Forfar vs Annan Athletic Result & Analysis

Defensive solidity will shape this encounter, as Forfar’s home form shows only 1.22 goals conceded per game while Annan Athletic, on the road, concedes 1.4. Forfar averages 1.56 goals at home against similar opposition, whereas Annan Athletic scores just 1.0 away. The model favours a home win, with a 36% chance, a draw 31%, and an away win 32%. The expected total is 2.2 goals, centring on a 2-goal outcome at 28%. The most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.7% probability. Recent form hints at a tight match: Forfar comes off a 1-1 draw, while Annan Athletic enters after a 2-0 win. Suggested picks include Over 2.5 cards at 84.1%, Under 3.5 goals at 81.1%, Over 19.5 fouls at 77.4%, and Under 11.5 corners at 72.1%. These selections reflect the model’s view that the game will be low-scoring, defensive, and likely to see a modest number of cards and fouls.

Forfar’s 2-1 victory over Annan Athletic extended their recent form, turning a draw into a win. The model’s pre-match favourite, Home win at 36%, proved correct, matching the actual result. The suggested picks delivered mixed outcomes: Over 2.5 cards at 84.1% missed, while Under 3.5 at 81.1% hit, Over 19.5 fouls at 77.4% hit, and Under 11.5 corners at 72.1% missed. The match’s most likely score of 1-1, with a 28% probability, was eclipsed by the 2-1 final. Overall, the model’s call was right, but its ancillary selections were only partially successful.