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Forfar vs Annan Athletic Result & Analysis

Date: 20/09/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Forfar
Forfar
Vs
36%
31%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Forfar win✓ Hit
35.7%
Avg Implied 49.0% · @ 1.83
Edge
-13.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.5%
Avg Implied 26.1% · @ 3.44
Edge
+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic win✗ Miss
32.9%
Avg Implied 24.9% · @ 3.60
Edge
+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

ForfarForfar

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D12L03L10W10W00D42W01L05L23LA·ANN12/07H·ST 15/07A·AYR22/07H·ARB26/07H·STR02/08A·CLY09/08H·STI16/08A·SPA23/08A·EAS30/08H·DUM13/09
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.200.791.070.751.31
vs Stronger (16)0.621.380.571.000.671.67
vs Similar (11)1.091.091.171.171.001.00
vs Weaker (3)0.330.670.001.000.500.50
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-811D16L28L06L32W00D22D34L01L06LH·FOR12/07H·AYR15/07A·ST 19/07A·ARB22/07H·ELG02/08A·STI09/08A·EDI16/08H·DUM23/08A·SPA30/08H·CLY13/09
Avg total
4.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
3.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.402.571.602.871.202.27
vs Stronger (20)1.352.801.802.900.902.70
vs Similar (9)1.671.671.502.001.801.40
vs Weaker (1)0.006.000.006.00--
Clean sheet %7% (-20pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
66.8%
Under 1.5
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
38.7%
@ 1.78-12.8%
Under 2.5
61.3%
@ 1.89+12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.8%
Under 3.5
81.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.6%
No
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.0%
1-0 ✓
10.9%
0-1
10.3%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.3%
Forfar goals ↓
Annan Athletic goals →
01234
012%10%6.3%2.3%0.6%
111%15%7.3%2.6%0.7%
27.0%7.7%4.2%1.5%0.4%
32.7%2.9%1.6%0.6%0.2%
40.8%0.8%0.5%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Forfar goals (down), columns = Annan Athletic goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
East Kilbride
1.92
Spartans
1.78
Clyde
1.56
Forfar
1.39
Stranraer
1.31
Elgin
1.22
Annan Athletic
1.14
Dumbarton
1.11
Edinburgh City
1.08
Stirling
1.06
Forfar is 0.25 points better than Annan Athletic in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.14).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
East Kilbride
2.14
Spartans
1.67
Clyde
1.61
Elgin
1.42
Forfar
1.42
Annan Athletic
1.31
Dumbarton
1.31
Stirling
1.28
Stranraer
1.28
Edinburgh City
1.25
Forfar is 0.11 goals better than Annan Athletic in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.31).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Spartans
1.08
Clyde
1.14
Stranraer
1.28
East Kilbride
1.28
Forfar
1.31
Elgin
1.53
Annan Athletic
1.61
Dumbarton
1.69
Stirling
1.75
Edinburgh City
2.00
Forfar is 0.31 goals better than Annan Athletic in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.61).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

ForfarForfar

For 4.3 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.7

ðŸšĐ Corners

150264612535844443461968103813887715H·DUMA·EASA·SPAH·STIA·CLYH·STRH·STIA·EDIH·BONA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.6

ðŸŸĻ Cards

7012325232314213313233575464435H·DUMA·EASA·SPAH·STIA·CLYH·STRH·STIA·EDIH·BONA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 15.2 · Total 26.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

31071410171612111910121516111614151017111421272830223127292725H·DUMA·EASA·SPAH·STIA·CLYH·STRH·STIA·EDIH·BONA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

For 4.4 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.7

ðŸšĐ Corners

1306336941854742164312899139911310410H·CLYA·SPAH·DUMA·EDIA·STIH·ELGH·COVA·DUMH·ARBA·ALL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6012221423223113222211436552543H·CLYA·SPAH·DUMA·EDIA·STIH·ELGH·COVA·DUMH·ARBA·ALL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.8 · Against 11.5 · Total 20.3

⚠ïļ Fouls

30061361151514151317111168910999619172029302214191815H·CLYA·SPAH·DUMA·EDIA·STIH·ELGH·COVA·DUMH·ARBA·ALL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ForfarForfar

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.28.79.64.13.74.525.024.725.2
vs Stronger (28)8.58.38.84.03.34.725.924.926.7
vs Similar (17)8.98.69.34.44.54.125.625.925.2
vs Weaker (5)12.811.513.73.82.54.719.018.019.7
% over line36%19%52%66%56%76%79%71%86%
% under line64%81%48%34%44%24%21%29%14%
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.69.63.02.73.419.920.419.3
vs Stronger (37)9.38.79.92.92.93.019.421.117.6
vs Similar (12)10.512.48.83.52.24.821.318.623.5
vs Weaker (1)9.09.0-1.01.0-19.019.0-
% over line52%57%48%42%29%54%33%48%19%
% under line48%43%52%58%71%46%67%52%81%
This opponent (Forfar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
East Kilbride
11.2
Dumbarton
10.8
Stirling
10.3
Clyde
9.9
Elgin
9.8
Annan Athletic
9.7
Forfar
9.2
Stranraer
9.2
Spartans
9.1
Edinburgh City
9.1

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
6.5
Elgin
4.9
Edinburgh City
4.9
Forfar
4.8
Stirling
4.5
Clyde
4.2
Stranraer
4.1
Spartans
4.0
Annan Athletic
3.7
Dumbarton
3.7

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
East Kilbride
27.7
Forfar
25.2
Edinburgh City
24.3
Elgin
24.2
Clyde
22.9
Stirling
21.8
Spartans
21.7
Stranraer
20.5
Annan Athletic
20.3
Dumbarton
19.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
43.6%
Under 9.5
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
71.4%
Under 3.5
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
66.7%
Under 21.5
33.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ForfarForfar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L03L10W10W00D21W00D03L21WA·ANN12/07H·ST 15/07A·AYR22/07H·ARB26/07H·STR02/08A·CLY09/08H·STI16/08A·SPA23/08A·EAS30/08H·DUM13/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.570.500.360.310.75
vs Stronger (16)0.250.690.290.290.221.00
vs Similar (11)0.640.450.830.500.400.40
vs Weaker (3)0.330.330.000.000.500.50
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L02L13L03L01L00D20W02L00D04LH·FOR12/07H·AYR15/07A·ST 19/07A·ARB22/07H·ELG02/08A·STI09/08A·EDI16/08H·DUM23/08A·SPA30/08H·CLY13/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.371.230.201.400.531.07
vs Stronger (20)0.351.350.301.300.401.40
vs Similar (9)0.440.670.001.000.800.40
vs Weaker (1)0.004.000.004.00--
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Forfar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ForfarForfar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D00D00D00D00D21W01L02L02LA·ANN12/07H·ST 15/07A·AYR22/07H·ARB26/07H·STR02/08A·CLY09/08H·STI16/08A·SPA23/08A·EAS30/08H·DUM13/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.630.290.710.440.56
vs Stronger (16)0.380.690.290.710.440.67
vs Similar (11)0.450.640.330.670.600.60
vs Weaker (3)0.000.330.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W14L15L03L31W00D02L32W01L02LH·FOR12/07H·AYR15/07A·ST 19/07A·ARB22/07H·ELG02/08A·STI09/08A·EDI16/08H·DUM23/08A·SPA30/08H·CLY13/09
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.331.401.470.671.20
vs Stronger (20)1.001.451.501.600.501.30
vs Similar (9)1.221.001.501.001.001.00
vs Weaker (1)0.002.000.002.00--
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Forfar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards86.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.581.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls80.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners78.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards71.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Forfar and Annan Athletic have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Forfar and Annan Athletic have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Forfar and Annan Athletic have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
FOR wins
2
Draws
2
AA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Forfar vs Annan Athletic · H/A from FOR
DateH/AGameScore
12/07/25AAnnan Athletic Vs FOR1-1
18/03/23HFOR Vs Annan Athletic2-1
07/01/23AAnnan Athletic Vs FOR0-2
05/11/22HFOR Vs Annan Athletic1-4
03/09/22AAnnan Athletic Vs FOR2-1
16/04/22HFOR Vs Annan Athletic5-1
15/01/22AAnnan Athletic Vs FOR2-2
16/10/21HFOR Vs Annan Athletic2-0

ForfarForfar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/09/25HFOR Vs Dumbarton2-3
30/08/25AEast Kilbride Vs FOR5-0
23/08/25ASpartans Vs FOR1-0
16/08/25HFOR Vs Stirling4-2
09/08/25AClyde Vs FOR0-0
02/08/25HFOR Vs Stranraer1-0
26/07/25HFOR Vs Arbroath1-0
22/07/25AAyr Utd Vs FOR3-0
15/07/25HFOR Vs ST Mirren1-2
12/07/25AAnnan Athletic Vs FOR1-1

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/09/25HAA Vs Clyde0-6
30/08/25ASpartans Vs AA1-0
23/08/25HAA Vs Dumbarton3-4
16/08/25AEdinburgh City Vs AA2-2
09/08/25AStirling Vs AA0-0
02/08/25HAA Vs Elgin3-2
22/07/25AArbroath Vs AA6-0
19/07/25AST Mirren Vs AA8-2
15/07/25HAA Vs Ayr Utd1-6
12/07/25HAA Vs Forfar1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Forfar
Forfar
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLL1.02
HomeLWWWL1.20
AwayDLDLL0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%28%20%
AVG goals2.122.162.08
Over 1.5 %60%56%64%
Over 2.5 %36%36%36%
Over 3.5 %16%20%12%
Scored0.841.000.68
Conceded1.281.161.40
BTTS40%40%40%
Clean Sheet28%32%24%
Corners9.178.719.62
Cards4.904.435.38
Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLLL0.92
HomeDLWLL1.12
AwayLLDDL0.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%29%19%
AVG goals3.403.463.35
Over 1.5 %82%83%81%
Over 2.5 %58%54%62%
Over 3.5 %44%42%46%
Scored1.181.331.04
Conceded2.222.122.31
BTTS54%58%50%
Clean Sheet12%12%12%
Corners9.609.629.57
Cards3.623.054.19

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1East KilbrideEast Kilbride3669
58%
1.9
7746+31
3.4
92%
69%
50%
10.4
58%
5.6
83%
26.4
81%
0
0002.11.3
-
2SpartansSpartans3664
50%
1.8
6039+21
2.8
83%
53%
28%
9.4
47%
4.0
58%
19.9
33%
0
0001.71.1
-
3ClydeClyde3656
39%
1.6
5841+17
2.8
83%
53%
33%
9.8
42%
4.1
61%
21.4
44%
0
0001.61.1
-
4ForfarForfar3650
36%
1.4
5147+4
2.7
72%
50%
36%
9.2
50%
4.1
58%
23.8
67%
0
0001.41.3
-
5StranraerStranraer3647
33%
1.3
4646+0
2.6
78%
50%
28%
11.0
63%
4.3
66%
22.5
57%
0
0001.31.3
-
6ElginElgin3644
31%
1.2
5155-4
2.9
86%
56%
25%
10.5
60%
4.2
60%
22.8
60%
0
0001.41.5
-
7Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3641
28%
1.1
4758-11
2.9
78%
56%
36%
9.9
50%
4.4
64%
23.8
72%
0
0001.31.6
-
8DumbartonDumbarton3640
28%
1.1
4761-14
3.0
92%
58%
28%
10.6
54%
3.5
46%
20.8
46%
0
0001.31.7
-
9Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3639
28%
1.1
4572-27
3.2
86%
69%
44%
9.5
51%
5.2
80%
23.8
66%
0
0001.22.0
-
10StirlingStirling3638
25%
1.1
4663-17
3.0
83%
58%
36%
11.4
58%
4.1
58%
20.7
36%
0
0001.31.8
-
Scotland: League Two 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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