Forfar’s recent 1-1 draw against Edinburgh City leaves them looking to capitalize on a solid home form, scoring 2.17 goals per match while conceding only 0.67. Stranraer, after a 2-0 win over Kelty Hearts, has struggled away, averaging 1.17 goals scored and 2.00 conceded against similar opposition. The model’s strongest edge is the home win probability of 55%, far above the market’s implied 26% draw and 19% away win, reflecting Forfar’s defensive solidity and the under-2.5-goals bias in the market. The expected total of 2.7 goals points to a modestly open game, yet the most likely scoreline is 1-1 with a 12.3% chance, underscoring the balanced nature of the encounter. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.4%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.7% with an 8% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (98.5% with a 9% edge), Under 6.5 (98.0% with a 5% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.7% with an 8% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.7%), Under 5.5 (94.5% with a 4% edge), and Home under 2.5 2H goals (93.9% with a 3% edge). The model’s pick remains a Forfar victory.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Forfar win
55.2%
Avg Implied 31.8% · @ 2.86
Edge
+23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.95
Betfair
2.90
1xBet
2.89
William Hil
2.88
Bet365
2.88
Draw
25.8%
Avg Implied 28.1% · @ 3.24
Edge
-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.30
Dafabet
3.25
Betano
3.25
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.25
Stranraer win
19.0%
Avg Implied 40.1% · @ 2.27
Edge
-21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.32
Betfair
2.30
1xBet
2.26
Dafabet
2.26
Bet365
2.25
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Forfar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.47
1.80
1.13
0.80
1.80
vs Stronger (14)
1.14
2.07
1.62
1.50
0.50
2.83
vs Similar (13)
1.62
0.77
2.17
0.67
1.14
0.86
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.67
1.00
1.00
0.50
2.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stranraer
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.40
1.12
1.06
1.21
1.79
vs Stronger (19)
1.16
1.32
1.09
1.09
1.25
1.62
vs Similar (11)
1.18
1.55
1.20
1.00
1.17
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
75.9%
@ 1.27+3.8%
Under 1.5
24.1%
@ 3.28-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.27
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Under
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.28
Marathonbet
3.28
Betano
3.20
Unibet
3.15
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
50.1%
@ 1.90+1.1%
Under 2.5
49.9%
@ 1.82-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.91
Betfair
1.90
Marathonbet
1.89
1xBet
1.89
Under
Betfair
1.87
Bet365
1.85
Betano
1.83
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.81
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
28.1%
@ 3.17-0.8%
Under 3.5
71.9%
@ 1.29+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.20
1xBet
3.20
Betano
3.10
Unibet
3.10
Under
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
Unibet
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Both teams to score
Yes
51.3%
@ 1.72-2.6%
No
48.7%
@ 2.00+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Betano
1.70
No
Betano
2.02
1xBet
2.01
Bet365
2.00
William Hil
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%@ 6.02+4.9%
1-0
10.8%@ 9.06+5.9%
2-0
10.4%@ 14.38+7.3%
2-1
9.8%@ 9.95+5.2%
0-0
8.0%@ 9.54+3.3%
3-0
6.0%@ 31.17+4.6%
3-1
5.7%@ 23.00+3.7%
0-1
5.3%@ 7.86-0.4%
Forfar goals ↓
Stranraer goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.0%
5.3%
3.0%
0.9%
0.2%
1
11%
12%
5.2%
1.6%
0.4%
2
10%
9.8%
4.6%
1.4%
0.3%
3
6.0%
5.7%
2.7%
0.8%
0.2%
4
2.6%
2.5%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Forfar goals (down), columns = Stranraer goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Elgin
2.20
Clyde
2.00
Forfar
1.60
Edinburgh City
1.60
Stranraer
1.40
Spartans
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.20
Kelty Hearts
1.20
Stirling
0.80
Dumbarton
0.60
Forfar is 0.20 points better than Stranraer in terms of average points per game (1.60 vs 1.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Elgin
3.40
Spartans
2.40
Clyde
2.20
Edinburgh City
1.40
Kelty Hearts
1.40
Forfar
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.20
Stirling
1.20
Stranraer
1.20
Dumbarton
0.40
Forfar and Stranraer are level in goals scored per game (both 1.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Forfar
1.00
Elgin
1.00
Clyde
1.20
Stranraer
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.40
Edinburgh City
1.60
Dumbarton
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Spartans
2.20
Stirling
2.40
Forfar is 0.20 goals better than Stranraer in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.20).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Forfar
For 4.2 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 12.8 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Stranraer
For 7.3 · Against 3.0 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 11.7 · Total 22.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Forfar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.8
8.6
3.0
3.1
3.0
23.8
23.4
24.3
vs Stronger (22)
9.5
10.1
8.8
2.8
3.0
2.5
24.9
23.1
27.0
vs Similar (23)
8.8
9.5
8.1
3.1
3.0
3.2
23.6
24.0
23.2
vs Weaker (5)
10.5
10.5
10.5
4.0
4.5
3.7
21.2
21.0
21.5
% over line
51%
58%
44%
44%
48%
40%
68%
63%
72%
% under line
49%
42%
56%
56%
52%
60%
32%
37%
28%
This opponent (Stranraer) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stranraer
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
10.6
11.3
3.0
2.7
3.4
22.7
23.1
22.3
vs Stronger (32)
10.9
10.2
11.7
2.7
2.2
3.5
23.0
23.5
22.5
vs Similar (18)
10.9
11.0
10.8
3.6
4.0
3.3
22.2
22.5
22.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
61%
67%
56%
46%
41%
52%
58%
56%
61%
% under line
39%
33%
44%
54%
59%
48%
42%
44%
39%
This opponent (Forfar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.9
Dumbarton
10.4
Stranraer
10.3
Elgin
10.3
Annan Athletic
9.9
Clyde
9.8
Kelty Hearts
9.5
Edinburgh City
9.2
Spartans
9.2
Forfar
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Edinburgh City
5.1
Forfar
4.3
Elgin
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.2
Clyde
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
Spartans
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Dumbarton
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Forfar
24.0
Edinburgh City
23.9
Elgin
22.7
Kelty Hearts
22.5
Stranraer
22.3
Annan Athletic
22.2
Clyde
21.7
Stirling
21.1
Dumbarton
20.5
Spartans
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
58.4%
@ 1.80+6.6%
Under 9.5
41.6%
@ 1.94-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.82
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Under
Bet365
1.98
1xBet
1.92
Betano
1.91
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
58.6%
Under 3.5
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
60.2%
Under 21.5
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Forfar or Draw
81.0%
Avg Implied 59.7% · @ 1.54
Edge
+21.4%
55%
26%
19%
covers Forfar + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.60
William Hil
1.60
Betfair
1.57
Bet365
1.53
1xBet
1.51
Forfar or Stranraer
74.2%
Avg Implied 72.1% · @ 1.27
Edge
+2.1%
55%
26%
19%
covers Forfar + Stranraer
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.30
William Hil
1.30
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Draw or Stranraer
44.8%
Avg Implied 68.2% · @ 1.35
Edge
-23.4%
55%
26%
19%
covers Draw + Stranraer
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.40
William Hil
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Marathonbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Forfar over/under 0.5
Over
82.5%
@ 1.34+13.3%
Under
17.5%
@ 3.01-13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.31
Under
1xBet
3.04
Bet365
3.00
Betano
3.00
Forfar over/under 1.5
Over
52.0%
@ 2.61+16.5%
Under
48.0%
@ 1.43-16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.62
1xBet
2.61
Marathonbet
2.61
Betano
2.60
Under
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Forfar over/under 2.5
Over
25.4%
@ 6.25+10.7%
Under
74.6%
@ 1.08-10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.60
1xBet
6.60
Bet365
6.00
Betano
5.80
Under
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
Forfar over/under 3.5
Over
10.0%
@ 10.88+1.3%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.02-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Stranraer over/under 0.5
Over
60.8%
@ 1.25-13.7%
Under
39.2%
@ 3.65+13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Under
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.65
Betano
3.55
Stranraer over/under 1.5
Over
24.1%
@ 2.23-17.6%
Under
75.9%
@ 1.59+17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.25
Betano
2.22
Bet365
2.20
Under
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Marathonbet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Stranraer over/under 2.5
Over
6.9%
@ 4.86-12.0%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.14+12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.15
1xBet
5.15
Betano
4.65
Bet365
4.50
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Stranraer over/under 3.5
Over
1.5%
@ 9.12-8.7%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.04+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.25
Bet365
9.00
Under
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Forfar, so a minus line means Forfar give that many goals of a start and Stranraer receive them. At -1, Forfar must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Forfar win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Forfar)
Forfar -2
14.2%
@ 13.00+7.3%
Draw -2
17.4%
@ 8.50+6.8%
Stranraer +2
68.4%
@ 1.09-14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
13.00
Draw
Bet365
8.50
Away
Bet365
1.09
Handicap -1 (Forfar)
Forfar -1
31.6%
@ 6.12+17.1%
Draw -1
23.6%
@ 4.67+4.7%
Stranraer +1
44.8%
@ 1.33-21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
6.25
Bet365
6.00
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.60
Away
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Handicap +1 (Forfar)
Forfar +1
81.0%
@ 1.52+23.3%
Draw +1
12.2%
@ 3.91-10.3%
Stranraer -1
6.8%
@ 4.46-12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Marathonbet
1.51
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.98
Betfair
3.75
Away
Marathonbet
4.55
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Handicap +2 (Forfar)
Forfar +2
93.2%
@ 1.16+19.7%
Draw +2
5.0%
@ 5.55-10.3%
Stranraer -2
1.8%
@ 7.58-9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.13
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
4.60
Away
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
6.15
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Forfar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.63
1.00
0.53
0.53
0.73
vs Stronger (14)
0.71
1.07
1.12
0.88
0.17
1.33
vs Similar (13)
0.92
0.15
1.00
0.17
0.86
0.14
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stranraer
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.80
0.50
0.56
0.79
1.07
vs Stronger (19)
0.68
0.74
0.55
0.55
0.88
1.00
vs Similar (11)
0.55
0.91
0.40
0.60
0.67
1.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
69.7%
@ 1.38+2.5%
Under 0.5
30.3%
@ 2.81-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
William Hil
1.36
Under
Betfair
3.00
William Hil
2.90
Marathonbet
2.78
1xBet
2.78
Bet365
2.75
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
32.5%
@ 2.79-0.6%
Under 1.5
67.5%
@ 1.38+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
Betano
2.82
1xBet
2.78
Marathonbet
2.78
William Hil
2.75
Under
William Hil
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
11.2%
@ 6.86-2.3%
Under 2.5
88.8%
@ 1.07+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.50
William Hil
7.00
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
6.70
Betano
6.10
Under
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Forfar over/under 0.5 HT
Over
49.3%
@ 2.20+7.5%
Under
50.7%
@ 1.58-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.22
Marathonbet
2.19
1xBet
2.19
Under
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Forfar over/under 1.5 HT
Over
12.8%
@ 7.63+0.8%
Under
87.2%
@ 1.05-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.20
1xBet
8.20
Betano
6.50
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
Forfar over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.2%
Under
96.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 0.5 HT
Over
36.5%
@ 1.99-9.8%
Under
63.5%
@ 1.71+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.02
Marathonbet
1.97
1xBet
1.97
Under
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
1xBet
1.71
Stranraer over/under 1.5 HT
Over
8.7%
@ 6.30-5.9%
Under
91.3%
@ 1.08+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.65
1xBet
6.65
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Stranraer over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.2%
@ 10.75-7.5%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.02+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Forfar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.83
0.80
0.60
0.27
1.07
vs Stronger (14)
0.43
1.00
0.50
0.62
0.33
1.50
vs Similar (13)
0.69
0.62
1.17
0.50
0.29
0.71
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stranraer
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.60
0.62
0.50
0.43
0.71
vs Stronger (19)
0.47
0.58
0.55
0.55
0.38
0.62
vs Similar (11)
0.64
0.64
0.80
0.40
0.50
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
78.8%
@ 1.23+3.5%
Under 0.5
21.2%
@ 3.77-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.21
Under
1xBet
3.90
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.65
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
44.9%
@ 2.09+0.6%
Under 1.5
55.1%
@ 1.66-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.11
Bet365
2.10
Betano
2.05
Under
Betano
1.70
Bet365
1.67
1xBet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.64
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
19.6%
@ 4.32-1.9%
Under 2.5
80.4%
@ 1.18+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
4.40
Betano
4.05
Under
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.16
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Forfar over/under 0.5 2H
Over
58.0%
@ 1.83+7.7%
Under
42.0%
@ 1.85-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
Betano
1.82
Under
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
Forfar over/under 1.5 2H
Over
23.6%
@ 5.20+5.9%
Under
76.4%
@ 1.12-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.65
1xBet
5.20
Betano
4.75
Under
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
Forfar over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.8%
@ 9.75-3.7%
Under
94.2%
@ 1.03+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Stranraer over/under 0.5 2H
Over
45.7%
@ 1.68-9.2%
Under
54.3%
@ 2.04+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.68
Betano
1.67
Under
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.04
Marathonbet
2.01
Stranraer over/under 1.5 2H
Over
14.9%
@ 4.33-6.3%
Under
85.1%
@ 1.17+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.65
1xBet
4.30
Betano
4.05
Under
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
Stranraer over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.2%
@ 8.75-8.4%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.04+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.04
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+7.5%
Away under 3.5 goals
98.5%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
-
-
-
+8.7%
Under 6.5
98.0%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+4.9%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.8%
1.04
Betano
1.04
-
-
-
-
+8.4%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
94.5%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
+3.5%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.2%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+3.7%
Home +2 handicap
93.2%
1.16
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.13
-
-
-
+19.7%
Away under 2.5 goals
93.1%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-
+12.0%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.3%
1.08
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
-
-
+5.9%
Home under 3.5 goals
90.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-1.3%
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.8%
1.07
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.06
+2.3%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.2%
1.05
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
-
-
-0.8%
Under 4.5
86.6%
1.08
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
-
+1.7%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.1%
1.17
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
-
-
+6.3%
Home over 0.5 goals
82.5%
1.34
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.31
-
-
+13.3%
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.4%
1.18
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.16
-
-
+1.9%
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.8%
1.23
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.21
-
-
+3.5%
Over 2.5 cards
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
76.4%
1.12
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
-
-
-5.9%
Away under 1.5 goals
75.9%
1.59
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Marathonbet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
-
+17.6%
Over 1.5
75.9%
1.27
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.27
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
+3.8%
Over 19.5 fouls
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
74.6%
1.08
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
-
-10.7%
Home or Away
74.2%
1.27
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.30
William Hil
1.30
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
+2.1%
Under 3.5
71.9%
1.29
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
Unibet
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
+0.8%
Under 25.5 fouls
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
70.4%
1.46
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.45
-
-
-
+7.4%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (4)
€1m
AA (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Forfar and Stranraer have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Forfar and Stranraer have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Scotland: League Two 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Elgin
Clyde
Edinburgh City
Spartans
Annan Athletic
Kelty Hearts
Stirling
Dumbarton