Forfar vs Stranraer Result & Analysis

Forfar’s attack and defence are balanced, scoring an average of two goals and conceding one against teams of similar strength, while Stranraer’s away form sees them net 1.25 and allow one. The model projects a high-scoring encounter with an expected 3.2 goals, and the most likely total is three goals. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying an 11.1% chance. Home victory is the favourite, with a 50% chance, a draw at 24%, and an away win at 26%. The model’s selections include Under 11.5 corners at 88.1%, Over 1.5 goals at 83.9%, Under 5.5 cards at 82.7%, Under 10.5 corners at 80.7%, Under 25.5 fouls at 79.7%, Over 2.5 cards at 71.8%, and Under 9.5 corners at 70.5%. Forfar is coming off a draw, while Stranraer arrives after a win, setting the stage for a competitive match that could see both sides find the net.

The match finished 3-2 in favour of Forfar, extending their recent run after a draw. The model had picked a home win with a 50% probability, and it proved correct. The predicted most likely score of 2-0 at 7.2% was not hit, but the 2-1 outcome at 9.5% came close. The model’s selections were mixed: Under 11.5 corners (88.1%) missed, Over 1.5 (83.9%) hit, Under 5.5 cards (82.7%) hit, Under 10.5 corners (80.7%) missed, Under 25.5 fouls (79.7%) hit, Over 2.5 cards (71.8%) hit, and Under 9.5 corners (70.5%) missed. Overall, the model’s favourite was right, but many of its ancillary picks fell short.