Gagauziya-Oguzsport vs Sheriff II Result & Analysis

Date: 20/09/2024

Time: 13:00

Final 0-1

Gagauziya-Oguzsport

28%

25%

46%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Sheriff II

Moldova: Liga 1

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gagauziya-Oguzsport win✗ Miss

28.4%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Draw✗ Miss

25.3%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Sheriff II win✓ Hit

46.3%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Gagauziya-Oguzsport

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.2

Avg scored

1.7

Avg conceded

1.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.90	1.23	2.07	1.13	1.73	1.33
vs Stronger (5)	1.20	1.00	0.50	1.50	1.67	0.67
vs Similar (14)	1.93	1.50	2.12	1.12	1.67	2.00
vs Weaker (11)	2.18	1.00	2.60	1.00	1.83	1.00
Clean sheet %	27% (+5pp vs league)

This opponent (Sheriff II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sheriff II

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

4.2

Avg scored

3.4

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	3.07	0.70	3.53	0.65	2.46	0.77
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (10)	2.10	0.90	2.50	0.88	0.50	1.00
vs Weaker (20)	3.55	0.60	4.44	0.44	2.82	0.73
Clean sheet %	50% (+28pp vs league)

This opponent (Gagauziya-Oguzsport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

82.9%

Under 1.5

17.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

60.4%

Under 2.5

39.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

38.1%

Under 3.5

61.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Both teams to scoreActual: No

Yes

62.6%

37.4%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

11.6%

1-2

9.3%

2-1

7.1%

0-2

6.9%

0-1 ✓

6.7%

2-2

6.3%

1-3

5.5%

0-0

5.4%

Gagauziya-Oguzsport goals ↓

	Sheriff II goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.4%	6.7%	6.9%	4.1%	1.8%
1	4.9%	12%	9.3%	5.5%	2.4%
2	4.0%	7.1%	6.3%	3.7%	1.7%
3	1.8%	3.2%	2.9%	1.7%	0.7%
4	0.6%	1.1%	1.0%	0.6%	0.3%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gagauziya-Oguzsport goals (down), columns = Sheriff II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Sheriff II

2.68

Victoria Bardar

2.27

Saxan

1.94

FC Stăuceni

1.73

FCM Ungheni

1.41

Făleşti

1.40

Iskra

1.36

Gagauziya-Oguzsport

1.27

Speranis Nisporeni

1.18

Olimp Comrat

1.14

Speranța Drochia

0.68

Vulturii Cutezători

0.50

Floreşti

0.00

Gagauziya-Oguzsport is 1.41 points worse than Sheriff II in terms of average points per game (1.27 vs 2.68).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Victoria Bardar

3.40

Saxan

3.12

Sheriff II

2.95

FC Stăuceni

2.33

FCM Ungheni

2.14

Olimp Comrat

1.86

Iskra

1.55

Speranța Drochia

1.45

Făleşti

1.40

Speranis Nisporeni

1.32

Gagauziya-Oguzsport

1.32

Vulturii Cutezători

1.05

Floreşti

0.00

Gagauziya-Oguzsport is 1.64 goals worse than Sheriff II in terms of goals scored per game (1.32 vs 2.95).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Sheriff II

0.59

Saxan

1.12

Speranis Nisporeni

1.27

Victoria Bardar

1.40

Gagauziya-Oguzsport

1.45

FC Stăuceni

1.67

Iskra

1.82

Făleşti

2.07

FCM Ungheni

2.23

Speranța Drochia

2.59

Vulturii Cutezători

2.73

Olimp Comrat

2.91

Floreşti

19.00

Gagauziya-Oguzsport is 0.86 goals worse than Sheriff II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 0.59).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Gagauziya-Oguzsport

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.0

Avg scored

0.5

Avg conceded

0.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.69	0.38	0.40	0.00	0.88	0.62
vs Stronger (2)	2.00	0.00	-	-	2.00	0.00
vs Similar (4)	0.50	1.00	0.00	0.00	1.00	2.00
vs Weaker (7)	0.43	0.14	0.67	0.00	0.25	0.25
Clean sheet %	77% (+55pp vs league)

This opponent (Sheriff II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sheriff II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.2

Avg scored

2.0

Avg conceded

0.2

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	2.00	0.25	1.67	0.33	3.00	0.00
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (2)	2.50	0.50	2.50	0.50	-	-
vs Weaker (2)	1.50	0.00	0.00	0.00	3.00	0.00
Clean sheet %	75% (+53pp vs league)

This opponent (Gagauziya-Oguzsport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Gagauziya-Oguzsport over/under 0.5 HT

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Gagauziya-Oguzsport over/under 1.5 HT

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Gagauziya-Oguzsport over/under 2.5 HT

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Sheriff II over/under 0.5 HT

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Sheriff II over/under 1.5 HT

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Sheriff II over/under 2.5 HT

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Gagauziya-Oguzsport

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.2

Avg scored

1.4

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.15	0.85	2.00	0.80	0.62	0.88
vs Stronger (2)	0.00	0.50	-	-	0.00	0.50
vs Similar (4)	0.75	0.75	1.50	0.50	0.00	1.00
vs Weaker (7)	1.71	1.00	2.33	1.00	1.25	1.00
Clean sheet %	38% (+16pp vs league)

This opponent (Sheriff II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sheriff II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.8

Avg scored

1.0

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.00	0.75	1.00	0.67	1.00	1.00
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (2)	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	-	-
vs Weaker (2)	1.00	0.50	1.00	0.00	1.00	1.00
Clean sheet %	50% (+28pp vs league)

This opponent (Gagauziya-Oguzsport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Gagauziya-Oguzsport over/under 0.5 2H

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Gagauziya-Oguzsport over/under 1.5 2H

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Gagauziya-Oguzsport over/under 2.5 2H

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Sheriff II over/under 0.5 2H

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Sheriff II over/under 1.5 2H

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Sheriff II over/under 2.5 2H

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Over 1.5	82.9%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FU (2)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FU (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FU (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FU (2)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting

GAG wins

Draws

SI wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Gagauziya-Oguzsport vs Sheriff II · H/A from GAG

Date	H/A	Game	Score
09/08/24	A	Sheriff II Vs GAG	2-1

Gagauziya-Oguzsport

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
14/09/24	A	Vulturii Cutezători Vs GAG	2-1
30/08/24	H	GAG Vs Făleşti	2-0
25/08/24	A	Saxan Vs GAG	1-1
16/08/24	H	GAG Vs Speranis Nisporeni	1-1
09/08/24	A	Sheriff II Vs GAG	2-1
17/05/24	A	Victoria Bardar Vs GAG	3-0
11/05/24	H	GAG Vs Speranța Drochia	2-1
08/05/24	A	Victoria Bardar Vs GAG	4-1
03/05/24	H	GAG Vs Speranța Drochia	7-0
27/04/24	A	Floreşti Vs GAG	1-1

Sheriff II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
13/09/24	A	Făleşti Vs SI	0-3
30/08/24	H	SI Vs Speranis Nisporeni	1-0
23/08/24	A	Vulturii Cutezători Vs SI	1-4
16/08/24	H	SI Vs Saxan	5-2
09/08/24	H	SI Vs Gagauziya-Oguzsport	2-1
26/04/24	A	Real Succes Vs SI	3-3
19/04/24	H	SI Vs Făleşti	9-0
12/04/24	A	Speranis Nisporeni Vs SI	0-1
05/04/24	H	SI Vs Olimp Comrat	3-1
29/03/24	A	Dinamo-Auto Vs SI	0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Gagauziya-Oguzsport

Moldova: Liga 1

Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LDDWL	1.62
Home	LWWDW	1.75
Away	LLLDL	1.50

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	47%	50%	44%
AVG goals	3.28	3.38	3.19
Over 1.5 %	94%	88%	100%
Over 2.5 %	72%	69%	75%
Over 3.5 %	25%	31%	19%
Scored	1.94	2.12	1.75
Conceded	1.34	1.25	1.44
BTTS	69%	69%	69%
Clean Sheet	25%	25%	25%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Sheriff II

Moldova: Liga 1

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Draws / 0 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WWWWW	2.27
Home	WWWWW	2.70
Away	WWDWW	1.81

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	70%	87%	52%
AVG goals	3.70	4.30	3.05
Over 1.5 %	77%	78%	76%
Over 2.5 %	64%	70%	57%
Over 3.5 %	45%	57%	33%
Scored	3.02	3.70	2.29
Conceded	0.68	0.61	0.76
BTTS	43%	48%	38%
Clean Sheet	48%	48%	48%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Sheriff II	22	59	86%	2.7	65	13	+52	3.5	82%	59%	32%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	3.0	0.6	-
2	Victoria Bardar	15	34	73%	2.3	51	21	+30	4.8	87%	87%	73%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	3.4	1.4	-
3	Saxan	16	31	56%	1.9	50	18	+32	4.2	100%	62%	38%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	3.1	1.1	-
4	FCM Ungheni	22	31	41%	1.4	47	49	-2	4.4	91%	82%	68%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.1	2.2	-
5	Iskra	22	30	36%	1.4	34	40	-6	3.4	77%	55%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.5	1.8	-
6	Gagauziya-Oguzsport	22	28	32%	1.3	29	32	-3	2.8	82%	55%	32%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.3	1.5	-
7	FC Stăuceni	15	26	53%	1.7	35	25	+10	4.0	93%	67%	53%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.3	1.7	-
8	Speranis Nisporeni	22	26	32%	1.2	29	28	+1	2.6	77%	50%	18%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.3	1.3	-
9	Olimp Comrat	22	25	32%	1.1	41	64	-23	4.8	95%	91%	68%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.9	2.9	-
10	Făleşti	15	21	47%	1.4	21	31	-10	3.5	100%	67%	40%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.4	2.1	-
11	Speranța Drochia	22	15	18%	0.7	32	57	-25	4.0	91%	73%	45%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.5	2.6	-
12	Vulturii Cutezători	22	11	14%	0.5	23	60	-37	3.8	82%	64%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	2.7	-
13	Floreşti	1	0	0%	0.0	0	19	-19	19.0	100%	100%	100%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.0	19.0	-

Moldova: Liga 1 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

← all matches

Gagauziya-Oguzsport vs Sheriff II Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Gagauziya-Oguzsport

Sheriff II

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Gagauziya-Oguzsport

Sheriff II

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Gagauziya-Oguzsport

Sheriff II

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Gagauziya-Oguzsport

Sheriff II

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature