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FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart Result & Analysis

Date: 25/01/2025
Time: 14:30
Final 2-0
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
Vs
36%
28%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
Germany: Bundesliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FSV Mainz 05 win✓ Hit
36.3%
Avg Implied 33.6% · @ 2.84
Edge
+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.5%
Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.50
Edge
+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
VfB Stuttgart win✗ Miss
35.3%
Avg Implied 39.1% · @ 2.44
Edge
-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D31W30W20W34L21W31W20W01L12LA·SC 03/11H·BOR09/11A·HOL24/11H·18901/12A·VFL08/12H·BAY14/12A·EIN21/12H·VFL11/01A·BAY14/01A·UNI19/01
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.301.800.871.731.73
vs Stronger (8)1.251.882.001.000.502.75
vs Similar (22)1.951.091.730.822.181.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (VfB Stuttgart) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-515L22D32W51W31W01L10W21W40W31WA·FK 27/11A·WER30/11H·UNI06/12H·BSC11/12A·1. 15/12H·FC 21/12A·FC 12/01H·RB 15/01H·SC 18/01A·SLO21/01
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.971.472.471.201.471.73
vs Stronger (5)2.001.804.001.000.672.33
vs Similar (19)2.111.682.501.401.672.00
vs Weaker (6)1.500.501.330.671.670.33
Clean sheet %23% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.8%
Under 1.5
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.9%
@ 1.75-4.7%
Under 2.5
50.1%
@ 2.10+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.9%
Under 3.5
72.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.5%
No
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
0-0
8.2%
1-0
8.1%
0-1
7.9%
2-0 ✓
6.3%
0-2
6.1%
FSV Mainz 05 goals ↓
VfB Stuttgart goals →
01234
08.2%7.9%6.1%2.7%0.9%
18.1%14%8.2%3.6%1.2%
26.3%8.3%5.5%2.4%0.8%
32.8%3.7%2.5%1.1%0.4%
40.9%1.3%0.8%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FSV Mainz 05 goals (down), columns = VfB Stuttgart goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Bayern München
2.41
Bayer Leverkusen
2.03
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.76
Borussia Dortmund
1.68
SC Freiburg
1.62
FSV Mainz 05
1.53
RB Leipzig
1.50
Werder Bremen
1.50
VfB Stuttgart
1.47
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.32
FC Augsburg
1.26
VfL Wolfsburg
1.26
Union Berlin
1.21
FC St. Pauli
0.94
1899 Hoffenheim
0.94
1. FC Heidenheim
0.92
Holstein Kiel
0.74
VfL Bochum
0.68
SV Elversberg
0.50
FSV Mainz 05 is 0.06 points better than VfB Stuttgart in terms of average points per game (1.53 vs 1.47).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bayern München
2.91
Bayer Leverkusen
2.12
Borussia Dortmund
2.09
Eintracht Frankfurt
2.00
VfB Stuttgart
1.88
VfL Wolfsburg
1.65
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.62
FSV Mainz 05
1.62
Werder Bremen
1.59
RB Leipzig
1.56
SV Elversberg
1.50
Holstein Kiel
1.44
SC Freiburg
1.44
1899 Hoffenheim
1.35
1. FC Heidenheim
1.14
Union Berlin
1.06
FC Augsburg
1.03
VfL Bochum
0.94
FC St. Pauli
0.82
FSV Mainz 05 is 0.26 goals worse than VfB Stuttgart in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 1.88).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Bayern München
0.94
FC St. Pauli
1.21
FSV Mainz 05
1.26
Bayer Leverkusen
1.26
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.35
RB Leipzig
1.41
Union Berlin
1.47
FC Augsburg
1.50
Borussia Dortmund
1.50
VfB Stuttgart
1.56
SC Freiburg
1.56
VfL Wolfsburg
1.59
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.68
Werder Bremen
1.68
1. FC Heidenheim
1.86
SV Elversberg
2.00
VfL Bochum
2.00
1899 Hoffenheim
2.00
Holstein Kiel
2.35
FSV Mainz 05 is 0.29 goals better than VfB Stuttgart in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 1.56).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Bayern München
68%
Bayer Leverkusen
59%
Borussia Dortmund
59%
VfB Stuttgart
58%
SV Elversberg
55%
RB Leipzig
52%
FSV Mainz 05
50%
Werder Bremen
50%
Eintracht Frankfurt
50%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
50%
SC Freiburg
49%
1899 Hoffenheim
49%
VfL Wolfsburg
46%
VfL Bochum
45%
FC St. Pauli
44%
FC Augsburg
44%
Holstein Kiel
44%
1. FC Heidenheim
43%
Union Berlin
40%
FSV Mainz 05 is 7.2 percentage points worse than VfB Stuttgart in terms of average possession (50% vs 58%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

For 4.7 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.8

🚩 Corners

19022485621732538362848412111958118812A·UNIA·BAYH·VFLA·EINH·BAYA·VFLH·189A·HOLH·BORA·SC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

702232221324313132214523574153A·UNIA·BAYH·VFLA·EINH·BAYA·VFLH·189A·HOLH·BORA·SC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 10.1 · Total 22.6

⚠️ Fouls

3301012144616101021121510131271117512922182220332525182221A·UNIA·BAYH·VFLA·EINH·BAYA·VFLH·189A·HOLH·BORA·SC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart

For 6.4 · Against 3.9 · Total 10.3

🚩 Corners

23019441593916951621144235512101557138A·SLOH·SC H·RB A·FC H·FC A·1. H·BSCH·UNIA·WERA·FK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 4.1 · Total 6.1

🟨 Cards

1103353291522341416111468116475725A·SLOH·SC H·RB A·FC H·FC A·1. H·BSCH·UNIA·WERA·FK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 14.5 · Total 26.8

⚠️ Fouls

3801410812101914111011132510161419138171424202925213826332131A·SLOH·SC H·RB A·FC H·FC A·1. H·BSCH·UNIA·WERA·FK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.910.69.35.15.25.025.126.523.7
vs Stronger (12)9.07.011.84.94.65.423.924.922.6
vs Similar (38)10.212.08.75.25.45.025.527.223.9
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line48%60%36%78%84%72%70%84%56%
% under line52%40%64%22%16%28%30%16%44%
This opponent (VfB Stuttgart) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.09.810.24.94.65.222.521.123.9
vs Stronger (8)10.07.011.84.14.04.219.521.018.6
vs Similar (30)9.59.89.14.84.74.922.421.024.0
vs Weaker (12)11.411.511.35.74.56.824.721.328.0
% over line52%56%48%72%68%76%54%48%60%
% under line48%44%52%28%32%24%46%52%40%
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Holstein Kiel
10.9
SV Elversberg
10.8
Borussia Mönchengladbach
10.7
VfL Bochum
10.6
1899 Hoffenheim
10.5
Borussia Dortmund
10.4
FC Augsburg
10.0
VfB Stuttgart
10.0
FSV Mainz 05
9.9
Eintracht Frankfurt
9.8
1. FC Heidenheim
9.8
Bayer Leverkusen
9.8
VfL Wolfsburg
9.8
RB Leipzig
9.7
Union Berlin
9.7
Werder Bremen
9.5
Bayern München
9.5
FC St. Pauli
9.4
SC Freiburg
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
VfL Wolfsburg
5.1
FSV Mainz 05
5.1
VfB Stuttgart
4.9
Werder Bremen
4.8
Holstein Kiel
4.8
VfL Bochum
4.7
RB Leipzig
4.6
FC Augsburg
4.4
Union Berlin
4.4
SV Elversberg
4.4
1. FC Heidenheim
4.4
Bayer Leverkusen
4.2
Borussia Dortmund
4.2
1899 Hoffenheim
4.1
FC St. Pauli
4.0
SC Freiburg
3.9
Eintracht Frankfurt
3.9
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3.8
Bayern München
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FSV Mainz 05
25.1
VfL Bochum
24.9
VfL Wolfsburg
24.1
1. FC Heidenheim
24.0
FC Augsburg
23.6
Werder Bremen
23.1
Holstein Kiel
22.8
Union Berlin
22.5
VfB Stuttgart
22.5
SV Elversberg
22.0
1899 Hoffenheim
22.0
RB Leipzig
21.8
Borussia Mönchengladbach
21.7
SC Freiburg
20.8
FC St. Pauli
20.1
Bayer Leverkusen
19.9
Borussia Dortmund
19.9
Eintracht Frankfurt
19.6
Bayern München
18.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
60.8%
Under 9.5
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
72.1%
Under 3.5
27.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
70.3%
Under 21.5
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W20W20W21W10W20W10W00D12LA·SC 03/11H·BOR09/11A·HOL24/11H·18901/12A·VFL08/12H·BAY14/12A·EIN21/12H·VFL11/01A·BAY14/01A·UNI19/01
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.600.930.401.130.80
vs Stronger (8)1.000.881.500.750.501.00
vs Similar (22)1.050.500.730.271.360.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (VfB Stuttgart) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L11D01L11D21W01L00D01L30W20WA·FK 27/11A·WER30/11H·UNI06/12H·BSC11/12A·1. 15/12H·FC 21/12A·FC 12/01H·RB 15/01H·SC 18/01A·SLO21/01
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.570.870.600.600.53
vs Stronger (5)0.600.201.500.500.000.00
vs Similar (19)0.840.740.900.700.780.78
vs Weaker (6)0.500.330.330.330.670.33
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfB Stuttgart over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfB Stuttgart over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfB Stuttgart over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W10W00D13L11D11D10W01L00DA·SC 03/11H·BOR09/11A·HOL24/11H·18901/12A·VFL08/12H·BAY14/12A·EIN21/12H·VFL11/01A·BAY14/01A·UNI19/01
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.700.870.470.600.93
vs Stronger (8)0.251.000.500.250.001.75
vs Similar (22)0.910.591.000.550.820.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (VfB Stuttgart) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L11D31W40W10W00D10W20W10W11DA·FK 27/11A·WER30/11H·UNI06/12H·BSC11/12A·1. 15/12H·FC 21/12A·FC 12/01H·RB 15/01H·SC 18/01A·SLO21/01
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.901.600.600.871.20
vs Stronger (5)1.401.602.500.500.672.33
vs Similar (19)1.260.951.600.700.891.22
vs Weaker (6)1.000.171.000.331.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfB Stuttgart over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfB Stuttgart over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfB Stuttgart over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards86.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls83.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.575.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners72.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards72.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls70.3%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

FSV Mainz 05
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jonathan Burkardt50%
Nadiem Amiri25%
Paul Nebel24%
Jae-sung Lee18%
Nelson Weiper12%
Dominik Kohr10%
Armindo Sieb7%
Maxim Leitsch6%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen4%
Phillipp Mwene3%
Anthony Caci3%
Danny da Costa0%
Arnaud Nordin0%
Lennard Maloney0%
Aymen Barkok0%
Robin Zentner0%
Stefan Bell0%
Karim Onisiwo0%
Hyun-Seok Hong0%
Kaishu Sano0%
Silvan Widmer0%
Moritz Jenz0%
Nikolas Veratschnig0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dominik Kohr43%
Nadiem Amiri28%
Moritz Jenz25%
Phillipp Mwene21%
Anthony Caci20%
Lennard Maloney20%
Stefan Bell20%
Paul Nebel15%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen13%
Maxim Leitsch12%
Nikolas Veratschnig12%
Jae-sung Lee12%
Silvan Widmer11%
Robin Zentner9%
Kaishu Sano8%
Nelson Weiper8%
Armindo Sieb7%
Danny da Costa0%
Arnaud Nordin0%
Aymen Barkok0%
Jonathan Burkardt0%
Karim Onisiwo0%
Hyun-Seok Hong0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jae-sung Lee18%
Anthony Caci17%
Paul Nebel15%
Nadiem Amiri12%
Phillipp Mwene12%
Nelson Weiper8%
Armindo Sieb7%
Jonathan Burkardt7%
Stefan Bell5%
Hyun-Seok Hong4%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen4%
Danny da Costa4%
Silvan Widmer4%
Dominik Kohr0%
Arnaud Nordin0%
Lennard Maloney0%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Aymen Barkok0%
Robin Zentner0%
Karim Onisiwo0%
Kaishu Sano0%
Moritz Jenz0%
Nikolas Veratschnig0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jonathan Burkardt33%
Nadiem Amiri16%
Karim Onisiwo12%
Jae-sung Lee12%
Paul Nebel6%
Hyun-Seok Hong4%
Nelson Weiper4%
Armindo Sieb3%
Dominik Kohr0%
Danny da Costa0%
Arnaud Nordin0%
Anthony Caci0%
Lennard Maloney0%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Aymen Barkok0%
Robin Zentner0%
Stefan Bell0%
Phillipp Mwene0%
Kaishu Sano0%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen0%
Silvan Widmer0%
Moritz Jenz0%
Nikolas Veratschnig0%
VfB Stuttgart
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nick Woltemade48%
Deniz Undav30%
Ermedin Demirović27%
Enzo Millot24%
El Bilal Touré18%
Justin Diehl12%
Jamie Leweling11%
Chris Führich9%
Angelo Stiller9%
Julian Chabot7%
Atakan Karazor7%
Jacob Bruun Larsen6%
Fabian Rieder6%
Yannik Keitel6%
Josha Vagnoman6%
Pascal Stenzel6%
Leonidas Stergiou6%
Anrie Chase5%
Anthony Rouault4%
Maximilian Mittelstädt2%
Dan-Axel Zagadou0%
Alexander Nübel0%
Fabian Bredlow0%
Ramon Hendriks0%
Frans Krätzig0%
Ameen Al-Dakhil0%
Luca Jaquez0%
Jarzinho Malanga0%
Finn Jeltsch0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dan-Axel Zagadou33%
Enzo Millot26%
Julian Chabot23%
Atakan Karazor22%
Yannik Keitel18%
Angelo Stiller15%
Anthony Rouault15%
Josha Vagnoman14%
Finn Jeltsch14%
Maximilian Mittelstädt14%
Deniz Undav14%
Ramon Hendriks13%
Nick Woltemade12%
Jamie Leweling11%
Ermedin Demirović10%
Anrie Chase10%
Jacob Bruun Larsen6%
Fabian Rieder6%
Pascal Stenzel6%
Chris Führich4%
Alexander Nübel0%
Fabian Bredlow0%
Leonidas Stergiou0%
El Bilal Touré0%
Frans Krätzig0%
Justin Diehl0%
Ameen Al-Dakhil0%
Luca Jaquez0%
Jarzinho Malanga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Maximilian Mittelstädt19%
Angelo Stiller17%
Enzo Millot17%
Deniz Undav16%
Leonidas Stergiou11%
Nick Woltemade9%
Fabian Rieder9%
Ermedin Demirović8%
Chris Führich7%
Atakan Karazor7%
El Bilal Touré6%
Josha Vagnoman6%
Pascal Stenzel6%
Jamie Leweling6%
Ramon Hendriks3%
Julian Chabot2%
Alexander Nübel2%
Dan-Axel Zagadou0%
Jacob Bruun Larsen0%
Fabian Bredlow0%
Anthony Rouault0%
Yannik Keitel0%
Frans Krätzig0%
Justin Diehl0%
Ameen Al-Dakhil0%
Luca Jaquez0%
Anrie Chase0%
Jarzinho Malanga0%
Finn Jeltsch0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Deniz Undav30%
Nick Woltemade18%
Ermedin Demirović17%
Enzo Millot17%
Jamie Leweling14%
El Bilal Touré12%
Fabian Rieder6%
Chris Führich4%
Angelo Stiller4%
Josha Vagnoman3%
Maximilian Mittelstädt2%
Dan-Axel Zagadou0%
Jacob Bruun Larsen0%
Alexander Nübel0%
Atakan Karazor0%
Fabian Bredlow0%
Pascal Stenzel0%
Julian Chabot0%
Leonidas Stergiou0%
Anthony Rouault0%
Ramon Hendriks0%
Yannik Keitel0%
Frans Krätzig0%
Justin Diehl0%
Ameen Al-Dakhil0%
Luca Jaquez0%
Anrie Chase0%
Jarzinho Malanga0%
Finn Jeltsch0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (29)
€1076m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
BL (30)
€499m
VS (54)
€430m
EF (26)
€323m
1H (53)
€309m
SF (30)
€243m
FM0 (29)
€175m
FA (28)
€161m
VW (33)
€154m
BM (29)
€129m
UB (29)
€123m
WB (33)
€119m
SE (27)
€52m
FSP (27)
€46m
HK (32)
€34m
1FH (26)
€33m
VB (24)
€19m
FSV Mainz 05's squad is €255m less valuable than VfB Stuttgart's (€175m vs €430m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (10)
€554m
BL (13)
€246m
RL (12)
€212m
VS (19)
€193m
EF (11)
€174m
BD (8)
€170m
1H (22)
€111m
SF (10)
€96m
FA (12)
€64m
BM (11)
€58m
VW (10)
€56m
WB (13)
€50m
FM0 (11)
€49m
UB (10)
€46m
SE (12)
€33m
1FH (11)
€15m
HK (12)
€12m
FSP (7)
€10m
VB (9)
€6m
FSV Mainz 05's attack is €144m less valuable than VfB Stuttgart's (€49m vs €193m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (6)
€187m
BD (7)
€146m
RL (6)
€109m
1H (11)
€105m
VS (10)
€92m
BL (5)
€91m
FM0 (5)
€80m
EF (4)
€78m
SF (5)
€36m
VW (8)
€32m
WB (5)
€28m
UB (6)
€26m
FA (6)
€23m
BM (5)
€22m
FSP (8)
€15m
HK (5)
€7m
1FH (4)
€7m
VB (4)
€5m
SE (3)
€4m
FSV Mainz 05's midfield is €13m less valuable than VfB Stuttgart's (€80m vs €92m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (13)
€336m
BD (14)
€214m
RL (13)
€185m
BL (12)
€162m
VS (25)
€145m
SF (15)
€110m
1H (20)
€92m
FA (10)
€74m
EF (11)
€72m
VW (15)
€66m
UB (13)
€50m
BM (13)
€49m
FM0 (13)
€47m
WB (15)
€41m
FSP (12)
€21m
HK (15)
€16m
SE (12)
€14m
1FH (11)
€12m
VB (11)
€8m
FSV Mainz 05's defence is €98m less valuable than VfB Stuttgart's (€47m vs €145m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
FM0 wins
3
Draws
5
VS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart · H/A from FM0
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/24AVfB Stuttgart Vs FM03-3
11/02/24AVfB Stuttgart Vs FM03-1
16/09/23HFM0 Vs VfB Stuttgart1-3
21/05/23HFM0 Vs VfB Stuttgart1-4
21/01/23AVfB Stuttgart Vs FM01-1
16/04/22HFM0 Vs VfB Stuttgart0-0
26/11/21AVfB Stuttgart Vs FM02-1
29/01/21AVfB Stuttgart Vs FM02-0

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/01/25AUnion Berlin Vs FM02-1
14/01/25ABayer Leverkusen Vs FM01-0
11/01/25HFM0 Vs VfL Bochum2-0
21/12/24AEintracht Frankfurt Vs FM01-3
14/12/24HFM0 Vs Bayern München2-1
08/12/24AVfL Wolfsburg Vs FM04-3
01/12/24HFM0 Vs 1899 Hoffenheim2-0
24/11/24AHolstein Kiel Vs FM00-3
09/11/24HFM0 Vs Borussia Dortmund3-1
03/11/24ASC Freiburg Vs FM00-0

VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/01/25ASlovan Bratislava Vs VS1-3
18/01/25HVS Vs SC Freiburg4-0
15/01/25HVS Vs RB Leipzig2-1
12/01/25AFC Augsburg Vs VS0-1
21/12/24HVS Vs FC St. Pauli0-1
15/12/24A1. FC Heidenheim Vs VS1-3
11/12/24HVS Vs BSC Young Boys5-1
06/12/24HVS Vs Union Berlin3-2
30/11/24AWerder Bremen Vs VS2-2
27/11/24AFK Crvena Zvezda Vs VS5-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLL1.24
HomeDWWWW1.44
AwayWLWLL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%40%20%
AVG goals2.742.443.04
Over 1.5 %80%84%76%
Over 2.5 %48%36%60%
Over 3.5 %30%20%40%
Scored1.361.361.36
Conceded1.381.081.68
BTTS56%48%64%
Clean Sheet26%28%24%
Corners9.9410.609.28
Cards5.105.165.04
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW1.88
HomeWWLWW2.16
AwayLDWWW1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%64%48%
AVG goals3.323.563.08
Over 1.5 %86%96%76%
Over 2.5 %68%64%72%
Over 3.5 %48%44%52%
Scored1.982.481.48
Conceded1.341.081.60
BTTS62%64%60%
Clean Sheet26%28%24%
Corners10.029.8410.20
Cards4.884.565.20

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Bayern MünchenBayern München3482
74%
2.4
9932+67
3.9
91%
76%
59%
9.1
38%
3.6
53%
19.2
26%
1076
5541873362.90.9
68%
2Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen3469
56%
2.0
7243+29
3.4
82%
62%
53%
9.8
56%
4.0
55%
20.4
35%
499
246911622.11.3
59%
3Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt3460
50%
1.8
6846+22
3.4
88%
65%
50%
10.0
59%
3.4
41%
19.6
38%
323
17478722.01.4
50%
4Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund3457
50%
1.7
7151+20
3.6
94%
71%
50%
9.6
50%
4.5
64%
20.2
41%
529
1701462142.11.5
59%
5SC FreiburgSC Freiburg3455
47%
1.6
4953-4
3.0
74%
68%
47%
8.2
29%
3.5
41%
19.4
29%
243
96361101.41.6
49%
6FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 053452
41%
1.5
5543+12
2.9
88%
53%
32%
9.9
56%
4.9
71%
22.3
50%
175
4980471.61.3
50%
7RB LeipzigRB Leipzig3451
38%
1.5
5348+5
3.0
71%
56%
44%
10.2
53%
4.4
71%
21.2
50%
506
2121091851.61.4
52%
8Werder BremenWerder Bremen3451
41%
1.5
5457-3
3.3
76%
65%
47%
9.5
53%
4.9
71%
22.3
59%
119
5028411.61.7
50%
9VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart3450
41%
1.5
6453+11
3.4
82%
71%
53%
10.0
65%
5.5
79%
23.1
56%
430
193921451.91.6
58%
10Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach3445
38%
1.3
5557-2
3.3
85%
62%
38%
9.9
53%
3.3
52%
19.9
41%
129
5822491.61.7
50%
11VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg3443
32%
1.3
5654+2
3.2
74%
59%
50%
10.1
59%
4.5
58%
21.4
50%
154
5632661.61.6
46%
12FC AugsburgFC Augsburg3443
32%
1.3
3551-16
2.5
74%
53%
32%
9.6
53%
4.1
55%
21.4
53%
161
6423741.01.5
44%
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3441
29%
1.2
3650-14
2.5
74%
50%
18%
9.4
50%
4.0
55%
21.9
41%
123
4626501.11.5
40%
141. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim3633
25%
0.9
4167-26
3.0
78%
58%
39%
8.9
42%
4.3
66%
23.1
58%
33
157121.11.9
43%
15FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli3432
24%
0.9
2841-13
2.0
68%
29%
12%
8.9
35%
4.0
55%
21.2
41%
46
1015210.81.2
44%
161899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim3432
21%
0.9
4668-22
3.4
85%
59%
53%
10.2
65%
4.0
50%
22.8
56%
309
111105921.42.0
49%
17Holstein KielHolstein Kiel3425
18%
0.7
4980-31
3.8
94%
76%
56%
10.1
50%
4.6
68%
22.9
62%
34
127161.42.4
44%
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3423
15%
0.7
3268-36
2.9
76%
47%
38%
10.3
62%
3.7
52%
22.6
53%
19
6580.92.0
45%
19SV ElversbergSV Elversberg21
0%
0.5
34-1
3.5
100%
100%
50%
6.5
0%
2.5
50%
21.0
50%
52
334141.52.0
55%
Germany: Bundesliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: Bundesliga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches