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Forfar vs Kelty Hearts Result & Analysis

Date: 14/08/2021
Time: 15:00
Final 2-2
Forfar
Forfar
vs
Kelty Hearts
Kelty Hearts
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forfar win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ForfarForfar

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L12L13L13L01L21W21W23L20W20WA·CLY08/04H·EAS10/04A·AIR13/04H·CLY20/04A·DUM27/04H·CLY29/04A·PET01/05H·EAS04/05A·ANN31/07H·EDI07/08← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.501.001.600.801.40
vs Stronger (19)0.841.740.782.000.901.50
vs Similar (7)0.860.571.000.330.750.75
vs Weaker (4)1.252.001.671.670.003.00
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W31WH·COW31/07A·STI07/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.500.502.000.003.001.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (1)2.000.002.000.00--
vs Weaker (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kelty Hearts
2.25
Forfar
1.67
Annan Athletic
1.64
Edinburgh City
1.44
Stenhousemuir
1.36
Stranraer
1.31
Stirling
1.17
Albion Rvs
1.08
Elgin
1.03
Cowdenbeath
0.81
Forfar is 0.58 points worse than Kelty Hearts in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 2.25).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kelty Hearts
1.89
Annan Athletic
1.78
Forfar
1.58
Stranraer
1.39
Stenhousemuir
1.31
Edinburgh City
1.19
Stirling
1.14
Albion Rvs
1.03
Elgin
0.92
Cowdenbeath
0.78
Forfar is 0.31 goals worse than Kelty Hearts in terms of goals scored per game (1.58 vs 1.89).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kelty Hearts
0.78
Forfar
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.28
Stirling
1.28
Cowdenbeath
1.36
Edinburgh City
1.36
Annan Athletic
1.42
Elgin
1.42
Stranraer
1.50
Albion Rvs
1.61
Forfar is 0.22 goals worse than Kelty Hearts in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.78).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ForfarForfar

For 3.8 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.2

🚩 Corners

110653433454334324728631176977511109H·EDIA·ANNH·EASA·PETH·CLYA·DUMH·CLYA·AIRH·EASA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.5 · Total 2.9

🟨 Cards

60222131121211233112414332262H·EDIA·ANNH·EASA·PETH·CLYA·DUMH·CLYA·AIRH·EASA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 9.5 · Total 23.1

⚠️ Fouls

320151021111181615158101416912311119625321931232425152215H·EDIA·ANNH·EASA·PETH·CLYA·DUMH·CLYA·AIRH·EASA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts

For 6.0 · Against 4.0 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

1108345119A·STIH·COW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.5 · Against 2.0 · Total 2.5

🟨 Cards

3011323A·STIH·COW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 9.0 · Total 20.5

⚠️ Fouls

24010713111724A·STIH·COW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ForfarForfar

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.48.08.93.13.03.222.022.022.0
vs Stronger (34)8.67.99.33.33.53.021.821.422.2
vs Similar (10)7.77.87.72.91.53.823.324.522.5
vs Weaker (6)8.58.29.02.32.22.521.022.218.5
% over line30%28%32%38%32%44%50%48%52%
% under line70%72%68%62%68%56%50%52%48%
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (2)10.09.011.02.53.02.020.524.017.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (1)9.09.0-3.03.0-24.024.0-
vs Weaker (1)11.0-11.02.0-2.017.0-17.0
% over line50%0%100%0%0%0%50%100%0%
% under line50%100%0%100%100%100%50%0%100%
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.5
Albion Rvs
10.3
Cowdenbeath
10.2
Elgin
10.1
Stenhousemuir
10.0
Kelty Hearts
10.0
Stranraer
9.7
Annan Athletic
9.6
Edinburgh City
9.1
Forfar
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cowdenbeath
4.5
Elgin
4.2
Stenhousemuir
4.0
Stirling
3.8
Annan Athletic
3.7
Edinburgh City
3.6
Stranraer
3.3
Albion Rvs
3.3
Forfar
3.1
Kelty Hearts
2.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Annan Athletic
24.8
Cowdenbeath
24.5
Stirling
23.4
Albion Rvs
22.8
Stenhousemuir
22.5
Stranraer
22.2
Edinburgh City
22.1
Elgin
22.1
Forfar
22.0
Kelty Hearts
20.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
46.9%
Under 9.5
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.5%
Under 3.5
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
52.2%
Under 21.5
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ForfarForfar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L11D11D00D11D00D11D20W10WA·CLY08/04H·EAS10/04A·AIR13/04H·CLY20/04A·DUM27/04H·CLY29/04A·PET01/05H·EAS04/05A·ANN31/07H·EDI07/08← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.670.470.670.400.67
vs Stronger (19)0.320.790.220.890.400.70
vs Similar (7)0.570.140.670.000.500.25
vs Weaker (4)0.751.001.000.670.002.00
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20WH·COW31/07A·STI07/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.500.001.000.002.000.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %100% (+73pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Forfar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ForfarForfar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D02L02L01L10W21W12L00D10WA·CLY08/04H·EAS10/04A·AIR13/04H·CLY20/04A·DUM27/04H·CLY29/04A·PET01/05H·EAS04/05A·ANN31/07H·EDI07/08← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.830.530.930.400.73
vs Stronger (19)0.530.950.561.110.500.80
vs Similar (7)0.290.430.330.330.250.50
vs Weaker (4)0.501.000.671.000.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11DH·COW31/07A·STI07/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.501.000.001.001.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Forfar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards88.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls78.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards76.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners75.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (4)
€1m
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Forfar and Kelty Hearts have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Forfar and Kelty Hearts have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Forfar and Kelty Hearts have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
FOR wins
0
Draws
0
KH wins

Head-to-head

Forfar vs Kelty Hearts · H/A from FOR
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

ForfarForfar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/08/21HFOR Vs Edinburgh City2-0
31/07/21AAnnan Athletic Vs FOR0-2
04/05/21HFOR Vs East Fife2-3
01/05/21APeterhead Vs FOR1-2
29/04/21HFOR Vs Clyde2-1
27/04/21ADumbarton Vs FOR1-0
20/04/21HFOR Vs Clyde1-3
13/04/21AAirdrie United Vs FOR3-1
10/04/21HFOR Vs East Fife1-2
08/04/21AClyde Vs FOR3-0

Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/08/21AStirling Vs KH1-3
31/07/21HKH Vs Cowdenbeath2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Forfar
Forfar
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW0.82
HomeLLWLW0.80
AwayLLLWW0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%20%20%
AVG goals2.582.842.32
Over 1.5 %74%84%64%
Over 2.5 %48%52%44%
Over 3.5 %24%28%20%
Scored0.901.120.68
Conceded1.681.721.64
BTTS48%64%32%
Clean Sheet20%16%24%
Corners8.427.968.88
Cards3.083.003.16
Kelty Hearts
Kelty Hearts
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWW3.00
HomeW3.00
AwayW3.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %100%100%100%
AVG goals3.002.004.00
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %50%0%100%
Over 3.5 %50%0%100%
Scored2.502.003.00
Conceded0.500.001.00
BTTS50%0%100%
Clean Sheet50%100%0%
Corners10.009.0011.00
Cards2.503.002.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts3681
67%
2.2
6828+40
2.7
69%
47%
33%
9.0
39%
3.2
36%
20.0
33%
1
1001.90.8
-
2ForfarForfar3660
44%
1.7
5736+21
2.6
78%
36%
28%
9.3
47%
3.1
44%
22.2
47%
0
0001.61.0
-
3Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3659
50%
1.6
6451+13
3.2
86%
64%
42%
9.5
47%
3.8
53%
21.7
46%
0
0001.81.4
-
4Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3652
39%
1.4
4349-6
2.6
75%
47%
31%
8.9
50%
3.1
36%
19.6
31%
0
0001.21.4
-
5StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3649
36%
1.4
4746+1
2.6
78%
42%
28%
9.8
53%
3.7
61%
21.2
53%
0
0001.31.3
-
6StranraerStranraer3647
36%
1.3
5054-4
2.9
81%
53%
33%
8.8
39%
4.3
58%
22.1
53%
0
0001.41.5
-
7StirlingStirling3642
31%
1.2
4146-5
2.4
67%
44%
25%
8.4
25%
3.8
56%
21.7
47%
0
0001.11.3
-
8
AR
Albion Rvs		3639
28%
1.1
3758-21
2.6
67%
50%
33%
8.8
33%
3.0
33%
20.1
42%
0
0001.01.6
-
9ElginElgin3637
25%
1.0
3351-18
2.3
81%
36%
19%
8.1
22%
3.9
53%
22.9
60%
0
0000.91.4
-
10CowdenbeathCowdenbeath3629
19%
0.8
2849-21
2.1
64%
36%
17%
9.1
33%
3.9
53%
21.5
53%
0
0000.81.4
-
Scotland: League Two 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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