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Fram Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavik Result & Analysis

Date: 18/08/2025
Time: 19:15
Final 0-1
Fram Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
Vs
55%
22%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
KR Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fram Reykjavik win✗ Miss
54.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
KR Reykjavik win✓ Hit
23.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W11D20W10W00D11D22D11D23LH·FH 15/06A·AFT19/06A·BRE23/06H·IBV29/06A·IA 05/07A·VES12/07A·AFT17/07H·VIK27/07H·STJ06/08A·VES10/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.471.711.361.621.56
vs Stronger (6)2.171.833.002.001.751.75
vs Similar (23)1.481.391.361.271.581.50
vs Weaker (1)3.001.003.001.00--
Clean sheet %27% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (KR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-624L21W23L16L32W12L01L11D12L21WA·STJ29/05H·VES01/06A·VIK16/06A·VAL23/06H·FH 29/06H·KA 06/07A·IA 14/07H·BRE26/07A·IBV02/08H·AFT11/08
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game3.101.803.881.442.212.21
vs Stronger (1)2.003.00--2.003.00
vs Similar (28)3.041.793.881.441.922.25
vs Weaker (1)6.001.00--6.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Fram Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%3%08%118%221%319%414%516%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
88.5%
Under 1.5
11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
70.2%
Under 2.5
29.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
49.0%
Under 3.5
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
68.3%
No
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.2%
1-1
9.2%
3-1
6.8%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
1-0
5.0%
3-2
4.8%
Fram Reykjavik goals ↓
KR Reykjavik goals →
01234
03.5%2.9%2.7%1.3%0.5%
15.0%9.2%5.9%2.8%1.0%
26.5%9.2%6.5%3.1%1.1%
34.8%6.8%4.8%2.3%0.8%
42.6%3.7%2.7%1.3%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fram Reykjavik goals (down), columns = KR Reykjavik goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.11
Valur Reykjavik
1.67
Stjarnan
1.56
Breidablik
1.56
KA Akureyri
1.44
Fram Reykjavik
1.33
IA Akranes
1.26
FH hafnarfjordur
1.22
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.22
KR Reykjavik
1.15
Vestri
1.07
Afturelding
1.00
Fram Reykjavik is 0.19 points better than KR Reykjavik in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.15).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Valur Reykjavik
2.26
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.15
KR Reykjavik
2.04
Stjarnan
1.85
FH hafnarfjordur
1.81
Breidablik
1.70
KA Akureyri
1.67
Fram Reykjavik
1.52
IA Akranes
1.37
Afturelding
1.33
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.26
Vestri
0.96
Fram Reykjavik is 0.52 goals worse than KR Reykjavik in terms of goals scored per game (1.52 vs 2.04).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.15
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.37
Fram Reykjavik
1.48
Breidablik
1.56
Vestri
1.63
Stjarnan
1.67
Valur Reykjavik
1.70
FH hafnarfjordur
1.70
Afturelding
1.70
KA Akureyri
1.81
IA Akranes
1.85
KR Reykjavik
2.30
Fram Reykjavik is 0.81 goals better than KR Reykjavik in terms of goals conceded per game (1.48 vs 2.30).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D20W10W00D00D11D00D11DH·FH 15/06A·AFT19/06A·BRE23/06H·IBV29/06A·IA 05/07A·VES12/07A·AFT17/07H·VIK27/07H·STJ06/08A·VES10/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.730.860.790.940.69
vs Stronger (6)0.501.000.501.500.500.75
vs Similar (23)1.000.700.910.731.080.67
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (KR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L01L22D13L01L00D00D10W11D01LA·STJ29/05H·VES01/06A·VIK16/06A·VAL23/06H·FH 29/06H·KA 06/07A·IA 14/07H·BRE26/07A·IBV02/08H·AFT11/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.771.440.561.291.00
vs Stronger (1)2.002.00--2.002.00
vs Similar (28)1.290.751.440.561.081.00
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Fram Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fram Reykjavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fram Reykjavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fram Reykjavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KR Reykjavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KR Reykjavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KR Reykjavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W11D00D00D00D11D11D11D12LH·FH 15/06A·AFT19/06A·BRE23/06H·IBV29/06A·IA 05/07A·VES12/07A·AFT17/07H·VIK27/07H·STJ06/08A·VES10/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.730.860.570.690.88
vs Stronger (6)1.670.832.500.501.251.00
vs Similar (23)0.480.700.450.550.500.83
vs Weaker (1)2.001.002.001.00--
Clean sheet %37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (KR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D20W01L03L31W12L01L01L01L20WA·STJ29/05H·VES01/06A·VIK16/06A·VAL23/06H·FH 29/06H·KA 06/07A·IA 14/07H·BRE26/07A·IBV02/08H·AFT11/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.002.190.810.931.21
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (28)1.611.002.190.810.831.25
vs Weaker (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Fram Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fram Reykjavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fram Reykjavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fram Reykjavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KR Reykjavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KR Reykjavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KR Reykjavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.588.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.570.2%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (26)
€5m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (22)
€3m
STJ (22)
€3m
KR (18)
€3m
FR (19)
€2m
KA (22)
€2m
IA (19)
€2m
FH (21)
€2m
IV (18)
€2m
VES (19)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
Fram Reykjavik and KR Reykjavik have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (12)
€3m
VR (7)
€1m
KR (9)
€1m
BRE (6)
€1m
STJ (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
FR (6)
€1m
AFT (5)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
FH (8)
€0m
VES (7)
€0m
IV (6)
€0m
Fram Reykjavik and KR Reykjavik have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
STJ (6)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
KR (2)
€1m
FR (4)
€1m
KA (5)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
FH (2)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
Fram Reykjavik and KR Reykjavik have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (10)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
STJ (12)
€1m
FR (9)
€1m
IA (10)
€1m
VR (10)
€1m
FH (11)
€1m
KR (7)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
KA (8)
€1m
AFT (7)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
Fram Reykjavik and KR Reykjavik have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
FR wins
1
Draws
4
KR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Fram Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavik · H/A from FR
DateH/AGameScore
23/05/25AKR Reykjavik Vs FR2-3
29/09/24AKR Reykjavik Vs FR7-1
11/07/24HFR Vs KR Reykjavik1-0
20/04/24AKR Reykjavik Vs FR0-1
13/08/23AKR Reykjavik Vs FR3-2
22/05/23HFR Vs KR Reykjavik1-2
19/07/22AKR Reykjavik Vs FR1-1
20/04/22HFR Vs KR Reykjavik1-4

Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/08/25AVestri Vs FR3-2
06/08/25HFR Vs Stjarnan1-1
27/07/25HFR Vs Vikingur Reykjavik2-2
17/07/25AAfturelding Vs FR1-1
12/07/25AVestri Vs FR0-0
05/07/25AIA Akranes Vs FR0-1
29/06/25HFR Vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar2-0
23/06/25ABreidablik Vs FR1-1
19/06/25AAfturelding Vs FR0-1
15/06/25HFR Vs FH hafnarfjordur2-0

KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/08/25HKR Vs Afturelding2-1
02/08/25AIBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs KR2-1
26/07/25HKR Vs Breidablik1-1
14/07/25AIA Akranes Vs KR1-0
06/07/25HKR Vs KA Akureyri1-2
29/06/25HKR Vs FH hafnarfjordur3-2
23/06/25AValur Reykjavik Vs KR6-1
16/06/25AVikingur Reykjavik Vs KR3-2
01/06/25HKR Vs Vestri2-1
29/05/25AStjarnan Vs KR4-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Fram Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDDL1.32
HomeLWWDD1.67
AwayDWDDL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%50%27%
AVG goals3.243.173.31
Over 1.5 %78%83%73%
Over 2.5 %62%62%62%
Over 3.5 %40%33%46%
Scored1.601.791.42
Conceded1.641.381.88
BTTS64%62%65%
Clean Sheet24%33%15%
Corners---
Cards---
KR Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLW1.32
HomeWWLDW1.77
AwayLLLLL0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%50%21%
AVG goals4.464.774.12
Over 1.5 %92%96%88%
Over 2.5 %80%85%75%
Over 3.5 %62%65%58%
Scored2.483.081.83
Conceded1.981.692.29
BTTS78%77%79%
Clean Sheet14%19%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik2757
63%
2.1
5831+27
3.3
85%
67%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.11.1
-
2Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik2745
48%
1.7
6146+15
4.0
100%
74%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.31.7
-
3StjarnanStjarnan2742
44%
1.6
5045+5
3.5
93%
74%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.7
-
4BreidablikBreidablik2742
41%
1.6
4642+4
3.3
89%
56%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.6
-
5KA AkureyriKA Akureyri2739
41%
1.4
4549-4
3.5
81%
59%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.8
-
6Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik2736
37%
1.3
4140+1
3.0
85%
52%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.51.5
-
7IA AkranesIA Akranes2734
41%
1.3
3750-13
3.2
81%
63%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.9
-
8FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur2733
30%
1.2
4946+3
3.5
89%
63%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.81.7
-
9IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar2733
33%
1.2
3437-3
2.6
81%
44%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.31.4
-
10KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik2731
30%
1.1
5562-7
4.3
93%
85%
63%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.02.3
-
11VestriVestri2729
30%
1.1
2644-18
2.6
78%
33%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.6
-
12AftureldingAfturelding2727
22%
1.0
3646-10
3.0
81%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.7
-
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →

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