This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.53
1.56
1.12
1.00
2.00
vs Stronger (21)
1.43
1.43
1.64
1.00
1.20
1.90
vs Similar (9)
1.00
1.78
1.40
1.40
0.50
2.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Fortuna Düsseldorf) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.2%
Under 1.5
24.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.1%
@ 1.70-6.5%
Under 2.5
50.9%
@ 2.13+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.2%
Under 3.5
72.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.9%
No
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
9.0%
0-0
8.3%
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
5.0%
Fortuna Düsseldorf goals ↓
Regensburg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.3%
6.3%
3.9%
1.4%
0.4%
1
10%
13%
6.3%
2.2%
0.6%
2
9.0%
9.5%
5.0%
1.7%
0.5%
3
4.8%
5.0%
2.6%
0.9%
0.2%
4
1.9%
2.0%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fortuna Düsseldorf goals (down), columns = Regensburg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
VfL Bochum
1.97
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.88
Holstein Kiel
1.82
Hamburger SV
1.71
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.65
Karlsruher SC
1.53
SV Darmstadt 98
1.50
1. FC Heidenheim
1.50
FC St. Pauli
1.38
SC Paderborn 07
1.38
Erzgebirge Aue
1.29
1. FC Nürnberg
1.29
Hannover 96
1.24
Regensburg
1.12
SV Sandhausen
1.00
VfL Osnabrück
0.97
Eintracht Braunschweig
0.91
Wurzburger Kickers
0.74
Fortuna Düsseldorf is 0.53 points better than Regensburg in terms of average points per game (1.65 vs 1.12).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hamburger SV
2.09
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2.03
VfL Bochum
1.94
SV Darmstadt 98
1.85
Holstein Kiel
1.68
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.62
Hannover 96
1.56
SC Paderborn 07
1.56
FC St. Pauli
1.50
Karlsruher SC
1.50
1. FC Heidenheim
1.44
1. FC Nürnberg
1.35
Erzgebirge Aue
1.29
SV Sandhausen
1.21
Wurzburger Kickers
1.09
Regensburg
1.09
VfL Osnabrück
1.03
Eintracht Braunschweig
0.88
Fortuna Düsseldorf is 0.53 goals better than Regensburg in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 1.09).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Holstein Kiel
1.03
VfL Bochum
1.15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.29
Hamburger SV
1.29
Karlsruher SC
1.29
SC Paderborn 07
1.32
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.35
1. FC Heidenheim
1.44
Regensburg
1.47
Hannover 96
1.50
1. FC Nürnberg
1.50
Erzgebirge Aue
1.56
SV Darmstadt 98
1.62
FC St. Pauli
1.65
VfL Osnabrück
1.71
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.74
SV Sandhausen
1.76
Wurzburger Kickers
2.03
Fortuna Düsseldorf is 0.12 goals better than Regensburg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.35 vs 1.47).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Fortuna Düsseldorf
For 5.6 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.5 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 12.6 · Total 23.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
R
Regensburg
For 5.0 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.6 · Against 14.8 · Total 31.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
8.5
9.5
4.3
4.5
4.1
24.2
23.1
25.1
vs Stronger (19)
8.3
8.3
8.2
3.8
3.8
3.8
20.8
20.2
21.3
vs Similar (30)
9.4
8.4
10.2
4.5
4.8
4.3
26.2
24.8
27.5
vs Weaker (1)
10.0
10.0
-
8.0
8.0
-
26.0
26.0
-
% over line
36%
33%
38%
60%
67%
54%
68%
62%
73%
% under line
64%
67%
62%
40%
33%
46%
32%
38%
27%
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.2
11.0
11.4
4.7
5.5
3.8
28.3
28.9
27.7
vs Stronger (34)
11.6
11.5
11.6
4.9
5.9
3.9
28.1
29.5
26.8
vs Similar (16)
10.4
10.0
11.0
4.3
4.9
3.6
28.7
27.8
29.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
68%
58%
79%
68%
88%
46%
92%
96%
88%
% under line
32%
42%
21%
32%
12%
54%
8%
4%
12%
This opponent (Fortuna Düsseldorf) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
SV Sandhausen
11.7
SC Paderborn 07
11.5
Regensburg
11.2
Holstein Kiel
11.1
SV Darmstadt 98
11.0
1. FC Nürnberg
10.7
Hamburger SV
10.6
Karlsruher SC
10.4
VfL Bochum
10.4
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
10.4
1. FC Heidenheim
10.4
Wurzburger Kickers
10.3
FC St. Pauli
10.2
Hannover 96
9.9
VfL Osnabrück
9.7
Eintracht Braunschweig
9.7
Erzgebirge Aue
9.1
Fortuna Düsseldorf
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
VfL Osnabrück
5.2
Erzgebirge Aue
5.2
SV Sandhausen
4.8
Karlsruher SC
4.8
Regensburg
4.7
SC Paderborn 07
4.6
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4.5
VfL Bochum
4.4
Wurzburger Kickers
4.3
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4.3
Eintracht Braunschweig
4.3
SV Darmstadt 98
4.3
Holstein Kiel
4.0
Hannover 96
4.0
1. FC Nürnberg
3.9
Hamburger SV
3.8
FC St. Pauli
3.8
1. FC Heidenheim
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Wurzburger Kickers
29.0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
28.7
Regensburg
28.3
Eintracht Braunschweig
27.8
VfL Osnabrück
27.0
Karlsruher SC
26.5
Erzgebirge Aue
26.5
SV Sandhausen
26.4
VfL Bochum
26.3
SV Darmstadt 98
25.6
FC St. Pauli
24.9
Hannover 96
24.8
Fortuna Düsseldorf
24.2
Holstein Kiel
24.0
Hamburger SV
24.0
1. FC Heidenheim
23.7
1. FC Nürnberg
23.6
SC Paderborn 07
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
56.8%
Under 9.5
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
69.7%
Under 3.5
30.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
85.2%
Under 21.5
14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.63
0.53
0.47
0.20
0.80
vs Stronger (11)
0.18
1.00
0.20
1.00
0.17
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.50
0.44
0.78
0.22
0.22
0.67
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.57
0.69
0.38
0.57
0.79
vs Stronger (21)
0.67
0.62
0.73
0.45
0.60
0.80
vs Similar (9)
0.56
0.44
0.60
0.20
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Fortuna Düsseldorf) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fortuna Düsseldorf over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fortuna Düsseldorf over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fortuna Düsseldorf over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.27
0.53
1.00
0.73
1.53
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
1.45
0.40
1.20
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (18)
0.67
1.22
0.56
1.00
0.78
1.44
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.97
0.88
0.75
0.43
1.21
vs Stronger (21)
0.76
0.81
0.91
0.55
0.60
1.10
vs Similar (9)
0.44
1.33
0.80
1.20
0.00
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Fortuna Düsseldorf) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fortuna Düsseldorf over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fortuna Düsseldorf over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fortuna Düsseldorf over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Fortuna Düsseldorf · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cédric Itten44%
Florent Muslija17%
Jordy de Wijs12%
Shinta Karl Appelkamp10%
Christian Rasmussen8%
Anouar El Azzouzi6%
Luca Raimund6%
Kenneth Schmidt5%
Elias Egouli5%
Emmanuel Iyoha4%
Sima Suso4%
Tim Oberdorf3%
Žan Celar0%
Giovanni Haag0%
Christopher Lenz0%
Matthias Zimmermann0%
Moritz Heyer0%
Satoshi Tanaka0%
Jesper Daland0%
Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson0%
Florian Kastenmeier0%
Sotiris Alexandropoulos0%
Tim Breithaupt0%
Jamil Siebert0%
Julian Hettwer0%
Tim Rossmann0%
Danny Schmidt0%
Marin Ljubičić0%
Jordi Paulina0%
Kilian Sauck0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jamil Siebert67%
Kilian Sauck33%
Anouar El Azzouzi32%
Jesper Daland25%
Jordi Paulina25%
Matthias Zimmermann24%
Kenneth Schmidt24%
Tim Breithaupt24%
Elias Egouli23%
Christian Rasmussen20%
Moritz Heyer19%
Sotiris Alexandropoulos19%
Cédric Itten19%
Christopher Lenz18%
Florent Muslija17%
Tim Rossmann17%
Sima Suso16%
Jordy de Wijs12%
Luca Raimund12%
Tim Oberdorf12%
Florian Kastenmeier9%
Emmanuel Iyoha8%
Satoshi Tanaka8%
Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson7%
Shinta Karl Appelkamp3%
Žan Celar0%
Giovanni Haag0%
Julian Hettwer0%
Danny Schmidt0%
Marin Ljubičić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Shinta Karl Appelkamp17%
Florent Muslija17%
Christian Rasmussen16%
Satoshi Tanaka15%
Danny Schmidt15%
Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson14%
Cédric Itten9%
Christopher Lenz6%
Tim Breithaupt6%
Kenneth Schmidt5%
Emmanuel Iyoha4%
Anouar El Azzouzi3%
Florian Kastenmeier3%
Žan Celar0%
Jordy de Wijs0%
Giovanni Haag0%
Matthias Zimmermann0%
Moritz Heyer0%
Jesper Daland0%
Sotiris Alexandropoulos0%
Tim Oberdorf0%
Jamil Siebert0%
Julian Hettwer0%
Tim Rossmann0%
Marin Ljubičić0%
Luca Raimund0%
Sima Suso0%
Jordi Paulina0%
Elias Egouli0%
Kilian Sauck0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cédric Itten38%
Florent Muslija13%
Marin Ljubičić10%
Emmanuel Iyoha8%
Christian Rasmussen8%
Sima Suso8%
Anouar El Azzouzi6%
Jesper Daland4%
Žan Celar0%
Jordy de Wijs0%
Giovanni Haag0%
Christopher Lenz0%
Matthias Zimmermann0%
Moritz Heyer0%
Satoshi Tanaka0%
Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson0%
Florian Kastenmeier0%
Shinta Karl Appelkamp0%
Sotiris Alexandropoulos0%
Tim Oberdorf0%
Tim Breithaupt0%
Kenneth Schmidt0%
Jamil Siebert0%
Julian Hettwer0%
Tim Rossmann0%
Danny Schmidt0%
Luca Raimund0%
Jordi Paulina0%
Elias Egouli0%
Kilian Sauck0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Fortuna Düsseldorf
VfL Bochum
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Holstein Kiel
Hamburger SV
Karlsruher SC
SV Darmstadt 98
1. FC Heidenheim
SC Paderborn 07
FC St. Pauli
1. FC Nürnberg
Erzgebirge Aue
Hannover 96
SV Sandhausen
VfL Osnabrück
Eintracht Braunschweig
Wurzburger Kickers