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Fredrikstad vs Molde Result & Analysis

Date: 07/12/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 0-0
Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad
Vs
7%
15%
77%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Molde
Molde
Norway: NM Cupen
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fredrikstad win✗ Miss
7.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
15.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Molde win✗ Miss
77.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FredrikstadFredrikstad

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W10W00D21W02L00D11D22D10W10WH·VIK22/09A·SAR28/09A·VAL06/10H·LIL20/10A·STR26/10H·KFU30/10H·KRI03/11A·BOD10/11H·HAM23/11A·SAN01/12
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.071.200.731.331.40
vs Stronger (2)2.502.003.002.002.002.00
vs Similar (19)1.001.160.700.801.331.56
vs Weaker (9)1.560.672.000.251.201.00
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Molde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MoldeMolde

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L12L30W20W33D03L22D21W01L01LH·SAN19/10A·GEN24/10A·HAU27/10A·SAN30/10H·BOD03/11A·JAG07/11A·SAR10/11H·BRA23/11H·APO28/11A·STR01/12
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.102.541.151.351.06
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.801.252.781.221.001.27
vs Weaker (10)2.000.802.001.002.000.67
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Fredrikstad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
85.8%
Under 1.5
14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
65.7%
Under 2.5
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.8%
Under 3.5
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.5%
No
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
11.8%
0-3
10.4%
1-2
8.8%
0-1
8.3%
1-3
7.8%
1-1
7.4%
0-4
6.9%
1-4
5.1%
Fredrikstad goals ↓
Molde goals →
01234
04.1%8.3%12%10%6.9%
11.9%7.4%8.8%7.8%5.1%
20.9%2.5%3.3%2.9%1.9%
30.2%0.6%0.8%0.7%0.5%
40.0%0.1%0.2%0.1%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fredrikstad goals (down), columns = Molde goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Molde
2.71
Viking
2.50
Ham-Kam
2.50
Stromsgodset
2.50
Lysekloster
2.50
Sandnes ULF
2.50
Stabaek
2.40
Tromso
2.33
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.25
Raufoss
2.25
Bryne
2.25
Eidsvold
2.25
Fredrikstad
2.14
Bodo/Glimt
2.00
hodd
2.00
KFUM Oslo
2.00
Tromsdalen Uil
2.00
Alta
2.00
Lillestrom
2.00
Egersund
2.00
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Råde
2.00
Kjelsås
2.00
Ranheim
2.00
Levanger
2.00
Arendal
2.00
Frøya
2.00
Kristiansund BK
2.00
Brann
2.00
Rosenborg
2.00
Asane
2.00
Valerenga
1.80
Sogndal
1.67
Elverum
1.50
Skjervøy
1.50
Hønefoss
1.50
Moss
1.50
Flekkerøy
1.50
Lyn
1.50
Frigg
1.50
Aalesund
1.50
jerv
1.50
Kongsvinger
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Fram
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Ull/Kisa
1.50
Pors Grenland
1.50
Træff
1.50
Melhus
1.50
Mjondalen
1.50
Vard
1.50
Strindheim
1.50
Eik-Tønsberg
1.50
Oppsal
1.50
Bjarg
1.50
Strommen
1.50
Fløya
1.50
Bærum
1.50
Junkeren
1.50
Start
1.00
Sotra
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Djerv
1.00
Torvastad
0.50
Askøy
0.50
Mandalskameratene
0.50
Stord
0.50
Sprint-Jeløy
0.00
Ullern
0.00
Flint
0.00
Trygg/Lade
0.00
Asker
0.00
Mosjøen
0.00
Sverresborg
0.00
Nordstrand
0.00
Lørenskog
0.00
Varhaug
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
Volda
0.00
Gamle Oslo
0.00
Express
0.00
Kvik Halden
0.00
Brodd
0.00
Nybergsund
0.00
Skreia
0.00
Førde
0.00
Tiller
0.00
Toten
0.00
Follo
0.00
Ridabu
0.00
Fana
0.00
Mjølner
0.00
Gjelleråsen
0.00
Sandviken (Norway)
0.00
Ørn Horten
0.00
Sandefjord
0.00
Lyngbø
0.00
Os
0.00
Grorud
0.00
Hei
0.00
Nardo
0.00
Sortland
0.00
Notodden
0.00
Drøbak / Frogn
0.00
Funnefoss / Vormsund
0.00
Byåsen
0.00
Randesund
0.00
Heming
0.00
Hallingdal
0.00
Gjøvik-Lyn
0.00
Årvoll
0.00
Madla
0.00
Surnadal
0.00
Union Carl Berner
0.00
Sarpsborg
0.00
Bjørkelangen
0.00
Rana
0.00
Senja
0.00
Bossekop
0.00
Kirkenes
0.00
Åskollen
0.00
Brønnøysund
0.00
Fjøra
0.00
Brattvåg
0.00
Forus og Gausel
0.00
Eide
0.00
Vidar
0.00
Fredrikstad is 0.57 points worse than Molde in terms of average points per game (2.14 vs 2.71).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Alta
5.00
Kongsvinger
5.00
Bryne
4.75
Stromsgodset
4.25
Lillestrom
4.00
Sandviken (Norway)
4.00
Sotra
4.00
Tromso
4.00
Eik-Tønsberg
4.00
Brann
4.00
Strommen
4.00
Djerv
4.00
Viking
3.75
Stabaek
3.60
Ham-Kam
3.50
Raufoss
3.50
Bodo/Glimt
3.33
Sandnes ULF
3.17
Sogndal
3.00
Hønefoss
3.00
Tromsdalen Uil
3.00
Askøy
3.00
Træff
3.00
Ranheim
3.00
Madla
3.00
Bjarg
3.00
Rosenborg
3.00
Asane
3.00
Fredrikstad
2.71
hodd
2.67
ODD Ballklubb
2.67
Molde
2.57
Elverum
2.50
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.50
Vard
2.50
Strindheim
2.50
Lysekloster
2.50
Trygg/Lade
2.00
Moss
2.00
Torvastad
2.00
Førde
2.00
Gjelleråsen
2.00
Nardo
2.00
Frøya
2.00
Eidsvold
2.00
Fjøra
2.00
Stord
2.00
KFUM Oslo
1.83
Valerenga
1.80
Kjelsås
1.67
Arendal
1.67
Levanger
1.60
Skjervøy
1.50
Lyn
1.50
Frigg
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Ull/Kisa
1.50
Mjondalen
1.50
Oppsal
1.50
Junkeren
1.50
Råde
1.33
Kristiansund BK
1.33
Lørenskog
1.00
Volda
1.00
Start
1.00
Express
1.00
Brodd
1.00
Egersund
1.00
Aalesund
1.00
jerv
1.00
Toten
1.00
Follo
1.00
Mjølner
1.00
Fram
1.00
Lyngbø
1.00
Grorud
1.00
Melhus
1.00
Notodden
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Surnadal
1.00
Sarpsborg
1.00
Fløya
1.00
Senja
1.00
Bærum
1.00
Bossekop
1.00
Åskollen
1.00
Brattvåg
1.00
Flekkerøy
0.50
Pors Grenland
0.50
Mandalskameratene
0.50
Sprint-Jeløy
0.00
Ullern
0.00
Flint
0.00
Asker
0.00
Mosjøen
0.00
Sverresborg
0.00
Nordstrand
0.00
Varhaug
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
Gamle Oslo
0.00
Kvik Halden
0.00
Nybergsund
0.00
Skreia
0.00
Tiller
0.00
Ridabu
0.00
Fana
0.00
Ørn Horten
0.00
Sandefjord
0.00
Os
0.00
Hei
0.00
Sortland
0.00
Drøbak / Frogn
0.00
Funnefoss / Vormsund
0.00
Byåsen
0.00
Randesund
0.00
Heming
0.00
Hallingdal
0.00
Gjøvik-Lyn
0.00
Årvoll
0.00
Union Carl Berner
0.00
Bjørkelangen
0.00
Rana
0.00
Kirkenes
0.00
Brønnøysund
0.00
Forus og Gausel
0.00
Eide
0.00
Vidar
0.00
Fredrikstad is 0.14 goals better than Molde in terms of goals scored per game (2.71 vs 2.57).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tromso
0.00
Valerenga
0.40
Flekkerøy
0.50
Aalesund
0.50
Pors Grenland
0.50
Mjondalen
0.50
Fredrikstad
0.57
Råde
0.67
Arendal
0.67
Rosenborg
0.67
Molde
0.71
Stromsgodset
0.75
Lysekloster
0.75
Levanger
0.80
KFUM Oslo
0.83
Skjervøy
1.00
Nordstrand
1.00
Hønefoss
1.00
Start
1.00
Moss
1.00
Egersund
1.00
Skeid
1.00
Sandefjord
1.00
Ranheim
1.00
Hei
1.00
Frøya
1.00
Byåsen
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Junkeren
1.00
Vidar
1.00
Viking
1.25
Ham-Kam
1.25
Raufoss
1.25
Bryne
1.25
Bodo/Glimt
1.33
hodd
1.33
Alta
1.33
Kjelsås
1.33
Brann
1.33
Asane
1.33
Stabaek
1.40
Lyn
1.50
jerv
1.50
Kongsvinger
1.50
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Træff
1.50
Eidsvold
1.50
Sogndal
1.67
Sandnes ULF
1.67
Ullern
2.00
Asker
2.00
Tromsdalen Uil
2.00
Lørenskog
2.00
Spjelkavik
2.00
Gamle Oslo
2.00
Express
2.00
Kvik Halden
2.00
Frigg
2.00
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Fana
2.00
Mjølner
2.00
Fram
2.00
Ull/Kisa
2.00
Os
2.00
Notodden
2.00
Funnefoss / Vormsund
2.00
Randesund
2.00
Heming
2.00
Strindheim
2.00
Kristiansund BK
2.00
Årvoll
2.00
Brattvåg
2.00
Lillestrom
2.20
Elverum
2.50
Torvastad
2.50
Melhus
2.50
Eik-Tønsberg
2.50
Oppsal
2.50
Bærum
2.50
Sprint-Jeløy
3.00
Trygg/Lade
3.00
Brodd
3.00
Tiller
3.00
Toten
3.00
Follo
3.00
Ørn Horten
3.00
Grorud
3.00
Union Carl Berner
3.00
Rana
3.00
Bossekop
3.00
Åskollen
3.00
Vard
3.50
Bjarg
3.50
Strommen
3.50
Fløya
3.50
Mosjøen
4.00
Gjelleråsen
4.00
Sotra
4.00
Nardo
4.00
Mandalskameratene
4.00
Djerv
4.00
Stord
4.00
Askøy
4.50
Varhaug
5.00
Ridabu
5.00
Gjøvik-Lyn
5.00
Madla
5.00
Surnadal
5.00
Sarpsborg
5.00
Fjøra
5.00
Eide
5.00
Flint
6.00
Sverresborg
6.00
Volda
6.00
Førde
6.00
Sandviken (Norway)
6.00
Sortland
6.00
Senja
6.00
Brønnøysund
6.00
Lyngbø
7.00
Hallingdal
7.00
Bjørkelangen
7.00
Nybergsund
8.00
Skreia
8.00
Drøbak / Frogn
10.00
Forus og Gausel
10.00
Kirkenes
11.00
Fredrikstad is 0.14 goals better than Molde in terms of goals conceded per game (0.57 vs 0.71).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Fredrikstad or Draw✓ Hit
23.0%
Avg Implied -
7%
15%
77%
covers Fredrikstad + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Fredrikstad or Molde✗ Miss
84.5%
Avg Implied -
7%
15%
77%
covers Fredrikstad + Molde
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Molde✓ Hit
92.5%
Avg Implied -
7%
15%
77%
covers Draw + Molde
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Fredrikstad over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
52.6%
Under
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fredrikstad over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
17.2%
Under
82.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fredrikstad over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.0%
Under
96.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fredrikstad over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.7%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molde over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
92.8%
Under
7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molde over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
74.0%
Under
26.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molde over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
49.1%
Under
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molde over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
27.2%
Under
72.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Fredrikstad, so a minus line means Fredrikstad give that many goals of a start and Molde receive them. At -1, Fredrikstad must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Fredrikstad win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Fredrikstad)Actual: Molde
Fredrikstad -2
0.4%
Draw -2
1.7%
Molde +2
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Fredrikstad)Actual: Molde
Fredrikstad -1
2.2%
Draw -1
5.3%
Molde +1
92.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Fredrikstad)Actual: Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad +1
23.0%
Draw +1
20.5%
Molde -1
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Fredrikstad)Actual: Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad +2
43.5%
Draw +2
21.7%
Molde -2
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FredrikstadFredrikstad

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D00D00D01L00D10W10W00D00DH·VIK22/09A·SAR28/09A·VAL06/10H·LIL20/10A·STR26/10H·KFU30/10H·KRI03/11A·BOD10/11H·HAM23/11A·SAN01/12
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.430.600.200.670.67
vs Stronger (2)1.500.002.000.001.000.00
vs Similar (19)0.530.470.300.200.780.78
vs Weaker (9)0.670.441.000.250.400.60
Clean sheet %73% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Molde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MoldeMolde

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L10W10W21W01L22D20W01L00DH·SAN19/10A·GEN24/10A·HAU27/10A·SAN30/10H·BOD03/11A·JAG07/11A·SAR10/11H·BRA23/11H·APO28/11A·STR01/12
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.471.380.540.650.41
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.050.501.780.560.450.45
vs Weaker (10)0.800.400.500.501.000.33
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Fredrikstad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fredrikstad over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fredrikstad over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fredrikstad over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FredrikstadFredrikstad

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L10W00D21W01L00D01L12L10W10WH·VIK22/09A·SAR28/09A·VAL06/10H·LIL20/10A·STR26/10H·KFU30/10H·KRI03/11A·BOD10/11H·HAM23/11A·SAN01/12
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.630.600.530.670.73
vs Stronger (2)1.002.001.002.001.002.00
vs Similar (19)0.470.680.400.600.560.78
vs Weaker (9)0.890.221.000.000.800.40
Clean sheet %57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Molde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MoldeMolde

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D20W10W12L02L00D01L00D01LH·SAN19/10A·GEN24/10A·HAU27/10A·SAN30/10H·BOD03/11A·JAG07/11A·SAR10/11H·BRA23/11H·APO28/11A·STR01/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.631.150.620.710.65
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.750.751.000.670.550.82
vs Weaker (10)1.200.401.500.501.000.33
Clean sheet %57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Fredrikstad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fredrikstad over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fredrikstad over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fredrikstad over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Home under 3.5 goals99.3%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap97.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 7.597.8%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals96.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.594.3%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals92.8%-------✗ Miss
Draw or Away92.5%-------✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap92.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.587.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.585.8%-------✗ Miss
Home or Away84.5%-------✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 goals82.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards82.8%--------
Over 19.5 fouls79.2%--------
Under 11.5 corners79.1%--------
Away win77.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.574.7%-------✓ Hit
Away over 1.5 goals74.0%-------✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals72.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards70.1%--------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Fredrikstad
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Morten Bjorlo32%
Stian Stray Molde19%
Fallou Fall18%
Henrik Kjelsrud Johansen17%
Henrik Langaas Skogvold17%
Mai Traore15%
Oscar Aga14%
Sondre Sørløkk10%
Jeppe Kjaer8%
Júlíus Magnússon7%
Sigurd Kvile4%
Simen Rafn4%
Erlend Segberg0%
Jóannes Bjartalíð0%
Brandur Hendriksson Olsen0%
Ludvik Begby0%
Mads Nielsen0%
Philip Sandvik Aukland0%
Daniel Eid0%
Patrick Metcalfe0%
Maxwell Woledzi0%
Jonathan Fischer0%
Brage Skaret0%
Samson Tijani0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Samson Tijani33%
Philip Sandvik Aukland31%
Sigurd Kvile21%
Maxwell Woledzi17%
Mai Traore15%
Daniel Eid13%
Mads Nielsen12%
Stian Stray Molde12%
Morten Bjorlo11%
Fallou Fall9%
Oscar Aga7%
Simen Rafn7%
Sondre Sørløkk7%
Júlíus Magnússon7%
Patrick Metcalfe7%
Jonathan Fischer7%
Brandur Hendriksson Olsen5%
Brage Skaret5%
Henrik Kjelsrud Johansen4%
Jeppe Kjaer4%
Erlend Segberg0%
Jóannes Bjartalíð0%
Ludvik Begby0%
Henrik Langaas Skogvold0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jóannes Bjartalíð18%
Mai Traore15%
Morten Bjorlo14%
Stian Stray Molde12%
Júlíus Magnússon10%
Brandur Hendriksson Olsen10%
Ludvik Begby10%
Henrik Langaas Skogvold8%
Sondre Sørløkk7%
Daniel Eid7%
Patrick Metcalfe7%
Brage Skaret5%
Simen Rafn4%
Henrik Kjelsrud Johansen0%
Oscar Aga0%
Erlend Segberg0%
Mads Nielsen0%
Philip Sandvik Aukland0%
Maxwell Woledzi0%
Sigurd Kvile0%
Jonathan Fischer0%
Jeppe Kjaer0%
Samson Tijani0%
Fallou Fall0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Oscar Aga21%
Daniel Eid13%
Morten Bjorlo11%
Jeppe Kjaer8%
Mai Traore8%
Brandur Hendriksson Olsen5%
Sondre Sørløkk3%
Júlíus Magnússon0%
Henrik Kjelsrud Johansen0%
Simen Rafn0%
Erlend Segberg0%
Jóannes Bjartalíð0%
Ludvik Begby0%
Mads Nielsen0%
Philip Sandvik Aukland0%
Patrick Metcalfe0%
Stian Stray Molde0%
Maxwell Woledzi0%
Sigurd Kvile0%
Jonathan Fischer0%
Brage Skaret0%
Samson Tijani0%
Henrik Langaas Skogvold0%
Fallou Fall0%
Molde
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ola Brynhildsen60%
Magnus Wolff Eikrem41%
Kristian Eriksen37%
Frederik Ihler25%
Fredrik Gulbrandsen21%
Eirik Hestad15%
Eirik Haugan15%
Mathias Fjortoft Lovik14%
Marcus Andre Kaasa12%
Halldor Stenevik11%
Kristoffer Haugen8%
Martin Bjørnbak8%
Aaron Olanare8%
Anders Hagelskjær4%
Martin Linnes4%
Mats Møller Dæhli3%
Emil Breivik3%
Casper Öyvann0%
Jakob Karlstrom0%
Albert Posiadała0%
Johan Johanessen Bakke0%
Isak Helstad Amundsen0%
Mads Enggård0%
Valdemar Lund0%
Niklas Odegard0%
Alwande Roaldsoy0%
Sondre Milian Granaas0%
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Valdemar Lund29%
Isak Helstad Amundsen23%
Fredrik Gulbrandsen21%
Kristian Eriksen21%
Martin Bjørnbak15%
Eirik Haugan15%
Mathias Fjortoft Lovik14%
Ola Brynhildsen13%
Emil Breivik13%
Kristoffer Haugen12%
Magnus Wolff Eikrem10%
Mats Møller Dæhli10%
Mads Enggård10%
Anders Hagelskjær9%
Halldor Stenevik9%
Jakob Karlstrom8%
Albert Posiadała8%
Marcus Andre Kaasa4%
Eirik Hestad4%
Martin Linnes4%
Casper Öyvann0%
Aaron Olanare0%
Johan Johanessen Bakke0%
Frederik Ihler0%
Niklas Odegard0%
Alwande Roaldsoy0%
Sondre Milian Granaas0%
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Magnus Wolff Eikrem17%
Kristoffer Haugen16%
Emil Breivik16%
Kristian Eriksen16%
Martin Linnes14%
Fredrik Gulbrandsen14%
Halldor Stenevik14%
Johan Johanessen Bakke14%
Mads Enggård14%
Ola Brynhildsen13%
Casper Öyvann12%
Mats Møller Dæhli10%
Marcus Andre Kaasa8%
Eirik Hestad8%
Aaron Olanare8%
Sondre Milian Granaas7%
Isak Helstad Amundsen6%
Frederik Ihler5%
Valdemar Lund4%
Mathias Fjortoft Lovik3%
Anders Hagelskjær0%
Martin Bjørnbak0%
Jakob Karlstrom0%
Eirik Haugan0%
Albert Posiadała0%
Niklas Odegard0%
Alwande Roaldsoy0%
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Magnus Wolff Eikrem34%
Kristian Eriksen32%
Ola Brynhildsen27%
Fredrik Gulbrandsen21%
Mats Møller Dæhli6%
Frederik Ihler5%
Mads Enggård5%
Anders Hagelskjær4%
Marcus Andre Kaasa4%
Eirik Hestad4%
Martin Linnes4%
Halldor Stenevik3%
Emil Breivik3%
Martin Bjørnbak0%
Kristoffer Haugen0%
Casper Öyvann0%
Jakob Karlstrom0%
Eirik Haugan0%
Aaron Olanare0%
Albert Posiadała0%
Johan Johanessen Bakke0%
Isak Helstad Amundsen0%
Valdemar Lund0%
Mathias Fjortoft Lovik0%
Niklas Odegard0%
Alwande Roaldsoy0%
Sondre Milian Granaas0%
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (24)
€75m
VIK (27)
€47m
MOL (26)
€35m
BRA (25)
€27m
ROS (23)
€23m
S0F (24)
€16m
VAL (22)
€16m
FRE (25)
€15m
TRO (22)
€15m
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
KB (21)
€13m
SAN (23)
€12m
HAM (24)
€10m
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
HAU (24)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
STR (22)
€7m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
STR (19)
€2m
Fredrikstad's squad is €20m less valuable than Molde's (€15m vs €35m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€22m
VIK (10)
€21m
MOL (7)
€13m
BRA (10)
€11m
ROS (8)
€10m
S0F (10)
€9m
LIL (9)
€6m
VAL (7)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
SAN (8)
€4m
TRO (6)
€4m
HAM (10)
€4m
STR (9)
€3m
HAU (8)
€3m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
KO (8)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
STR (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Fredrikstad's attack is €8m less valuable than Molde's (€5m vs €13m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€27m
VIK (5)
€12m
MOL (8)
€7m
BRA (4)
€7m
VAL (6)
€5m
KB (6)
€4m
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
ROS (4)
€3m
S0F (5)
€3m
STA (8)
€3m
HAM (6)
€3m
TRO (5)
€3m
OB (7)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
SAN (4)
€2m
KO (5)
€2m
HAU (6)
€2m
STR (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
STR (4)
€0m
Fredrikstad's midfield is €5m less valuable than Molde's (€3m vs €7m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (10)
€26m
VIK (12)
€15m
MOL (11)
€15m
ROS (11)
€9m
BRA (11)
€9m
TRO (11)
€8m
FRE (16)
€8m
VAL (9)
€5m
SAN (11)
€5m
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
S0F (9)
€4m
HAM (8)
€4m
KO (11)
€4m
HAU (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
STR (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
STR (10)
€1m
Fredrikstad's defence is €7m less valuable than Molde's (€8m vs €15m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
FRE wins
1
Draws
1
MOL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Fredrikstad vs Molde · H/A from FRE
DateH/AGameScore
14/09/24AMolde Vs FRE6-1
13/07/24HFRE Vs Molde0-0

FredrikstadFredrikstad

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/12/24ASandefjord Vs FRE0-1
23/11/24HFRE Vs Ham-Kam1-0
10/11/24ABodo/Glimt Vs FRE2-2
03/11/24HFRE Vs Kristiansund BK1-1
30/10/24HFRE Vs KFUM Oslo0-0
26/10/24AStromsgodset Vs FRE2-0
20/10/24HFRE Vs Lillestrom2-1
06/10/24AValerenga Vs FRE0-0
28/09/24ASarpsborg 08 FF Vs FRE0-1
22/09/24HFRE Vs Viking3-2

MoldeMolde

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/12/24AStromsgodset Vs MOL1-0
28/11/24HMOL Vs Apoel Nicosia0-1
23/11/24HMOL Vs Brann2-1
10/11/24ASarpsborg 08 FF Vs MOL2-2
07/11/24AJagiellonia Vs MOL3-0
03/11/24HMOL Vs Bodo/Glimt3-3
30/10/24ASandnes ULF Vs MOL0-2
27/10/24AHaugesund Vs MOL0-3
24/10/24AGent Vs MOL2-1
19/10/24HMOL Vs Sandefjord0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad
Norway: NM Cupen
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDWW1.94
HomeWWDDW2.04
AwayWDLDW1.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%58%54%
AVG goals2.842.253.38
Over 1.5 %70%58%81%
Over 2.5 %54%46%62%
Over 3.5 %34%25%42%
Scored1.761.422.08
Conceded1.080.831.31
BTTS48%42%54%
Clean Sheet42%50%35%
Corners9.238.809.67
Cards2.903.002.79
Molde
Molde
Norway: NM Cupen
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLL1.82
HomeWLDWL1.96
AwayWWLDL1.70
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%61%52%
AVG goals3.243.832.74
Over 1.5 %82%87%78%
Over 2.5 %72%83%63%
Over 3.5 %38%48%30%
Scored2.062.481.70
Conceded1.181.351.04
BTTS52%61%44%
Clean Sheet32%26%37%
Corners9.749.3710.10
Cards3.713.294.15

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt3062
60%
2.1
7131+40
3.4
80%
60%
50%
10.6
53%
2.8
34%
17.3
10%
75
2227262.41.0
62%
2BrannBrann3059
57%
2.0
5533+22
2.9
87%
60%
33%
11.0
57%
3.7
53%
25.0
80%
27
11791.81.1
63%
3VikingViking3057
53%
1.9
6139+22
3.3
77%
60%
40%
11.3
70%
4.3
60%
23.1
47%
47
2112152.01.3
54%
4RosenborgRosenborg3053
53%
1.8
5239+13
3.0
80%
63%
43%
9.6
47%
4.0
57%
22.6
57%
23
10391.71.3
55%
5MoldeMolde3052
50%
1.7
6436+28
3.3
83%
70%
43%
9.8
40%
3.4
46%
19.5
33%
35
137152.11.2
52%
6FredrikstadFredrikstad3051
47%
1.7
3935+4
2.5
67%
40%
30%
9.2
40%
2.9
34%
18.1
23%
15
5381.31.2
42%
7StromsgodsetStromsgodset3038
33%
1.3
3240-8
2.4
60%
37%
33%
11.8
73%
3.1
38%
19.3
30%
7
3221.11.3
45%
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo3037
30%
1.2
3536-1
2.4
70%
43%
23%
8.2
23%
3.5
45%
21.8
43%
8
3241.21.2
49%
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF3037
33%
1.2
4355-12
3.3
87%
67%
40%
10.5
63%
3.8
53%
23.0
57%
16
9341.41.8
51%
10HaugesundHaugesund3237
31%
1.2
3146-15
2.4
59%
44%
25%
10.9
62%
4.0
60%
20.5
44%
9
3241.01.4
49%
11SandefjordSandefjord3034
30%
1.1
4146-5
2.9
77%
63%
27%
9.5
50%
3.2
34%
22.1
53%
12
4251.41.5
52%
12Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK3034
27%
1.1
3245-13
2.6
73%
50%
33%
11.0
57%
3.2
41%
22.7
57%
13
5431.11.5
43%
13Ham-KamHam-Kam3033
27%
1.1
3439-5
2.4
63%
37%
17%
12.1
77%
3.2
33%
19.7
43%
10
4341.11.3
41%
14TromsoTromso3033
30%
1.1
3444-10
2.6
63%
53%
27%
10.3
57%
3.4
37%
19.3
40%
15
4381.11.5
47%
15LillestromLillestrom3024
23%
0.8
3363-30
3.2
87%
70%
33%
10.3
60%
3.8
43%
21.0
50%
14
6451.12.1
52%
16ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb3023
17%
0.8
2654-28
2.7
80%
53%
27%
9.6
40%
3.4
31%
23.1
60%
9
3330.91.8
43%
17MossMoss21
0%
0.5
02-2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
7.0
0%
4.5
100%
21.0
50%
4
2120.01.0
50%
Norway: Eliteserien 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: Eliteserien stats & trends →

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