This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brescia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.73
1.38
0.81
1.07
0.64
vs Stronger (11)
0.82
1.00
0.80
1.20
0.83
0.83
vs Similar (19)
1.47
0.58
1.64
0.64
1.25
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Frosinone) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.0%
Under 1.5
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
39.0%
@ 2.02-7.7%
Under 2.5
61.0%
@ 1.77+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.0%
Under 3.5
81.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.6%
No
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.9%
1-0
11.6%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.5%
Frosinone goals ↓
Brescia goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
9.4%
5.5%
1.9%
0.5%
1
12%
15%
6.7%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.0%
8.1%
4.1%
1.4%
0.4%
3
3.3%
3.3%
1.7%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.0%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Frosinone goals (down), columns = Brescia goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Frosinone
2.11
Genoa
1.95
Cagliari
1.65
Bari
1.64
Sudtirol
1.56
Parma
1.55
Reggina
1.41
Palermo
1.29
Modena
1.26
Venezia
1.26
Ascoli
1.24
Pisa
1.24
Como
1.24
Cittadella
1.13
Ternana
1.13
Cosenza
1.10
Perugia
1.03
Brescia
1.02
Spal
1.00
Benevento
0.92
Frosinone is 1.08 points better than Brescia in terms of average points per game (2.11 vs 1.02).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Frosinone
1.66
Bari
1.43
Genoa
1.39
Venezia
1.33
Cagliari
1.33
Pisa
1.26
Palermo
1.26
Reggina
1.26
Parma
1.25
Como
1.24
Modena
1.24
Spal
1.08
Perugia
1.05
Ascoli
1.05
Sudtirol
0.98
Ternana
0.97
Brescia
0.93
Cittadella
0.89
Benevento
0.87
Cosenza
0.80
Frosinone is 0.73 goals better than Brescia in terms of goals scored per game (1.66 vs 0.93).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Frosinone
0.68
Genoa
0.74
Sudtirol
0.85
Cagliari
0.88
Bari
0.95
Parma
1.05
Pisa
1.11
Reggina
1.18
Cittadella
1.18
Ascoli
1.24
Como
1.26
Benevento
1.29
Palermo
1.29
Venezia
1.33
Spal
1.34
Cosenza
1.35
Perugia
1.37
Ternana
1.37
Modena
1.39
Brescia
1.48
Frosinone is 0.79 goals better than Brescia in terms of goals conceded per game (0.68 vs 1.48).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Frosinone
For 5.6 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.7 · Against 2.9 · Total 6.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.3 · Against 13.6 · Total 30.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Brescia
For 7.2 · Against 4.3 · Total 11.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 12.0 · Total 25.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Frosinone
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.6
9.9
5.6
5.8
5.4
31.1
30.5
31.8
vs Stronger (2)
12.5
11.0
14.0
3.0
2.0
4.0
30.0
33.0
27.0
vs Similar (13)
8.8
9.7
7.4
5.2
5.4
5.0
32.5
31.9
33.4
vs Weaker (35)
10.7
11.0
10.3
5.9
6.2
5.6
30.7
29.8
31.7
% over line
49%
48%
50%
76%
72%
80%
94%
92%
96%
% under line
51%
52%
50%
24%
28%
20%
6%
8%
4%
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brescia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.5
11.8
11.1
4.5
4.0
5.0
26.6
25.9
27.2
vs Stronger (18)
11.7
12.0
11.5
4.6
4.0
5.1
26.9
25.5
28.0
vs Similar (32)
11.3
11.8
10.9
4.4
3.9
4.9
26.4
26.1
26.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
71%
83%
60%
68%
56%
80%
84%
79%
88%
% under line
29%
17%
40%
32%
44%
20%
16%
21%
12%
This opponent (Frosinone) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brescia
11.5
Pisa
11.0
Benevento
11.0
Venezia
10.5
Spal
10.5
Bari
10.5
Como
10.5
Frosinone
10.5
Reggina
10.4
Parma
10.3
Ascoli
10.0
Ternana
9.9
Cittadella
9.5
Perugia
9.5
Palermo
9.4
Cagliari
9.0
Genoa
8.9
Cosenza
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cittadella
6.3
Perugia
5.9
Pisa
5.8
Frosinone
5.7
Ascoli
5.7
Reggina
5.5
Parma
5.5
Venezia
5.4
Como
5.3
Cosenza
5.2
Spal
5.2
Ternana
4.8
Palermo
4.8
Brescia
4.6
Benevento
4.6
Genoa
4.6
Cagliari
4.5
Bari
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reggina
33.7
Cittadella
33.4
Perugia
33.0
Pisa
32.8
Ascoli
31.3
Palermo
31.3
Frosinone
31.2
Spal
30.8
Como
29.9
Parma
29.4
Ternana
29.1
Benevento
28.6
Bari
28.3
Genoa
27.9
Cagliari
27.8
Cosenza
27.5
Venezia
27.5
Brescia
26.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
59.4%
Under 9.5
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
78.7%
Under 3.5
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
92.9%
Under 21.5
7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Frosinone
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.73
0.93
0.50
0.38
0.94
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.50
0.60
1.00
1.00
0.17
0.33
vs Weaker (19)
0.68
0.74
0.89
0.11
0.50
1.30
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brescia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.33
0.56
0.31
0.64
0.36
vs Stronger (11)
0.36
0.45
0.20
0.40
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (19)
0.74
0.26
0.73
0.27
0.75
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Frosinone) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Frosinone over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Frosinone over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Frosinone over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Frosinone
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.53
1.07
0.21
0.88
0.81
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.00
0.40
0.75
0.00
1.17
0.67
vs Weaker (19)
1.00
0.63
1.33
0.33
0.70
0.90
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brescia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.40
0.81
0.50
0.43
0.29
vs Stronger (11)
0.45
0.55
0.60
0.80
0.33
0.33
vs Similar (19)
0.74
0.32
0.91
0.36
0.50
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Frosinone) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Frosinone over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Frosinone over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Frosinone over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 25.5 fouls
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Frosinone
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Samuele Mulattieri38%
Gennaro Borrelli26%
Roberto Insigne26%
Giuseppe Caso26%
Luca Moro18%
Fabio Lucioni13%
Luca Mazzitelli12%
Ben Lhassine Kone11%
Marcus Rohdén9%
Ilario Monterisi9%
Luca Garritano9%
Przemysław Szymiński7%
Daniel Boloca6%
Jaime Báez6%
Sergio Kalaj0%
Karlo Lulić0%
Stefano Turati0%
Miloš Bočić0%
Soufiane Bidaoui0%
Mario Sampirisi0%
Luca Ravanelli0%
Gianluca Frabotta0%
Francesco Gelli0%
Matteo Cotali0%
Anthony Oyono0%
Riccardo Ciervo0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daniel Boloca39%
Sergio Kalaj33%
Luca Mazzitelli32%
Gennaro Borrelli26%
Matteo Cotali26%
Marcus Rohdén24%
Gianluca Frabotta23%
Fabio Lucioni23%
Ben Lhassine Kone21%
Luca Ravanelli17%
Giuseppe Caso14%
Andrea Oliveri12%
Luca Garritano12%
Samuele Mulattieri10%
Karlo Lulić10%
Roberto Insigne10%
Ilario Monterisi9%
Miloš Bočić8%
Anthony Oyono8%
Riccardo Ciervo8%
Mario Sampirisi7%
Przemysław Szymiński7%
Luca Moro6%
Stefano Turati5%
Soufiane Bidaoui0%
Jaime Báez0%
Francesco Gelli0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Luca Mazzitelli20%
Marcus Rohdén18%
Anthony Oyono15%
Karlo Lulić15%
Samuele Mulattieri14%
Luca Garritano12%
Jaime Báez12%
Sergio Kalaj11%
Francesco Gelli10%
Gianluca Frabotta9%
Giuseppe Caso9%
Miloš Bočić8%
Riccardo Ciervo8%
Matteo Cotali7%
Roberto Insigne6%
Gennaro Borrelli4%
Fabio Lucioni3%
Ben Lhassine Kone0%
Stefano Turati0%
Soufiane Bidaoui0%
Mario Sampirisi0%
Luca Ravanelli0%
Luca Moro0%
Przemysław Szymiński0%
Ilario Monterisi0%
Daniel Boloca0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Roberto Insigne26%
Giuseppe Caso23%
Marcus Rohdén12%
Luca Moro12%
Luca Mazzitelli12%
Samuele Mulattieri10%
Gennaro Borrelli9%
Ben Lhassine Kone5%
Karlo Lulić5%
Daniel Boloca3%
Luca Garritano3%
Sergio Kalaj0%
Stefano Turati0%
Miloš Bočić0%
Soufiane Bidaoui0%
Mario Sampirisi0%
Jaime Báez0%
Luca Ravanelli0%
Gianluca Frabotta0%
Przemysław Szymiński0%
Fabio Lucioni0%
Francesco Gelli0%
Matteo Cotali0%
Ilario Monterisi0%
Anthony Oyono0%
Riccardo Ciervo0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Brescia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Florian Ayé21%
Giacomo Olzer20%
Pablo Rodríguez18%
Dimitri Bisoli12%
Adryan11%
Flavio Bianchi11%
Andrea Cistana11%
Stefano Moreo11%
Massimo Bertagnoli8%
Emanuele Ndoj7%
Marcin Listkowski7%
Nicolas Galazzi7%
Massimiliano Mangraviti6%
Alexander Jallow5%
Tom Van De Looi3%
Fran Karačić0%
Davide Adorni0%
Ahmad Benali0%
Federico Viviani0%
Lorenzo Andrenacci0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Manuel Scavone0%
Reuven Niemeijer0%
Jakub Łabojko0%
John Björkengren0%
Vincenzo Garofalo0%
Matthieu Huard0%
Andrea Papetti0%
Federico Pace0%
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Fran Karačić42%
Ahmad Benali38%
Vincenzo Garofalo33%
Andrea Papetti30%
Emanuele Ndoj29%
Matthieu Huard22%
Marcin Listkowski21%
Davide Adorni21%
Giacomo Olzer20%
Massimiliano Mangraviti19%
Tom Van De Looi18%
Pablo Rodríguez18%
Andrea Cistana16%
John Björkengren16%
Jakub Łabojko16%
Massimo Bertagnoli15%
Federico Viviani14%
Reuven Niemeijer13%
Dimitri Bisoli12%
Stefano Moreo11%
Alexander Jallow10%
Lorenzo Andrenacci8%
Flavio Bianchi8%
Nicolas Galazzi7%
Florian Ayé0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Manuel Scavone0%
Adryan0%
Federico Pace0%
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nicolas Galazzi14%
Fran Karačić12%
Dimitri Bisoli12%
Pablo Rodríguez12%
Emanuele Ndoj11%
John Björkengren11%
Massimo Bertagnoli8%
Jakub Łabojko6%
Stefano Moreo5%
Florian Ayé5%
Alexander Jallow5%
Matthieu Huard4%
Davide Adorni0%
Ahmad Benali0%
Federico Viviani0%
Lorenzo Andrenacci0%
Andrea Cistana0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Manuel Scavone0%
Reuven Niemeijer0%
Tom Van De Looi0%
Marcin Listkowski0%
Adryan0%
Massimiliano Mangraviti0%
Vincenzo Garofalo0%
Andrea Papetti0%
Giacomo Olzer0%
Flavio Bianchi0%
Federico Pace0%
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Stefano Moreo21%
Florian Ayé21%
Adryan11%
Dimitri Bisoli9%
Federico Viviani7%
Emanuele Ndoj7%
Marcin Listkowski7%
Flavio Bianchi6%
Alexander Jallow5%
Fran Karačić4%
Nicolas Galazzi4%
Tom Van De Looi3%
Davide Adorni0%
Ahmad Benali0%
Lorenzo Andrenacci0%
Andrea Cistana0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Manuel Scavone0%
Reuven Niemeijer0%
Jakub Łabojko0%
John Björkengren0%
Massimiliano Mangraviti0%
Vincenzo Garofalo0%
Massimo Bertagnoli0%
Matthieu Huard0%
Pablo Rodríguez0%
Andrea Papetti0%
Giacomo Olzer0%
Federico Pace0%
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
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Genoa
Cagliari
Bari
Sudtirol
Parma
Reggina
Venezia
Palermo
Modena
Pisa
Como
Ascoli
Cosenza
Cittadella
Ternana
Perugia
Spal
Benevento