This opponent (Den Haag) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
DH
Den Haag
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
2.33
0.87
1.73
0.87
2.93
vs Stronger (22)
0.86
2.82
1.00
2.00
0.75
3.50
vs Similar (8)
0.88
1.00
0.60
1.20
1.33
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Fortuna Sittard) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.5%
Under 1.5
14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
64.8%
@ 1.69+8.7%
Under 2.5
35.2%
@ 2.16-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.8%
Under 3.5
57.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.4%
No
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
2-0 ✓
7.7%
3-1
6.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.4%
Fortuna Sittard goals ↓
Den Haag goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.5%
3.5%
2.8%
1.2%
0.4%
1
6.5%
10%
5.8%
2.4%
0.8%
2
7.7%
9.7%
6.1%
2.5%
0.8%
3
5.4%
6.7%
4.2%
1.8%
0.5%
4
2.8%
3.5%
2.2%
0.9%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fortuna Sittard goals (down), columns = Den Haag goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ajax
2.59
PSV Eindhoven
2.12
AZ Alkmaar
2.09
Vitesse
1.79
Feyenoord
1.74
Utrecht
1.56
Groningen
1.47
Sparta Rotterdam
1.38
Heracles
1.29
Twente
1.21
Fortuna Sittard
1.21
Heerenveen
1.15
PEC Zwolle
1.12
Willem II
0.91
Waalwijk
0.88
Emmen
0.88
VVV Venlo
0.68
Den Haag
0.65
Fortuna Sittard is 0.56 points better than Den Haag in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 0.65).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ajax
3.00
AZ Alkmaar
2.21
PSV Eindhoven
2.18
Feyenoord
1.88
Vitesse
1.53
Utrecht
1.53
Fortuna Sittard
1.47
Sparta Rotterdam
1.44
Twente
1.41
PEC Zwolle
1.29
Heerenveen
1.26
VVV Venlo
1.26
Heracles
1.24
Willem II
1.18
Groningen
1.18
Emmen
1.18
Waalwijk
0.97
Den Haag
0.85
Fortuna Sittard is 0.62 goals better than Den Haag in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 0.85).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajax
0.68
PSV Eindhoven
1.03
Feyenoord
1.06
Groningen
1.09
Vitesse
1.12
AZ Alkmaar
1.21
Utrecht
1.21
Sparta Rotterdam
1.41
Heerenveen
1.44
Twente
1.47
PEC Zwolle
1.56
Heracles
1.56
Waalwijk
1.62
Fortuna Sittard
1.71
Willem II
2.00
Emmen
2.00
Den Haag
2.24
VVV Venlo
2.68
Fortuna Sittard is 0.53 goals better than Den Haag in terms of goals conceded per game (1.71 vs 2.24).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Fortuna Sittard
For 4.7 · Against 6.3 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.2 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 11.9 · Total 23.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
DH
Den Haag
For 3.6 · Against 7.0 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 0.8 · Total 2.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.7 · Against 10.5 · Total 19.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Fortuna Sittard
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.5
10.2
3.5
4.4
2.6
22.8
23.9
21.7
vs Stronger (15)
11.4
12.8
10.4
2.5
3.5
1.8
20.3
21.8
19.3
vs Similar (35)
9.9
9.8
10.0
4.0
4.7
3.1
23.8
24.5
23.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
48%
56%
40%
52%
68%
36%
62%
60%
64%
% under line
52%
44%
60%
48%
32%
64%
38%
40%
36%
This opponent (Den Haag) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
DH
Den Haag
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.5
10.2
3.5
3.3
3.8
21.6
22.5
20.7
vs Stronger (34)
11.1
11.4
10.8
3.1
2.8
3.5
21.3
22.7
19.9
vs Similar (16)
8.8
9.0
8.6
4.3
4.2
4.4
22.4
22.2
22.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
62%
42%
42%
38%
46%
50%
58%
42%
% under line
48%
38%
58%
58%
62%
54%
50%
42%
58%
This opponent (Fortuna Sittard) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Heerenveen
11.4
Ajax
10.7
PEC Zwolle
10.6
Utrecht
10.5
Feyenoord
10.4
PSV Eindhoven
10.4
Den Haag
10.4
Fortuna Sittard
10.3
Sparta Rotterdam
10.2
AZ Alkmaar
10.0
Heracles
10.0
Emmen
9.7
Groningen
9.6
Vitesse
9.6
VVV Venlo
9.6
Twente
9.5
Willem II
9.3
Waalwijk
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Vitesse
3.6
Heracles
3.5
Fortuna Sittard
3.5
Den Haag
3.5
Emmen
3.4
Waalwijk
3.4
Sparta Rotterdam
3.3
Willem II
3.2
Twente
3.2
Groningen
3.1
Feyenoord
3.1
PEC Zwolle
3.0
Utrecht
3.0
VVV Venlo
3.0
AZ Alkmaar
2.9
PSV Eindhoven
2.9
Ajax
2.8
Heerenveen
2.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Vitesse
24.0
Heracles
23.8
VVV Venlo
23.6
Willem II
22.8
Fortuna Sittard
22.8
Twente
22.6
Feyenoord
22.6
Emmen
22.4
PEC Zwolle
22.4
Waalwijk
22.2
Sparta Rotterdam
21.9
Groningen
21.8
Den Haag
21.6
Utrecht
21.4
AZ Alkmaar
21.4
Ajax
20.5
PSV Eindhoven
19.9
Heerenveen
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
54.9%
Under 9.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.7%
Under 3.5
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
52.2%
Under 21.5
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Fortuna Sittard
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.70
0.67
1.00
0.60
0.40
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
1.00
0.67
1.33
0.20
0.80
vs Similar (22)
0.73
0.59
0.67
0.92
0.80
0.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Den Haag) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
DH
Den Haag
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.93
0.27
0.73
0.47
1.13
vs Stronger (22)
0.32
1.14
0.30
0.90
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (8)
0.50
0.38
0.20
0.40
1.00
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Fortuna Sittard) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fortuna Sittard over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fortuna Sittard over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fortuna Sittard over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Fortuna Sittard
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.00
0.73
0.87
0.60
1.13
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
1.50
1.00
1.33
0.60
1.60
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.82
0.67
0.75
0.60
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Den Haag) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
DH
Den Haag
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.40
0.60
1.00
0.40
1.80
vs Stronger (22)
0.55
1.68
0.70
1.10
0.42
2.17
vs Similar (8)
0.38
0.62
0.40
0.80
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Fortuna Sittard) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fortuna Sittard over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fortuna Sittard over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fortuna Sittard over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Fortuna Sittard · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lequincio Zeefuik50%
Ole Romeny33%
Shiloh 't Zand33%
Mohamed Ihattaren25%
Anthony Descotte25%
Édouard Michut25%
Philip Brittijn25%
Ivo Pinto0%
Mattijs Branderhorst0%
Yassin Oukili0%
Jasper Dahlhaus0%
Syb Van Ottele0%
Justin Hubner0%
Nick de Groot0%
Siebe Wylin0%
Moussa Gbemou0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Édouard Michut25%
Justin Hubner25%
Lequincio Zeefuik25%
Mohamed Ihattaren0%
Ivo Pinto0%
Mattijs Branderhorst0%
Ole Romeny0%
Anthony Descotte0%
Yassin Oukili0%
Jasper Dahlhaus0%
Syb Van Ottele0%
Nick de Groot0%
Philip Brittijn0%
Siebe Wylin0%
Shiloh 't Zand0%
Moussa Gbemou0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Ihattaren25%
Ivo Pinto25%
Jasper Dahlhaus25%
Édouard Michut25%
Lequincio Zeefuik25%
Mattijs Branderhorst0%
Ole Romeny0%
Anthony Descotte0%
Yassin Oukili0%
Syb Van Ottele0%
Justin Hubner0%
Nick de Groot0%
Philip Brittijn0%
Siebe Wylin0%
Shiloh 't Zand0%
Moussa Gbemou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ole Romeny33%
Mohamed Ihattaren25%
Anthony Descotte25%
Lequincio Zeefuik25%
Ivo Pinto0%
Mattijs Branderhorst0%
Yassin Oukili0%
Jasper Dahlhaus0%
Édouard Michut0%
Syb Van Ottele0%
Justin Hubner0%
Nick de Groot0%
Philip Brittijn0%
Siebe Wylin0%
Shiloh 't Zand0%
Moussa Gbemou0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
Vitesse
Feyenoord
Utrecht
Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam
Heracles
Twente
Heerenveen
PEC Zwolle
Willem II
Waalwijk
Emmen
VVV Venlo