PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Fram Reykjavik vs Stjarnan Result & Analysis

Date: 06/08/2024
Time: 19:15
Final 2-1
Fram Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
Vs
46%
25%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stjarnan
Stjarnan
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fram Reykjavik win✓ Hit
45.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stjarnan win✗ Miss
29.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L33D03L12L23L31W12L10W41W00DH·BRE26/05A·FH 31/05A·KA 13/06H·HK 18/06A·KA 23/06A·VES27/06A·VIK30/06H·KR 11/07H·VAL28/07A·FYL31/07
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.501.801.331.401.67
vs Stronger (9)1.781.562.001.801.501.25
vs Similar (21)1.521.481.701.101.361.82
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StjarnanStjarnan

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-434L04L11D11D20W23L20W21W31W04LA·HK 22/06H·VIK27/06A·VIK03/07A·KR 06/07H·LIN11/07A·LIN18/07H·FYL21/07H·PAI25/07A·IA 28/07A·PAI01/08
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.802.151.461.352.06
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.651.742.331.441.211.93
vs Weaker (7)1.862.001.751.502.002.67
Clean sheet %23% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Fram Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.7%
Under 1.5
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.4%
Under 2.5
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.2%
Under 3.5
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.0%
No
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
2-1 ✓
9.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
1-0
6.0%
3-1
5.6%
0-0
4.8%
Fram Reykjavik goals ↓
Stjarnan goals →
01234
04.8%4.5%3.9%1.9%0.7%
16.0%11%7.2%3.4%1.2%
26.4%9.2%6.6%3.2%1.1%
33.9%5.6%4.0%1.9%0.7%
41.8%2.6%1.8%0.9%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fram Reykjavik goals (down), columns = Stjarnan goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Breidablik
2.30
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.19
Valur Reykjavik
1.63
Stjarnan
1.56
KA Akureyri
1.37
IA Akranes
1.37
FH hafnarfjordur
1.26
KR Reykjavik
1.26
Fram Reykjavik
1.11
HK Kopavogur
0.93
Vestri
0.93
Fylkir
0.78
Fram Reykjavik is 0.44 points worse than Stjarnan in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 1.56).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.52
Valur Reykjavik
2.44
Breidablik
2.33
KR Reykjavik
2.07
Stjarnan
1.89
IA Akranes
1.81
KA Akureyri
1.63
FH hafnarfjordur
1.59
Fram Reykjavik
1.41
HK Kopavogur
1.26
Fylkir
1.19
Vestri
1.19
Fram Reykjavik is 0.48 goals worse than Stjarnan in terms of goals scored per game (1.41 vs 1.89).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Breidablik
1.15
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.22
Valur Reykjavik
1.56
Stjarnan
1.59
IA Akranes
1.74
KA Akureyri
1.78
Fram Reykjavik
1.81
KR Reykjavik
1.81
FH hafnarfjordur
1.85
Vestri
1.96
Fylkir
2.22
HK Kopavogur
2.63
Fram Reykjavik is 0.22 goals worse than Stjarnan in terms of goals conceded per game (1.81 vs 1.59).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D02L01L10W21W20W02L00D31W00DH·BRE26/05A·FH 31/05A·KA 13/06H·HK 18/06A·KA 23/06A·VES27/06A·VIK30/06H·KR 11/07H·VAL28/07A·FYL31/07
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.571.070.400.470.73
vs Stronger (9)0.780.671.200.800.250.50
vs Similar (21)0.760.521.000.200.550.82
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StjarnanStjarnan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L02L01L10W10W01L00D10W01L01LA·HK 22/06H·VIK27/06A·VIK03/07A·KR 06/07H·LIN11/07A·LIN18/07H·FYL21/07H·PAI25/07A·IA 28/07A·PAI01/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.730.920.460.470.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.610.701.000.560.360.79
vs Weaker (7)0.860.860.750.251.001.67
Clean sheet %47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Fram Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fram Reykjavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fram Reykjavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fram Reykjavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stjarnan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stjarnan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stjarnan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L31W02L02L02L11D10W10W10W00DH·BRE26/05A·FH 31/05A·KA 13/06H·HK 18/06A·KA 23/06A·VES27/06A·VIK30/06H·KR 11/07H·VAL28/07A·FYL31/07
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.930.730.930.930.93
vs Stronger (9)1.000.890.801.001.250.75
vs Similar (21)0.760.950.700.900.821.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StjarnanStjarnan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D02L10W01L10W22D20W11D30W03LA·HK 22/06H·VIK27/06A·VIK03/07A·KR 06/07H·LIN11/07A·LIN18/07H·FYL21/07H·PAI25/07A·IA 28/07A·PAI01/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.001.460.850.881.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.041.041.300.900.861.14
vs Weaker (6)1.500.832.000.671.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Fram Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fram Reykjavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fram Reykjavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fram Reykjavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stjarnan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stjarnan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stjarnan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (26)
€5m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (22)
€3m
STJ (22)
€3m
KR (18)
€3m
FR (19)
€2m
KA (22)
€2m
IA (19)
€2m
FH (21)
€2m
VES (19)
€1m
FYL (17)
€1m
HK (19)
€1m
Fram Reykjavik and Stjarnan have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (12)
€3m
VR (7)
€1m
KR (9)
€1m
BRE (6)
€1m
STJ (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
FR (6)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
FH (8)
€0m
VES (7)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
FYL (7)
€0m
Fram Reykjavik and Stjarnan have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
STJ (6)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
KR (2)
€1m
FR (4)
€1m
KA (5)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
FH (2)
€0m
FYL (4)
€0m
HK (3)
€0m
Fram Reykjavik and Stjarnan have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (10)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
STJ (12)
€1m
FR (9)
€1m
IA (10)
€1m
VR (10)
€1m
FH (11)
€1m
KR (7)
€1m
KA (8)
€1m
FYL (6)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
Fram Reykjavik and Stjarnan have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
1
FR wins
3
Draws
1
STJ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Fram Reykjavik vs Stjarnan · H/A from FR
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/24AStjarnan Vs FR1-1
26/07/23AStjarnan Vs FR4-0
08/05/23HFR Vs Stjarnan2-1
03/08/22HFR Vs Stjarnan2-2
07/05/22AStjarnan Vs FR1-1

Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/07/24AFylkir Vs FR0-0
28/07/24HFR Vs Valur Reykjavik4-1
11/07/24HFR Vs KR Reykjavik1-0
30/06/24AVikingur Reykjavik Vs FR2-1
27/06/24AVestri Vs FR1-3
23/06/24AKA Akureyri Vs FR3-2
18/06/24HFR Vs HK Kopavogur1-2
13/06/24AKA Akureyri Vs FR3-0
31/05/24AFH hafnarfjordur Vs FR3-3
26/05/24HFR Vs Breidablik1-4

StjarnanStjarnan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/24APaide Vs STJ4-0
28/07/24AIA Akranes Vs STJ1-3
25/07/24HSTJ Vs Paide2-1
21/07/24HSTJ Vs Fylkir2-0
18/07/24ALinfield Vs STJ3-2
11/07/24HSTJ Vs Linfield2-0
06/07/24AKR Reykjavik Vs STJ1-1
03/07/24AVikingur Reykjavik Vs STJ1-1
27/06/24HSTJ Vs Vikingur Reykjavik0-4
22/06/24AHK Kopavogur Vs STJ4-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Fram Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWD1.20
HomeDLLWW1.75
AwayLLWLD0.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%54%12%
AVG goals3.263.213.31
Over 1.5 %82%83%81%
Over 2.5 %66%71%62%
Over 3.5 %44%42%46%
Scored1.521.831.23
Conceded1.741.382.08
BTTS70%75%65%
Clean Sheet16%17%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Stjarnan
Stjarnan
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWL1.70
HomeWLWWW2.35
AwayDDLWL1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%74%30%
AVG goals3.303.613.04
Over 1.5 %92%96%89%
Over 2.5 %56%70%44%
Over 3.5 %44%57%33%
Scored1.922.611.33
Conceded1.381.001.70
BTTS54%43%63%
Clean Sheet32%48%19%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BreidablikBreidablik2762
70%
2.3
6331+32
3.5
93%
70%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.31.1
-
2Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik2759
67%
2.2
6833+35
3.7
89%
70%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.51.2
-
3Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik2744
44%
1.6
6642+24
4.0
89%
74%
70%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.41.6
-
4StjarnanStjarnan2742
44%
1.6
5143+8
3.5
89%
67%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.6
-
5IA AkranesIA Akranes2737
41%
1.4
4947+2
3.6
85%
67%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.7
-
6KA AkureyriKA Akureyri2737
37%
1.4
4448-4
3.4
85%
63%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.8
-
7KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik2734
33%
1.3
5649+7
3.9
85%
70%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.11.8
-
8FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur2734
33%
1.3
4350-7
3.4
89%
63%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.61.9
-
9Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik2730
30%
1.1
3849-11
3.2
78%
59%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.41.8
-
10VestriVestri2725
22%
0.9
3253-21
3.1
81%
59%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.0
-
11HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur2725
26%
0.9
3471-37
3.9
93%
70%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.32.6
-
12FylkirFylkir2721
19%
0.8
3260-28
3.4
81%
67%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.2
-
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →

← all matches