This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Elgin
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.80
1.27
1.67
0.93
1.93
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
5.00
0.00
5.00
-
-
vs Similar (15)
1.13
1.93
1.50
1.38
0.71
2.57
vs Weaker (14)
1.14
1.43
1.17
1.50
1.12
1.38
Clean sheet %
10% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.6%
Under 1.5
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.2%
@ 1.95-4.6%
Under 2.5
56.8%
@ 1.79+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.3%
Under 3.5
77.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.5%
No
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 â
14.1%
1-0
11.0%
0-0
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.4%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
4.9%
Forfar goals ↓
Elgin goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
8.1%
4.9%
1.7%
0.4%
1
11%
14%
6.7%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.4%
8.8%
4.6%
1.6%
0.4%
3
3.8%
4.0%
2.1%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.3%
1.4%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Forfar goals (down), columns = Elgin goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Peterhead
1.83
East Fife
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.56
Elgin
1.53
Spartans
1.44
Stirling
1.33
Clyde
1.19
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.17
Stranraer
1.11
Forfar
1.00
Forfar is 0.53 points worse than Elgin in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.53).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
East Fife
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.50
Peterhead
1.44
Stirling
1.39
Clyde
1.36
Spartans
1.33
Elgin
1.33
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.11
Stranraer
0.94
Forfar
0.81
Forfar is 0.53 goals worse than Elgin in terms of goals scored per game (0.81 vs 1.33).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
East Fife
1.03
Peterhead
1.11
Elgin
1.14
Stranraer
1.17
Forfar
1.17
Spartans
1.31
Edinburgh City
1.31
Clyde
1.50
Stirling
1.58
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.72
Forfar is 0.03 goals worse than Elgin in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.14).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Forfar
For 4.8 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.4
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.1
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 11.1 · Total 24.8
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Elgin
For 4.0 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.5
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.3
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 12.7 · Total 23.8
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Forfar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.2
9.2
3.1
3.0
3.2
24.3
24.3
24.4
vs Stronger (30)
9.2
10.5
7.8
3.3
3.3
3.3
25.1
24.0
26.2
vs Similar (15)
10.4
9.1
11.5
2.9
3.3
2.6
23.3
25.3
21.5
vs Weaker (5)
10.4
11.3
9.0
2.4
1.0
4.5
23.8
23.3
24.5
% over line
50%
52%
48%
42%
44%
40%
74%
70%
78%
% under line
50%
48%
52%
58%
56%
60%
26%
30%
22%
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Elgin
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
8.8
8.7
3.1
3.1
3.0
23.6
24.9
22.5
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
8.6
8.4
8.8
3.4
4.5
2.5
23.7
24.9
22.6
vs Weaker (27)
8.8
9.0
8.6
2.9
2.2
3.5
23.6
24.9
22.4
% over line
39%
41%
38%
38%
29%
46%
63%
68%
58%
% under line
61%
59%
62%
62%
71%
54%
37%
32%
42%
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Edinburgh City
10.2
Stranraer
10.1
Stirling
10.1
Forfar
9.9
Clyde
9.6
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.6
East Fife
9.4
Spartans
9.2
Peterhead
8.7
Elgin
8.6
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.8
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.2
Stirling
3.9
East Fife
3.8
Edinburgh City
3.7
Stranraer
3.5
Clyde
3.5
Elgin
3.4
Forfar
3.4
Spartans
3.2
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
24.8
Forfar
24.1
Bonnyrigg Rose
23.8
Elgin
23.6
East Fife
21.2
Spartans
20.8
Edinburgh City
20.8
Clyde
20.4
Stirling
20.4
Stranraer
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
47.9%
Under 9.5
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
47.9%
Under 3.5
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
64.1%
Under 21.5
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Forfar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.57
0.60
0.67
0.40
0.47
vs Stronger (19)
0.53
0.37
0.62
0.38
0.45
0.36
vs Similar (8)
0.62
1.12
0.80
1.20
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Elgin
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.83
0.60
0.93
0.40
0.73
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.40
0.87
0.62
0.62
0.14
1.14
vs Weaker (14)
0.64
0.71
0.67
1.17
0.62
0.38
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Forfar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Forfar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.73
0.47
0.60
0.53
0.87
vs Stronger (19)
0.42
0.89
0.50
0.62
0.36
1.09
vs Similar (8)
0.38
0.62
0.20
0.80
0.67
0.33
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Elgin
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.97
0.67
0.73
0.53
1.20
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
0.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.73
1.07
0.88
0.75
0.57
1.43
vs Weaker (14)
0.50
0.71
0.50
0.33
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Forfar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 3.5
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 4.5 cards
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Over 1.5
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Scotland: League Two 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Peterhead
East Fife
Edinburgh City
Spartans
Stirling
Clyde
Stranraer