This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.47
0.67
1.20
0.93
1.73
vs Stronger (22)
0.77
1.77
0.64
1.45
0.91
2.09
vs Similar (8)
0.88
0.62
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Frosinone) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.6%
Under 1.5
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.4%
@ 2.24+2.4%
Under 2.5
55.6%
@ 1.62-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
23.3%
Under 3.5
76.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.5%
No
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
4.9%
Frosinone goals ↓
Cosenza goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.9%
7.9%
4.9%
1.7%
0.5%
1
11%
14%
6.8%
2.4%
0.6%
2
8.3%
8.8%
4.7%
1.7%
0.4%
3
3.8%
4.1%
2.2%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.3%
1.4%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Frosinone goals (down), columns = Cosenza goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sassuolo
2.16
Pisa
1.95
Spezia
1.74
Cremonese
1.62
Juve Stabia
1.49
Catanzaro
1.37
Cesena
1.36
Palermo
1.33
Bari
1.26
Sudtirol
1.21
Modena
1.18
Carrarese
1.18
Reggiana
1.16
Mantova
1.16
Brescia
1.13
Frosinone
1.13
Sampdoria
1.13
Salernitana
1.08
Cittadella
1.05
Cosenza
0.89
Frosinone is 0.24 points better than Cosenza in terms of average points per game (1.13 vs 0.89).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sassuolo
2.05
Cremonese
1.64
Pisa
1.63
Spezia
1.55
Palermo
1.33
Sudtirol
1.32
Catanzaro
1.29
Modena
1.26
Mantova
1.24
Cesena
1.18
Brescia
1.11
Reggiana
1.11
Juve Stabia
1.10
Bari
1.08
Carrarese
1.03
Sampdoria
1.03
Frosinone
0.97
Salernitana
0.95
Cosenza
0.84
Cittadella
0.82
Frosinone is 0.13 goals better than Cosenza in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 0.84).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Spezia
0.88
Pisa
0.97
Sassuolo
1.00
Bari
1.05
Juve Stabia
1.10
Palermo
1.13
Cremonese
1.14
Catanzaro
1.20
Cesena
1.23
Salernitana
1.26
Sampdoria
1.26
Brescia
1.26
Carrarese
1.29
Frosinone
1.32
Modena
1.32
Reggiana
1.37
Cittadella
1.42
Cosenza
1.47
Mantova
1.47
Sudtirol
1.50
Frosinone is 0.16 goals better than Cosenza in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 1.47).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Mantova
62%
Cremonese
60%
Catanzaro
55%
Sassuolo
52%
Salernitana
52%
Juve Stabia
52%
Bari
51%
Spezia
50%
Palermo
49%
Carrarese
49%
Cosenza
49%
Cesena
49%
Modena
48%
Sampdoria
48%
Frosinone
47%
Brescia
46%
Pisa
46%
Cittadella
45%
Reggiana
44%
Sudtirol
44%
Frosinone is 2.2 percentage points worse than Cosenza in terms of average possession (47% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Frosinone
For 5.0 · Against 5.9 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 16.8 · Total 31.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cosenza
For 4.7 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 14.4 · Total 28.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Frosinone
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
10.3
9.0
4.7
4.6
4.8
28.9
28.1
29.6
vs Stronger (8)
9.9
10.8
9.0
3.1
2.8
3.5
21.6
21.8
21.5
vs Similar (33)
9.5
10.1
8.9
4.7
4.9
4.5
29.9
29.1
30.9
vs Weaker (9)
9.9
10.8
9.2
6.0
5.0
6.8
31.4
30.5
32.2
% over line
52%
60%
44%
78%
80%
76%
90%
88%
92%
% under line
48%
40%
56%
22%
20%
24%
10%
12%
8%
This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.2
10.2
6.2
6.0
6.3
28.9
29.4
28.3
vs Stronger (35)
9.9
10.3
9.6
5.8
6.0
5.6
28.6
28.4
28.9
vs Similar (15)
10.9
10.2
11.3
7.0
6.2
7.6
29.5
32.8
27.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
60%
56%
92%
96%
88%
84%
84%
84%
% under line
42%
40%
44%
8%
4%
12%
16%
16%
16%
This opponent (Frosinone) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Palermo
10.7
Juve Stabia
10.3
Cosenza
10.2
Spezia
9.8
Frosinone
9.6
Brescia
9.6
Bari
9.3
Carrarese
9.3
Cremonese
9.2
Sampdoria
9.2
Sudtirol
9.2
Modena
9.2
Cittadella
9.1
Salernitana
9.1
Cesena
9.0
Catanzaro
8.9
Sassuolo
8.9
Mantova
8.7
Reggiana
8.7
Pisa
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cosenza
6.2
Juve Stabia
6.1
Spezia
6.1
Reggiana
5.7
Mantova
5.7
Sampdoria
5.4
Modena
5.3
Bari
5.3
Pisa
5.2
Cremonese
5.2
Carrarese
5.0
Brescia
5.0
Cittadella
5.0
Catanzaro
5.0
Cesena
4.9
Sudtirol
4.8
Palermo
4.8
Frosinone
4.8
Salernitana
4.6
Sassuolo
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Mantova
35.5
Spezia
34.2
Juve Stabia
33.8
Cittadella
31.1
Reggiana
30.8
Sudtirol
30.7
Bari
30.0
Sampdoria
29.8
Cesena
29.5
Brescia
29.2
Cremonese
28.9
Frosinone
28.9
Cosenza
28.9
Pisa
28.9
Palermo
28.8
Catanzaro
28.6
Modena
28.5
Carrarese
28.3
Salernitana
27.4
Sassuolo
24.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Frosinone
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.70
0.53
0.73
0.27
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.36
0.68
0.58
0.75
0.10
0.60
vs Weaker (8)
0.50
0.75
0.33
0.67
0.60
0.80
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.67
0.40
0.67
0.40
0.67
vs Stronger (22)
0.32
0.86
0.36
0.82
0.27
0.91
vs Similar (8)
0.62
0.12
0.50
0.25
0.75
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Frosinone) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Frosinone over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Frosinone over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Frosinone over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Frosinone
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.60
0.40
0.60
0.67
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.64
0.17
0.75
0.90
0.50
vs Weaker (8)
0.62
0.50
1.33
0.00
0.20
0.80
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.80
0.27
0.53
0.53
1.07
vs Stronger (22)
0.45
0.91
0.27
0.64
0.64
1.18
vs Similar (8)
0.25
0.50
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Frosinone) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Frosinone over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Frosinone over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Frosinone over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Frosinone
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marvin Çuni25%
Emil Bohinen17%
Ilias Koutsoupias17%
Mateus Lusuardi17%
Filippo Distefano14%
Giuseppe Ambrosino14%
Anthony Partipilo12%
Ben Lhassine Kone11%
Luigi Canotto11%
Farès Ghedjemis9%
Giorgi Kvernadze9%
Riccardo Marchizza8%
Ebrima Darboe8%
Matteo Cichella5%
Emanuele Pecorino5%
Tjaš Begić5%
Jérémy Oyono4%
Gabriele Bracaglia4%
Anthony Oyono3%
Ilario Monterisi3%
Frank Tsadjout0%
Sergio Kalaj0%
Gianluca Di Chiara0%
Davide Biraschi0%
José Machín0%
Luca Garritano0%
Davide Bettella0%
Fabio Lucioni0%
Francesco Gelli0%
Michele Cerofolini0%
Giorgio Cittadini0%
Fallou Sene0%
Isak Vural0%
Alejandro Cichero0%
Kevin Barcella0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Frank Tsadjout33%
Luca Garritano27%
Davide Biraschi26%
Sergio Kalaj25%
Gianluca Di Chiara25%
Fabio Lucioni25%
Emil Bohinen25%
Ilario Monterisi25%
Ebrima Darboe23%
Ben Lhassine Kone22%
Kevin Barcella22%
José Machín20%
Giorgio Cittadini20%
Tjaš Begić18%
Jérémy Oyono17%
Ilias Koutsoupias17%
Anthony Partipilo16%
Riccardo Marchizza15%
Isak Vural12%
Davide Bettella11%
Francesco Gelli11%
Luigi Canotto11%
Michele Cerofolini11%
Matteo Cichella10%
Giuseppe Ambrosino8%
Gabriele Bracaglia8%
Filippo Distefano7%
Anthony Oyono6%
Giorgi Kvernadze6%
Emanuele Pecorino5%
Farès Ghedjemis5%
Marvin Çuni0%
Fallou Sene0%
Alejandro Cichero0%
Mateus Lusuardi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kevin Barcella22%
Giorgi Kvernadze15%
Fabio Lucioni12%
Riccardo Marchizza12%
Ben Lhassine Kone11%
Luigi Canotto11%
Emil Bohinen8%
Giuseppe Ambrosino8%
Frank Tsadjout7%
Francesco Gelli6%
Farès Ghedjemis5%
Isak Vural4%
Anthony Partipilo4%
Ebrima Darboe4%
Anthony Oyono3%
Sergio Kalaj0%
Gianluca Di Chiara0%
Davide Biraschi0%
Emanuele Pecorino0%
José Machín0%
Luca Garritano0%
Davide Bettella0%
Michele Cerofolini0%
Marvin Çuni0%
Giorgio Cittadini0%
Ilario Monterisi0%
Tjaš Begić0%
Ilias Koutsoupias0%
Jérémy Oyono0%
Filippo Distefano0%
Fallou Sene0%
Gabriele Bracaglia0%
Alejandro Cichero0%
Matteo Cichella0%
Mateus Lusuardi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ben Lhassine Kone33%
Filippo Distefano21%
Ilias Koutsoupias17%
Giuseppe Ambrosino16%
Giorgi Kvernadze15%
Frank Tsadjout13%
Anthony Partipilo12%
Mateus Lusuardi8%
Francesco Gelli6%
Farès Ghedjemis5%
Anthony Oyono3%
Sergio Kalaj0%
Gianluca Di Chiara0%
Davide Biraschi0%
Emanuele Pecorino0%
Riccardo Marchizza0%
José Machín0%
Luca Garritano0%
Davide Bettella0%
Fabio Lucioni0%
Luigi Canotto0%
Emil Bohinen0%
Michele Cerofolini0%
Ebrima Darboe0%
Marvin Çuni0%
Giorgio Cittadini0%
Ilario Monterisi0%
Tjaš Begić0%
Jérémy Oyono0%
Fallou Sene0%
Isak Vural0%
Gabriele Bracaglia0%
Alejandro Cichero0%
Kevin Barcella0%
Matteo Cichella0%
Cosenza
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gabriele Artistico29%
Tommaso Fumagalli16%
Manuel Ricciardi12%
Simone Mazzocchi12%
Massimo Zilli12%
Tommaso D'Orazio8%
Aldo Florenzi7%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna6%
Luca Strizzolo6%
Mario Gargiulo6%
Andrea Hristov5%
Michael Venturi4%
Charlys4%
Riccardo Ciervo3%
José Mauri0%
Luca Garritano0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Christian Kouan0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Giacomo Ricci0%
Alessandro Caporale0%
Juan Manuel Cruz0%
Christian Dalle Mura0%
Mohamed Sankoh0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Pietro Martino0%
Christos Kourfalidis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aldo Florenzi40%
Tommaso D'Orazio35%
Pietro Martino29%
Charlys29%
Christian Kouan26%
Luca Strizzolo25%
Mario Gargiulo24%
Gabriele Artistico24%
Giacomo Ricci23%
Christian Dalle Mura22%
Luca Garritano20%
Filippo Sgarbi20%
Christos Kourfalidis20%
Manuel Ricciardi19%
Michael Venturi18%
Alessandro Caporale18%
Juan Manuel Cruz17%
Tommaso Fumagalli16%
Simone Mazzocchi15%
José Mauri13%
Michele Camporese12%
Mohamed Sankoh11%
Alessandro Micai11%
Andrea Hristov10%
Massimo Zilli8%
Riccardo Ciervo6%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Baldovino Cimino14%
Luca Strizzolo12%
Aldo Florenzi7%
Riccardo Ciervo6%
Mario Gargiulo6%
Gabriele Artistico6%
Andrea Hristov5%
Christian Dalle Mura4%
Tommaso Fumagalli4%
Massimo Zilli4%
Tommaso D'Orazio4%
Michael Venturi4%
Alessandro Caporale4%
Charlys4%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna3%
Manuel Ricciardi3%
Christian Kouan3%
José Mauri0%
Simone Mazzocchi0%
Luca Garritano0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Giacomo Ricci0%
Juan Manuel Cruz0%
Mohamed Sankoh0%
Pietro Martino0%
Christos Kourfalidis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gabriele Artistico29%
Tommaso Fumagalli20%
Simone Mazzocchi12%
Tommaso D'Orazio12%
Aldo Florenzi10%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna6%
Luca Strizzolo6%
Charlys4%
Manuel Ricciardi3%
Christian Kouan3%
José Mauri0%
Andrea Hristov0%
Luca Garritano0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Giacomo Ricci0%
Mario Gargiulo0%
Michael Venturi0%
Alessandro Caporale0%
Juan Manuel Cruz0%
Christian Dalle Mura0%
Riccardo Ciervo0%
Mohamed Sankoh0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Massimo Zilli0%
Pietro Martino0%
Christos Kourfalidis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →