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FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen Result & Analysis

Date: 30/09/2023
Time: 13:30
Final 0-3
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
Vs
34%
26%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Germany: Bundesliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FSV Mainz 05 win✗ Miss
34.1%
Avg Implied 17.0% · @ 5.65
Edge
+17.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.7%
Avg Implied 20.7% · @ 4.64
Edge
+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bayer Leverkusen win✓ Hit
40.1%
Avg Implied 62.3% · @ 1.54
Edge
-22.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L23L03L14L22D14L11D04L13L12LA·VFL30/04H·FC 05/05A·EIN13/05H·VFB21/05A·BOR27/05A·UNI20/08H·EIN27/08A·WER02/09H·VFB16/09A·FC 23/09
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.872.071.601.202.13
vs Stronger (6)2.332.172.001.502.502.50
vs Similar (24)1.461.792.081.620.732.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayer Leverkusen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D00D22D03L32W30W51W22D40W41WA·VFB14/05H·AS 18/05H·BOR21/05A·VFL27/05H·RB 19/08A·BOR26/08H·SV 02/09A·BAY15/09H·BK 21/09H·1. 24/09
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.071.102.471.201.671.00
vs Stronger (2)2.001.502.001.002.002.00
vs Similar (10)1.901.201.831.172.001.25
vs Weaker (18)2.171.003.001.251.500.80
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.2%
Under 1.5
16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.8%
@ 1.54-0.9%
Under 2.5
39.2%
@ 2.48+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.5%
Under 3.5
61.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.7%
No
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.0%
2-2
6.6%
0-1
6.0%
0-2
5.8%
1-0
5.4%
0-0
5.4%
FSV Mainz 05 goals ↓
Bayer Leverkusen goals →
01234
05.4%6.0%5.8%3.2%1.3%
15.4%12%8.7%4.8%2.0%
24.9%8.0%6.6%3.6%1.5%
32.4%4.0%3.3%1.8%0.7%
40.9%1.5%1.2%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FSV Mainz 05 goals (down), columns = Bayer Leverkusen goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Bayer Leverkusen
2.65
VfB Stuttgart
2.15
Bayern München
2.12
RB Leipzig
1.91
Borussia Dortmund
1.85
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.50
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.38
1899 Hoffenheim
1.35
Werder Bremen
1.24
SC Freiburg
1.24
1. FC Heidenheim
1.24
FC Augsburg
1.15
VfL Wolfsburg
1.09
FSV Mainz 05
1.03
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.00
VfL Bochum
1.00
Union Berlin
0.97
1. FC Köln
0.79
SV Darmstadt 98
0.50
FSV Mainz 05 is 1.62 points worse than Bayer Leverkusen in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 2.65).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bayern München
2.76
Bayer Leverkusen
2.62
VfB Stuttgart
2.29
RB Leipzig
2.26
Borussia Dortmund
2.00
1899 Hoffenheim
1.94
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.65
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.50
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.50
FC Augsburg
1.47
1. FC Heidenheim
1.47
Werder Bremen
1.41
SC Freiburg
1.32
VfL Bochum
1.25
VfL Wolfsburg
1.21
FSV Mainz 05
1.15
Union Berlin
0.97
SV Darmstadt 98
0.88
1. FC Köln
0.82
FSV Mainz 05 is 1.47 goals worse than Bayer Leverkusen in terms of goals scored per game (1.15 vs 2.62).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Bayer Leverkusen
0.71
RB Leipzig
1.15
VfB Stuttgart
1.15
Borussia Dortmund
1.26
Bayern München
1.32
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.47
FSV Mainz 05
1.50
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.50
Werder Bremen
1.59
1. FC Heidenheim
1.62
VfL Wolfsburg
1.65
Union Berlin
1.71
SC Freiburg
1.71
1. FC Köln
1.76
FC Augsburg
1.76
1899 Hoffenheim
1.94
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.97
VfL Bochum
2.14
SV Darmstadt 98
2.53
FSV Mainz 05 is 0.79 goals worse than Bayer Leverkusen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 0.71).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Bayer Leverkusen
62%
Bayern München
61%
VfB Stuttgart
60%
Borussia Dortmund
58%
RB Leipzig
56%
Eintracht Frankfurt
52%
1899 Hoffenheim
50%
VfL Wolfsburg
48%
VfL Bochum
47%
Werder Bremen
47%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
47%
SC Freiburg
46%
1. FC Köln
46%
FSV Mainz 05
46%
SV Darmstadt 98
46%
FC Augsburg
44%
Union Berlin
43%
1. FC Heidenheim
42%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
38%
FSV Mainz 05 is 16.1 percentage points worse than Bayer Leverkusen in terms of average possession (46% vs 62%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

For 4.6 · Against 3.0 · Total 7.6

🚩 Corners

1004364715413710894A·FC H·VFBA·WERH·EINA·UNI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.4

🟨 Cards

80331222355163486A·FC H·VFBA·WERH·EINA·UNI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.0 · Against 14.0 · Total 30.0

⚠️ Fouls

35015161291418231216153121323531A·FC H·VFBA·WERH·EINA·UNI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen

For 5.3 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.9

🚩 Corners

1307264474285455132448491011613965812H·1. H·BK A·BAYH·SV A·BORH·RB H·AS A·AS A·UNIH·UNI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

80111332321253341132135538714H·1. H·BK A·BAYH·SV A·BORH·RB H·AS A·AS A·UNIH·UNI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 10.0 · Total 20.3

⚠️ Fouls

300910109668118713101811141678101219191219152329301522H·1. H·BK A·BAYH·SV A·BORH·RB H·AS A·AS A·UNIH·UNI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.19.68.71.41.11.729.225.332.3
vs Stronger (10)12.512.5-1.11.80.025.025.0-
vs Similar (39)8.78.88.71.50.82.030.325.832.3
vs Weaker (1)7.07.0-1.01.0-24.024.0-
% over line44%43%44%20%12%27%81%71%89%
% under line56%57%56%80%88%73%19%29%11%
This opponent (Bayer Leverkusen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.28.210.31.71.91.621.322.619.7
vs Stronger (3)11.0-11.01.00.01.512.0-12.0
vs Similar (20)9.29.09.53.23.13.322.723.421.8
vs Weaker (27)8.76.812.50.71.10.419.821.217.0
% over line50%36%67%26%27%25%45%55%33%
% under line50%64%33%74%73%75%55%45%67%
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
1. FC Heidenheim
11.0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
10.8
1. FC Köln
10.4
FC Augsburg
10.1
Werder Bremen
10.1
SC Freiburg
10.0
1899 Hoffenheim
10.0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
9.9
Bayer Leverkusen
9.8
VfL Wolfsburg
9.6
Borussia Dortmund
9.5
Eintracht Frankfurt
9.4
FSV Mainz 05
9.3
Bayern München
9.3
SV Darmstadt 98
9.2
VfL Bochum
9.1
VfB Stuttgart
9.1
RB Leipzig
8.9
Union Berlin
8.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
SV Darmstadt 98
4.7
Werder Bremen
4.2
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4.1
1. FC Köln
4.1
Borussia Dortmund
4.1
Union Berlin
4.1
FSV Mainz 05
4.0
Eintracht Frankfurt
4.0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3.9
FC Augsburg
3.9
Bayer Leverkusen
3.9
VfL Wolfsburg
3.8
VfB Stuttgart
3.6
1899 Hoffenheim
3.6
1. FC Heidenheim
3.5
RB Leipzig
3.5
SC Freiburg
3.5
VfL Bochum
3.4
Bayern München
2.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FSV Mainz 05
27.2
1. FC Köln
25.1
VfL Bochum
24.6
FC Augsburg
24.5
VfL Wolfsburg
24.4
SV Darmstadt 98
24.4
Borussia Mönchengladbach
23.6
Werder Bremen
23.6
Union Berlin
23.5
VfB Stuttgart
23.4
Fortuna Düsseldorf
23.2
Eintracht Frankfurt
23.1
RB Leipzig
23.0
1899 Hoffenheim
22.8
Borussia Dortmund
22.7
SC Freiburg
22.5
Bayer Leverkusen
21.1
1. FC Heidenheim
21.0
Bayern München
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
56.8%
Under 9.5
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
57.0%
Under 3.5
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
62.3%
Under 21.5
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L01L02L11D20W02L10W01L00D12LA·VFL30/04H·FC 05/05A·EIN13/05H·VFB21/05A·BOR27/05A·UNI20/08H·EIN27/08A·WER02/09H·VFB16/09A·FC 23/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.800.930.400.671.20
vs Stronger (6)1.171.000.501.001.501.00
vs Similar (24)0.710.751.000.310.361.27
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayer Leverkusen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D20W02L21W20W11D11D20W10WA·VFB14/05H·AS 18/05H·BOR21/05A·VFL27/05H·RB 19/08A·BOR26/08H·SV 02/09A·BAY15/09H·BK 21/09H·1. 24/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.471.070.530.670.40
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (10)0.900.300.830.331.000.25
vs Weaker (18)0.890.501.380.620.500.40
Clean sheet %63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayer Leverkusen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayer Leverkusen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayer Leverkusen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D22D01L03L02L12L01L03L13L00DA·VFL30/04H·FC 05/05A·EIN13/05H·VFB21/05A·BOR27/05A·UNI20/08H·EIN27/08A·WER02/09H·VFB16/09A·FC 23/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.071.131.200.530.93
vs Stronger (6)1.171.171.500.501.001.50
vs Similar (24)0.751.041.081.310.360.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayer Leverkusen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D00D02L01L11D10W40W11D20W31WA·VFB14/05H·AS 18/05H·BOR21/05A·VFL27/05H·RB 19/08A·BOR26/08H·SV 02/09A·BAY15/09H·BK 21/09H·1. 24/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.631.400.671.000.60
vs Stronger (2)1.500.502.000.001.001.00
vs Similar (10)1.000.901.000.831.001.00
vs Weaker (18)1.280.501.620.621.000.40
Clean sheet %43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayer Leverkusen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayer Leverkusen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayer Leverkusen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards78.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls77.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards76.5%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

FSV Mainz 05
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jonathan Burkardt33%
Brajan Gruda14%
Jae-Sung Lee14%
Leandro Barreiro13%
Sepp van den Berg9%
Ludovic Ajorque8%
Aymen Barkok8%
Nadiem Amiri7%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen7%
Anthony Caci6%
Marco Richter5%
Silvan Widmer5%
Phillipp Mwene4%
Karim Onisiwo4%
Tom Krauß3%
Dominik Kohr3%
Danny da Costa0%
Anwar El Ghazi0%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Josuha Guilavogui0%
Robin Zentner0%
Stefan Bell0%
Edimilson Fernandes0%
Daniel Batz0%
Jessic Ngankam0%
Matondo-Merveille Papela0%
Nelson Weiper0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dominik Kohr45%
Nadiem Amiri33%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen33%
Stefan Bell30%
Sepp van den Berg27%
Anthony Caci26%
Leandro Barreiro26%
Jae-Sung Lee21%
Silvan Widmer20%
Edimilson Fernandes19%
Brajan Gruda18%
Phillipp Mwene17%
Tom Krauß17%
Ludovic Ajorque15%
Aymen Barkok15%
Marco Richter15%
Robin Zentner10%
Jonathan Burkardt10%
Josuha Guilavogui9%
Matondo-Merveille Papela9%
Danny da Costa5%
Karim Onisiwo4%
Anwar El Ghazi0%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Daniel Batz0%
Jessic Ngankam0%
Nelson Weiper0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Anwar El Ghazi33%
Nadiem Amiri27%
Silvan Widmer15%
Karim Onisiwo12%
Brajan Gruda11%
Jae-Sung Lee10%
Anthony Caci10%
Jonathan Burkardt10%
Edimilson Fernandes10%
Josuha Guilavogui9%
Phillipp Mwene9%
Tom Krauß7%
Danny da Costa5%
Leandro Barreiro3%
Dominik Kohr0%
Ludovic Ajorque0%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Marco Richter0%
Aymen Barkok0%
Robin Zentner0%
Stefan Bell0%
Sepp van den Berg0%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen0%
Daniel Batz0%
Jessic Ngankam0%
Matondo-Merveille Papela0%
Nelson Weiper0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nadiem Amiri20%
Marco Richter20%
Jonathan Burkardt19%
Ludovic Ajorque15%
Jae-Sung Lee7%
Dominik Kohr6%
Phillipp Mwene4%
Karim Onisiwo4%
Sepp van den Berg3%
Tom Krauß0%
Danny da Costa0%
Anwar El Ghazi0%
Anthony Caci0%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Josuha Guilavogui0%
Aymen Barkok0%
Robin Zentner0%
Stefan Bell0%
Leandro Barreiro0%
Edimilson Fernandes0%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen0%
Silvan Widmer0%
Daniel Batz0%
Jessic Ngankam0%
Matondo-Merveille Papela0%
Brajan Gruda0%
Nelson Weiper0%
Bayer Leverkusen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Victor Okoh Boniface52%
Patrik Schick31%
Florian Wirtz30%
Jeremie Frimpong29%
Alejandro Grimaldo22%
Jonas Hofmann17%
Nathan Tella14%
Amine Adli14%
Robert Andrich13%
Exequiel Palacios12%
Josip Stanišić12%
Jonathan Tah10%
Adam Hložek9%
Granit Xhaka7%
Edmond Tapsoba5%
Odilon Kossounou3%
Piero Hincapié3%
Nadiem Amiri0%
Lukáš Hrádecký0%
Borja Iglesias0%
Matej Kovar0%
Noah Mbamba0%
Gustavo Puerta0%
Arthur0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jonathan Tah24%
Exequiel Palacios21%
Robert Andrich18%
Edmond Tapsoba18%
Amine Adli17%
Florian Wirtz16%
Granit Xhaka16%
Jeremie Frimpong15%
Odilon Kossounou13%
Victor Okoh Boniface10%
Josip Stanišić9%
Matej Kovar8%
Jonas Hofmann7%
Patrik Schick7%
Lukáš Hrádecký6%
Nathan Tella6%
Piero Hincapié5%
Alejandro Grimaldo4%
Adam Hložek3%
Nadiem Amiri0%
Borja Iglesias0%
Noah Mbamba0%
Gustavo Puerta0%
Arthur0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Noah Mbamba40%
Alejandro Grimaldo31%
Florian Wirtz30%
Victor Okoh Boniface26%
Arthur25%
Jonas Hofmann22%
Amine Adli19%
Jeremie Frimpong15%
Exequiel Palacios12%
Josip Stanišić12%
Nathan Tella9%
Robert Andrich8%
Adam Hložek6%
Piero Hincapié5%
Granit Xhaka5%
Edmond Tapsoba2%
Jonathan Tah2%
Nadiem Amiri0%
Patrik Schick0%
Lukáš Hrádecký0%
Borja Iglesias0%
Odilon Kossounou0%
Matej Kovar0%
Gustavo Puerta0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Victor Okoh Boniface45%
Florian Wirtz19%
Patrik Schick17%
Amine Adli17%
Alejandro Grimaldo16%
Jonas Hofmann12%
Jeremie Frimpong12%
Borja Iglesias11%
Robert Andrich10%
Adam Hložek6%
Nathan Tella6%
Granit Xhaka5%
Exequiel Palacios3%
Piero Hincapié3%
Jonathan Tah2%
Nadiem Amiri0%
Lukáš Hrádecký0%
Edmond Tapsoba0%
Odilon Kossounou0%
Josip Stanišić0%
Matej Kovar0%
Noah Mbamba0%
Gustavo Puerta0%
Arthur0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (29)
€1076m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
BL (30)
€499m
VS (54)
€430m
EF (26)
€323m
1H (53)
€309m
SF (30)
€243m
FM0 (29)
€175m
FA (28)
€161m
VW (33)
€154m
1FK (74)
€133m
BM (29)
€129m
UB (29)
€123m
WB (33)
€119m
1FH (26)
€33m
SD9 (28)
€24m
VB (24)
€19m
FD (26)
€10m
FSV Mainz 05's squad is €324m less valuable than Bayer Leverkusen's (€175m vs €499m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (10)
€554m
BL (13)
€246m
RL (12)
€212m
VS (19)
€193m
EF (11)
€174m
BD (8)
€170m
1H (22)
€111m
SF (10)
€96m
1FK (25)
€72m
FA (12)
€64m
BM (11)
€58m
VW (10)
€56m
WB (13)
€50m
FM0 (11)
€49m
UB (10)
€46m
1FH (11)
€15m
SD9 (11)
€9m
VB (9)
€6m
FD (8)
€3m
FSV Mainz 05's attack is €196m less valuable than Bayer Leverkusen's (€49m vs €246m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (6)
€187m
BD (7)
€146m
RL (6)
€109m
1H (11)
€105m
VS (10)
€92m
BL (5)
€91m
FM0 (5)
€80m
EF (4)
€78m
SF (5)
€36m
VW (8)
€32m
WB (5)
€28m
UB (6)
€26m
FA (6)
€23m
BM (5)
€22m
1FK (16)
€19m
1FH (4)
€7m
SD9 (4)
€6m
VB (4)
€5m
FD (5)
€2m
FSV Mainz 05's midfield is €12m less valuable than Bayer Leverkusen's (€80m vs €91m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (13)
€336m
BD (14)
€214m
RL (13)
€185m
BL (12)
€162m
VS (25)
€145m
SF (15)
€110m
1H (20)
€92m
FA (10)
€74m
EF (11)
€72m
VW (15)
€66m
UB (13)
€50m
BM (13)
€49m
FM0 (13)
€47m
1FK (33)
€43m
WB (15)
€41m
1FH (11)
€12m
SD9 (13)
€8m
VB (11)
€8m
FD (13)
€5m
FSV Mainz 05's defence is €116m less valuable than Bayer Leverkusen's (€47m vs €162m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
FM0 wins
1
Draws
5
BL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen · H/A from FM0
DateH/AGameScore
19/02/23ABayer Leverkusen Vs FM02-3
27/08/22HFM0 Vs Bayer Leverkusen0-3
18/02/22HFM0 Vs Bayer Leverkusen3-2
25/09/21ABayer Leverkusen Vs FM01-0
13/02/21ABayer Leverkusen Vs FM02-2
17/10/20HFM0 Vs Bayer Leverkusen0-1
27/06/20ABayer Leverkusen Vs FM01-0
21/12/19HFM0 Vs Bayer Leverkusen0-1

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/09/23AFC Augsburg Vs FM02-1
16/09/23HFM0 Vs VfB Stuttgart1-3
02/09/23AWerder Bremen Vs FM04-0
27/08/23HFM0 Vs Eintracht Frankfurt1-1
20/08/23AUnion Berlin Vs FM04-1
27/05/23ABorussia Dortmund Vs FM02-2
21/05/23HFM0 Vs VfB Stuttgart1-4
13/05/23AEintracht Frankfurt Vs FM03-0
05/05/23HFM0 Vs FC Schalke 042-3
30/04/23AVfL Wolfsburg Vs FM03-0

Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/09/23HBL Vs 1. FC Heidenheim4-1
21/09/23HBL Vs BK Hacken4-0
15/09/23ABayern München Vs BL2-2
02/09/23HBL Vs SV Darmstadt 985-1
26/08/23ABorussia Mönchengladbach Vs BL0-3
19/08/23HBL Vs RB Leipzig3-2
27/05/23AVfL Bochum Vs BL3-0
21/05/23HBL Vs Borussia Mönchengladbach2-2
18/05/23HBL Vs AS Roma0-0
14/05/23AVfB Stuttgart Vs BL1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLL1.18
HomeWLLDL1.38
AwayLDLLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%33%27%
AVG goals3.243.123.35
Over 1.5 %88%83%92%
Over 2.5 %68%62%73%
Over 3.5 %42%50%35%
Scored1.481.751.23
Conceded1.761.382.12
BTTS66%62%69%
Clean Sheet18%25%12%
Corners9.069.578.67
Cards4.383.714.89
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW1.64
HomeDWWWW1.85
AwayLDLWD1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%54%38%
AVG goals3.143.312.96
Over 1.5 %86%92%79%
Over 2.5 %60%62%58%
Over 3.5 %46%50%42%
Scored1.842.191.46
Conceded1.301.121.50
BTTS52%54%50%
Clean Sheet30%38%21%
Corners9.158.1810.33
Cards4.584.454.75

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen3490
82%
2.6
8924+65
3.3
91%
74%
38%
10.2
56%
4.0
58%
19.4
32%
499
246911622.60.7
62%
2VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart3473
68%
2.1
7839+39
3.4
91%
74%
47%
9.1
38%
4.0
50%
21.2
41%
430
193921452.31.1
60%
3Bayern MünchenBayern München3472
68%
2.1
9445+49
4.1
91%
82%
59%
9.5
50%
3.6
38%
18.3
26%
1076
5541873362.81.3
61%
4RB LeipzigRB Leipzig3465
56%
1.9
7739+38
3.4
88%
68%
47%
10.0
56%
4.8
76%
22.3
50%
506
2121091852.31.1
56%
5Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund3463
53%
1.9
6843+25
3.3
85%
62%
44%
10.2
53%
4.1
61%
21.2
53%
529
1701462142.01.3
58%
6Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt3447
32%
1.4
5150+1
3.0
85%
59%
35%
9.3
53%
4.2
59%
20.4
32%
323
17478721.51.5
52%
71899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim3446
38%
1.4
6666+0
3.9
97%
79%
62%
10.1
47%
4.9
74%
21.5
53%
309
111105921.91.9
50%
81. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim3442
29%
1.2
5055-5
3.1
82%
53%
35%
10.4
53%
3.8
56%
23.1
56%
33
157121.51.6
42%
9Werder BremenWerder Bremen3442
32%
1.2
4854-6
3.0
85%
59%
35%
9.4
41%
5.0
64%
23.6
65%
119
5028411.41.6
47%
10SC FreiburgSC Freiburg3442
32%
1.2
4558-13
3.0
79%
65%
35%
9.4
47%
4.2
52%
22.1
44%
243
96361101.31.7
46%
11FC AugsburgFC Augsburg3439
29%
1.1
5060-10
3.2
88%
62%
35%
10.1
50%
4.2
61%
23.9
74%
161
6423741.51.8
44%
12VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg3437
29%
1.1
4156-15
2.9
85%
59%
35%
9.4
44%
5.1
74%
24.7
68%
154
5632661.21.6
48%
13VfL BochumVfL Bochum3636
22%
1.0
4577-32
3.4
89%
67%
47%
10.8
58%
5.1
78%
25.9
83%
19
6581.22.1
47%
14FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 053435
21%
1.0
3951-12
2.6
76%
44%
32%
9.5
41%
5.4
82%
26.7
79%
175
4980471.11.5
46%
15Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach3434
21%
1.0
5667-11
3.6
88%
76%
53%
11.2
74%
4.1
64%
21.4
50%
129
5822491.62.0
47%
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3433
26%
1.0
3358-25
2.7
74%
47%
26%
9.8
50%
4.2
62%
22.3
65%
123
4626501.01.7
43%
171. FC Köln1. FC Köln3427
15%
0.8
2860-32
2.6
82%
35%
24%
11.5
62%
4.7
67%
23.5
65%
133
7219430.81.8
46%
18SV Darmstadt 98SV Darmstadt 983417
9%
0.5
3086-56
3.4
76%
62%
47%
8.7
41%
4.4
62%
23.5
71%
24
9680.92.5
46%
19Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf23
50%
1.5
33+0
3.0
100%
100%
0%
18.5
100%
3.5
50%
31.5
100%
10
3251.51.5
38%
Germany: Bundesliga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: Bundesliga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches