This opponent (Njardvik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Njardvik
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.53
1.43
1.21
1.50
1.81
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
2.00
0.50
1.75
1.50
2.50
vs Similar (24)
1.62
1.42
1.80
1.00
1.50
1.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Fylkir) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.5%
Under 1.5
15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.9%
Under 2.5
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.7%
Under 3.5
59.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
65.0%
No
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.5%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.1%
1-0
5.9%
3-1
5.3%
0-0
4.9%
Fylkir goals ↓
Njardvik goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.9%
4.8%
4.3%
2.1%
0.8%
1
5.9%
11%
7.5%
3.7%
1.4%
2
6.1%
9.0%
6.6%
3.3%
1.2%
3
3.6%
5.3%
3.9%
1.9%
0.7%
4
1.6%
2.3%
1.7%
0.9%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fylkir goals (down), columns = Njardvik goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Breidablik
2.29
Thor Akureyri
2.17
Valur Reykjavik
2.17
Grindavik
2.00
KA Akureyri
2.00
KR Reykjavik
2.00
IR Reykjavik
1.80
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.80
FH hafnarfjordur
1.80
Fjolnir
1.60
Keflavik
1.60
IA Akranes
1.57
Afturelding
1.40
Throttur Reykjavik
1.40
Selfoss
1.35
Fylkir
1.20
Völsungur
1.09
Leiknir R.
1.00
Fram Reykjavik
1.00
HK Kopavogur
0.80
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0.80
Stjarnan
0.60
Njardvik
0.40
Vestri
0.40
Fylkir is 0.80 points better than Njardvik in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 0.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Valur Reykjavik
3.33
Afturelding
3.20
Breidablik
2.86
Thor Akureyri
2.83
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.80
KR Reykjavik
2.60
IA Akranes
2.43
IR Reykjavik
2.40
Leiknir R.
2.40
Keflavik
2.40
KA Akureyri
2.20
Selfoss
1.93
Fylkir
1.80
Fjolnir
1.80
Grindavik
1.80
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.80
FH hafnarfjordur
1.60
Fram Reykjavik
1.60
Völsungur
1.55
HK Kopavogur
1.40
Throttur Reykjavik
1.40
Njardvik
1.00
Stjarnan
0.80
Vestri
0.60
Fylkir is 0.80 goals better than Njardvik in terms of goals scored per game (1.80 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Thor Akureyri
0.67
Breidablik
0.71
KA Akureyri
1.20
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.20
Valur Reykjavik
1.33
IA Akranes
1.57
Fylkir
1.60
Fjolnir
1.60
FH hafnarfjordur
1.60
Vestri
1.60
Throttur Reykjavik
1.80
Fram Reykjavik
1.80
KR Reykjavik
1.80
HK Kopavogur
2.00
Grindavik
2.00
Selfoss
2.01
Leiknir R.
2.20
Keflavik
2.20
Stjarnan
2.20
Völsungur
2.50
IR Reykjavik
2.80
Njardvik
2.80
Afturelding
2.80
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
3.40
Fylkir is 1.20 goals better than Njardvik in terms of goals conceded per game (1.60 vs 2.80).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Fylkir or Draw✓ Hit
68.5%
Avg Implied -
43%
25%
32%
covers Fylkir + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Fylkir or Njardvik✓ Hit
75.0%
Avg Implied -
43%
25%
32%
covers Fylkir + Njardvik
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Njardvik✗ Miss
56.6%
Avg Implied -
43%
25%
32%
covers Draw + Njardvik
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Fylkir over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
82.8%
Under
17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fylkir over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
52.6%
Under
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fylkir over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
26.0%
Under
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fylkir over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.3%
Under
89.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Njardvik over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
77.3%
Under
22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Njardvik over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
43.6%
Under
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Njardvik over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
18.6%
Under
81.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Njardvik over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.3%
Under
93.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Fylkir, so a minus line means Fylkir give that many goals of a start and Njardvik receive them. At -1, Fylkir must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Fylkir win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Fylkir)Actual: Fylkir
Fylkir -2
10.3%
Draw -2
13.4%
Njardvik +2
76.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Fylkir)Actual: Fylkir
Fylkir -1
23.7%
Draw -1
19.7%
Njardvik +1
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Fylkir)Actual: Fylkir
Fylkir +1
68.5%
Draw +1
16.4%
Njardvik -1
15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Fylkir)Actual: Fylkir
Fylkir +2
84.9%
Draw +2
9.5%
Njardvik -2
5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Fylkir
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.93
0.79
0.71
0.31
1.12
vs Stronger (13)
0.15
1.23
0.17
1.00
0.14
1.43
vs Similar (17)
0.82
0.71
1.25
0.50
0.44
0.89
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Njardvik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Njardvik
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.67
0.71
0.43
0.56
0.88
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.00
0.25
0.75
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (24)
0.71
0.58
0.90
0.30
0.57
0.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Fylkir) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fylkir over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fylkir over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fylkir over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Njardvik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Njardvik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Njardvik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Fylkir
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.97
0.50
0.93
1.12
1.00
vs Stronger (13)
0.54
1.62
0.33
1.50
0.71
1.71
vs Similar (17)
1.06
0.47
0.62
0.50
1.44
0.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Njardvik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Njardvik
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.87
0.71
0.79
0.94
0.94
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.00
0.25
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.92
0.83
0.90
0.70
0.93
0.93
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Fylkir) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fylkir over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fylkir over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fylkir over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Njardvik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Njardvik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Njardvik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
88.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (26)
€5m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (22)
€3m
STJ (22)
€3m
KR (18)
€3m
FR (19)
€2m
KA (22)
€2m
IA (19)
€2m
FH (21)
€2m
IV (18)
€2m
TA (21)
€2m
KEF (18)
€1m
VES (19)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
FYL (17)
€1m
HK (19)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
IR (17)
€1m
VÖL (19)
€1m
Fylkir and Njardvik have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (12)
€3m
VR (7)
€1m
KR (9)
€1m
BRE (6)
€1m
STJ (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
TA (7)
€1m
FR (6)
€1m
KEF (6)
€1m
AFT (5)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
FH (8)
€0m
VES (7)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
FYL (7)
€0m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
IV (6)
€0m
IR (6)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
VÖL (4)
€0m
Fylkir and Njardvik have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
STJ (6)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
KR (2)
€1m
FR (4)
€1m
KA (5)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
TR (6)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
FH (2)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
KEF (5)
€0m
FYL (4)
€0m
VÖL (6)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
IR (4)
€0m
HK (3)
€0m
Fylkir and Njardvik have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (10)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
STJ (12)
€1m
FR (9)
€1m
IA (10)
€1m
VR (10)
€1m
FH (11)
€1m
KR (7)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
KA (8)
€1m
KEF (7)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
AFT (7)
€0m
FYL (6)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
IR (7)
€0m
VÖL (9)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
Fylkir and Njardvik have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Iceland: 1. Deild 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →