Forfar’s home form against a stronger side has seen them average 1.12 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while Brechin, playing away against a weaker opponent, has managed only 0.33 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. The model projects a high-scoring affair with an expected 3.3 goals, most likely total 3 goals (22%). The single most likely scoreline is 1-2 for Brechin, with a 9.8% chance. The favourite result is an away win, with probabilities of 17% for a home win, 21% for a draw and 61% for an away win. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 goals at 97.9%, Home under 3.5 goals at 97.3%, Under 5.5 cards at 95.7%, Under 25.5 fouls at 95.2%, Under 6.5 at 94.7%, Away +2 handicap at 93.3% (miss), Home under 2.5 goals at 89.7% (miss) and Under 23.5 fouls at 89.2%. The match is expected to be a lively contest with Brechin the clear favourite.
Results analysis
The upset came early, as Forfar turned a win-less run into a 3-1 triumph over Brechin, overturning the model’s pre-match favourite of an away win with a 61% probability. The prediction of a 3-goal match proved accurate, with the final score matching the most likely 3-goal outcome. The model’s selection of an away win was wrong. Every suggested pick was reported: Under 7.5 goals hit at 97.9%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 97.3%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 95.7%, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 95.2%, Under 6.5 hit at 94.7%, Away +2 handicap missed at 93.3%, Home under 2.5 goals missed at 89.7%, and Under 23.5 fouls hit at 89.2%. The home side’s recent form, coming off a defeat, and the away side’s five-match losing streak set the stage for this unexpected outcome.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Forfar win✓ Hit
17.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Brechin win✗ Miss
61.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Forfar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.67
1.47
1.60
1.27
1.73
vs Stronger (13)
0.85
2.46
1.12
2.00
0.40
3.20
vs Similar (15)
1.87
1.07
2.00
1.17
1.78
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Brechin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brechin
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
3.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
2.30
0.88
2.29
0.85
2.31
vs Stronger (9)
1.11
2.56
1.00
2.86
1.50
1.50
vs Similar (14)
0.93
2.29
1.00
2.00
0.88
2.50
vs Weaker (7)
0.43
2.00
0.50
1.75
0.33
2.33
Clean sheet %
10% (-21pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.4%
Under 1.5
14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.7%
Under 2.5
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
42.7%
Under 3.5
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.8%
No
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.2%
0-1
7.0%
0-3
6.5%
2-2
5.5%
2-1
4.9%
Forfar goals ↓
Brechin goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.5%
7.0%
8.8%
6.5%
3.6%
1
3.1%
9.7%
9.8%
7.2%
4.0%
2
2.2%
4.9%
5.5%
4.0%
2.2%
3
0.8%
1.8%
2.0%
1.5%
0.8%
4
0.2%
0.5%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Forfar goals (down), columns = Brechin goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Heart Of Midlothian
2.60
Partick
2.50
ST Johnstone
2.40
Alloa Athletic
2.40
Motherwell
2.29
ST Mirren
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Celtic
2.25
Airdrie United
2.25
Kilmarnock
2.20
Falkirk
2.00
Rangers
2.00
Ayr Utd
1.80
Morton
1.80
Ross County
1.75
Cove Rangers
1.75
Queen's Park
1.50
Aberdeen
1.50
Livingston
1.50
Inverness CT
1.50
Raith Rovers
1.50
Dundee
1.50
Hibernian
1.50
Dumbarton
1.50
East Kilbride
1.50
Spartans
1.50
Clyde
1.25
Stranraer
1.25
Arbroath
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.00
Forfar
1.00
East Fife
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Montrose
0.75
Queen of the South
0.75
Kelty Hearts
0.33
Edinburgh City
0.25
Annan Athletic
0.25
Elgin
0.00
Stirling
0.00
Dundee Utd
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Peterhead
0.00
Forfar is 1.00 points better than Brechin in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Heart Of Midlothian
3.40
Raith Rovers
3.25
Celtic
3.00
ST Johnstone
3.00
Falkirk
3.00
Ayr Utd
2.80
ST Mirren
2.75
Ross County
2.75
East Kilbride
2.75
Rangers
2.33
Queen's Park
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Inverness CT
2.25
Partick
2.17
Morton
2.00
Livingston
2.00
Airdrie United
2.00
Dundee
2.00
Kilmarnock
1.80
Alloa Athletic
1.80
Motherwell
1.57
Arbroath
1.50
Aberdeen
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Cove Rangers
1.25
Annan Athletic
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Peterhead
1.00
Spartans
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Forfar
0.75
East Fife
0.67
Elgin
0.50
Dumbarton
0.50
Stranraer
0.50
Edinburgh City
0.25
Kelty Hearts
0.00
Stirling
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Forfar is 0.75 goals better than Brechin in terms of goals scored per game (0.75 vs 0.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Heart Of Midlothian
0.40
Aberdeen
0.50
Cove Rangers
0.50
Kilmarnock
0.60
ST Johnstone
0.60
Dundee
0.75
Stranraer
0.75
Ayr Utd
1.00
Partick
1.00
Livingston
1.00
Airdrie United
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Ross County
1.00
Motherwell
1.00
Falkirk
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
ST Mirren
1.12
Arbroath
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Celtic
1.25
Alloa Athletic
1.40
Queen's Park
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Spartans
1.50
Forfar
1.50
Morton
1.60
Rangers
1.67
Hamilton Academical
1.75
Dundee Utd
2.00
Inverness CT
2.00
Clyde
2.00
Dumbarton
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Stirling
2.25
Raith Rovers
2.25
Peterhead
2.25
Kelty Hearts
2.33
Montrose
2.50
East Kilbride
3.00
Edinburgh City
4.00
Brechin
4.25
Elgin
4.75
Annan Athletic
5.25
Forfar is 2.75 goals better than Brechin in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 4.25).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Celtic
63%
ST Mirren
37%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Forfar
For 4.8 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 12.8 · Total 23.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Brechin
For 3.8 · Against 5.5 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 8.0 · Total 18.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Forfar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.5
8.5
3.2
3.2
3.1
24.1
23.8
24.5
vs Stronger (22)
9.2
9.4
8.8
2.7
2.8
2.5
25.2
23.7
27.0
vs Similar (24)
8.7
9.4
8.0
3.3
3.4
3.2
24.0
24.3
23.7
vs Weaker (4)
10.5
10.5
10.5
5.0
4.5
5.5
21.2
21.0
21.5
% over line
46%
50%
42%
46%
48%
44%
69%
65%
74%
% under line
54%
50%
58%
54%
52%
56%
31%
35%
26%
This opponent (Brechin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brechin
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.8
10.0
2.0
2.0
1.9
19.6
19.9
19.4
vs Stronger (11)
9.0
13.0
5.0
0.7
0.5
1.3
18.5
20.0
17.0
vs Similar (23)
11.2
11.9
10.6
2.0
2.8
1.6
19.3
20.3
18.5
vs Weaker (16)
8.7
7.6
10.0
2.7
2.7
2.7
20.1
19.5
20.7
% over line
47%
44%
50%
32%
35%
29%
28%
25%
31%
% under line
53%
56%
50%
68%
65%
71%
72%
75%
69%
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Queen's Park
12.0
ST Mirren
11.2
Morton
11.0
Stirling
11.0
Ross County
10.9
Hibernian
10.8
Celtic
10.7
Dumbarton
10.5
Dundee Utd
10.4
Partick
10.4
East Kilbride
10.4
Rangers
10.4
Stranraer
10.4
Elgin
10.3
ST Johnstone
10.2
Airdrie United
10.1
Aberdeen
10.1
Livingston
10.1
Brechin
10.0
Heart Of Midlothian
10.0
Annan Athletic
9.9
Falkirk
9.9
Dundee
9.8
Clyde
9.7
East Fife
9.7
Arbroath
9.6
Kilmarnock
9.5
Cove Rangers
9.4
Kelty Hearts
9.4
Inverness CT
9.2
Edinburgh City
9.2
Dunfermline
9.1
Spartans
9.1
Peterhead
9.0
Hamilton Academical
9.0
Forfar
8.9
Stenhousemuir
8.6
Montrose
8.4
Motherwell
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Edinburgh City
5.1
Peterhead
5.0
Stenhousemuir
4.9
Aberdeen
4.8
Ayr Utd
4.8
Motherwell
4.7
Hibernian
4.7
Morton
4.6
Heart Of Midlothian
4.4
Partick
4.4
Elgin
4.3
Forfar
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.3
Clyde
4.3
Livingston
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.2
Spartans
4.2
Rangers
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
ST Johnstone
4.1
Falkirk
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Dundee Utd
4.0
Celtic
4.0
Dunfermline
3.9
Montrose
3.7
Dundee
3.7
Arbroath
3.6
East Fife
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Dumbarton
3.5
ST Mirren
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Airdrie United
3.4
Cove Rangers
3.2
Inverness CT
3.2
Hamilton Academical
3.0
Raith Rovers
3.0
Queen's Park
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.4
East Kilbride
26.4
Motherwell
25.9
Rangers
25.8
Aberdeen
25.7
Stenhousemuir
25.2
Livingston
25.0
Falkirk
24.5
Kilmarnock
24.4
Forfar
24.1
Edinburgh City
23.9
Heart Of Midlothian
23.5
East Fife
22.8
Elgin
22.7
Hibernian
22.6
Kelty Hearts
22.5
ST Johnstone
22.4
Montrose
22.3
Annan Athletic
22.2
Stranraer
22.1
Clyde
22.0
ST Mirren
22.0
Dundee
21.9
Dundee Utd
21.8
Morton
21.8
Celtic
21.7
Inverness CT
21.6
Dunfermline
21.3
Ross County
21.0
Cove Rangers
20.9
Arbroath
20.8
Stirling
20.8
Spartans
20.5
Dumbarton
20.4
Brechin
20.4
Airdrie United
20.0
Partick
19.9
Queen's Park
18.0
Hamilton Academical
9.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
42.4%
Under 9.5
57.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.5%
Under 3.5
75.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
21.1%
Under 21.5
78.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Forfar or Draw✓ Hit
38.6%
Avg Implied -
17%
21%
61%
covers Forfar + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Forfar or Brechin✓ Hit
78.6%
Avg Implied -
17%
21%
61%
covers Forfar + Brechin
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Brechin✗ Miss
82.8%
Avg Implied -
17%
21%
61%
covers Draw + Brechin
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Forfar over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
67.3%
Under
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
30.7%
Under
69.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
10.3%
Under
89.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brechin over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
89.1%
Under
10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brechin over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
65.0%
Under
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brechin over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
38.2%
Under
61.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brechin over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
18.4%
Under
81.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Forfar, so a minus line means Forfar give that many goals of a start and Brechin receive them. At -1, Forfar must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Forfar win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Forfar)Actual: Draw
Forfar -2
2.0%
Draw -2
4.7%
Brechin +2
93.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Forfar)Actual: Forfar
Forfar -1
6.7%
Draw -1
10.5%
Brechin +1
82.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Forfar)Actual: Forfar
Forfar +1
38.6%
Draw +1
21.8%
Brechin -1
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Forfar)Actual: Forfar
Forfar +2
60.4%
Draw +2
18.6%
Brechin -2
21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Forfar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.73
0.73
0.87
0.87
0.60
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
1.38
0.75
1.38
0.00
1.40
vs Similar (15)
1.13
0.27
0.83
0.33
1.33
0.22
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Brechin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brechin
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
1.13
0.41
1.24
0.38
1.00
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
1.22
0.14
1.43
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (14)
0.43
1.07
0.67
1.17
0.25
1.00
vs Weaker (7)
0.43
1.14
0.50
1.00
0.33
1.33
Clean sheet %
37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Forfar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brechin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brechin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brechin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Forfar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.93
0.73
0.73
0.40
1.13
vs Stronger (13)
0.38
1.08
0.38
0.62
0.40
1.80
vs Similar (15)
0.73
0.80
1.17
0.83
0.44
0.78
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Brechin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brechin
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
1.17
0.47
1.06
0.46
1.31
vs Stronger (9)
0.78
1.33
0.86
1.43
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.50
1.21
0.33
0.83
0.62
1.50
vs Weaker (7)
0.00
0.86
0.00
0.75
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Forfar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brechin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brechin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brechin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 23.5 fouls
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
89.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 21.5 fouls
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5 cards
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Scotland: League Two 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Clyde
Elgin
Edinburgh City
Kelty Hearts
Spartans
Stirling
Stranraer
Annan Athletic
Dumbarton