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Fram Reykjavik vs FH hafnarfjordur Result & Analysis

Date: 26/07/2026
Time: 19:15
Final 0-0
Fram Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
Vs
58%
21%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FH hafnarfjordur
FH hafnarfjordur
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Fram Reykjavik a 58% win probability against FH hafnarfjordur in the Iceland: Úrvalsdeild on 2026-07-26, with 21% for the draw and 21% for FH hafnarfjordur. The model estimates around 3.7 total goals, with 3 the most likely total (21%) and 2-1 the most likely scoreline (9.3%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (89%), Over 2.5 (71%).

Results analysis

Fram Reykjavik finished 0-0 against FH hafnarfjordur (Draw). Pythia had modelled a 58% home win, 21% draw and 21% away win. Missed: Over 1.5 (89%), Over 2.5 (71%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fram Reykjavik win✗ Miss
57.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
21.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur win✗ Miss
20.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-621W22D12L20W13L11D43W11D61W32WH·VAL31/08A·FH 14/09A·VIK21/09H·VAL28/09A·BRE05/10H·STJ20/10A·FH 25/10A·KEF06/07H·THO12/07A·VAL18/07
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.471.930.861.502.00
vs Stronger (15)1.471.731.861.291.122.12
vs Similar (15)1.931.202.000.431.881.88
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (FH hafnarfjordur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D21W22D00D11D02L44D34L20W00DH·IBV24/08A·AFT31/08H·FRA14/09A·STJ21/09H·BRE27/09A·VIK05/10A·VAL19/10H·FRA25/10H·VAL12/07H·BRE20/07
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.631.931.001.602.27
vs Stronger (17)1.881.652.000.501.782.67
vs Similar (13)1.621.621.861.571.331.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Fram Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%3%08%118%221%319%414%516%6+
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
88.7%
Under 1.5
11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
70.6%
Under 2.5
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
49.6%
Under 3.5
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
67.5%
No
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.9%
3-1
7.1%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.3%
1-0
5.2%
Fram Reykjavik goals ↓
FH hafnarfjordur goals →
01234
03.4%2.7%2.4%1.1%0.4%
15.2%8.9%5.5%2.5%0.8%
26.9%9.3%6.3%2.8%1.0%
35.3%7.1%4.8%2.2%0.7%
43.0%4.1%2.8%1.2%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fram Reykjavik goals (down), columns = FH hafnarfjordur goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
KR Reykjavik
2.20
Fram Reykjavik
1.83
IA Akranes
1.67
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.60
FH hafnarfjordur
1.50
Stjarnan
1.50
Keflavik
1.43
Breidablik
1.33
Thor Akureyri
1.17
KA Akureyri
1.00
Valur Reykjavik
0.75
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0.33
Fram Reykjavik is 0.33 points better than FH hafnarfjordur in terms of average points per game (1.83 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
KR Reykjavik
3.80
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.80
IA Akranes
2.67
Fram Reykjavik
2.33
Keflavik
1.86
Valur Reykjavik
1.75
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.33
Stjarnan
1.25
Breidablik
1.17
KA Akureyri
1.00
FH hafnarfjordur
1.00
Thor Akureyri
0.67
Fram Reykjavik is 1.33 goals better than FH hafnarfjordur in terms of goals scored per game (2.33 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FH hafnarfjordur
0.83
Breidablik
1.33
Keflavik
1.57
KA Akureyri
1.60
KR Reykjavik
1.60
Fram Reykjavik
1.67
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.80
Thor Akureyri
1.83
IA Akranes
2.00
Valur Reykjavik
2.25
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2.50
Stjarnan
3.00
Fram Reykjavik is 0.83 goals worse than FH hafnarfjordur in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 0.83).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.588.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.570.6%-------✗ Miss

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (23)
€5m
KA (43)
€4m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (18)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (9)
€2m
VR (7)
€2m
KA (16)
€2m
BRE (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (5)
€1m
BRE (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (9)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
KA (18)
€1m
VR (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Fram Reykjavik vs FH hafnarfjordur · H/A from FR
DateH/AGameScore
25/10/25AFH hafnarfjordur Vs FR3-4
14/09/25AFH hafnarfjordur Vs FR2-2
15/06/25HFR Vs FH hafnarfjordur2-0
15/09/24HFR Vs FH hafnarfjordur3-3
31/05/24AFH hafnarfjordur Vs FR3-3
23/06/23AFH hafnarfjordur Vs FR4-0
10/04/23HFR Vs FH hafnarfjordur2-2
23/10/22HFR Vs FH hafnarfjordur3-0

Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/07/26AValur Reykjavik Vs FR2-3
12/07/26HFR Vs Thor Akureyri6-1
06/07/26AKeflavik Vs FR1-1
25/10/25AFH hafnarfjordur Vs FR3-4
20/10/25HFR Vs Stjarnan1-1
05/10/25ABreidablik Vs FR3-1
28/09/25HFR Vs Valur Reykjavik2-0
21/09/25AVikingur Reykjavik Vs FR2-1
14/09/25AFH hafnarfjordur Vs FR2-2
31/08/25HFR Vs Valur Reykjavik2-1

FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/07/26HFH Vs Breidablik0-0
12/07/26HFH Vs Valur Reykjavik2-0
25/10/25HFH Vs Fram Reykjavik3-4
19/10/25AValur Reykjavik Vs FH4-4
05/10/25AVikingur Reykjavik Vs FH2-0
27/09/25HFH Vs Breidablik1-1
21/09/25AStjarnan Vs FH0-0
14/09/25HFH Vs Fram Reykjavik2-2
31/08/25AAfturelding Vs FH1-2
24/08/25HFH Vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar1-1

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Fram Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWW1.22
HomeLWWDW1.67
AwayLLWDW0.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%50%19%
AVG goals3.383.253.50
Over 1.5 %84%83%85%
Over 2.5 %62%58%65%
Over 3.5 %42%33%50%
Scored1.621.881.38
Conceded1.761.382.12
BTTS70%62%77%
Clean Sheet18%29%8%
Corners---
Cards---
FH hafnarfjordur
FH hafnarfjordur
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 2 Wins / 6 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWD1.18
HomeDDLWD1.48
AwayWWDLD0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%33%22%
AVG goals3.423.003.91
Over 1.5 %86%85%87%
Over 2.5 %62%52%74%
Over 3.5 %48%41%57%
Scored1.681.741.61
Conceded1.741.262.30
BTTS66%63%70%
Clean Sheet20%30%9%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik511
60%
2.2
198+11
5.4
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.81.6
-
2Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik611
50%
1.8
1410+4
4.0
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.7
-
3IA AkranesIA Akranes610
50%
1.7
1612+4
4.7
100%
83%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.72.0
-
4KeflavikKeflavik710
43%
1.4
1311+2
3.4
86%
57%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
5FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur69
33%
1.5
65+1
1.8
50%
17%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.8
-
6Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik58
40%
1.6
149+5
4.6
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.81.8
-
7BreidablikBreidablik68
33%
1.3
78-1
2.5
50%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.3
-
8Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri67
33%
1.2
411-7
2.5
67%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.8
-
9StjarnanStjarnan46
50%
1.5
512-7
4.2
75%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.23.0
-
10KA AkureyriKA Akureyri55
20%
1.0
58-3
2.6
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.01.6
-
11Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik43
25%
0.8
79-2
4.0
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.82.2
-
12IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar62
0%
0.3
815-7
3.8
83%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.5
-
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →

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