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Forfar vs Bonnyrigg Rose Result & Analysis

Date: 27/01/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 0-0
Forfar
Forfar
Vs
37%
29%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Forfar win✗ Miss
36.8%
Avg Implied 40.5% · @ 2.26
Edge
-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.4%
Avg Implied 28.7% · @ 3.19
Edge
+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose win✗ Miss
33.8%
Avg Implied 30.9% · @ 2.96
Edge
+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

ForfarForfar

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D20W01L11D01L24L21W00D12L21WH·CLY11/11A·BON18/11A·ELG21/11H·STR02/12A·SPA09/12H·DUM16/12A·PET23/12H·EAS30/12A·STE06/01H·ELG13/01
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.201.141.430.751.00
vs Stronger (15)0.931.071.001.110.831.00
vs Similar (13)1.001.461.502.250.781.11
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L02L02L42W01L11D13L30W23L11DA·DUM04/11A·ELG11/11H·FOR18/11H·EAS21/11A·STE02/12H·PET09/12A·STR16/12A·EAS22/12A·CLY06/01H·DUM13/01
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.201.571.141.061.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)2.001.002.801.001.331.00
vs Weaker (19)0.891.320.891.220.901.40
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
72.9%
Under 1.5
27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.1%
@ 2.01-0.2%
Under 2.5
53.9%
@ 1.73+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.6%
Under 3.5
75.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.5%
No
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
0-0 ✓
9.3%
1-0
9.1%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.1%
Forfar goals ↓
Bonnyrigg Rose goals →
01234
09.3%8.6%6.1%2.5%0.8%
19.1%14%7.8%3.2%1.0%
26.7%8.2%5.1%2.1%0.6%
32.9%3.5%2.2%0.9%0.3%
40.9%1.1%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Forfar goals (down), columns = Bonnyrigg Rose goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stenhousemuir
1.89
Peterhead
1.67
Spartans
1.61
Dumbarton
1.58
East Fife
1.22
Forfar
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.08
Clyde
1.06
Stranraer
1.00
Forfar is 0.08 points better than Bonnyrigg Rose in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.08).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Peterhead
1.61
Dumbarton
1.56
Spartans
1.47
Stenhousemuir
1.39
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
East Fife
1.28
Clyde
1.28
Stranraer
1.06
Forfar
1.06
Elgin
0.97
Forfar is 0.25 goals worse than Bonnyrigg Rose in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 1.31).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stenhousemuir
0.86
Peterhead
1.08
Spartans
1.19
Dumbarton
1.22
Forfar
1.25
East Fife
1.31
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.33
Stranraer
1.47
Clyde
1.61
Elgin
1.64
Forfar is 0.08 goals better than Bonnyrigg Rose in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.33).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

ForfarForfar

For 3.9 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

12063382525353293354445911778512889H·ELGA·STEH·EASA·PETH·DUMA·SPAH·STRA·ELGA·BONH·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8024222435232216244085221H·ELGA·STEH·EASA·PETH·DUMA·SPAH·STRA·ELGA·BONH·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 12.8 · Total 25.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

310112011109132011117101516121019117131431212231182528291827H·ELGA·STEH·EASA·PETH·DUMA·SPAH·STRA·ELGA·BONH·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

For 5.8 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

1506977435394355444619615147813898715H·DUMA·CLYA·EASA·STRH·PETA·STEH·EASH·FORA·ELGA·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

903211222233332245135242565294H·DUMA·CLYA·EASA·STRH·PETA·STEH·EASH·FORA·ELGA·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 11.0 · Total 21.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

340911651111881915171191871191210820112216342827182118H·DUMA·CLYA·EASA·STRH·PETA·STEH·EASH·FORA·ELGA·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ForfarForfar

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.89.23.63.43.723.122.423.7
vs Stronger (24)9.911.67.84.13.84.523.922.525.5
vs Similar (24)10.410.010.73.13.33.022.022.022.0
vs Weaker (2)7.09.05.02.51.04.026.527.026.0
% over line46%56%36%52%48%56%56%52%60%
% under line54%44%64%48%52%44%44%48%40%
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.510.28.84.44.44.423.023.822.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (17)9.912.08.04.23.94.423.824.023.6
vs Weaker (33)9.39.49.34.54.64.422.523.621.5
% over line42%50%35%62%62%62%56%54%58%
% under line58%50%65%38%38%38%44%46%42%
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stenhousemuir
10.5
Dumbarton
10.4
Forfar
10.0
Stranraer
10.0
East Fife
9.8
Clyde
9.6
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.5
Spartans
9.1
Peterhead
9.0
Elgin
8.6

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.6
East Fife
4.4
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.4
Dumbarton
4.3
Stenhousemuir
4.1
Elgin
4.0
Clyde
3.6
Forfar
3.6
Stranraer
3.6
Spartans
3.4

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
23.6
Forfar
23.1
Bonnyrigg Rose
23.0
Elgin
22.8
East Fife
21.7
Stenhousemuir
21.2
Stranraer
21.0
Spartans
20.4
Clyde
20.3
Dumbarton
20.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
46.3%
Under 9.5
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
54.0%
Under 3.5
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
62.0%
Under 21.5
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ForfarForfar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W01L10W00D23L21W00D01L01LH·CLY11/11A·BON18/11A·ELG21/11H·STR02/12A·SPA09/12H·DUM16/12A·PET23/12H·EAS30/12A·STE06/01H·ELG13/01
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.700.430.930.380.50
vs Stronger (15)0.270.870.110.890.500.83
vs Similar (13)0.620.621.251.250.330.33
vs Weaker (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D01L11D01L10W01L10W03L10WA·DUM04/11A·ELG11/11H·FOR18/11H·EAS21/11A·STE02/12H·PET09/12A·STR16/12A·EAS22/12A·CLY06/01H·DUM13/01
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.400.500.360.380.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.550.090.800.200.330.00
vs Weaker (19)0.370.580.330.440.400.70
Clean sheet %73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Forfar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ForfarForfar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W00D01L01L01L00D00D11D20WH·CLY11/11A·BON18/11A·ELG21/11H·STR02/12A·SPA09/12H·DUM16/12A·PET23/12H·EAS30/12A·STE06/01H·ELG13/01
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.500.710.500.380.50
vs Stronger (15)0.670.200.890.220.330.17
vs Similar (13)0.380.850.251.000.440.78
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L02L01L31W00D01L12L20W20W01LA·DUM04/11A·ELG11/11H·FOR18/11H·EAS21/11A·STE02/12H·PET09/12A·STR16/12A·EAS22/12A·CLY06/01H·DUM13/01
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.801.070.790.690.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.450.912.000.801.001.00
vs Weaker (19)0.530.740.560.780.500.70
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Forfar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards80.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls77.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners76.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.575.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards74.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.9%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
1
FOR wins
2
Draws
3
BR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Forfar vs Bonnyrigg Rose · H/A from FOR
DateH/AGameScore
18/11/23ABonnyrigg Rose Vs FOR0-2
26/08/23HFOR Vs Bonnyrigg Rose1-2
22/04/23HFOR Vs Bonnyrigg Rose0-1
28/02/23ABonnyrigg Rose Vs FOR1-1
12/11/22HFOR Vs Bonnyrigg Rose1-1
30/07/22ABonnyrigg Rose Vs FOR2-0

ForfarForfar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/01/24HFOR Vs Elgin2-1
06/01/24AStenhousemuir Vs FOR2-1
30/12/23HFOR Vs East Fife0-0
23/12/23APeterhead Vs FOR1-2
16/12/23HFOR Vs Dumbarton2-4
09/12/23ASpartans Vs FOR1-0
02/12/23HFOR Vs Stranraer1-1
21/11/23AElgin Vs FOR1-0
18/11/23ABonnyrigg Rose Vs FOR0-2
11/11/23HFOR Vs Clyde1-1

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/01/24HBR Vs Dumbarton1-1
06/01/24AClyde Vs BR3-2
22/12/23AEast Fife Vs BR0-3
16/12/23AStranraer Vs BR3-1
09/12/23HBR Vs Peterhead1-1
02/12/23AStenhousemuir Vs BR1-0
21/11/23HBR Vs East Fife4-2
18/11/23HBR Vs Forfar0-2
11/11/23AElgin Vs BR2-0
04/11/23ADumbarton Vs BR4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Forfar
Forfar
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLW1.28
HomeDDLDW1.20
AwayWLLWL1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%28%36%
AVG goals2.222.481.96
Over 1.5 %66%68%64%
Over 2.5 %40%52%28%
Over 3.5 %20%28%12%
Scored1.021.041.00
Conceded1.201.440.96
BTTS54%68%40%
Clean Sheet32%24%40%
Corners10.0010.809.20
Cards3.583.443.72
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLD1.10
HomeWLWDD1.17
AwayLLLWL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%29%27%
AVG goals2.603.082.15
Over 1.5 %74%88%62%
Over 2.5 %44%46%42%
Over 3.5 %26%33%19%
Scored1.141.460.85
Conceded1.461.621.31
BTTS52%67%38%
Clean Sheet24%12%35%
Corners9.5210.258.85
Cards4.384.384.38

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3668
50%
1.9
5031+19
2.2
64%
36%
22%
9.8
50%
4.2
61%
23.0
56%
0
0001.40.9
-
2PeterheadPeterhead3660
44%
1.7
5839+19
2.7
81%
56%
25%
8.7
39%
5.1
89%
25.0
78%
0
0001.61.1
-
3SpartansSpartans3658
42%
1.6
5343+10
2.7
69%
56%
31%
9.4
47%
3.2
42%
20.9
44%
0
0001.51.2
-
4DumbartonDumbarton3657
44%
1.6
5644+12
2.8
67%
44%
36%
11.1
61%
3.9
61%
19.8
33%
0
0001.61.2
-
5East FifeEast Fife3644
31%
1.2
4647-1
2.6
81%
47%
25%
9.1
44%
3.5
56%
21.9
50%
0
0001.31.3
-
6ForfarForfar3642
25%
1.2
3845-7
2.3
72%
42%
22%
9.7
50%
3.5
50%
24.8
75%
0
0001.11.2
-
7ElginElgin3640
28%
1.1
3559-24
2.6
81%
50%
22%
8.8
39%
3.7
47%
25.0
69%
0
0001.01.6
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3639
25%
1.1
4748-1
2.6
78%
44%
31%
9.6
44%
4.0
50%
24.2
58%
0
0001.31.3
-
9ClydeClyde3638
25%
1.1
4658-12
2.9
83%
56%
28%
9.0
42%
3.4
50%
20.8
50%
0
0001.31.6
-
10StranraerStranraer3636
25%
1.0
3853-15
2.5
75%
47%
25%
10.3
67%
3.6
44%
20.0
36%
0
0001.11.5
-
Scotland: League Two 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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