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FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart Result & Analysis

Date: 07/03/2026
Time: 14:30
Final 2-2
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
Vs
28%
26%
46%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
Germany: Bundesliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FSV Mainz 05 win✗ Miss
28.1%
Avg Implied 30.5% · @ 3.05
Edge
-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.1%
Avg Implied 25.5% · @ 3.65
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
VfB Stuttgart win✗ Miss
45.8%
Avg Implied 43.9% · @ 2.12
Edge
+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D22D21W12L31W21W20W04L11D11DH·FC 21/12A·UNI10/01H·1. 13/01A·1. 17/01H·VFL24/01A·RB 31/01H·FC 07/02A·BOR13/02H·HAM20/02A·BAY28/02
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.401.471.001.071.80
vs Stronger (7)1.142.141.002.331.252.00
vs Similar (23)1.301.171.580.671.001.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (VfB Stuttgart) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L30W32W10W12L31W41W33D01L40WA·AS 22/01A·BOR25/01H·BSC29/01H·SC 01/02A·FC 07/02H·1. 14/02A·CEL19/02A·1. 22/02H·CEL26/02H·VFL01/03
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.071.271.931.132.201.40
vs Stronger (2)1.504.000.005.003.003.00
vs Similar (21)2.001.002.000.822.001.20
vs Weaker (7)2.431.292.331.002.501.50
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.8%
Under 1.5
19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.0%
@ 1.58-2.2%
Under 2.5
43.0%
@ 2.30+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.6%
Under 3.5
65.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.0%
No
40.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
7.5%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
0-0
6.2%
2-2 ✓
6.0%
1-0
5.5%
FSV Mainz 05 goals ↓
VfB Stuttgart goals →
01234
06.2%7.5%7.3%4.1%1.7%
15.5%12%9.4%5.3%2.2%
24.2%7.1%6.0%3.4%1.4%
31.8%3.0%2.6%1.4%0.6%
40.6%1.0%0.8%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FSV Mainz 05 goals (down), columns = VfB Stuttgart goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Bayern München
2.62
Borussia Dortmund
2.15
RB Leipzig
1.91
VfB Stuttgart
1.82
1899 Hoffenheim
1.79
Bayer Leverkusen
1.74
SC Freiburg
1.38
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.29
FC Augsburg
1.26
FSV Mainz 05
1.18
Union Berlin
1.15
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.12
Hamburger SV
1.12
SC Paderborn 07
1.00
1. FC Köln
0.94
Werder Bremen
0.94
VfL Wolfsburg
0.86
FC St. Pauli
0.76
1. FC Heidenheim
0.76
FSV Mainz 05 is 0.65 points worse than VfB Stuttgart in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 1.82).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bayern München
3.59
VfB Stuttgart
2.09
Borussia Dortmund
2.06
Bayer Leverkusen
2.00
RB Leipzig
1.94
1899 Hoffenheim
1.91
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.79
SC Freiburg
1.50
1. FC Köln
1.44
FC Augsburg
1.32
Union Berlin
1.29
FSV Mainz 05
1.29
VfL Wolfsburg
1.28
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.24
1. FC Heidenheim
1.21
Hamburger SV
1.18
Werder Bremen
1.09
FC St. Pauli
0.85
SC Paderborn 07
0.50
FSV Mainz 05 is 0.79 goals worse than VfB Stuttgart in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 2.09).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
SC Paderborn 07
0.50
Borussia Dortmund
1.00
Bayern München
1.06
RB Leipzig
1.38
Bayer Leverkusen
1.38
VfB Stuttgart
1.44
1899 Hoffenheim
1.53
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.56
FSV Mainz 05
1.56
Hamburger SV
1.59
SC Freiburg
1.68
Union Berlin
1.71
Werder Bremen
1.76
FC St. Pauli
1.76
FC Augsburg
1.79
1. FC Köln
1.85
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.91
VfL Wolfsburg
1.94
1. FC Heidenheim
2.12
FSV Mainz 05 is 0.12 goals worse than VfB Stuttgart in terms of goals conceded per game (1.56 vs 1.44).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Bayern München
67%
Bayer Leverkusen
59%
VfB Stuttgart
58%
1899 Hoffenheim
55%
Eintracht Frankfurt
55%
RB Leipzig
54%
Borussia Dortmund
53%
SC Paderborn 07
52%
Werder Bremen
51%
SC Freiburg
48%
1. FC Köln
47%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
47%
VfL Wolfsburg
45%
Hamburger SV
45%
FC St. Pauli
44%
FSV Mainz 05
44%
FC Augsburg
44%
1. FC Heidenheim
42%
Union Berlin
40%
FSV Mainz 05 is 13.7 percentage points worse than VfB Stuttgart in terms of average possession (44% vs 58%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

For 5.5 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.7

🚩 Corners

16026722764451515941129589910916145314A·BAYH·HAMA·BORH·FC A·RB H·VFLA·1. H·1. A·UNIH·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

802132232243244222113554458422A·BAYH·HAMA·BORH·FC A·RB H·VFLA·1. H·1. A·UNIH·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 9.1 · Total 19.2

⚠️ Fouls

290139161351012101348111061110895922291522171916211714A·BAYH·HAMA·BORH·FC A·RB H·VFLA·1. H·1. A·UNIH·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart

For 5.5 · Against 3.6 · Total 9.1

🚩 Corners

20073137432425556284414210207671081256H·VFLH·CELA·1. A·CELH·1. A·FC H·SC H·BSCA·BORA·AS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 0.7 · Total 2.4

🟨 Cards

5011211412311111211131524223H·VFLH·CELA·1. A·CELH·1. A·FC H·SC H·BSCA·BORA·AS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.5 · Against 11.0 · Total 19.5

⚠️ Fouls

280517613713781010109141473711121222192015201928101824H·VFLH·CELA·1. A·CELH·1. A·FC H·SC H·BSCA·BORA·AS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.29.29.24.64.64.721.922.221.6
vs Stronger (12)8.99.08.94.25.23.622.227.019.8
vs Similar (38)9.39.29.34.84.55.121.821.322.4
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line48%50%46%68%71%65%50%46%54%
% under line52%50%54%32%29%35%50%54%46%
This opponent (VfB Stuttgart) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.89.44.14.24.022.723.721.8
vs Stronger (5)9.29.09.55.66.05.021.820.024.5
vs Similar (32)10.210.49.93.94.13.622.924.521.4
vs Weaker (13)8.58.88.34.23.54.722.623.322.0
% over line54%60%48%52%64%40%56%68%44%
% under line46%40%52%48%36%60%44%32%56%
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
VfL Wolfsburg
10.9
1. FC Köln
10.5
SC Paderborn 07
10.4
1899 Hoffenheim
10.3
RB Leipzig
10.3
Borussia Mönchengladbach
9.7
VfB Stuttgart
9.6
Hamburger SV
9.6
Bayer Leverkusen
9.6
Werder Bremen
9.5
FC Augsburg
9.5
FC St. Pauli
9.5
Union Berlin
9.4
Bayern München
9.3
1. FC Heidenheim
9.2
Borussia Dortmund
9.2
FSV Mainz 05
9.2
Eintracht Frankfurt
8.9
SC Freiburg
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Hamburger SV
5.3
SC Paderborn 07
4.7
Werder Bremen
4.7
FSV Mainz 05
4.6
1. FC Köln
4.5
Bayer Leverkusen
4.4
VfB Stuttgart
4.2
Union Berlin
4.2
FC Augsburg
4.2
1. FC Heidenheim
4.0
Bayern München
4.0
RB Leipzig
3.9
Eintracht Frankfurt
3.9
VfL Wolfsburg
3.9
SC Freiburg
3.9
FC St. Pauli
3.8
1899 Hoffenheim
3.8
Borussia Dortmund
3.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Hamburger SV
24.1
SC Paderborn 07
24.1
1899 Hoffenheim
22.8
VfB Stuttgart
22.7
1. FC Heidenheim
22.7
FC Augsburg
22.6
Union Berlin
22.2
SC Freiburg
22.1
FSV Mainz 05
21.9
Borussia Dortmund
21.8
1. FC Köln
21.5
Werder Bremen
21.3
FC St. Pauli
20.8
Bayer Leverkusen
20.8
VfL Wolfsburg
20.7
RB Leipzig
20.4
Borussia Mönchengladbach
20.3
Eintracht Frankfurt
19.7
Bayern München
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
46.8%
Under 9.5
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
58.7%
Under 3.5
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
48.9%
Under 21.5
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W10W10W01L11D10W03L10W00DH·FC 21/12A·UNI10/01H·1. 13/01A·1. 17/01H·VFL24/01A·RB 31/01H·FC 07/02A·BOR13/02H·HAM20/02A·BAY28/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.730.670.670.530.80
vs Stronger (7)0.431.570.332.000.501.25
vs Similar (23)0.650.480.750.330.550.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (VfB Stuttgart) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W21W00D01L10W21W22D01L30WA·AS 22/01A·BOR25/01H·BSC29/01H·SC 01/02A·FC 07/02H·1. 14/02A·CEL19/02A·1. 22/02H·CEL26/02H·VFL01/03
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.630.870.471.000.80
vs Stronger (2)0.001.500.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (21)0.950.480.910.361.000.60
vs Weaker (7)1.140.861.000.671.251.00
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfB Stuttgart over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfB Stuttgart over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfB Stuttgart over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D12L11D02L30W10W10W01L01L11DH·FC 21/12A·UNI10/01H·1. 13/01A·1. 17/01H·VFL24/01A·RB 31/01H·FC 07/02A·BOR13/02H·HAM20/02A·BAY28/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.670.800.330.531.00
vs Stronger (7)0.710.570.670.330.750.75
vs Similar (23)0.650.700.830.330.451.09
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (VfB Stuttgart) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W11D10W11D21W20W11D00D10WA·AS 22/01A·BOR25/01H·BSC29/01H·SC 01/02A·FC 07/02H·1. 14/02A·CEL19/02A·1. 22/02H·CEL26/02H·VFL01/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.631.070.671.200.60
vs Stronger (2)1.502.500.004.003.001.00
vs Similar (21)1.050.521.090.451.000.60
vs Weaker (7)1.290.431.330.331.250.50
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfB Stuttgart over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfB Stuttgart over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfB Stuttgart over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls80.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards77.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards76.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners76.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

FSV Mainz 05
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nadiem Amiri46%
Sheraldo Becker21%
Phillip Tietz17%
Jae-sung Lee15%
Stefan Bell13%
Silas11%
Stefan Posch10%
Benedict Hollerbach10%
Paul Nebel9%
Armindo Sieb9%
Silvan Widmer8%
Nelson Weiper6%
Sota Kawasaki6%
Dominik Kohr5%
Danny da Costa4%
Kacper Potulski4%
Kaishu Sano4%
Phillipp Mwene3%
Arnaud Nordin0%
Anthony Caci0%
Lennard Maloney0%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Robin Zentner0%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen0%
Daniel Batz0%
Lasse Riess0%
William Bøving0%
Fabio Moreno Fell0%
Nikolas Veratschnig0%
Ben Justus Bobzien0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dominik Kohr36%
Stefan Posch30%
Stefan Bell26%
Nadiem Amiri26%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen24%
Anthony Caci23%
Robin Zentner22%
Nikolas Veratschnig21%
Ben Justus Bobzien20%
Sheraldo Becker14%
Phillip Tietz13%
Kacper Potulski13%
Silvan Widmer12%
Silas11%
Daniel Batz11%
Sota Kawasaki11%
Jae-sung Lee10%
Phillipp Mwene10%
Paul Nebel9%
Armindo Sieb9%
Danny da Costa7%
Lennard Maloney6%
William Bøving6%
Arnaud Nordin5%
Nelson Weiper3%
Kaishu Sano2%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Benedict Hollerbach0%
Lasse Riess0%
Fabio Moreno Fell0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sheraldo Becker21%
Benedict Hollerbach14%
Paul Nebel11%
Jae-sung Lee10%
Danny da Costa9%
Phillip Tietz9%
Nadiem Amiri9%
Anthony Caci8%
Kaishu Sano6%
Sota Kawasaki6%
William Bøving6%
Phillipp Mwene5%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen5%
Stefan Bell4%
Nikolas Veratschnig3%
Silvan Widmer2%
Stefan Posch0%
Dominik Kohr0%
Silas0%
Arnaud Nordin0%
Lennard Maloney0%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Robin Zentner0%
Daniel Batz0%
Lasse Riess0%
Fabio Moreno Fell0%
Armindo Sieb0%
Ben Justus Bobzien0%
Nelson Weiper0%
Kacper Potulski0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Phillip Tietz39%
Sheraldo Becker21%
Benedict Hollerbach19%
Nadiem Amiri17%
Nelson Weiper9%
Silvan Widmer8%
Armindo Sieb6%
Arnaud Nordin5%
Jae-sung Lee5%
Phillipp Mwene5%
Stefan Posch5%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen5%
Stefan Bell4%
Nikolas Veratschnig3%
Kaishu Sano2%
Dominik Kohr0%
Danny da Costa0%
Silas0%
Anthony Caci0%
Lennard Maloney0%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Robin Zentner0%
Daniel Batz0%
Lasse Riess0%
Sota Kawasaki0%
William Bøving0%
Paul Nebel0%
Fabio Moreno Fell0%
Ben Justus Bobzien0%
Kacper Potulski0%
VfB Stuttgart
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Deniz Undav47%
Ermedin Demirović35%
Tiago Tomás21%
Bilal El Khannouss20%
Chris Führich16%
Maximilian Mittelstädt14%
Jamie Leweling14%
Nikolas Nartey11%
Chema Andrés11%
Badredine Bouanani7%
Josha Vagnoman5%
Atakan Karazor5%
Luca Jaquez4%
Angelo Stiller4%
Lorenz Assignon3%
Dan Zagadou0%
Alexander Nübel0%
Fabian Bredlow0%
Jeff Chabot0%
Ramon Hendriks0%
Ameen Al-Dakhil0%
Jeremy Arevalo0%
Finn Jeltsch0%
Lazar Jovanović0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Bilal El Khannouss27%
Jeff Chabot22%
Lorenz Assignon19%
Ermedin Demirović19%
Deniz Undav18%
Lazar Jovanović17%
Atakan Karazor16%
Chema Andrés16%
Finn Jeltsch14%
Tiago Tomás13%
Ameen Al-Dakhil12%
Maximilian Mittelstädt12%
Jamie Leweling12%
Nikolas Nartey11%
Ramon Hendriks10%
Luca Jaquez8%
Chris Führich8%
Josha Vagnoman8%
Badredine Bouanani7%
Angelo Stiller6%
Dan Zagadou0%
Alexander Nübel0%
Fabian Bredlow0%
Jeremy Arevalo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Deniz Undav27%
Jamie Leweling22%
Bilal El Khannouss17%
Chris Führich16%
Angelo Stiller16%
Maximilian Mittelstädt12%
Nikolas Nartey11%
Ermedin Demirović11%
Lorenz Assignon8%
Tiago Tomás8%
Ramon Hendriks6%
Josha Vagnoman5%
Alexander Nübel4%
Luca Jaquez4%
Badredine Bouanani4%
Finn Jeltsch3%
Atakan Karazor2%
Dan Zagadou0%
Fabian Bredlow0%
Jeff Chabot0%
Ameen Al-Dakhil0%
Jeremy Arevalo0%
Chema Andrés0%
Lazar Jovanović0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Deniz Undav56%
Dan Zagadou20%
Ermedin Demirović16%
Chris Führich14%
Jamie Leweling12%
Bilal El Khannouss12%
Tiago Tomás10%
Badredine Bouanani7%
Chema Andrés5%
Maximilian Mittelstädt4%
Nikolas Nartey3%
Josha Vagnoman3%
Jeff Chabot2%
Alexander Nübel0%
Atakan Karazor0%
Fabian Bredlow0%
Ramon Hendriks0%
Angelo Stiller0%
Lorenz Assignon0%
Ameen Al-Dakhil0%
Luca Jaquez0%
Jeremy Arevalo0%
Finn Jeltsch0%
Lazar Jovanović0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (29)
€1076m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
BL (30)
€499m
VS (54)
€430m
EF (26)
€323m
1H (53)
€309m
SF (30)
€243m
FM0 (29)
€175m
FA (28)
€161m
VW (33)
€154m
1FK (74)
€133m
BM (29)
€129m
UB (29)
€123m
WB (33)
€119m
HS (28)
€117m
FSP (27)
€46m
SP0 (33)
€43m
1FH (26)
€33m
FSV Mainz 05's squad is €255m less valuable than VfB Stuttgart's (€175m vs €430m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (10)
€554m
BL (13)
€246m
RL (12)
€212m
VS (19)
€193m
EF (11)
€174m
BD (8)
€170m
1H (22)
€111m
SF (10)
€96m
1FK (25)
€72m
FA (12)
€64m
BM (11)
€58m
VW (10)
€56m
WB (13)
€50m
FM0 (11)
€49m
UB (10)
€46m
HS (11)
€46m
1FH (11)
€15m
SP0 (11)
€14m
FSP (7)
€10m
FSV Mainz 05's attack is €144m less valuable than VfB Stuttgart's (€49m vs €193m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (6)
€187m
BD (7)
€146m
RL (6)
€109m
1H (11)
€105m
VS (10)
€92m
BL (5)
€91m
FM0 (5)
€80m
EF (4)
€78m
SF (5)
€36m
HS (5)
€34m
VW (8)
€32m
WB (5)
€28m
UB (6)
€26m
FA (6)
€23m
BM (5)
€22m
1FK (16)
€19m
SP0 (13)
€18m
FSP (8)
€15m
1FH (4)
€7m
FSV Mainz 05's midfield is €13m less valuable than VfB Stuttgart's (€80m vs €92m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (13)
€336m
BD (14)
€214m
RL (13)
€185m
BL (12)
€162m
VS (25)
€145m
SF (15)
€110m
1H (20)
€92m
FA (10)
€74m
EF (11)
€72m
VW (15)
€66m
UB (13)
€50m
BM (13)
€49m
FM0 (13)
€47m
1FK (33)
€43m
WB (15)
€41m
HS (12)
€37m
FSP (12)
€21m
1FH (11)
€12m
SP0 (9)
€11m
FSV Mainz 05's defence is €98m less valuable than VfB Stuttgart's (€47m vs €145m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
FM0 wins
3
Draws
4
VS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart · H/A from FM0
DateH/AGameScore
26/10/25AVfB Stuttgart Vs FM02-1
25/01/25HFM0 Vs VfB Stuttgart2-0
31/08/24AVfB Stuttgart Vs FM03-3
11/02/24AVfB Stuttgart Vs FM03-1
16/09/23HFM0 Vs VfB Stuttgart1-3
21/05/23HFM0 Vs VfB Stuttgart1-4
21/01/23AVfB Stuttgart Vs FM01-1
16/04/22HFM0 Vs VfB Stuttgart0-0

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/02/26ABayer Leverkusen Vs FM01-1
20/02/26HFM0 Vs Hamburger SV1-1
13/02/26ABorussia Dortmund Vs FM04-0
07/02/26HFM0 Vs FC Augsburg2-0
31/01/26ARB Leipzig Vs FM01-2
24/01/26HFM0 Vs VfL Wolfsburg3-1
17/01/26A1. FC Köln Vs FM02-1
13/01/26HFM0 Vs 1. FC Heidenheim2-1
10/01/26AUnion Berlin Vs FM02-2
21/12/25HFM0 Vs FC St. Pauli0-0

VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/03/26HVS Vs VfL Wolfsburg4-0
26/02/26HVS Vs Celtic0-1
22/02/26A1. FC Heidenheim Vs VS3-3
19/02/26ACeltic Vs VS1-4
14/02/26HVS Vs 1. FC Köln3-1
07/02/26AFC St. Pauli Vs VS2-1
01/02/26HVS Vs SC Freiburg1-0
29/01/26HVS Vs BSC Young Boys3-2
25/01/26ABorussia Mönchengladbach Vs VS0-3
22/01/26AAS Roma Vs VS2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDD1.26
HomeDWWWD1.54
AwayDLWLD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%38%27%
AVG goals2.642.422.85
Over 1.5 %78%75%81%
Over 2.5 %48%33%62%
Over 3.5 %30%25%35%
Scored1.281.421.15
Conceded1.361.001.69
BTTS56%54%58%
Clean Sheet18%29%8%
Corners9.189.219.15
Cards4.624.584.65
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLW1.64
HomeWWWLW1.76
AwayLWLWD1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%56%44%
AVG goals3.363.163.56
Over 1.5 %82%76%88%
Over 2.5 %70%64%76%
Over 3.5 %46%44%48%
Scored1.921.762.08
Conceded1.441.401.48
BTTS58%56%60%
Clean Sheet28%32%24%
Corners9.649.849.44
Cards4.204.204.21

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Bayern MünchenBayern München3489
82%
2.6
12236+86
4.6
97%
94%
76%
9.9
53%
3.7
45%
17.8
32%
1076
5541873363.61.1
67%
2Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund3473
65%
2.1
7034+36
3.1
85%
56%
32%
9.5
44%
3.8
58%
21.9
59%
529
1701462142.11.0
53%
3RB LeipzigRB Leipzig3465
59%
1.9
6647+19
3.3
85%
71%
47%
9.6
53%
3.3
44%
19.6
29%
506
2121091851.91.4
54%
4VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart3462
53%
1.8
7149+22
3.5
85%
74%
53%
9.9
56%
3.7
45%
21.9
53%
430
193921452.11.4
58%
51899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim3461
53%
1.8
6552+13
3.4
85%
71%
50%
10.6
65%
4.1
64%
22.9
68%
309
111105921.91.5
55%
6Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen3459
50%
1.7
6847+21
3.4
85%
59%
41%
9.7
59%
4.9
59%
19.8
38%
499
246911622.01.4
59%
7SC FreiburgSC Freiburg3447
38%
1.4
5157-6
3.2
82%
65%
38%
8.3
35%
3.8
50%
21.5
41%
243
96361101.51.7
48%
8Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt3444
32%
1.3
6165-4
3.7
88%
68%
53%
9.2
50%
4.3
56%
20.1
38%
323
17478721.81.9
55%
9FC AugsburgFC Augsburg3443
35%
1.3
4561-16
3.1
85%
62%
41%
10.2
56%
4.5
70%
22.6
65%
161
6423741.31.8
44%
10FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 053440
29%
1.2
4453-9
2.9
82%
53%
32%
9.6
50%
4.2
62%
21.0
44%
175
4980471.31.6
44%
11Union BerlinUnion Berlin3439
29%
1.1
4458-14
3.0
76%
62%
47%
9.8
53%
4.3
58%
22.3
47%
123
4626501.31.7
40%
12Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach3438
26%
1.1
4253-11
2.8
71%
53%
38%
8.6
38%
4.2
50%
21.8
50%
129
5822491.21.6
47%
13Hamburger SVHamburger SV3438
26%
1.1
4054-14
2.8
79%
56%
32%
9.5
47%
5.2
73%
24.5
74%
117
4634371.21.6
45%
141. FC Köln1. FC Köln3432
21%
0.9
4963-14
3.3
85%
65%
47%
10.1
50%
4.6
66%
18.7
35%
133
7219431.41.9
47%
15Werder BremenWerder Bremen3432
24%
0.9
3760-23
2.9
79%
53%
35%
9.5
56%
4.2
61%
19.5
32%
119
5028411.11.8
51%
16VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg3631
19%
0.9
4670-24
3.2
78%
61%
42%
11.9
72%
3.9
50%
20.6
44%
154
5632661.31.9
45%
171. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim3426
18%
0.8
4172-31
3.3
91%
68%
41%
9.6
41%
3.7
50%
20.1
38%
33
157121.22.1
42%
18FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli3426
18%
0.8
2960-31
2.6
82%
56%
21%
9.9
56%
3.4
44%
19.0
24%
46
1015210.91.8
44%
19SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 0722
0%
1.0
11+0
1.0
50%
0%
0%
13.0
50%
8.0
100%
24.5
50%
43
1418110.50.5
52%
Germany: Bundesliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: Bundesliga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches