgore
Folgore -1
49.2%
Draw -1
21.2%
Murata +1
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Folgore)Actual: Folgore
Folgore +1
88.5%
Draw +1
7.6%
Murata -1
4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Folgore)Actual: Folgore
Folgore +2
96.0%
Draw +2
3.0%
Murata -2
1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FolgoreFolgore

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D21W01L00D02L20W32W00D02LA·LIB01/03H·LA 08/03H·SAN15/03A·TRE22/03H·COS08/04A·JUV12/04H·SAN19/04A·DOM25/04A·DOM02/05H·DOM05/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.631.000.640.750.62
vs Stronger (6)0.500.670.670.330.331.00
vs Similar (14)0.710.860.570.860.860.86
vs Weaker (10)1.300.302.000.500.830.17
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Murata) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MurataMurata

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L02L01L02L03L01L02L03L13L02LH·SAN14/02A·DOM22/02H·COS01/03A·SAN07/03H·TRE15/03A·PEN21/03H·TRE08/04A·VIR12/04H·FIO18/04A·JUV26/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.271.300.201.530.331.07
vs Stronger (13)0.231.150.001.140.501.17
vs Similar (17)0.291.410.381.880.221.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Folgore) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.3%
@ 1.15-1.9%
Under 0.5
21.7%
@ 4.65+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Under
1xBet
4.70
William Hil
4.60
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
46.5%
@ 1.83-3.5%
Under 1.5
53.5%
@ 1.82+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.89
1xBet
1.89
Betano
1.82
Pinnacle
1.78
William Hil
1.75
Under
William Hil
1.91
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.79
Betano
1.72
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
23.6%
@ 3.40-3.3%
Under 2.5
76.4%
@ 1.25+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.40
William Hil
3.40
Under
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.25

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Folgore over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
73.7%
@ 1.20-2.8%
Under
26.3%
@ 3.90+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.20
Under
1xBet
3.90
Folgore over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
34.2%
@ 2.07-10.3%
Under
65.8%
@ 1.66+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.14
1xBet
2.00
Under
1xBet
1.72
Pinnacle
1.60
Folgore over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
11.2%
@ 4.00-11.7%
Under
88.8%
@ 1.19+11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.00
Under
1xBet
1.19
Murata over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
26.4%
@ 4.10+4.0%
Under
73.6%
@ 1.18-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.10
Under
1xBet
1.18
Murata over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.3%
@ 11.00-3.1%
Under
94.7%
@ 1.01+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Under
1xBet
1.01
Murata over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FolgoreFolgore

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W11D01L10W00D20W10W41W10W11DA·LIB01/03H·LA 08/03H·SAN15/03A·TRE22/03H·COS08/04A·JUV12/04H·SAN19/04A·DOM25/04A·DOM02/05H·DOM05/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.531.070.641.380.44
vs Stronger (6)0.671.000.671.330.670.67
vs Similar (14)1.140.430.860.571.430.29
vs Weaker (10)1.700.401.750.251.670.50
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Murata) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MurataMurata

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L03L02L10W01L01L01L11D01L23LH·SAN14/02A·DOM22/02H·COS01/03A·SAN07/03H·TRE15/03A·PEN21/03H·TRE08/04A·VIR12/04H·FIO18/04A·JUV26/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.430.131.330.731.53
vs Stronger (13)0.231.460.001.570.501.33
vs Similar (17)0.591.410.251.120.891.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Folgore) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
86.4%
@ 1.06-0.9%
Under 0.5
13.6%
@ 7.30+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.06
Under
1xBet
7.30
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
58.4%
@ 1.40-6.6%
Under 1.5
41.6%
@ 2.60+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Under
1xBet
2.60
Marathonbet
2.60
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
31.1%
@ 2.20-10.2%
Under 2.5
68.9%
@ 1.55+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.20
1xBet
2.20
Under
Marathonbet
1.55
1xBet
1.55

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Folgore over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
80.2%
@ 1.15+0.4%
Under
19.8%
@ 4.55-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.15
Under
1xBet
4.55
Folgore over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
47.4%
@ 1.74-5.7%
Under
52.6%
@ 1.97+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.74
Under
1xBet
1.97
Folgore over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.2%
@ 3.15-12.9%
Under
83.8%
@ 1.29+12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.15
Under
1xBet
1.29
Murata over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
31.6%
@ 3.40+4.6%
Under
68.4%
@ 1.26-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.40
Under
1xBet
1.26
Murata over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.9%
@ 11.00-2.5%
Under
94.1%
@ 1.01+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Under
1xBet
1.01
Murata over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Away under 2.5 HT goals99.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls99.1%--------
Away under 2.5 2H goals98.7%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals98.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 7.597.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls97.4%--------
Home +2 handicap96.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals94.7%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+3.1%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals94.1%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+2.5%✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls93.9%--------
Under 6.593.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners93.3%--------
Away under 2.5 goals92.9%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+1.3%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals91.8%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals88.8%1.19
1xBet
1.19
----+11.7%✗ Miss
Home or Draw88.5%1.02
Betano
1.02
William Hil
1.02
1xBet
1.01
---4.6%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap88.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners88.0%--------
Over 25.5 fouls87.7%--------
Over 1.586.7%1.07
1xBet
1.07
-----0.1%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals86.4%1.06
1xBet
1.06
-----0.9%✓ Hit
Under 5.586.4%1.17
1xBet
1.17
----+8.2%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals83.8%1.29
1xBet
1.29
----+12.9%✓ Hit
Home or Away81.9%1.04
Betano
1.06
William Hil
1.06
Superbet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
-9.4%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 2H goals80.2%1.15
1xBet
1.15
----+0.4%✓ Hit
Under 9.5 corners80.1%--------
Over 2.5 cards79.6%--------
Over 0.5 HT goals78.3%1.15
William Hil
1.15
1xBet
1.15
----1.9%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals76.4%1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.25
---+3.3%✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 goals75.4%1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
----15.3%✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards74.5%--------
Home over 0.5 HT goals73.7%1.20
1xBet
1.20
-----2.8%✓ Hit
Away under 0.5 HT goals73.6%1.18
1xBet
1.18
-----4.0%✓ Hit
Under 4.573.4%1.43
Marathonbet
1.45
1xBet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.42
Superbet
1.41
-+10.1%✗ Miss
Home over 1.5 goals71.3%-------✓ Hit
Home win70.4%1.07
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.09
Dafabet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.06
-14.8%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (20)
€1m
LF (19)
€1m
FOL (19)
€1m
VIR (15)
€1m
DOM (19)
€1m
TP (14)
€1m
J/D (20)
€1m
COS (12)
€0m
CAI (18)
€0m
PEN (11)
€0m
SG (11)
€0m
FIO (9)
€0m
SMA (13)
€0m
LIB (9)
€0m
FAE (10)
€0m
MUR (7)
€0m
Folgore and Murata have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (5)
€1m
LF (5)
€0m
FOL (5)
€0m
VIR (5)
€0m
J/D (7)
€0m
DOM (6)
€0m
PEN (4)
€0m
SG (3)
€0m
TP (5)
€0m
CAI (5)
€0m
COS (2)
€0m
FIO (2)
€0m
SMA (5)
€0m
FAE (2)
€0m
MUR (1)
€0m
LIB (0)
€0m
Folgore and Murata have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LF (7)
€0m
TP (6)
€0m
TF (6)
€0m
VIR (4)
€0m
FOL (5)
€0m
DOM (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
SG (4)
€0m
J/D (5)
€0m
FIO (3)
€0m
LIB (4)
€0m
SMA (4)
€0m
COS (4)
€0m
CAI (4)
€0m
MUR (6)
€0m
FAE (2)
€0m
Folgore and Murata have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (9)
€1m
FOL (9)
€0m
LF (7)
€0m
DOM (8)
€0m
J/D (8)
€0m
VIR (6)
€0m
COS (6)
€0m
CAI (9)
€0m
FAE (6)
€0m
LIB (5)
€0m
FIO (4)
€0m
TP (3)
€0m
SMA (4)
€0m
PEN (4)
€0m
SG (4)
€0m
MUR (0)
€0m
Folgore and Murata have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
FOL wins
1
Draws
2
MUR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Folgore vs Murata · H/A from FOL
DateH/AGameScore
31/01/26HFOL Vs Murata3-2
28/09/25AMurata Vs FOL0-2
08/03/25AMurata Vs FOL0-1
08/11/24HFOL Vs Murata1-0
23/10/24AMurata Vs FOL0-0
24/09/24HFOL Vs Murata1-0
03/03/24AMurata Vs FOL1-0
11/11/23HFOL Vs Murata0-2

FolgoreFolgore

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/05/26HFOL Vs Domagnano1-3
02/05/26ADomagnano Vs FOL0-1
25/04/26ADomagnano Vs FOL3-7
19/04/26HFOL Vs San Marino Academy3-0
12/04/26AJuvenes / Dogana Vs FOL2-2
08/04/26HFOL Vs Cosmos0-0
22/03/26ATre Penne Vs FOL1-1
15/03/26HFOL Vs San Giovanni2-2
08/03/26HFOL Vs La Fiorita1-1
01/03/26ALibertas Vs FOL2-4

MurataMurata

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/26AJuvenes / Dogana Vs MUR5-2
18/04/26HMUR Vs Fiorentino1-4
12/04/26AVirtus Vs MUR4-1
08/04/26HMUR Vs Tre Fiori0-3
21/03/26APennarossa Vs MUR2-0
15/03/26HMUR Vs Tre Penne0-4
07/03/26ASan Giovanni Vs MUR2-1
01/03/26HMUR Vs Cosmos0-3
22/02/26ADomagnano Vs MUR5-0
14/02/26HMUR Vs San Marino Academy1-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Folgore
Folgore
San-Marino: Campionato
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWL1.64
HomeDDDWL1.54
AwayWDDWW1.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%38%50%
AVG goals2.962.883.04
Over 1.5 %82%85%79%
Over 2.5 %56%62%50%
Over 3.5 %36%35%38%
Scored1.781.691.88
Conceded1.181.191.17
BTTS56%54%58%
Clean Sheet32%35%29%
Corners5.005.00-
Cards---
Murata
Murata
San-Marino: Campionato
Recent: 0 Wins / 0 Draws / 10 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.72
HomeLLLLL0.72
AwayLLLLL0.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%20%16%
AVG goals2.822.563.08
Over 1.5 %80%72%88%
Over 2.5 %48%40%56%
Over 3.5 %32%24%40%
Scored0.800.561.04
Conceded2.022.002.04
BTTS38%24%52%
Clean Sheet18%24%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FolgoreFolgore13
100%
3.0
50+5
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0005.00.0
-
2Juvenes / DoganaJuvenes / Dogana13
100%
3.0
40+4
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0004.00.0
47%
3Tre FioriTre Fiori13
100%
3.0
52+3
7.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1015.02.0
64%
4FiorentinoFiorentino13
100%
3.0
20+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.0
40%
5Tre PenneTre Penne13
100%
3.0
32+1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0003.02.0
60%
6DomagnanoDomagnano13
100%
3.0
21+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.0
-
7LibertasLibertas11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
49%
8CosmosCosmos11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
36%
9La FioritaLa Fiorita11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.00.0
-
10VirtusVirtus11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.00.0
-
11San GiovanniSan Giovanni10
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.03.0
53%
12CailungoCailungo10
0%
0.0
12-1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
13San Marino AcademySan Marino Academy10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
51%
14PennarossaPennarossa10
0%
0.0
25-3
7.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.05.0
-
15FaetanoFaetano10
0%
0.0
04-4
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.04.0
-
16MurataMurata10
0%
0.0
05-5
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.05.0
-
San-Marino: Campionato 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full San-Marino: Campionato stats & trends →

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