Forfar are tipped to win, the model favouring a home victory with a 51% chance, a draw 29% and an away win 20%. The expected total of 2.3 goals points to a modestly open game, with the most likely total of 2 goals at 28% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.4% chance. Forfar, playing at home against a similar-strength side, average 2.14 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Annan Athletic, on the road, averages 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (99.0%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.9%), Under 5.5 (96.8%), Away under 2.5 goals (94.5%), Home under 3.5 goals (93.6%), Home +2 handicap (93.1%) and Under 4.5 (91.2%). Forfar’s recent form shows a win after a loss, while Annan Athletic is coming off two straight defeats.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Forfar win
50.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
28.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic win
20.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Forfar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.47
1.80
1.13
0.80
1.80
vs Stronger (14)
1.14
2.07
1.62
1.50
0.50
2.83
vs Similar (13)
1.62
0.77
2.17
0.67
1.14
0.86
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.67
1.00
1.00
0.50
2.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Annan Athletic
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
2.00
1.47
1.93
0.93
2.07
vs Stronger (12)
1.17
2.92
1.17
3.33
1.17
2.50
vs Similar (10)
1.40
1.30
2.00
0.80
0.80
1.80
vs Weaker (8)
1.00
1.50
1.25
1.25
0.75
1.75
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
68.9%
Under 1.5
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
41.3%
Under 2.5
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
20.8%
Under 3.5
79.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
45.5%
No
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
1-0
13.2%
0-0
10.9%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.0%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
Forfar goals ↓
Annan Athletic goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
7.0%
3.5%
1.0%
0.2%
1
13%
13%
5.2%
1.5%
0.3%
2
11%
9.1%
3.9%
1.1%
0.2%
3
5.3%
4.5%
1.9%
0.5%
0.1%
4
2.0%
1.7%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Forfar goals (down), columns = Annan Athletic goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Elgin
2.20
Clyde
2.00
Forfar
1.60
Edinburgh City
1.60
Stranraer
1.40
Spartans
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.20
Kelty Hearts
1.20
Stirling
0.80
Dumbarton
0.60
Forfar is 0.40 points better than Annan Athletic in terms of average points per game (1.60 vs 1.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Elgin
3.40
Spartans
2.40
Clyde
2.20
Edinburgh City
1.40
Kelty Hearts
1.40
Forfar
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.20
Stirling
1.20
Stranraer
1.20
Dumbarton
0.40
Forfar and Annan Athletic are level in goals scored per game (both 1.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Forfar
1.00
Elgin
1.00
Clyde
1.20
Stranraer
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.40
Edinburgh City
1.60
Dumbarton
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Spartans
2.20
Stirling
2.40
Forfar is 0.40 goals better than Annan Athletic in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.40).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Forfar
For 4.2 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 12.8 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Annan Athletic
For 4.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 13.3 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Forfar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.9
8.6
2.9
3.0
2.8
23.6
22.9
24.3
vs Stronger (22)
9.5
10.1
8.8
2.8
3.3
2.3
24.9
23.1
27.0
vs Similar (23)
8.8
9.7
8.1
2.8
2.5
3.2
23.2
23.2
23.2
vs Weaker (5)
10.5
10.5
10.5
4.0
4.5
3.7
21.2
21.0
21.5
% over line
53%
61%
44%
42%
46%
38%
67%
61%
72%
% under line
47%
39%
56%
58%
54%
62%
33%
39%
28%
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Annan Athletic
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.8
10.1
3.2
3.1
3.3
23.8
23.8
23.8
vs Stronger (20)
9.6
9.8
9.3
3.2
2.7
3.8
24.5
24.8
24.2
vs Similar (18)
9.1
8.4
9.9
3.6
3.6
3.7
24.5
23.9
25.1
vs Weaker (12)
12.1
12.5
11.8
2.6
3.0
2.3
21.4
22.0
20.8
% over line
50%
50%
50%
46%
44%
48%
72%
67%
78%
% under line
50%
50%
50%
54%
56%
52%
28%
33%
22%
This opponent (Forfar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.9
Dumbarton
10.4
Stranraer
10.3
Elgin
10.3
Annan Athletic
9.9
Clyde
9.8
Kelty Hearts
9.5
Edinburgh City
9.2
Spartans
9.2
Forfar
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Edinburgh City
5.1
Forfar
4.3
Elgin
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.2
Clyde
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
Spartans
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Dumbarton
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Forfar
24.0
Edinburgh City
23.9
Elgin
22.7
Kelty Hearts
22.5
Stranraer
22.3
Annan Athletic
22.2
Clyde
21.7
Stirling
21.1
Dumbarton
20.5
Spartans
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
54.1%
Under 9.5
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
60.7%
Under 3.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
60.9%
Under 21.5
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Forfar or Draw
79.7%
Avg Implied -
51%
29%
20%
covers Forfar + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Forfar or Annan Athletic
71.2%
Avg Implied -
51%
29%
20%
covers Forfar + Annan Athletic
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Annan Athletic
49.1%
Avg Implied -
51%
29%
20%
covers Draw + Annan Athletic
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Forfar over/under 0.5
Over
77.3%
Under
22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5
Over
43.7%
Under
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5
Over
18.7%
Under
81.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 3.5
Over
6.4%
Under
93.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5
Over
57.2%
Under
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5
Over
20.9%
Under
79.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5
Over
5.5%
Under
94.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 3.5
Over
1.1%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Forfar, so a minus line means Forfar give that many goals of a start and Annan Athletic receive them. At -1, Forfar must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Forfar win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Forfar)
Forfar -2
10.6%
Draw -2
15.9%
Annan Athletic +2
73.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Forfar)
Forfar -1
26.6%
Draw -1
24.4%
Annan Athletic +1
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Forfar)
Forfar +1
79.7%
Draw +1
13.4%
Annan Athletic -1
6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Forfar)
Forfar +2
93.1%
Draw +2
5.2%
Annan Athletic -2
1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Forfar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.63
1.00
0.53
0.53
0.73
vs Stronger (14)
0.71
1.07
1.12
0.88
0.17
1.33
vs Similar (13)
0.92
0.15
1.00
0.17
0.86
0.14
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Annan Athletic
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.73
1.00
0.60
0.27
0.87
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
0.83
0.50
0.83
0.50
0.83
vs Similar (10)
0.70
0.30
1.40
0.20
0.00
0.40
vs Weaker (8)
0.75
1.12
1.25
0.75
0.25
1.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Forfar over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Forfar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.83
0.80
0.60
0.27
1.07
vs Stronger (14)
0.43
1.00
0.50
0.62
0.33
1.50
vs Similar (13)
0.69
0.62
1.17
0.50
0.29
0.71
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Annan Athletic
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
1.27
0.47
1.33
0.67
1.20
vs Stronger (12)
0.67
2.08
0.67
2.50
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (10)
0.70
1.00
0.60
0.60
0.80
1.40
vs Weaker (8)
0.25
0.38
0.00
0.50
0.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Forfar over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
94.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
93.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
93.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (4)
€1m
AA (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Forfar and Annan Athletic have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Forfar and Annan Athletic have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Forfar and Annan Athletic have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Scotland: League Two 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →