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Fylkir vs Njardvik Result & Analysis

Date: 18/07/2025
Time: 19:15
Final 0-1
Fylkir
Fylkir
Vs
25%
24%
50%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Njardvik
Njardvik
Iceland: 1. Deild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fylkir win✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Njardvik win✓ Hit
50.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FylkirFylkir

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D12L14L12L11D11D12L41W12L13LA·FJO16/05H·THR23/05A·THO30/05H·LEI04/06A·KEF09/06H·GRI13/06H·HK 20/06A·VÖL28/06H·IR 04/07A·SEL11/07
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.571.271.802.001.33
vs Stronger (7)1.002.431.003.251.001.33
vs Similar (23)1.831.301.361.272.251.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Njardvik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NjardvikNjardvik

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D31W40W11D22D31W11D31W51W11DH·IR 16/05A·HK 23/05A·SEL30/05H·FJO04/06A·THR09/06H·THO14/06A·LEI20/06H·KEF26/06A·GRI03/07A·VÖL12/07
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.271.860.931.811.56
vs Stronger (6)1.831.331.601.003.003.00
vs Similar (21)1.761.291.620.881.851.54
vs Weaker (3)2.331.005.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Fylkir) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
84.2%
Under 1.5
15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.6%
Under 2.5
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.4%
Under 3.5
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.4%
No
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
7.2%
2-1
6.6%
0-1 ✓
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
1-3
6.1%
0-0
5.0%
Fylkir goals ↓
Njardvik goals →
01234
05.0%6.6%7.2%4.6%2.2%
14.2%11%9.5%6.1%2.9%
23.4%6.6%6.3%4.0%1.9%
31.5%2.9%2.8%1.8%0.8%
40.5%1.0%0.9%0.6%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fylkir goals (down), columns = Njardvik goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Thor Akureyri
2.05
Njardvik
1.92
HK Kopavogur
1.84
Keflavik
1.72
Throttur Reykjavik
1.71
IR Reykjavik
1.68
Völsungur
1.14
Leiknir R.
1.05
Fylkir
1.05
Grindavik
0.95
Selfoss
0.86
Fjolnir
0.68
Fylkir is 0.87 points worse than Njardvik in terms of average points per game (1.05 vs 1.92).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Keflavik
2.44
Thor Akureyri
2.32
Njardvik
2.17
HK Kopavogur
2.12
Throttur Reykjavik
2.00
Grindavik
1.73
IR Reykjavik
1.73
Völsungur
1.64
Fylkir
1.55
Fjolnir
1.45
Selfoss
1.14
Leiknir R.
1.09
Fylkir is 0.62 goals worse than Njardvik in terms of goals scored per game (1.55 vs 2.17).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Njardvik
1.21
IR Reykjavik
1.23
Thor Akureyri
1.41
Fylkir
1.45
HK Kopavogur
1.52
Keflavik
1.64
Leiknir R.
1.82
Throttur Reykjavik
1.83
Selfoss
2.00
Völsungur
2.36
Fjolnir
2.41
Grindavik
2.77
Fylkir is 0.25 goals worse than Njardvik in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 1.21).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FylkirFylkir

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L01L01L01L10W11D20W00D03LA·FJO16/05H·THR23/05A·THO30/05H·LEI04/06A·KEF09/06H·GRI13/06H·HK 20/06A·VÖL28/06H·IR 04/07A·SEL11/07
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.800.670.800.470.80
vs Stronger (7)0.571.140.751.500.330.67
vs Similar (23)0.570.700.640.550.500.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Njardvik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NjardvikNjardvik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D11D20W11D01L00D10W00D40W10WH·IR 16/05A·HK 23/05A·SEL30/05H·FJO04/06A·THR09/06H·THO14/06A·LEI20/06H·KEF26/06A·GRI03/07A·VÖL12/07
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.430.790.210.810.62
vs Stronger (6)0.830.670.800.401.002.00
vs Similar (21)0.710.430.500.120.850.62
vs Weaker (3)1.330.003.000.000.500.00
Clean sheet %70% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Fylkir) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fylkir over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fylkir over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fylkir over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Njardvik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Njardvik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Njardvik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FylkirFylkir

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D13L11D10W01L01L21W12L10WA·FJO16/05H·THR23/05A·THO30/05H·LEI04/06A·KEF09/06H·GRI13/06H·HK 20/06A·VÖL28/06H·IR 04/07A·SEL11/07
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.770.601.001.530.53
vs Stronger (7)0.431.290.251.750.670.67
vs Similar (23)1.260.610.730.731.750.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Njardvik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NjardvikNjardvik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D20W20W00D21W31W01L31W11D01LH·IR 16/05A·HK 23/05A·SEL30/05H·FJO04/06A·THR09/06H·THO14/06A·LEI20/06H·KEF26/06A·GRI03/07A·VÖL12/07
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.831.070.711.000.94
vs Stronger (6)1.000.670.800.602.001.00
vs Similar (21)1.050.861.120.751.000.92
vs Weaker (3)1.001.002.001.000.501.00
Clean sheet %33% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Fylkir) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fylkir over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fylkir over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fylkir over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Njardvik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Njardvik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Njardvik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.2%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (21)
€2m
KEF (18)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
FYL (17)
€1m
HK (19)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
IR (17)
€1m
VÖL (19)
€1m
Fylkir and Njardvik have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (7)
€1m
KEF (6)
€1m
HK (8)
€0m
FYL (7)
€0m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
IR (6)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
VÖL (4)
€0m
Fylkir and Njardvik have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TR (6)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
KEF (5)
€0m
FYL (4)
€0m
VÖL (6)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
IR (4)
€0m
HK (3)
€0m
Fylkir and Njardvik have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KEF (7)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
FYL (6)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
IR (7)
€0m
VÖL (9)
€0m
Fylkir and Njardvik have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
FYL wins
1
Draws
0
NJA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Fylkir vs Njardvik · H/A from FYL
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/25ANjardvik Vs FYL1-1
05/03/25HFYL Vs Njardvik3-0

FylkirFylkir

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/07/25ASelfoss Vs FYL3-1
04/07/25HFYL Vs IR Reykjavik1-2
28/06/25AVölsungur Vs FYL1-4
20/06/25HFYL Vs HK Kopavogur1-2
13/06/25HFYL Vs Grindavik1-1
09/06/25AKeflavik Vs FYL1-1
04/06/25HFYL Vs Leiknir R.1-2
30/05/25AThor Akureyri Vs FYL4-1
23/05/25HFYL Vs Throttur Reykjavik1-2
16/05/25AFjolnir Vs FYL1-1

NjardvikNjardvik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/07/25AVölsungur Vs NJA1-1
03/07/25AGrindavik Vs NJA1-5
26/06/25HNJA Vs Keflavik3-1
20/06/25ALeiknir R. Vs NJA1-1
14/06/25HNJA Vs Thor Akureyri3-1
09/06/25AThrottur Reykjavik Vs NJA2-2
04/06/25HNJA Vs Fjolnir1-1
30/05/25ASelfoss Vs NJA0-4
23/05/25AHK Kopavogur Vs NJA1-3
16/05/25HNJA Vs IR Reykjavik1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Fylkir
Fylkir
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLL1.08
HomeLLDLL1.21
AwayDLDWL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%33%23%
AVG goals3.242.833.62
Over 1.5 %86%79%92%
Over 2.5 %64%62%65%
Over 3.5 %42%29%54%
Scored1.461.331.58
Conceded1.781.502.04
BTTS64%58%69%
Clean Sheet20%25%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Njardvik
Njardvik
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWD1.34
HomeWDDWW1.42
AwayWDDWD1.27
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%38%27%
AVG goals3.403.333.46
Over 1.5 %84%75%92%
Over 2.5 %64%58%69%
Over 3.5 %50%46%54%
Scored1.761.831.69
Conceded1.641.501.77
BTTS70%58%81%
Clean Sheet20%29%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1NjardvikNjardvik2446
54%
1.9
5229+23
3.4
96%
75%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.21.2
-
2HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur2546
56%
1.8
5338+15
3.6
92%
80%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.11.5
-
3Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri2245
64%
2.0
5131+20
3.7
95%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.31.4
-
4KeflavikKeflavik2543
52%
1.7
6141+20
4.1
92%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1012.41.6
-
5Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik2441
50%
1.7
4844+4
3.8
96%
83%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.8
-
6IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik2237
45%
1.7
3827+11
3.0
77%
55%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.2
-
7VölsungurVölsungur2225
32%
1.1
3652-16
4.0
95%
77%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.4
-
8FylkirFylkir2223
27%
1.0
3432+2
3.0
91%
64%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.5
-
9Leiknir R.Leiknir R.2223
27%
1.0
2440-16
2.9
77%
45%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.8
-
10GrindavikGrindavik2221
27%
1.0
3861-23
4.5
100%
82%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.8
-
11SelfossSelfoss2219
27%
0.9
2544-19
3.1
95%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
12FjolnirFjolnir2215
14%
0.7
3253-21
3.9
95%
77%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.4
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

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