Forfar and Stirling face a finely balanced contest, each side showing similar recent form and a comparable strength tier. The model favours a home win, with a 37% chance, followed by a 31% draw and a 32% away win. The expected total is 2.3 goals, centring on a 2-goal outcome at 28%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.5% probability. Forfar, at home against a similar opponent, averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.4 conceded, while Stirling, away, averages 2.33 scored and 0.67 conceded. The suggested selections are: Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (99.0%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.3%), Under 5.5 (96.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (96.5%), Under 4.5 (91.2%), Away under 2.5 goals (89.7%) and Over 19.5 fouls (88.2%). All probabilities are expressed as percentages.
Results analysis
The upset came as Forfar’s home win, the pre-match favourite at 37%, failed to materialise, leaving a 2-2 draw that extended their recent run of draws and losses. The model’s call was wrong, but its other selections proved accurate: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.7%, Under 6.5 at 99.0%, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.3%, Under 5.5 at 96.8%, Home under 3.5 goals at 96.5%, Under 4.5 at 91.2%, and Away under 2.5 goals at 89.7%. The match’s most likely score of 1-1, with a 28% probability, was eclipsed by the 2-2 result, underscoring the unpredictability of cup ties.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Forfar win✗ Miss
37.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
30.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stirling win✗ Miss
32.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Forfar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.23
0.86
1.14
0.75
1.31
vs Stronger (19)
0.74
1.32
0.71
1.14
0.75
1.42
vs Similar (8)
0.75
1.38
1.00
1.40
0.33
1.33
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.33
1.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stirling
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.53
1.41
1.47
1.15
1.62
vs Stronger (21)
0.86
1.86
1.00
1.67
0.67
2.11
vs Similar (7)
2.29
0.86
2.25
1.00
2.33
0.67
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
0.50
3.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.0%
Under 1.5
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.3%
Under 2.5
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
20.8%
Under 3.5
79.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.7%
No
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.0%
1-0
10.5%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
6.0%
Forfar goals ↓
Stirling goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
9.5%
6.0%
2.2%
0.6%
1
10%
14%
7.3%
2.7%
0.8%
2
7.2%
8.0%
4.5%
1.7%
0.5%
3
2.9%
3.3%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.9%
1.0%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Forfar goals (down), columns = Stirling goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Cumnock Juniors
3.00
Clachnacuddin
3.00
Formartine United
3.00
Celtic
2.60
Musselburgh Athletic
2.40
Clydebank
2.40
Cowdenbeath
2.33
Jeanfield Swifts
2.33
ST Johnstone
2.25
Bo'ness Athletic
2.25
Irvine Meadow
2.25
Aberdeen
2.20
Dundee
2.00
ST Mirren
2.00
Hibernian
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Dunfermline
2.00
Stranraer
2.00
Montrose
2.00
Stirling
2.00
Cove Rangers
2.00
East Kilbride
2.00
Heart Of Midlothian
2.00
Ayr Utd
2.00
Airdrie United
2.00
Hamilton Academical
2.00
Threave Rovers
2.00
Banks O' Dee
2.00
Lochee United
2.00
Auchinleck Talbot
2.00
Bo'ness United
2.00
Buckie Thistle
2.00
Dundonald Bluebell
2.00
Camelon Juniors
2.00
Sauchie Juniors
2.00
Turriff United
2.00
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
2.00
Brechin
1.75
Fraserburgh
1.75
Broxburn Athletic
1.75
Dundee North End
1.75
Rangers
1.50
Dumbarton
1.50
Peterhead
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Berwick Rangers
1.50
Culter
1.50
Whitehill Welfare
1.50
Vale of Leithen
1.50
Dunbar United
1.50
Carluke Rovers
1.50
Caledonian Braves
1.50
Dalkeith Thistle
1.50
Newtongrange Star
1.50
Rutherglen Glencairn
1.50
Burntisland Shipyard
1.50
Cupar Hearts
1.50
Civil Service Strollers
1.50
Darvel
1.50
Girvan
1.50
Tynecastle
1.50
Livingston
1.33
Forfar
1.33
Elgin
1.33
Queen's Park
1.25
Ross County
1.00
Partick
1.00
Clyde
1.00
Wick Academy
1.00
Inverurie Loco Works
1.00
Edinburgh City
0.50
Raith Rovers
0.50
Keith
0.50
Huntly
0.50
Motherwell
0.00
Kilmarnock
0.00
Morton
0.00
Arbroath
0.00
East Fife
0.00
Annan Athletic
0.00
Kelty Hearts
0.00
Spartans
0.00
Dundee Utd
0.00
Inverness CT
0.00
Alloa Athletic
0.00
Gretna 2008
0.00
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.00
Preston Athletic
0.00
Hawick Royal Albert
0.00
Creetown
0.00
Benburb
0.00
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0.00
Nairn County
0.00
Kilwinning Rangers
0.00
Strathspey Thistle
0.00
Bonnyton Thistle
0.00
Tayport
0.00
Stirling University
0.00
Deveronvale
0.00
Glenafton Athletic
0.00
Cumbernauld Colts
0.00
Tranent Juniors
0.00
East Stirlingshire
0.00
Beith
0.00
Invergordon
0.00
Edinburgh University
0.00
Coldstream
0.00
Golspie Sutherland
0.00
Newton Stewart
0.00
Penicuik Athletic
0.00
Dalbeattie Star
0.00
Haddington Athletic
0.00
St Andrews United
0.00
Albion Rovers
0.00
BSC Glasgow
0.00
Rothes
0.00
Forres Mechanics
0.00
Blackburn United
0.00
Glasgow University
0.00
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
0.00
Lothian Hutchison
0.00
Easthouses Lily
0.00
Dunipace
0.00
Wigtown & Bladnoch
0.00
Pollok
0.00
Fort William
0.00
Forfar is 0.67 points worse than Stirling in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Girvan
5.00
Peterhead
4.00
Stirling
4.00
Threave Rovers
4.00
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
3.67
Camelon Juniors
3.50
Ayr Utd
3.33
Lochee United
3.33
Celtic
3.00
Cumnock Juniors
3.00
Clachnacuddin
3.00
Clydebank
3.00
Cupar Hearts
3.00
Tynecastle
3.00
Fraserburgh
2.75
Sauchie Juniors
2.67
Rangers
2.50
Stenhousemuir
2.50
Montrose
2.50
Irvine Meadow
2.50
Culter
2.50
Aberdeen
2.40
Bo'ness United
2.33
Heart Of Midlothian
2.25
Bo'ness Athletic
2.25
Ross County
2.00
Partick
2.00
Dundee
2.00
ST Mirren
2.00
Dumbarton
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Cowdenbeath
2.00
Stranraer
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
East Kilbride
2.00
Alloa Athletic
2.00
Airdrie United
2.00
Berwick Rangers
2.00
Jeanfield Swifts
2.00
Formartine United
2.00
Dundee North End
2.00
Preston Athletic
2.00
Vale of Leithen
2.00
Auchinleck Talbot
2.00
Dundonald Bluebell
2.00
Deveronvale
2.00
Glenafton Athletic
2.00
Wick Academy
2.00
East Stirlingshire
2.00
Newtongrange Star
2.00
Rutherglen Glencairn
2.00
Huntly
2.00
Livingston
1.67
Dunfermline
1.67
Hamilton Academical
1.67
Musselburgh Athletic
1.60
Brechin
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Broxburn Athletic
1.50
Carluke Rovers
1.50
Caledonian Braves
1.50
Burntisland Shipyard
1.50
Civil Service Strollers
1.50
Darvel
1.50
Hibernian
1.33
Elgin
1.33
Cove Rangers
1.33
Buckie Thistle
1.33
Kilmarnock
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Clyde
1.00
Edinburgh City
1.00
Spartans
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
Banks O' Dee
1.00
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
1.00
Whitehill Welfare
1.00
Dunbar United
1.00
Creetown
1.00
Nairn County
1.00
Tayport
1.00
Turriff United
1.00
Beith
1.00
Edinburgh University
1.00
Dalbeattie Star
1.00
Haddington Athletic
1.00
Inverurie Loco Works
1.00
Albion Rovers
1.00
Forres Mechanics
1.00
Dunipace
1.00
Pollok
1.00
ST Johnstone
0.75
Raith Rovers
0.50
Keith
0.50
Dalkeith Thistle
0.50
Motherwell
0.00
Morton
0.00
Arbroath
0.00
East Fife
0.00
Annan Athletic
0.00
Dundee Utd
0.00
Inverness CT
0.00
Gretna 2008
0.00
Hawick Royal Albert
0.00
Benburb
0.00
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0.00
Kilwinning Rangers
0.00
Strathspey Thistle
0.00
Bonnyton Thistle
0.00
Stirling University
0.00
Cumbernauld Colts
0.00
Tranent Juniors
0.00
Invergordon
0.00
Coldstream
0.00
Golspie Sutherland
0.00
Newton Stewart
0.00
Penicuik Athletic
0.00
St Andrews United
0.00
BSC Glasgow
0.00
Rothes
0.00
Blackburn United
0.00
Glasgow University
0.00
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
0.00
Lothian Hutchison
0.00
Easthouses Lily
0.00
Wigtown & Bladnoch
0.00
Fort William
0.00
Forfar is 3.00 goals worse than Stirling in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 4.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Formartine United
0.00
Ayr Utd
0.33
Celtic
0.40
Rangers
0.50
Camelon Juniors
0.50
Turriff United
0.50
Newtongrange Star
0.50
Aberdeen
0.60
Hibernian
0.67
Jeanfield Swifts
0.67
Banks O' Dee
0.67
Dundee North End
0.75
Clydebank
0.80
Motherwell
1.00
Dundee
1.00
ST Mirren
1.00
Falkirk
1.00
Livingston
1.00
Arbroath
1.00
East Fife
1.00
Stirling
1.00
Clyde
1.00
Cove Rangers
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.00
Heart Of Midlothian
1.00
Hamilton Academical
1.00
Cumnock Juniors
1.00
Clachnacuddin
1.00
Musselburgh Athletic
1.00
Culter
1.00
Auchinleck Talbot
1.00
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1.00
Bonnyton Thistle
1.00
Carluke Rovers
1.00
Buckie Thistle
1.00
Dundonald Bluebell
1.00
Caledonian Braves
1.00
Sauchie Juniors
1.00
Penicuik Athletic
1.00
Inverurie Loco Works
1.00
BSC Glasgow
1.00
Darvel
1.00
Blackburn United
1.00
ST Johnstone
1.25
Forfar
1.33
Dunfermline
1.33
Cowdenbeath
1.33
East Kilbride
1.33
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
1.33
Stranraer
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Edinburgh City
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Berwick Rangers
1.50
Fraserburgh
1.50
Whitehill Welfare
1.50
Rutherglen Glencairn
1.50
Civil Service Strollers
1.50
Girvan
1.50
Tynecastle
1.50
Airdrie United
1.67
Bo'ness United
1.67
Brechin
1.75
Ross County
2.00
Partick
2.00
Kilmarnock
2.00
Morton
2.00
Elgin
2.00
Montrose
2.00
Annan Athletic
2.00
Spartans
2.00
Inverness CT
2.00
Queen's Park
2.00
Gretna 2008
2.00
Threave Rovers
2.00
Bo'ness Athletic
2.00
Irvine Meadow
2.00
Dunbar United
2.00
Kilwinning Rangers
2.00
Keith
2.00
Stirling University
2.00
Wick Academy
2.00
Golspie Sutherland
2.00
Dalbeattie Star
2.00
Dalkeith Thistle
2.00
Albion Rovers
2.00
Cupar Hearts
2.00
Forres Mechanics
2.00
Lothian Hutchison
2.00
Dunipace
2.00
Broxburn Athletic
2.25
Burntisland Shipyard
2.50
Huntly
2.50
Lochee United
2.67
Peterhead
3.00
Kelty Hearts
3.00
Raith Rovers
3.00
Alloa Athletic
3.00
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3.00
Preston Athletic
3.00
Vale of Leithen
3.00
Creetown
3.00
Benburb
3.00
Nairn County
3.00
Tayport
3.00
Cumbernauld Colts
3.00
East Stirlingshire
3.00
Beith
3.00
Edinburgh University
3.00
Newton Stewart
3.00
Pollok
3.00
Dumbarton
3.50
Hawick Royal Albert
4.00
Deveronvale
4.00
Glenafton Athletic
4.00
Tranent Juniors
4.00
Invergordon
4.00
Haddington Athletic
4.00
Glasgow University
4.00
Easthouses Lily
4.00
Wigtown & Bladnoch
4.00
Strathspey Thistle
6.00
Coldstream
6.00
St Andrews United
7.00
Rothes
8.00
Fort William
8.00
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
9.00
Forfar is 0.33 goals worse than Stirling in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Forfar
For 5.6 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 11.8 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Stirling
For 4.0 · Against 5.5 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 11.1 · Total 23.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Forfar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.5
9.7
3.5
3.1
3.8
24.7
23.8
25.6
vs Stronger (31)
9.0
9.5
8.7
3.5
3.4
3.6
25.2
23.7
26.3
vs Similar (14)
10.3
8.8
12.3
3.7
3.5
4.0
24.1
24.1
24.2
vs Weaker (5)
10.4
11.3
9.0
2.4
1.0
4.5
23.8
23.3
24.5
% over line
47%
41%
52%
50%
48%
52%
73%
64%
83%
% under line
53%
59%
48%
50%
52%
48%
27%
36%
17%
This opponent (Stirling) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stirling
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.0
10.7
3.7
3.8
3.6
21.5
21.4
21.6
vs Stronger (37)
10.2
9.8
10.7
3.7
4.0
3.4
21.0
20.7
21.4
vs Similar (11)
10.5
10.5
10.5
3.8
3.4
4.2
23.3
24.2
22.7
vs Weaker (2)
12.5
13.0
12.0
3.5
3.0
4.0
20.5
23.0
18.0
% over line
67%
70%
64%
50%
46%
54%
47%
43%
50%
% under line
33%
30%
36%
50%
54%
46%
53%
57%
50%
This opponent (Forfar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Celtic
12.5
Dumbarton
11.8
Heart Of Midlothian
11.2
Kilmarnock
11.2
Kelty Hearts
11.1
Motherwell
11.0
Dundee Utd
11.0
Arbroath
11.0
Rangers
10.9
Ross County
10.9
Morton
10.8
Dundee
10.8
Dunfermline
10.7
Falkirk
10.7
ST Mirren
10.6
Aberdeen
10.6
ST Johnstone
10.5
Hibernian
10.4
Stirling
10.3
Stenhousemuir
10.2
Airdrie United
10.2
Montrose
10.1
Brechin
10.0
Cove Rangers
10.0
Stranraer
9.9
Partick
9.9
Inverness CT
9.9
Forfar
9.8
Edinburgh City
9.8
Annan Athletic
9.6
East Fife
9.6
Livingston
9.5
Cowdenbeath
9.4
Spartans
9.3
Clyde
9.3
Elgin
8.9
Peterhead
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Peterhead
5.1
Morton
4.6
Rangers
4.5
Aberdeen
4.4
Annan Athletic
4.4
Motherwell
4.3
Heart Of Midlothian
4.3
Dundee Utd
4.3
Dundee
4.2
Hibernian
4.2
Kilmarnock
4.2
ST Johnstone
4.1
Edinburgh City
4.1
Stenhousemuir
4.1
Stirling
4.0
Falkirk
4.0
Elgin
4.0
Dunfermline
3.9
Cowdenbeath
3.9
Ross County
3.9
Livingston
3.9
Dumbarton
3.8
Stranraer
3.8
Montrose
3.8
Forfar
3.8
ST Mirren
3.8
East Fife
3.7
Clyde
3.7
Celtic
3.7
Arbroath
3.6
Kelty Hearts
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Partick
3.5
Airdrie United
3.4
Spartans
3.4
Inverness CT
3.1
Cove Rangers
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
24.9
Elgin
24.7
Forfar
24.6
Aberdeen
24.3
Livingston
23.9
Stenhousemuir
22.8
Morton
22.8
Kilmarnock
22.5
Motherwell
22.3
ST Johnstone
22.1
Edinburgh City
22.1
Rangers
22.1
Ross County
22.1
Falkirk
22.0
East Fife
22.0
Cowdenbeath
21.9
ST Mirren
21.8
Heart Of Midlothian
21.7
Spartans
21.7
Clyde
21.6
Dundee Utd
21.5
Kelty Hearts
21.4
Hibernian
21.3
Stirling
21.3
Annan Athletic
21.0
Montrose
20.7
Brechin
20.4
Arbroath
20.3
Dundee
20.0
Stranraer
19.9
Celtic
19.6
Dumbarton
19.6
Partick
19.6
Inverness CT
19.4
Dunfermline
19.3
Airdrie United
19.2
Cove Rangers
18.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
53.5%
Under 9.5
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
62.9%
Under 3.5
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
77.7%
Under 21.5
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Forfar or Draw✓ Hit
67.9%
Avg Implied -
37%
31%
32%
covers Forfar + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Forfar or Stirling✗ Miss
69.3%
Avg Implied -
37%
31%
32%
covers Forfar + Stirling
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Stirling✓ Hit
62.8%
Avg Implied -
37%
31%
32%
covers Draw + Stirling
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Forfar over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
70.5%
Under
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
34.4%
Under
65.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.5%
Under
87.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.5%
Under
96.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
67.2%
Under
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
30.7%
Under
69.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.3%
Under
89.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Forfar, so a minus line means Forfar give that many goals of a start and Stirling receive them. At -1, Forfar must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Forfar win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Forfar)Actual: Stirling
Forfar -2
5.6%
Draw -2
11.1%
Stirling +2
83.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Forfar)Actual: Stirling
Forfar -1
16.6%
Draw -1
20.6%
Stirling +1
62.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Forfar)Actual: Forfar
Forfar +1
67.9%
Draw +1
18.7%
Stirling -1
13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Forfar)Actual: Forfar
Forfar +2
86.6%
Draw +2
9.3%
Stirling -2
4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Forfar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.53
0.29
0.64
0.31
0.44
vs Stronger (19)
0.26
0.42
0.14
0.57
0.33
0.33
vs Similar (8)
0.50
0.88
0.60
0.80
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stirling
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.80
0.76
0.82
0.46
0.77
vs Stronger (21)
0.48
0.95
0.58
0.92
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (7)
1.00
0.43
1.25
0.50
0.67
0.33
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Forfar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Forfar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.70
0.57
0.50
0.44
0.88
vs Stronger (19)
0.47
0.89
0.57
0.57
0.42
1.08
vs Similar (8)
0.25
0.50
0.40
0.60
0.00
0.33
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stirling
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.73
0.65
0.65
0.69
0.85
vs Stronger (21)
0.38
0.90
0.42
0.75
0.33
1.11
vs Similar (7)
1.29
0.43
1.00
0.50
1.67
0.33
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Forfar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Forfar and Stirling have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Forfar and Stirling have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Forfar and Stirling have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Forfar and Stirling have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Scotland: League Two 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Peterhead
East Fife
Edinburgh City
Elgin
Spartans
Clyde
Stranraer