Forfar vs Edinburgh City Result & Analysis

Forfar’s recent form shows a solid offensive output, averaging 2.17 goals per home match against similarly ranked opponents, while conceding just 1.17. Edinburgh City, on the road, averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded versus comparable teams. These figures suggest a high-scoring affair, with the model predicting an average of 3.2 goals, most likely a 3-goal total. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 11.5% chance, and the model’s pick is a Forfar victory, with a 46% chance of a home win, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 29% chance of an Edinburgh City win. The model’s selections include Under 5.5 cards (89.5%), Under 25.5 fouls (83.9%), Over 1.5 (83.3%), Under 11.5 corners (82.2%), Under 23.5 fouls (71.8%), and the remaining picks Under 4.5 cards (78.1%) and Under 10.5 corners (72.9%). Each selection is listed with its probability, and the overall outcome probabilities are clearly stated.

The upset came as Forfar, the pre-match favourite with a 46% chance of victory, fell short, losing 2-3 to Edinburgh City. The model’s call was wrong, and the actual result was an away win. The match finished with three goals, matching the most likely total of three. The model’s favourite had a 46% probability, while the draw and away win odds were 25% and 29% respectively. The suggested picks all settled: Under 5.5 cards hit at 89.5%, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 83.9%, Over 1.5 hit at 83.3%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 82.2%, Under 23.5 fouls hit at 71.8%. The Under 4.5 cards and Under 10.5 corners selections missed, at 78.1% and 72.9% respectively. Both teams entered the game on a draw, with Forfar’s recent form noted as coming off a draw and Edinburgh City’s also coming off a draw.