Fram Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri Result & Analysis

Date: 30/08/2026

Time: 17:00

Final 2-2

Fram Reykjavik

53%

21%

26%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

KA Akureyri

Iceland: Úrvalsdeild

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

Fram Reykjavik’s recent 4-3 win over Breidablik and a two-game winning streak set the tone for a high-scoring encounter, while KA Akureyri, fresh from a 3-5 loss to KR Reykjavik, looks to rebound. The model favours a home win, with a 53% chance of Fram triumphing, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 26% chance of KA winning. The expected total goals is 4.0, and the most likely total is 6 + goals, with a 21% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 2-1 for Fram, with an 8.4% chance. Fram averages 2.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded at home against similar opposition, whereas KA averages 2.0 goals scored and 2.4 conceded away. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.8%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.9%), Under 7.5 (95.0%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (93.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (91.6%), Over 1.5 (91.4%), Home over 0.5 goals (90.4%), and Under 6.5 (89.1%). Each selection carries its own probability, with edges noted where provided.

Results analysis

The upset came early as Fram Reykjavik failed to convert their pre-match favourite into a win, finishing 2-2 for a draw. The model had tipped a home win with a 53% probability, but the outcome proved wrong. Both sides entered the match coming off a 2-2 draw, with Fram’s recent form showing a mixed DWWLW and KA’s DLDLL. The model’s selections all hit: Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.7%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.0%, Under 7.5 at 95.0%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 93.3%, Away under 3.5 goals at 91.6%, Over 1.5 at 91.4%, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 90.5%, and Home over 0.5 goals at 90.4%. The match delivered a high-scoring 4-goal total, matching the model’s 6+ prediction.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fram Reykjavik win✗ Miss

53.0%

Avg Implied 61.6% · @ 1.48

Edge

-8.6%

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.52

Pinnacle

1.51

Dafabet

1.51

Superbet

1.51

Unibet

1.49

Draw✓ Hit

21.1%

Avg Implied 19.2% · @ 4.72

Edge

+1.8%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

5.24

Betfair

5.00

Dafabet

5.00

1xBet

4.90

Marathonbet

4.90

KA Akureyri win✗ Miss

25.9%

Avg Implied 19.2% · @ 4.74

Edge

+6.8%

Best 5 market prices

1xBet

5.03

Marathonbet

5.00

Betfair

5.00

Pinnacle

4.95

Betano

4.80

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Fram Reykjavik

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

4.8

Avg scored

2.6

Avg conceded

2.2

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	2.07	1.70	2.40	1.47	1.73	1.93
vs Stronger (8)	2.12	2.12	2.00	1.75	2.25	2.50
vs Similar (21)	1.86	1.62	2.20	1.50	1.55	1.73
vs Weaker (1)	6.00	0.00	6.00	0.00	-	-
Clean sheet %	20% (-0pp vs league)

This opponent (KA Akureyri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KA Akureyri

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.7

Avg scored

1.8

Avg conceded

1.9

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.97	1.77	1.88	1.19	2.07	2.43
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (24)	2.00	1.71	2.00	1.21	2.00	2.40
vs Weaker (6)	1.83	2.00	1.00	1.00	2.25	2.50
Clean sheet %	23% (+3pp vs league)

This opponent (Fram Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 4.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (21%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

91.4%

@ 1.04+2.9%

Under 1.5

8.6%

@ 8.03-2.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.07

Bet365

1.06

Betfair

1.05

Superbet

1.05

1xBet

1.02

Under

Betfair

9.00

1xBet

8.10

Marathonbet

8.10

Superbet

8.10

Bet365

8.00

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

75.9%

@ 1.20+0.1%

Under 2.5

24.1%

@ 3.79-0.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.24

Pinnacle

1.23

Bet365

1.22

10Bet

1.22

Superbet

1.22

Under

Pinnacle

4.19

Betfair

4.00

Bet365

4.00

10Bet

3.85

1xBet

3.84

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over

Over 3.5

56.3%

@ 1.57-2.4%

Under 3.5

43.7%

@ 2.24+2.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.62

10Bet

1.62

Pinnacle

1.59

Superbet

1.59

1xBet

1.58

Under

Betfair

2.38

Pinnacle

2.37

1xBet

2.31

Marathonbet

2.31

Bet365

2.25

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

73.5%

@ 1.30+3.4%

26.5%

@ 3.07-3.4%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Betano

1.33

Bet365

1.33

Superbet

1.33

Marathonbet

1.31

1xBet

1.31

Betfair

3.30

Bet365

3.25

1xBet

3.14

William Hil

3.10

Marathonbet

3.08

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

2-1

8.4%@ 8.68+3.1%

1-1

7.9%@ 11.06+3.7%

2-2 ✓

6.9%@ 11.34+2.8%

3-1

6.6%@ 9.76+1.9%

1-2

5.9%@ 16.01+3.0%

3-2

5.4%@ 12.91+1.8%

2-0

5.1%@ 12.78+1.5%

3-0

4.0%@ 13.91+0.7%

Fram Reykjavik goals ↓

	KA Akureyri goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.6%	2.3%	2.5%	1.4%	0.6%
1	3.7%	7.9%	5.9%	3.2%	1.3%
2	5.1%	8.4%	6.9%	3.7%	1.5%
3	4.0%	6.6%	5.4%	2.9%	1.2%
4	2.4%	3.9%	3.2%	1.7%	0.7%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fram Reykjavik goals (down), columns = KA Akureyri goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

KR Reykjavik

2.14

Fram Reykjavik

2.00

Vikingur Reykjavik

1.71

Stjarnan

1.71

FH hafnarfjordur

1.62

IA Akranes

1.50

Keflavik

1.44

Thor Akureyri

1.25

Breidablik

1.00

KA Akureyri

0.88

Valur Reykjavik

0.71

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

0.25

Fram Reykjavik is 1.12 points better than KA Akureyri in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 0.88).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

KR Reykjavik

3.57

Fram Reykjavik

2.56

Vikingur Reykjavik

2.43

IA Akranes

2.38

Valur Reykjavik

1.86

KA Akureyri

1.75

Stjarnan

1.71

Keflavik

1.67

Breidablik

1.25

FH hafnarfjordur

1.12

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

1.00

Thor Akureyri

0.88

Fram Reykjavik is 0.81 goals better than KA Akureyri in terms of goals scored per game (2.56 vs 1.75).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

FH hafnarfjordur

0.88

Vikingur Reykjavik

1.43

Keflavik

1.44

KR Reykjavik

1.71

Breidablik

1.75

Fram Reykjavik

1.78

Thor Akureyri

1.88

IA Akranes

1.88

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

2.12

KA Akureyri

2.38

Valur Reykjavik

2.43

Stjarnan

2.43

Fram Reykjavik is 0.60 goals better than KA Akureyri in terms of goals conceded per game (1.78 vs 2.38).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Fram Reykjavik or Draw✓ Hit

74.1%

Avg Implied 80.8% · @ 1.14

Edge

-6.7%

53%

21%

26%

covers Fram Reykjavik + Draw

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.17

BetVictor

1.17

William Hil

1.17

Superbet

1.15

1xBet

1.14

Fram Reykjavik or KA Akureyri✗ Miss

78.9%

Avg Implied 81.5% · @ 1.13

Edge

-2.5%

53%

21%

26%

covers Fram Reykjavik + KA Akureyri

Best 5 market prices

William Hil

1.18

Betano

1.17

Superbet

1.15

Marathonbet

1.14

Bet365

1.14

Draw or KA Akureyri✓ Hit

47.0%

Avg Implied 37.7% · @ 2.44

Edge

+9.3%

53%

21%

26%

covers Draw + KA Akureyri

Best 5 market prices

Betfair

2.63

10Bet

2.55

Betano

2.52

Marathonbet

2.49

1xBet

2.49

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Fram Reykjavik over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

90.4%

@ 1.03+0.4%

Under

9.6%

@ 9.31-0.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.05

Bet365

1.04

Betfair

1.03

1xBet

1.02

Under

1xBet

10.00

Betfair

10.00

Bet365

9.00

Betano

8.25

Fram Reykjavik over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

68.0%

@ 1.25-5.3%

Under

32.0%

@ 3.43+5.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.30

Betano

1.29

Superbet

1.27

10Bet

1.25

Bet365

1.25

Under

Pinnacle

3.81

Betfair

3.75

Bet365

3.75

Marathonbet

3.48

Superbet

3.40

Fram Reykjavik over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

41.6%

@ 1.80-9.1%

Under

58.4%

@ 1.86+9.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.88

Superbet

1.85

Pinnacle

1.85

10Bet

1.83

Bet365

1.83

Under

Betfair

2.00

Pinnacle

1.96

Marathonbet

1.91

1xBet

1.90

Betano

1.87

Fram Reykjavik over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

21.0%

@ 3.03-9.3%

Under

79.0%

@ 1.32+9.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

3.25

Pinnacle

3.19

Superbet

3.15

Betano

3.15

Betfair

3.00

Under

1xBet

1.35

Betfair

1.33

Bet365

1.33

Pinnacle

1.33

Marathonbet

1.33

KA Akureyri over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

80.5%

@ 1.23+6.3%

Under

19.5%

@ 3.55-6.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.26

1xBet

1.25

Betfair

1.25

Bet365

1.25

Superbet

1.24

Under

Pinnacle

3.88

Bet365

3.75

Superbet

3.65

Marathonbet

3.64

Betano

3.60

KA Akureyri over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

48.7%

@ 2.14+5.9%

Under

51.3%

@ 1.59-5.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

2.25

Pinnacle

2.22

Bet365

2.20

1xBet

2.17

Marathonbet

2.17

Under

Pinnacle

1.66

Betano

1.65

Marathonbet

1.64

Bet365

1.62

Unibet

1.62

KA Akureyri over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

22.6%

@ 4.54+2.4%

Under

77.4%

@ 1.15-2.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

5.10

Betfair

5.00

Marathonbet

4.65

Superbet

4.60

Betano

4.50

Under

Betano

1.18

Bet365

1.17

Superbet

1.16

Marathonbet

1.15

Betfair

1.14

KA Akureyri over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

8.4%

@ 9.52-1.4%

Under

91.6%

@ 1.04+1.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

10.00

1xBet

9.80

Marathonbet

9.80

Betano

9.00

Bet365

9.00

Under

Bet365

1.04

Betano

1.04

Betfair

1.03

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Fram Reykjavik, so a minus line means Fram Reykjavik give that many goals of a start and KA Akureyri receive them. At -1, Fram Reykjavik must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Fram Reykjavik win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Fram Reykjavik)Actual: KA Akureyri

Fram Reykjavik -2

17.7%

@ 3.23-9.1%

Draw -2

15.8%

@ 4.42-3.8%

KA Akureyri +2

66.5%

@ 1.61+12.9%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Betfair

3.40

Marathonbet

3.28

Bet365

3.25

Unibet

3.00

Draw

Bet365

4.75

Marathonbet

4.65

Betfair

4.50

Unibet

3.80

Away

Betfair

1.67

Bet365

1.67

Marathonbet

1.62

Unibet

1.50

Handicap -1 (Fram Reykjavik)Actual: KA Akureyri

Fram Reykjavik -1

33.5%

@ 2.04-9.3%

Draw -1

19.5%

@ 4.00-2.2%

KA Akureyri +1

47.0%

@ 2.45+11.5%

Best 5 market prices

Home

10Bet

2.10

Marathonbet

2.06

Bet365

2.05

Betfair

2.00

Unibet

1.97

Draw

Bet365

4.50

Marathonbet

4.10

10Bet

4.00

Betfair

4.00

Unibet

3.40

Away

Betfair

2.63

10Bet

2.55

Marathonbet

2.49

Bet365

2.40

Unibet

2.18

Handicap +1 (Fram Reykjavik)Actual: Fram Reykjavik

Fram Reykjavik +1

74.1%

@ 1.13-4.4%

Draw +1

13.4%

@ 7.55+1.6%

KA Akureyri -1

12.6%

@ 9.10+2.8%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

1.14

Bet365

1.12

Draw

Bet365

8.00

Marathonbet

7.10

Away

Bet365

9.50

Marathonbet

8.70

Handicap +2 (Fram Reykjavik)Actual: Fram Reykjavik

Fram Reykjavik +2

87.4%

@ 1.04-2.3%

Draw +2

7.7%

@ 15.00+1.5%

KA Akureyri -2

4.9%

@ 23.00+0.8%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.04

Draw

Bet365

15.00

Away

Bet365

23.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Fram Reykjavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.6

Avg scored

1.6

Avg conceded

1.0

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.07	0.83	1.07	0.87	1.07	0.80
vs Stronger (8)	1.38	1.12	0.75	1.00	2.00	1.25
vs Similar (21)	0.81	0.76	0.90	0.90	0.73	0.64
vs Weaker (1)	4.00	0.00	4.00	0.00	-	-
Clean sheet %	43% (+23pp vs league)

This opponent (KA Akureyri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KA Akureyri

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.0

Avg scored

0.9

Avg conceded

1.1

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.87	0.73	0.75	0.69	1.00	0.79
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (24)	0.83	0.71	0.79	0.64	0.90	0.80
vs Weaker (6)	1.00	0.83	0.50	1.00	1.25	0.75
Clean sheet %	57% (+36pp vs league)

This opponent (Fram Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

74.0%

@ 1.14-7.5%

Under 0.5

26.0%

@ 5.03+7.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.18

William Hil

1.15

Superbet

1.14

Bet365

1.14

BetVictor

1.13

Under

Betfair

5.50

BetVictor

5.40

10Bet

5.00

William Hil

5.00

Marathonbet

5.00

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

40.4%

@ 1.70-14.0%

Under 1.5

59.6%

@ 2.04+14.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.78

Bet365

1.73

William Hil

1.73

Pinnacle

1.72

10Bet

1.70

Under

Pinnacle

2.12

Betfair

2.10

1xBet

2.06

Marathonbet

2.06

10Bet

2.05

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

17.3%

@ 3.17-11.8%

Under 2.5

82.7%

@ 1.31+11.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

3.25

Betano

3.25

Bet365

3.25

BetVictor

3.25

Betfair

3.20

Under

Bet365

1.33

Superbet

1.32

Marathonbet

1.30

Betano

1.30

William Hil

1.30

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Fram Reykjavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

55.5%

@ 1.37-12.3%

Under

44.5%

@ 2.88+12.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.40

1xBet

1.34

Under

1xBet

3.00

Betano

2.75

Fram Reykjavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

20.9%

@ 2.68-13.9%

Under

79.1%

@ 1.43+13.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.75

Pinnacle

2.74

Marathonbet

2.65

Superbet

2.65

1xBet

2.60

Under

Pinnacle

1.45

1xBet

1.44

Superbet

1.43

Marathonbet

1.42

Betano

1.40

Fram Reykjavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

6.7%

@ 6.15-8.3%

Under

93.3%

@ 1.08+8.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

6.30

Betano

6.00

Under

Betano

1.09

1xBet

1.07

KA Akureyri over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

41.9%

@ 1.97-5.3%

Under

58.1%

@ 1.76+5.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.03

Betano

2.00

Superbet

1.97

1xBet

1.93

Marathonbet

1.92

Under

Pinnacle

1.78

1xBet

1.78

Marathonbet

1.77

Superbet

1.75

Betano

1.72

KA Akureyri over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

9.5%

@ 5.70-6.7%

Under

90.5%

@ 1.10+6.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

5.90

1xBet

5.80

Betano

5.40

Under

Betano

1.12

Marathonbet

1.10

1xBet

1.09

KA Akureyri over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

1.3%

@ 10.50-7.5%

Under

98.7%

@ 1.02+7.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

10.50

Under

Betano

1.02

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Fram Reykjavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.2

Avg scored

1.0

Avg conceded

1.2

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.00	0.87	1.33	0.60	0.67	1.13
vs Stronger (8)	0.75	1.00	1.25	0.75	0.25	1.25
vs Similar (21)	1.05	0.86	1.30	0.60	0.82	1.09
vs Weaker (1)	2.00	0.00	2.00	0.00	-	-
Clean sheet %	47% (+26pp vs league)

This opponent (KA Akureyri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KA Akureyri

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.7

Avg scored

0.9

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.10	1.03	1.12	0.50	1.07	1.64
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (24)	1.17	1.00	1.21	0.57	1.10	1.60
vs Weaker (6)	0.83	1.17	0.50	0.00	1.00	1.75
Clean sheet %	47% (+26pp vs league)

This opponent (Fram Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

82.6%

@ 1.07-4.6%

Under 0.5

17.4%

@ 7.33+4.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.08

Bet365

1.08

William Hil

1.08

1xBet

1.05

Under

Bet365

8.00

1xBet

7.80

William Hil

7.00

Betano

6.50

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

50.4%

@ 1.41-15.5%

Under 1.5

49.6%

@ 2.71+15.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

1.44

Superbet

1.41

Betano

1.40

Bet365

1.40

Marathonbet

1.39

Under

Bet365

2.75

Betano

2.75

Marathonbet

2.73

1xBet

2.73

Superbet

2.70

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

30.1%

@ 2.25-11.0%

Under 2.5

69.9%

@ 1.57+11.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

2.40

Superbet

2.25

10Bet

2.25

Bet365

2.25

Marathonbet

2.21

Under

Betano

1.62

Marathonbet

1.58

1xBet

1.58

Bet365

1.57

Superbet

1.57

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Fram Reykjavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

64.3%

@ 1.22-11.8%

Under

35.7%

@ 3.88+11.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.23

1xBet

1.21

Under

1xBet

4.00

Betano

3.75

Fram Reykjavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

30.8%

@ 2.04-14.4%

Under

69.2%

@ 1.69+14.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

2.10

Marathonbet

2.04

1xBet

2.02

Betano

2.02

Under

1xBet

1.71

Betano

1.70

Marathonbet

1.69

Superbet

1.65

Fram Reykjavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

9.9%

@ 4.10-12.7%

Under

90.1%

@ 1.20+12.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

4.20

Betano

4.00

Under

Betano

1.21

1xBet

1.18

KA Akureyri over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

47.7%

@ 1.66-8.2%

Under

52.3%

@ 2.10+8.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.67

1xBet

1.65

Betano

1.65

Under

Betano

2.12

1xBet

2.10

Superbet

2.07

KA Akureyri over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

15.5%

@ 4.15-6.8%

Under

84.5%

@ 1.19+6.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

4.35

1xBet

4.20

Betano

3.90

Under

Betano

1.22

1xBet

1.18

Marathonbet

1.17

KA Akureyri over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

3.0%

@ 8.50-7.9%

Under

97.0%

@ 1.04+7.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

8.50

Under

Betano

1.04

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals	98.7%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.5%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals	97.0%	1.04	Betano 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.9%	✓ Hit
Under 7.5	95.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	Betano 1.04	1xBet 1.04	-	-	+5.6%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals	93.3%	1.08	Betano 1.09	1xBet 1.07	-	-	-	+8.3%	✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals	91.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	Betano 1.04	Betfair 1.03	-	-	+1.4%	✓ Hit
Over 1.5	91.4%	1.04	Betano 1.07	Bet365 1.06	Betfair 1.05	Superbet 1.05	1xBet 1.02	+2.9%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals	90.5%	1.10	Betano 1.12	Marathonbet 1.10	1xBet 1.09	-	-	+6.7%	✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals	90.4%	1.03	Betano 1.05	Bet365 1.04	Betfair 1.03	1xBet 1.02	-	+0.4%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals	90.1%	1.20	Betano 1.21	1xBet 1.18	-	-	-	+12.7%	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	89.1%	1.09	Pinnacle 1.11	Bet365 1.11	Betano 1.11	1xBet 1.08	BetVictor 1.05	+5.2%	✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap	87.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-2.3%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals	84.5%	1.19	Betano 1.22	1xBet 1.18	Marathonbet 1.17	-	-	+6.8%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals	82.7%	1.31	Bet365 1.33	Superbet 1.32	Marathonbet 1.30	Betano 1.30	William Hil 1.30	+11.8%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals	82.6%	1.07	Betano 1.08	Bet365 1.08	William Hil 1.08	1xBet 1.05	-	-4.6%	✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals	80.5%	1.23	Betano 1.26	1xBet 1.25	Betfair 1.25	Bet365 1.25	Superbet 1.24	+6.3%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals	79.1%	1.43	Pinnacle 1.45	1xBet 1.44	Superbet 1.43	Marathonbet 1.42	Betano 1.40	+13.9%	✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals	79.0%	1.32	1xBet 1.35	Betfair 1.33	Bet365 1.33	Pinnacle 1.33	Marathonbet 1.33	+9.3%	✓ Hit
Home or Away	78.9%	1.13	William Hil 1.18	Betano 1.17	Superbet 1.15	Marathonbet 1.14	Bet365 1.14	-2.5%	✗ Miss
Under 5.5	78.8%	1.24	Pinnacle 1.26	Betano 1.26	Bet365 1.25	Betfair 1.25	Superbet 1.24	+4.7%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals	77.4%	1.15	Betano 1.18	Bet365 1.17	Superbet 1.16	Marathonbet 1.15	Betfair 1.14	-2.4%	✓ Hit
Over 2.5	75.9%	1.20	Betano 1.24	Pinnacle 1.23	Bet365 1.22	10Bet 1.22	Superbet 1.22	+0.1%	✓ Hit
Home or Draw	74.1%	1.14	Betano 1.17	BetVictor 1.17	William Hil 1.17	Superbet 1.15	1xBet 1.14	-6.7%	✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap	74.1%	1.13	Marathonbet 1.14	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-4.4%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals	74.0%	1.14	Betano 1.18	William Hil 1.15	Superbet 1.14	Bet365 1.14	BetVictor 1.13	-7.5%	✓ Hit
BTTS Yes	73.5%	1.30	Betano 1.33	Bet365 1.33	Superbet 1.33	Marathonbet 1.31	1xBet 1.31	+3.4%	✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

VR (26)

€5m

BRE (19)

€3m

VR (22)

€3m

STJ (22)

€3m

KR (18)

€3m

FR (19)

€2m

KA (22)

€2m

IA (19)

€2m

FH (21)

€2m

IV (18)

€2m

TA (21)

€2m

KEF (18)

€1m

Fram Reykjavik and KA Akureyri have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

VR (12)

€3m

VR (7)

€1m

KR (9)

€1m

BRE (6)

€1m

STJ (4)

€1m

KA (9)

€1m

TA (7)

€1m

FR (6)

€1m

KEF (6)

€1m

IA (6)

€1m

FH (8)

€0m

IV (6)

€0m

Fram Reykjavik and KA Akureyri have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BRE (4)

€1m

VR (4)

€1m

STJ (6)

€1m

IV (6)

€1m

VR (5)

€1m

KR (2)

€1m

FR (4)

€1m

KA (5)

€0m

TA (4)

€0m

IA (3)

€0m

FH (2)

€0m

KEF (5)

€0m

Fram Reykjavik and KA Akureyri have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

VR (10)

€2m

BRE (9)

€1m

STJ (12)

€1m

FR (9)

€1m

IA (10)

€1m

VR (10)

€1m

FH (11)

€1m

KR (7)

€1m

IV (6)

€1m

KA (8)

€1m

KEF (7)

€1m

TA (10)

€1m

Fram Reykjavik and KA Akureyri have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings

FR wins

Draws

KA wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Fram Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri · H/A from FR

Date	H/A	Game	Score
24/08/25	A	KA Akureyri Vs FR	2-0
29/05/25	H	FR Vs KA Akureyri	1-2
15/05/25	A	KA Akureyri Vs FR	2-4
27/02/25	A	KA Akureyri Vs FR	2-5
26/10/24	H	FR Vs KA Akureyri	1-4
25/08/24	H	FR Vs KA Akureyri	1-2
23/06/24	A	KA Akureyri Vs FR	3-2
13/06/24	A	KA Akureyri Vs FR	3-0

Fram Reykjavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
24/08/26	A	Breidablik Vs FR	3-4
17/08/26	H	FR Vs Stjarnan	3-1
10/08/26	H	FR Vs KR Reykjavik	2-5
01/08/26	A	IBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs FR	1-2
26/07/26	H	FR Vs FH hafnarfjordur	0-0
18/07/26	A	Valur Reykjavik Vs FR	2-3
12/07/26	H	FR Vs Thor Akureyri	6-1
06/07/26	A	Keflavik Vs FR	1-1
04/04/26	H	FR Vs Vikingur Reykjavik	2-4
06/03/26	A	Keflavik Vs FR	4-3

KA Akureyri

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
23/08/26	H	KA Vs KR Reykjavik	3-5
17/08/26	A	Valur Reykjavik Vs KA	4-4
09/08/26	H	KA Vs FH hafnarfjordur	0-1
05/08/26	A	Keflavik Vs KA	3-0
27/07/26	H	KA Vs Thor Akureyri	0-0
19/07/26	A	IBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs KA	2-2
12/07/26	H	KA Vs IA Akranes	3-2
14/05/26	H	KA Vs Ægir	1-2
04/04/26	A	Höttur / Huginn Vs KA	0-5
07/03/26	H	KA Vs Grindavik	0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Fram Reykjavik

Iceland: Úrvalsdeild

Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DWLWW	1.56
Home	LWDLW	1.79
Away	LDWWW	1.35

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	46%	54%	38%
AVG goals	3.54	3.42	3.65
Over 1.5 %	82%	79%	85%
Over 2.5 %	62%	58%	65%
Over 3.5 %	46%	42%	50%
Scored	1.98	2.17	1.81
Conceded	1.56	1.25	1.85
BTTS	68%	58%	77%
Clean Sheet	22%	33%	12%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

KA Akureyri

Iceland: Úrvalsdeild

Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DLLDL	1.24
Home	LWDLL	1.43
Away	LWDLD	1.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	32%	39%	23%
AVG goals	3.52	3.39	3.68
Over 1.5 %	80%	79%	82%
Over 2.5 %	58%	50%	68%
Over 3.5 %	48%	46%	50%
Scored	1.64	1.71	1.55
Conceded	1.88	1.68	2.14
BTTS	56%	54%	59%
Clean Sheet	22%	29%	14%
Corners	9.00	10.00	8.00
Cards	3.50	4.00	3.00

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Fram Reykjavik	9	18	56%	2.0	23	16	+7	4.3	89%	78%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	1	1	2.6	1.8	-
2	KR Reykjavik	7	15	57%	2.1	25	12	+13	5.3	100%	71%	71%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	3.6	1.7	-
3	Keflavik	9	13	44%	1.4	15	13	+2	3.1	78%	56%	22%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	1	0	1	1.7	1.4	-
4	FH hafnarfjordur	8	13	38%	1.6	9	7	+2	2.0	62%	25%	12%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	0	0	1	1.1	0.9	-
5	Vikingur Reykjavik	7	12	43%	1.7	17	10	+7	3.9	100%	71%	57%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	3	1	2	2.4	1.4	-
6	IA Akranes	8	12	38%	1.5	19	15	+4	4.2	100%	75%	75%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	1	2.4	1.9	-
7	Stjarnan	7	12	57%	1.7	12	17	-5	4.1	86%	71%	71%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.7	2.4	-
8	Thor Akureyri	8	10	38%	1.2	7	15	-8	2.8	62%	38%	25%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	1	0.9	1.9	-
9	Breidablik	8	8	25%	1.0	10	14	-4	3.0	62%	50%	38%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.2	1.8	-
10	KA Akureyri	8	7	12%	0.9	14	19	-5	4.1	75%	75%	62%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	1	1.8	2.4	-
11	Valur Reykjavik	7	5	14%	0.7	13	17	-4	4.3	100%	71%	71%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.9	2.4	-
12	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	8	2	0%	0.2	8	17	-9	3.1	62%	62%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	0	1	1	1.0	2.1	-

Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →

← all matches

Fram Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Fram Reykjavik

KA Akureyri

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Fram Reykjavik

KA Akureyri

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Fram Reykjavik

KA Akureyri

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Fram Reykjavik

KA Akureyri

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature