This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lyn
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.17
1.07
1.36
2.06
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
1.33
1.21
0.92
1.33
1.75
1.08
vs Weaker (5)
2.60
1.20
2.00
1.50
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Follo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
93.8%
Under 1.5
6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
81.1%
Under 2.5
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
63.5%
Under 3.5
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
78.3%
No
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
7.4%
2-2
7.0%
1-1
6.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-3
5.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
4.4%
0-2 ✓
3.9%
Follo goals ↓
Lyn goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
1.9%
2.6%
3.9%
3.2%
2.0%
1
1.8%
6.5%
7.4%
6.1%
3.8%
2
2.3%
5.6%
7.0%
5.7%
3.6%
3
1.4%
3.5%
4.4%
3.6%
2.2%
4
0.7%
1.7%
2.1%
1.7%
1.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Follo goals (down), columns = Lyn goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stabaek
2.60
Fredrikstad
2.50
Ham-Kam
2.50
Viking
2.50
Lillestrom
2.43
KFUM Oslo
2.40
Brann
2.33
Ranheim
2.33
Sogndal
2.33
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.29
Asane
2.25
Rosenborg
2.20
Molde
2.00
Træff
2.00
Rana
2.00
Tromsdalen Uil
2.00
Alta
2.00
Lysekloster
2.00
Bodo/Glimt
2.00
Tromso
2.00
Sandefjord
2.00
Aalesund
2.00
Stromsgodset
2.00
Start
2.00
Lyn
2.00
Moss
2.00
Kongsvinger
2.00
Haugesund
2.00
Strommen
2.00
Kristiansund BK
1.83
Bryne
1.75
Egersund
1.75
Grorud
1.67
Bjarg
1.50
Junkeren
1.50
Lørenskog
1.50
Vidar
1.50
jerv
1.50
Levanger
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Eidsvold
1.50
Strindheim
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Kjelsås
1.50
Flint
1.50
Follo
1.50
Flekkerøy
1.50
Raufoss
1.50
Pors Grenland
1.33
Mjondalen
1.25
Djerv
1.00
Asker
1.00
Brattvåg
1.00
Arendal
1.00
Bærum
1.00
Nordstrand
1.00
Valerenga
1.00
Førde
0.92
Madla
0.92
Vigør
0.92
Vestfossen
0.92
Finnsnes
0.92
Gamle Oslo
0.50
Sotra
0.50
Nardo
0.50
Sandviken (Norway)
0.50
Ull/Kisa
0.50
hodd
0.50
Trygg/Lade
0.00
Vard
0.00
Gneist
0.00
Notodden
0.00
Brumunddal
0.00
Ulfstind
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
Råde
0.00
Hønefoss
0.00
Eik-Tønsberg
0.00
ODD Ballklubb
0.00
Sandnes ULF
0.00
Follo is 0.50 points worse than Lyn in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Kongsvinger
6.00
Alta
4.67
Haugesund
4.67
Levanger
4.50
Rosenborg
4.40
Bodo/Glimt
4.33
Tromso
3.67
Molde
3.50
Follo
3.50
Fredrikstad
3.25
Brann
3.00
Stromsgodset
3.00
Start
3.00
Viking
3.00
Stabaek
3.00
Strommen
3.00
Sogndal
3.00
Kristiansund BK
2.83
Asane
2.75
Egersund
2.75
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.71
Tromsdalen Uil
2.67
Sandefjord
2.67
Ranheim
2.67
Eidsvold
2.50
Lysekloster
2.50
Raufoss
2.50
Lillestrom
2.29
KFUM Oslo
2.20
Rana
2.00
Asker
2.00
Grorud
2.00
Mjondalen
2.00
Bærum
2.00
Ull/Kisa
2.00
Nordstrand
2.00
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Moss
2.00
Aalesund
1.80
Ham-Kam
1.75
Bryne
1.75
Lyn
1.67
Træff
1.50
Bjarg
1.50
Junkeren
1.50
Lørenskog
1.50
Vidar
1.50
jerv
1.50
Nardo
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Flint
1.50
Flekkerøy
1.50
Førde
1.44
Madla
1.44
Vigør
1.44
Vestfossen
1.44
Finnsnes
1.44
Pors Grenland
1.33
Djerv
1.00
Gamle Oslo
1.00
Brattvåg
1.00
Stjørdals-Blink
1.00
Arendal
1.00
Brumunddal
1.00
Råde
1.00
Eik-Tønsberg
1.00
Valerenga
1.00
hodd
1.00
Sotra
0.50
Strindheim
0.50
Kjelsås
0.50
Sandviken (Norway)
0.50
Trygg/Lade
0.00
Vard
0.00
Gneist
0.00
Notodden
0.00
Ulfstind
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
Hønefoss
0.00
Sandnes ULF
0.00
Follo is 1.83 goals better than Lyn in terms of goals scored per game (3.50 vs 1.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Viking
0.17
Brann
0.33
Tromso
0.33
Lillestrom
0.43
Træff
0.50
Fredrikstad
0.50
jerv
0.50
Ham-Kam
0.50
Stromsgodset
0.50
KFUM Oslo
0.60
Bodo/Glimt
0.67
Molde
0.75
Rosenborg
0.80
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.00
Djerv
1.00
Trygg/Lade
1.00
Lørenskog
1.00
Vidar
1.00
Brattvåg
1.00
Levanger
1.00
Stjørdals-Blink
1.00
Arendal
1.00
Eidsvold
1.00
Hønefoss
1.00
Sandefjord
1.00
Valerenga
1.00
Aalesund
1.00
Lyn
1.00
Bryne
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Stabaek
1.20
Grorud
1.33
Alta
1.33
Kristiansund BK
1.33
Moss
1.33
Sogndal
1.33
Bjarg
1.50
Sotra
1.50
Strindheim
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Kjelsås
1.50
Lysekloster
1.50
Raufoss
1.50
Egersund
1.50
Pors Grenland
1.67
Rana
1.67
Tromsdalen Uil
1.67
Ranheim
1.67
Strommen
1.67
Mjondalen
1.75
Kongsvinger
1.75
Asker
2.00
Vard
2.00
Gneist
2.00
Spjelkavik
2.00
Råde
2.00
Bærum
2.00
Flekkerøy
2.00
Nordstrand
2.00
Start
2.00
hodd
2.00
Sandnes ULF
2.00
Asane
2.25
Sandviken (Norway)
2.50
Follo
2.50
Ull/Kisa
2.50
Førde
2.68
Madla
2.68
Vigør
2.68
Vestfossen
2.68
Finnsnes
2.68
Junkeren
3.00
Notodden
3.00
Ulfstind
3.00
Nardo
3.00
ODD Ballklubb
3.00
Gamle Oslo
3.50
Flint
3.50
Brumunddal
4.00
Eik-Tønsberg
4.00
Follo is 1.50 goals worse than Lyn in terms of goals conceded per game (2.50 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Follo or Draw✗ Miss
49.4%
Avg Implied -
29%
20%
51%
covers Follo + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Follo or Lyn✓ Hit
79.7%
Avg Implied -
29%
20%
51%
covers Follo + Lyn
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Lyn✓ Hit
70.9%
Avg Implied -
29%
20%
51%
covers Draw + Lyn
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Follo over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
84.9%
Under
15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Follo over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
56.3%
Under
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Follo over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
29.3%
Under
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Follo over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
12.3%
Under
87.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
91.6%
Under
8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
70.8%
Under
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
45.0%
Under
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
23.8%
Under
76.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Follo, so a minus line means Follo give that many goals of a start and Lyn receive them. At -1, Follo must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Follo win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Follo)Actual: Lyn
Follo -2
6.5%
Draw -2
8.7%
Lyn +2
84.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Follo)Actual: Lyn
Follo -1
15.1%
Draw -1
14.0%
Lyn +1
70.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Follo)Actual: Lyn
Follo +1
49.4%
Draw +1
18.5%
Lyn -1
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Follo)Actual: Draw
Follo +2
67.9%
Draw +2
14.9%
Lyn -2
17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Follo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.75
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
1.00
0.67
1.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
25% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lyn
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.63
0.43
0.71
0.69
0.56
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.50
0.62
0.42
0.75
0.58
0.50
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.80
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Follo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Follo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Follo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Follo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Follo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.50
1.75
2.50
1.50
2.50
2.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
2.00
2.00
2.50
1.50
1.00
3.00
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
1.00
-
-
4.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
0% (-24pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lyn
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.53
0.64
0.64
1.38
0.44
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.83
0.58
0.50
0.58
1.17
0.58
vs Weaker (5)
1.80
0.40
1.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Follo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Follo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Follo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Follo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
93.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
92.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
BTTS Yes
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 1.5 goals
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Norway: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →