Forfar vs Stranraer Result & Analysis

Forfar and Stranraer face each other in a tightly balanced contest, with the model favouring a home win. The odds are 39% for Forfar, 29% for a draw, and 33% for Stranraer, making the home side the slight favourite. The average number of goals expected is 2.6, with the most likely total being two goals at a 26% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 13.6% chance. Forfar, playing at home against a similarly strong opponent, averages one goal scored and none conceded, while Stranraer, on the road, averages 1.33 goals scored and one conceded. The model’s selections include Under 5.5 cards at 85.6%, Under 11.5 corners at 81.5%, Over 1.5 goals at 75.4%, Over 19.5 fouls at 74.3%, Under 25.5 fouls at 72.9%, Under 3.5 goals at 72.6%, Under 4.5 cards at 72.3%, and Under 10.5 corners at 72.0%. All figures are presented as percentages.

The pre-match favourite, a Home win with a 39% probability, failed to deliver as the match finished 1-1, a draw that extended Forfar’s recent run of a draw, win, loss, draw, win. The model’s prediction was therefore wrong. The final score of 1-1 matched the most likely score of 1-1, which had a 13.6% chance. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 5.5 cards hit at 85.6%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 81.5%, Over 1.5 hit at 75.4%, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 74.3%, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 72.9%, Under 3.5 hit at 72.6%, Under 4.5 cards hit at 72.3%, and Under 10.5 corners hit at 72.0%. All selections performed as predicted.