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Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg Result & Analysis

Date: 01/05/2024
Time: 12:30
Final 1-0
Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad
Vs
41%
29%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rosenborg
Rosenborg
Norway: NM Cupen
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fredrikstad win✓ Hit
40.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rosenborg win✗ Miss
30.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FredrikstadFredrikstad

Last 10 – goals for & against
100-1012L22D10W02L20W100W22D11D52W10WH·MJO29/10A·MOS05/11H·JER12/11H·BOD01/04A·BRA07/04A·DRØ10/04H·SAR13/04A·VIK21/04A·EIK25/04H·SAN28/04
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.230.931.870.802.601.07
vs Stronger (2)0.501.500.002.001.001.00
vs Similar (11)2.271.182.171.002.401.40
vs Weaker (17)2.410.711.880.502.890.89
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Rosenborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RosenborgRosenborg

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-623L13L51W20W01L60W10W31W31W13LA·SAN12/11H·STR26/11A·VIK03/12H·SAN01/04A·STR07/04A·SVE10/04H·HAM14/04A·HAU21/04A·ULL24/04H·BOD27/04
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.801.601.641.361.941.81
vs Stronger (3)2.331.671.002.005.001.00
vs Similar (13)1.541.921.861.291.172.67
vs Weaker (14)1.931.291.601.202.111.33
Clean sheet %17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Fredrikstad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%017%127%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
73.5%
Under 1.5
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.8%
Under 2.5
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.2%
Under 3.5
74.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.8%
No
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0 ✓
9.6%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.9%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
0-2
5.3%
Fredrikstad goals ↓
Rosenborg goals →
01234
09.1%7.9%5.3%2.1%0.6%
19.6%14%7.4%2.9%0.8%
27.5%8.7%5.1%2.0%0.6%
33.4%4.0%2.3%0.9%0.3%
41.2%1.4%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fredrikstad goals (down), columns = Rosenborg goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Molde
2.71
Ham-Kam
2.50
Viking
2.50
Stromsgodset
2.50
Sandnes ULF
2.50
Lysekloster
2.50
Stabaek
2.40
Tromso
2.33
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.25
Bryne
2.25
Raufoss
2.25
Eidsvold
2.25
Fredrikstad
2.14
Rosenborg
2.00
Kristiansund BK
2.00
Brann
2.00
Lillestrom
2.00
KFUM Oslo
2.00
Bodo/Glimt
2.00
Asane
2.00
hodd
2.00
Ranheim
2.00
Egersund
2.00
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Levanger
2.00
Arendal
2.00
Frøya
2.00
Kjelsås
2.00
Råde
2.00
Tromsdalen Uil
2.00
Alta
2.00
Valerenga
1.80
Sogndal
1.67
Aalesund
1.50
Lyn
1.50
Kongsvinger
1.50
Strommen
1.50
Moss
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Mjondalen
1.50
jerv
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Flekkerøy
1.50
Frigg
1.50
Ull/Kisa
1.50
Elverum
1.50
Bærum
1.50
Fløya
1.50
Fram
1.50
Junkeren
1.50
Pors Grenland
1.50
Træff
1.50
Vard
1.50
Strindheim
1.50
Bjarg
1.50
Melhus
1.50
Oppsal
1.50
Hønefoss
1.50
Eik-Tønsberg
1.50
Skjervøy
1.50
Start
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Sotra
1.00
Djerv
1.00
Mandalskameratene
0.50
Torvastad
0.50
Askøy
0.50
Stord
0.50
Sandefjord
0.00
Brattvåg
0.00
Grorud
0.00
Brønnøysund
0.00
Union Carl Berner
0.00
Førde
0.00
Brodd
0.00
Eide
0.00
Fjøra
0.00
Gjelleråsen
0.00
Heming
0.00
Nybergsund
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
Tiller
0.00
Trygg/Lade
0.00
Vidar
0.00
Ørn Horten
0.00
Randesund
0.00
Åskollen
0.00
Drøbak / Frogn
0.00
Mosjøen
0.00
Bjørkelangen
0.00
Ridabu
0.00
Sarpsborg
0.00
Sortland
0.00
Sverresborg
0.00
Varhaug
0.00
Årvoll
0.00
Asker
0.00
Hallingdal
0.00
Express
0.00
Gamle Oslo
0.00
Skreia
0.00
Forus og Gausel
0.00
Lyngbø
0.00
Sprint-Jeløy
0.00
Volda
0.00
Nordstrand
0.00
Gjøvik-Lyn
0.00
Lørenskog
0.00
Flint
0.00
Notodden
0.00
Rana
0.00
Kvik Halden
0.00
Follo
0.00
Nardo
0.00
Os
0.00
Sandviken (Norway)
0.00
Madla
0.00
Kirkenes
0.00
Fana
0.00
Mjølner
0.00
Senja
0.00
Surnadal
0.00
Byåsen
0.00
Bossekop
0.00
Hei
0.00
Funnefoss / Vormsund
0.00
Ullern
0.00
Toten
0.00
Fredrikstad is 0.14 points better than Rosenborg in terms of average points per game (2.14 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kongsvinger
5.00
Alta
5.00
Bryne
4.75
Stromsgodset
4.25
Brann
4.00
Lillestrom
4.00
Tromso
4.00
Strommen
4.00
Eik-Tønsberg
4.00
Sotra
4.00
Sandviken (Norway)
4.00
Djerv
4.00
Viking
3.75
Stabaek
3.60
Ham-Kam
3.50
Raufoss
3.50
Bodo/Glimt
3.33
Sandnes ULF
3.17
Rosenborg
3.00
Asane
3.00
Sogndal
3.00
Ranheim
3.00
Træff
3.00
Bjarg
3.00
Askøy
3.00
Tromsdalen Uil
3.00
Hønefoss
3.00
Madla
3.00
Fredrikstad
2.71
hodd
2.67
ODD Ballklubb
2.67
Molde
2.57
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.50
Elverum
2.50
Vard
2.50
Strindheim
2.50
Lysekloster
2.50
Moss
2.00
Førde
2.00
Fjøra
2.00
Gjelleråsen
2.00
Trygg/Lade
2.00
Torvastad
2.00
Eidsvold
2.00
Frøya
2.00
Nardo
2.00
Stord
2.00
KFUM Oslo
1.83
Valerenga
1.80
Arendal
1.67
Kjelsås
1.67
Levanger
1.60
Lyn
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Mjondalen
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Frigg
1.50
Ull/Kisa
1.50
Junkeren
1.50
Oppsal
1.50
Skjervøy
1.50
Kristiansund BK
1.33
Råde
1.33
Aalesund
1.00
Start
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Egersund
1.00
Brattvåg
1.00
Grorud
1.00
jerv
1.00
Brodd
1.00
Åskollen
1.00
Sarpsborg
1.00
Express
1.00
Lyngbø
1.00
Volda
1.00
Bærum
1.00
Fløya
1.00
Fram
1.00
Melhus
1.00
Lørenskog
1.00
Notodden
1.00
Follo
1.00
Mjølner
1.00
Senja
1.00
Surnadal
1.00
Bossekop
1.00
Toten
1.00
Flekkerøy
0.50
Mandalskameratene
0.50
Pors Grenland
0.50
Sandefjord
0.00
Brønnøysund
0.00
Union Carl Berner
0.00
Eide
0.00
Heming
0.00
Nybergsund
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
Tiller
0.00
Vidar
0.00
Ørn Horten
0.00
Randesund
0.00
Drøbak / Frogn
0.00
Mosjøen
0.00
Bjørkelangen
0.00
Ridabu
0.00
Sortland
0.00
Sverresborg
0.00
Varhaug
0.00
Årvoll
0.00
Asker
0.00
Hallingdal
0.00
Gamle Oslo
0.00
Skreia
0.00
Forus og Gausel
0.00
Sprint-Jeløy
0.00
Nordstrand
0.00
Gjøvik-Lyn
0.00
Flint
0.00
Rana
0.00
Kvik Halden
0.00
Os
0.00
Kirkenes
0.00
Fana
0.00
Byåsen
0.00
Hei
0.00
Funnefoss / Vormsund
0.00
Ullern
0.00
Fredrikstad is 0.29 goals worse than Rosenborg in terms of goals scored per game (2.71 vs 3.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tromso
0.00
Valerenga
0.40
Aalesund
0.50
Mjondalen
0.50
Flekkerøy
0.50
Pors Grenland
0.50
Fredrikstad
0.57
Rosenborg
0.67
Arendal
0.67
Råde
0.67
Molde
0.71
Stromsgodset
0.75
Lysekloster
0.75
Levanger
0.80
KFUM Oslo
0.83
Sandefjord
1.00
Start
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Ranheim
1.00
Egersund
1.00
Moss
1.00
Skeid
1.00
Vidar
1.00
Frøya
1.00
Junkeren
1.00
Hønefoss
1.00
Nordstrand
1.00
Skjervøy
1.00
Byåsen
1.00
Hei
1.00
Ham-Kam
1.25
Viking
1.25
Bryne
1.25
Raufoss
1.25
Brann
1.33
Bodo/Glimt
1.33
Asane
1.33
hodd
1.33
Kjelsås
1.33
Alta
1.33
Stabaek
1.40
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.50
Lyn
1.50
Kongsvinger
1.50
jerv
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Eidsvold
1.50
Træff
1.50
Sandnes ULF
1.67
Sogndal
1.67
Kristiansund BK
2.00
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Brattvåg
2.00
Frigg
2.00
Heming
2.00
Spjelkavik
2.00
Randesund
2.00
Årvoll
2.00
Asker
2.00
Express
2.00
Gamle Oslo
2.00
Ull/Kisa
2.00
Fram
2.00
Strindheim
2.00
Tromsdalen Uil
2.00
Lørenskog
2.00
Notodden
2.00
Kvik Halden
2.00
Os
2.00
Fana
2.00
Mjølner
2.00
Funnefoss / Vormsund
2.00
Ullern
2.00
Lillestrom
2.20
Torvastad
2.50
Elverum
2.50
Bærum
2.50
Melhus
2.50
Oppsal
2.50
Eik-Tønsberg
2.50
Grorud
3.00
Union Carl Berner
3.00
Brodd
3.00
Tiller
3.00
Trygg/Lade
3.00
Ørn Horten
3.00
Åskollen
3.00
Sprint-Jeløy
3.00
Rana
3.00
Follo
3.00
Bossekop
3.00
Toten
3.00
Strommen
3.50
Fløya
3.50
Vard
3.50
Bjarg
3.50
Gjelleråsen
4.00
Mandalskameratene
4.00
Mosjøen
4.00
Nardo
4.00
Sotra
4.00
Djerv
4.00
Stord
4.00
Askøy
4.50
Eide
5.00
Fjøra
5.00
Ridabu
5.00
Sarpsborg
5.00
Varhaug
5.00
Gjøvik-Lyn
5.00
Madla
5.00
Surnadal
5.00
Brønnøysund
6.00
Førde
6.00
Sortland
6.00
Sverresborg
6.00
Volda
6.00
Flint
6.00
Sandviken (Norway)
6.00
Senja
6.00
Bjørkelangen
7.00
Hallingdal
7.00
Lyngbø
7.00
Nybergsund
8.00
Skreia
8.00
Drøbak / Frogn
10.00
Forus og Gausel
10.00
Kirkenes
11.00
Fredrikstad is 0.10 goals better than Rosenborg in terms of goals conceded per game (0.57 vs 0.67).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Fredrikstad or Draw✓ Hit
69.6%
Avg Implied -
41%
29%
30%
covers Fredrikstad + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Fredrikstad or Rosenborg✓ Hit
71.0%
Avg Implied -
41%
29%
30%
covers Fredrikstad + Rosenborg
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Rosenborg✗ Miss
59.4%
Avg Implied -
41%
29%
30%
covers Draw + Rosenborg
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Fredrikstad over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.9%
Under
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fredrikstad over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
40.2%
Under
59.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fredrikstad over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.2%
Under
83.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fredrikstad over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.2%
Under
94.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rosenborg over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
68.8%
Under
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rosenborg over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
32.5%
Under
67.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rosenborg over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.3%
Under
88.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rosenborg over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Fredrikstad, so a minus line means Fredrikstad give that many goals of a start and Rosenborg receive them. At -1, Fredrikstad must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Fredrikstad win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Fredrikstad)Actual: Rosenborg
Fredrikstad -2
7.2%
Draw -2
12.4%
Rosenborg +2
80.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Fredrikstad)Actual: Draw
Fredrikstad -1
19.6%
Draw -1
20.9%
Rosenborg +1
59.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Fredrikstad)Actual: Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad +1
69.6%
Draw +1
17.5%
Rosenborg -1
12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Fredrikstad)Actual: Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad +2
87.1%
Draw +2
8.8%
Rosenborg -2
4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FredrikstadFredrikstad

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L00D00D00D10W40W01L11D21W10WH·MJO29/10A·MOS05/11H·JER12/11H·BOD01/04A·BRA07/04A·DRØ10/04H·SAR13/04A·VIK21/04A·EIK25/04H·SAN28/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.400.670.330.930.47
vs Stronger (2)0.500.500.000.001.001.00
vs Similar (11)0.730.360.500.331.000.40
vs Weaker (17)0.880.410.880.380.890.44
Clean sheet %67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Rosenborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RosenborgRosenborg

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L12L10W00D00D30W10W20W21W02LA·SAN12/11H·STR26/11A·VIK03/12H·SAN01/04A·STR07/04A·SVE10/04H·HAM14/04A·HAU21/04A·ULL24/04H·BOD27/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.870.860.930.880.81
vs Stronger (3)0.671.000.501.501.000.00
vs Similar (13)0.850.771.140.710.500.83
vs Weaker (14)0.930.930.601.001.110.89
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Fredrikstad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fredrikstad over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fredrikstad over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fredrikstad over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rosenborg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rosenborg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rosenborg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FredrikstadFredrikstad

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-610W22D10W02L10W60W21W00D31W00DH·MJO29/10A·MOS05/11H·JER12/11H·BOD01/04A·BRA07/04A·DRØ10/04H·SAR13/04A·VIK21/04A·EIK25/04H·SAN28/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.430.531.200.471.670.60
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.002.000.000.00
vs Similar (11)1.550.821.670.671.401.00
vs Weaker (17)1.530.291.000.122.000.44
Clean sheet %57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Rosenborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RosenborgRosenborg

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W01L41W20W01L30W00D11D10W11DA·SAN12/11H·STR26/11A·VIK03/12H·SAN01/04A·STR07/04A·SVE10/04H·HAM14/04A·HAU21/04A·ULL24/04H·BOD27/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.730.790.431.061.00
vs Stronger (3)1.670.670.500.504.001.00
vs Similar (13)0.691.150.710.570.671.83
vs Weaker (14)1.000.361.000.201.000.44
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Fredrikstad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fredrikstad over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fredrikstad over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fredrikstad over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rosenborg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rosenborg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rosenborg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.4%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals96.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.595.5%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals94.8%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals88.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.588.5%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap87.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards84.6%--------
Home under 2.5 goals83.8%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap80.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls78.9%--------
Under 11.5 corners75.1%--------
Home over 0.5 goals74.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.574.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.5%-------✗ Miss
Home or Away71.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Fredrikstad
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Morten Bjorlo32%
Stian Stray Molde19%
Fallou Fall18%
Henrik Kjelsrud Johansen17%
Henrik Langaas Skogvold17%
Mai Traore15%
Oscar Aga14%
Sondre Sørløkk10%
Jeppe Kjaer8%
Júlíus Magnússon7%
Sigurd Kvile4%
Simen Rafn4%
Erlend Segberg0%
Jóannes Bjartalíð0%
Brandur Hendriksson Olsen0%
Ludvik Begby0%
Mads Nielsen0%
Philip Sandvik Aukland0%
Daniel Eid0%
Patrick Metcalfe0%
Maxwell Woledzi0%
Jonathan Fischer0%
Brage Skaret0%
Samson Tijani0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Samson Tijani33%
Philip Sandvik Aukland31%
Sigurd Kvile21%
Maxwell Woledzi17%
Mai Traore15%
Daniel Eid13%
Mads Nielsen12%
Stian Stray Molde12%
Morten Bjorlo11%
Fallou Fall9%
Oscar Aga7%
Simen Rafn7%
Sondre Sørløkk7%
Júlíus Magnússon7%
Patrick Metcalfe7%
Jonathan Fischer7%
Brandur Hendriksson Olsen5%
Brage Skaret5%
Henrik Kjelsrud Johansen4%
Jeppe Kjaer4%
Erlend Segberg0%
Jóannes Bjartalíð0%
Ludvik Begby0%
Henrik Langaas Skogvold0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jóannes Bjartalíð18%
Mai Traore15%
Morten Bjorlo14%
Stian Stray Molde12%
Júlíus Magnússon10%
Brandur Hendriksson Olsen10%
Ludvik Begby10%
Henrik Langaas Skogvold8%
Sondre Sørløkk7%
Daniel Eid7%
Patrick Metcalfe7%
Brage Skaret5%
Simen Rafn4%
Henrik Kjelsrud Johansen0%
Oscar Aga0%
Erlend Segberg0%
Mads Nielsen0%
Philip Sandvik Aukland0%
Maxwell Woledzi0%
Sigurd Kvile0%
Jonathan Fischer0%
Jeppe Kjaer0%
Samson Tijani0%
Fallou Fall0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Oscar Aga21%
Daniel Eid13%
Morten Bjorlo11%
Jeppe Kjaer8%
Mai Traore8%
Brandur Hendriksson Olsen5%
Sondre Sørløkk3%
Júlíus Magnússon0%
Henrik Kjelsrud Johansen0%
Simen Rafn0%
Erlend Segberg0%
Jóannes Bjartalíð0%
Ludvik Begby0%
Mads Nielsen0%
Philip Sandvik Aukland0%
Patrick Metcalfe0%
Stian Stray Molde0%
Maxwell Woledzi0%
Sigurd Kvile0%
Jonathan Fischer0%
Brage Skaret0%
Samson Tijani0%
Henrik Langaas Skogvold0%
Fallou Fall0%
Rosenborg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ole Christian Saeter39%
Marius Sivertsen Broholm24%
Noah Jean Holm24%
Sverre Halseth Nypan21%
Adrian Nilsen Pereira21%
Edvard Sandvik Tagseth16%
Noah Sahsah14%
Emil Frederiksen9%
Jayden Nelson9%
Emil Konradsen Ceide8%
Erlend Dahl Reitan8%
Jesper Reitan-Sunde7%
Santeri Väänänen6%
Ole Selnaes5%
Ulrik Jenssen4%
Mikkel Konradsen Ceide4%
Luka Racic0%
Markus Henriksen0%
Moustafa Zeidan0%
Adam Andersson0%
Leo Cornic0%
Tomáš Nemčík0%
Sander Tangvik0%
Magnus Holte0%
Håkon Volden0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Adrian Nilsen Pereira32%
Tomáš Nemčík29%
Jayden Nelson27%
Ulrik Jenssen26%
Markus Henriksen23%
Ole Selnaes18%
Edvard Sandvik Tagseth16%
Adam Andersson14%
Noah Sahsah14%
Ole Christian Saeter13%
Erlend Dahl Reitan12%
Santeri Väänänen11%
Sander Tangvik10%
Emil Konradsen Ceide8%
Moustafa Zeidan8%
Mikkel Konradsen Ceide7%
Sverre Halseth Nypan7%
Noah Jean Holm6%
Marius Sivertsen Broholm3%
Jesper Reitan-Sunde3%
Luka Racic0%
Emil Frederiksen0%
Leo Cornic0%
Magnus Holte0%
Håkon Volden0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Emil Konradsen Ceide33%
Sverre Halseth Nypan21%
Adrian Nilsen Pereira11%
Jesper Reitan-Sunde10%
Emil Frederiksen9%
Jayden Nelson9%
Ole Christian Saeter9%
Erlend Dahl Reitan8%
Moustafa Zeidan8%
Edvard Sandvik Tagseth8%
Markus Henriksen8%
Ulrik Jenssen7%
Noah Jean Holm6%
Tomáš Nemčík5%
Ole Selnaes5%
Mikkel Konradsen Ceide4%
Marius Sivertsen Broholm3%
Luka Racic0%
Adam Andersson0%
Santeri Väänänen0%
Leo Cornic0%
Sander Tangvik0%
Magnus Holte0%
Noah Sahsah0%
Håkon Volden0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Noah Jean Holm24%
Ole Christian Saeter22%
Sverre Halseth Nypan21%
Emil Konradsen Ceide17%
Adrian Nilsen Pereira16%
Noah Sahsah14%
Marius Sivertsen Broholm10%
Jayden Nelson9%
Santeri Väänänen6%
Ulrik Jenssen4%
Ole Selnaes0%
Luka Racic0%
Markus Henriksen0%
Emil Frederiksen0%
Erlend Dahl Reitan0%
Moustafa Zeidan0%
Adam Andersson0%
Leo Cornic0%
Edvard Sandvik Tagseth0%
Tomáš Nemčík0%
Sander Tangvik0%
Mikkel Konradsen Ceide0%
Magnus Holte0%
Jesper Reitan-Sunde0%
Håkon Volden0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (24)
€75m
VIK (27)
€47m
MOL (26)
€35m
BRA (25)
€27m
ROS (23)
€23m
S0F (24)
€16m
VAL (22)
€16m
FRE (25)
€15m
TRO (22)
€15m
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
KB (21)
€13m
SAN (23)
€12m
HAM (24)
€10m
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
HAU (24)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
STR (22)
€7m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
STR (19)
€2m
Fredrikstad's squad is €7m less valuable than Rosenborg's (€15m vs €23m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€22m
VIK (10)
€21m
MOL (7)
€13m
BRA (10)
€11m
ROS (8)
€10m
S0F (10)
€9m
LIL (9)
€6m
VAL (7)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
SAN (8)
€4m
TRO (6)
€4m
HAM (10)
€4m
STR (9)
€3m
HAU (8)
€3m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
KO (8)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
STR (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Fredrikstad's attack is €5m less valuable than Rosenborg's (€5m vs €10m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€27m
VIK (5)
€12m
MOL (8)
€7m
BRA (4)
€7m
VAL (6)
€5m
KB (6)
€4m
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
ROS (4)
€3m
S0F (5)
€3m
STA (8)
€3m
HAM (6)
€3m
TRO (5)
€3m
OB (7)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
SAN (4)
€2m
KO (5)
€2m
HAU (6)
€2m
STR (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
STR (4)
€0m
Fredrikstad and Rosenborg have a similar midfield value (both €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (10)
€26m
VIK (12)
€15m
MOL (11)
€15m
ROS (11)
€9m
BRA (11)
€9m
TRO (11)
€8m
FRE (16)
€8m
VAL (9)
€5m
SAN (11)
€5m
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
S0F (9)
€4m
HAM (8)
€4m
KO (11)
€4m
HAU (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
STR (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
STR (10)
€1m
Fredrikstad's defence is €1m less valuable than Rosenborg's (€8m vs €9m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
FRE wins
0
Draws
0
ROS wins

Head-to-head

Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg · H/A from FRE
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

FredrikstadFredrikstad

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/04/24HFRE Vs Sandefjord1-0
25/04/24AEik-Tønsberg Vs FRE2-5
21/04/24AViking Vs FRE1-1
13/04/24HFRE Vs Sarpsborg 08 FF2-2
10/04/24ADrøbak / Frogn Vs FRE0-10
07/04/24ABrann Vs FRE0-2
01/04/24HFRE Vs Bodo/Glimt0-2
12/11/23HFRE Vs jerv1-0
05/11/23AMoss Vs FRE2-2
29/10/23HFRE Vs Mjondalen1-2

RosenborgRosenborg

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/04/24HROS Vs Bodo/Glimt1-3
24/04/24AUll/Kisa Vs ROS1-3
21/04/24AHaugesund Vs ROS1-3
14/04/24HROS Vs Ham-Kam1-0
10/04/24ASverresborg Vs ROS0-6
07/04/24AStromsgodset Vs ROS1-0
01/04/24HROS Vs Sandefjord2-0
03/12/23AViking Vs ROS1-5
26/11/23HROS Vs Stromsgodset1-3
12/11/23ASandefjord Vs ROS3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad
Norway: NM Cupen
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWW1.84
HomeLWLDW1.80
AwayDWWDW1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%52%52%
AVG goals3.062.843.28
Over 1.5 %78%76%80%
Over 2.5 %60%60%60%
Over 3.5 %32%32%32%
Scored1.901.682.12
Conceded1.161.161.16
BTTS66%64%68%
Clean Sheet32%32%32%
Corners9.808.6711.50
Cards3.403.004.00
Rosenborg
Rosenborg
Norway: NM Cupen
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWL1.50
HomeWLWWL1.84
AwayWLWWW1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%56%32%
AVG goals3.423.043.80
Over 1.5 %86%88%84%
Over 2.5 %72%64%80%
Over 3.5 %50%40%60%
Scored1.841.801.88
Conceded1.581.241.92
BTTS66%60%72%
Clean Sheet22%32%12%
Corners9.518.9610.14
Cards4.815.224.35

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt3062
60%
2.1
7131+40
3.4
80%
60%
50%
10.6
53%
2.8
34%
17.3
10%
75
2227262.41.0
62%
2BrannBrann3059
57%
2.0
5533+22
2.9
87%
60%
33%
11.0
57%
3.7
53%
25.0
80%
27
11791.81.1
63%
3VikingViking3057
53%
1.9
6139+22
3.3
77%
60%
40%
11.3
70%
4.3
60%
23.1
47%
47
2112152.01.3
54%
4RosenborgRosenborg3053
53%
1.8
5239+13
3.0
80%
63%
43%
9.6
47%
4.0
57%
22.6
57%
23
10391.71.3
55%
5MoldeMolde3052
50%
1.7
6436+28
3.3
83%
70%
43%
9.8
40%
3.4
46%
19.5
33%
35
137152.11.2
52%
6FredrikstadFredrikstad3051
47%
1.7
3935+4
2.5
67%
40%
30%
9.2
40%
2.9
34%
18.1
23%
15
5381.31.2
42%
7StromsgodsetStromsgodset3038
33%
1.3
3240-8
2.4
60%
37%
33%
11.8
73%
3.1
38%
19.3
30%
7
3221.11.3
45%
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo3037
30%
1.2
3536-1
2.4
70%
43%
23%
8.2
23%
3.5
45%
21.8
43%
8
3241.21.2
49%
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF3037
33%
1.2
4355-12
3.3
87%
67%
40%
10.5
63%
3.8
53%
23.0
57%
16
9341.41.8
51%
10HaugesundHaugesund3237
31%
1.2
3146-15
2.4
59%
44%
25%
10.9
62%
4.0
60%
20.5
44%
9
3241.01.4
49%
11SandefjordSandefjord3034
30%
1.1
4146-5
2.9
77%
63%
27%
9.5
50%
3.2
34%
22.1
53%
12
4251.41.5
52%
12Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK3034
27%
1.1
3245-13
2.6
73%
50%
33%
11.0
57%
3.2
41%
22.7
57%
13
5431.11.5
43%
13Ham-KamHam-Kam3033
27%
1.1
3439-5
2.4
63%
37%
17%
12.1
77%
3.2
33%
19.7
43%
10
4341.11.3
41%
14TromsoTromso3033
30%
1.1
3444-10
2.6
63%
53%
27%
10.3
57%
3.4
37%
19.3
40%
15
4381.11.5
47%
15LillestromLillestrom3024
23%
0.8
3363-30
3.2
87%
70%
33%
10.3
60%
3.8
43%
21.0
50%
14
6451.12.1
52%
16ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb3023
17%
0.8
2654-28
2.7
80%
53%
27%
9.6
40%
3.4
31%
23.1
60%
9
3330.91.8
43%
17MossMoss21
0%
0.5
02-2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
7.0
0%
4.5
100%
21.0
50%
4
2120.01.0
50%
Norway: Eliteserien 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: Eliteserien stats & trends →

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