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Fužinar vs Dekani Result & Analysis

Date: 05/11/2022
Time: 13:00
Final 0-1
Fužinar
Fužinar
Vs
37%
27%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dekani
Dekani
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fužinar win✗ Miss
37.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dekani win✓ Hit
35.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FužinarFužinar

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L04L13L32W01L21W12L23L11D20WA·KRŠ27/08H·ILI04/09A·ROG11/09A·BRI25/09H·ALU28/09H·NAF01/10A·TRI07/10A·RUD16/10H·BIS23/10A·BEL29/10
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.641.931.502.001.751.88
vs Stronger (1)1.003.00--1.003.00
vs Similar (12)1.831.921.502.002.171.83
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %7% (-21pp vs league)
This opponent (Dekani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DekaniDekani

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W01L01L10W00D01L14L11D11D00DA·BIL27/08H·PRI03/09A·KRK09/09H·KRŠ17/09A·ILI24/09H·ROG02/10A·ALU07/10H·BRI15/10A·NAF22/10H·TRI29/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.791.140.620.881.001.50
vs Stronger (5)0.601.400.330.671.002.50
vs Similar (9)0.891.000.801.001.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %29% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Fužinar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.3%
Under 1.5
20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.9%
Under 2.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.5%
Under 3.5
67.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.3%
No
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
7.0%
0-1 ✓
6.8%
0-0
6.8%
2-2
6.0%
2-0
6.0%
Fužinar goals ↓
Dekani goals →
01234
06.8%6.8%5.7%2.7%1.0%
17.0%13%8.3%3.9%1.4%
26.0%8.5%6.0%2.8%1.0%
32.9%4.1%2.9%1.4%0.5%
41.1%1.5%1.1%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fužinar goals (down), columns = Dekani goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Rogaška
2.27
Aluminij
2.13
Ilirija
1.80
Krka
1.77
Beltinci
1.47
Primorje
1.37
Nafta
1.37
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.27
Bilje
1.23
Bistrica
1.23
Dekani
1.17
Triglav
1.17
Rudar
1.07
Fužinar
1.03
Krško
0.80
Dob
0.70
Fužinar is 0.13 points worse than Dekani in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Aluminij
1.93
Ilirija
1.83
Rogaška
1.73
Nafta
1.67
Beltinci
1.57
Krka
1.53
Primorje
1.40
Rudar
1.37
Bilje
1.33
Fužinar
1.30
Bistrica
1.30
Dob
1.23
Krško
1.20
Triglav
1.10
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.00
Dekani
0.90
Fužinar is 0.40 goals better than Dekani in terms of goals scored per game (1.30 vs 0.90).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Rogaška
0.77
Aluminij
0.77
Krka
0.93
Dekani
0.97
Ilirija
1.00
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.23
Primorje
1.33
Bistrica
1.33
Nafta
1.43
Beltinci
1.50
Rudar
1.70
Triglav
1.73
Bilje
1.77
Fužinar
1.87
Krško
1.97
Dob
2.10
Fužinar is 0.90 goals worse than Dekani in terms of goals conceded per game (1.87 vs 0.97).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FužinarFužinar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L11D21W00D01L10W11D00D10WA·KRŠ27/08H·ILI04/09A·ROG11/09A·BRI25/09H·ALU28/09H·NAF01/10A·TRI07/10A·RUD16/10H·BIS23/10A·BEL29/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.860.570.500.501.120.62
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (12)0.920.580.500.501.330.67
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Dekani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DekaniDekani

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L00D10W00D01L12L11D01L00DA·BIL27/08H·PRI03/09A·KRK09/09H·KRŠ17/09A·ILI24/09H·ROG02/10A·ALU07/10H·BRI15/10A·NAF22/10H·TRI29/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.570.380.500.500.67
vs Stronger (5)0.401.000.330.670.501.50
vs Similar (9)0.440.330.400.400.500.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Fužinar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fužinar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fužinar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fužinar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FužinarFužinar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L03L02L11D01L20W02L12L11D10WA·KRŠ27/08H·ILI04/09A·ROG11/09A·BRI25/09H·ALU28/09H·NAF01/10A·TRI07/10A·RUD16/10H·BIS23/10A·BEL29/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.791.361.001.500.621.25
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (12)0.921.331.001.500.831.17
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %14% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Dekani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DekaniDekani

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D01L00D00D00D02L00D10W00DA·BIL27/08H·PRI03/09A·KRK09/09H·KRŠ17/09A·ILI24/09H·ROG02/10A·ALU07/10H·BRI15/10A·NAF22/10H·TRI29/10
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.360.570.250.380.500.83
vs Stronger (5)0.200.400.000.000.501.00
vs Similar (9)0.440.670.400.600.500.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %64% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Fužinar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fužinar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fužinar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fužinar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.3%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (24)
€4m
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
PRI (10)
€1m
KRŠ (13)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (9)
€2m
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
KRŠ (4)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
PRI (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
PRI (2)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
KRŠ (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (10)
€2m
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
KRŠ (8)
€0m
PRI (5)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
FUŽ wins
0
Draws
0
DEK wins

Head-to-head

Fužinar vs Dekani · H/A from FUŽ
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

FužinarFužinar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/10/22ABeltinci Vs FUŽ0-2
23/10/22HFUŽ Vs Bistrica1-1
16/10/22ARudar Vs FUŽ3-2
07/10/22ATriglav Vs FUŽ2-1
01/10/22HFUŽ Vs Nafta2-1
28/09/22HFUŽ Vs Aluminij0-1
25/09/22ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs FUŽ2-3
11/09/22ARogaška Vs FUŽ3-1
04/09/22HFUŽ Vs Ilirija0-4
27/08/22AKrško Vs FUŽ1-0

DekaniDekani

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/10/22HDEK Vs Triglav0-0
22/10/22ANafta Vs DEK1-1
15/10/22HDEK Vs Brinje-Grosuplje1-1
07/10/22AAluminij Vs DEK4-1
02/10/22HDEK Vs Rogaška0-1
24/09/22AIlirija Vs DEK0-0
17/09/22HDEK Vs Krško1-0
09/09/22AKrka Vs DEK1-0
03/09/22HDEK Vs Primorje0-1
27/08/22ABilje Vs DEK0-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Fužinar
Fužinar
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDW1.14
HomeLLLWD1.17
AwayLWLLW1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%33%38%
AVG goals3.573.503.62
Over 1.5 %86%83%88%
Over 2.5 %71%67%75%
Over 3.5 %57%50%62%
Scored1.641.501.75
Conceded1.932.001.88
BTTS71%67%75%
Clean Sheet7%0%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Dekani
Dekani
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDD0.86
HomeLWLDD0.88
AwayWLDLD0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %14%12%17%
AVG goals1.931.502.50
Over 1.5 %50%38%67%
Over 2.5 %29%12%50%
Over 3.5 %21%12%33%
Scored0.790.621.00
Conceded1.140.881.50
BTTS36%38%33%
Clean Sheet29%25%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1RogaškaRogaška3068
70%
2.3
5223+29
2.5
67%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.8
-
2AluminijAluminij3064
63%
2.1
5823+35
2.7
70%
50%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.90.8
-
3IlirijaIlirija3054
53%
1.8
5530+25
2.8
77%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.81.0
-
4KrkaKrka3053
47%
1.8
4628+18
2.5
70%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.50.9
-
5BeltinciBeltinci3044
40%
1.5
4745+2
3.1
90%
60%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.5
-
6NaftaNafta3041
37%
1.4
5043+7
3.1
83%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.4
-
7PrimorjePrimorje3041
33%
1.4
4240+2
2.7
70%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.3
-
8Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3038
37%
1.3
3037-7
2.2
73%
23%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.2
-
9BistricaBistrica3037
30%
1.2
3940-1
2.6
80%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.3
-
10BiljeBilje3037
33%
1.2
4053-13
3.1
77%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.31.8
-
11DekaniDekani3035
23%
1.2
2729-2
1.9
53%
27%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.0
-
12TriglavTriglav3035
33%
1.2
3352-19
2.8
80%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.7
-
13RudarRudar3032
23%
1.1
4151-10
3.1
83%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.41.7
-
14FužinarFužinar3031
27%
1.0
3956-17
3.2
80%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.9
-
15KrškoKrško3024
20%
0.8
3659-23
3.2
80%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.0
-
16DobDob3021
13%
0.7
3763-26
3.3
87%
70%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.1
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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