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Gagauziya-Oguzsport vs Speranis Nisporeni Result & Analysis

Date: 28/03/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 1-0
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
Vs
52%
27%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Speranis Nisporeni
Speranis Nisporeni
Moldova: Liga 1
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gagauziya-Oguzsport win✓ Hit
52.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Speranis Nisporeni win✗ Miss
20.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Gagauziya-OguzsportGagauziya-Oguzsport

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D13L31W04L31W12L20W34L11D00DH·SAX04/10A·FĂL19/10H·VUL25/10A·SHE01/11H·SPE08/11A·SAX23/11H·FĂL29/11A·VUL07/12H·SHE07/03A·ISK14/03
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.632.131.201.132.07
vs Stronger (5)1.601.401.502.001.671.00
vs Similar (15)1.201.871.881.120.432.71
vs Weaker (10)2.301.402.801.001.801.80
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Speranis Nisporeni) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Speranis NisporeniSperanis Nisporeni

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L02L11D00D13L23L12L12L11D21WA·FĂL05/10A·SHE18/10H·SAX25/10A·VUL01/11A·GAG08/11H·FĂL23/11H·SHE29/11H·SAX07/12A·ISK07/03H·SPE15/03
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.702.001.570.751.81
vs Stronger (8)0.502.000.751.500.252.50
vs Similar (18)1.441.672.381.750.701.60
vs Weaker (4)2.501.253.001.002.001.50
Clean sheet %23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Gagauziya-Oguzsport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%017%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.9%
Under 1.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.7%
Under 2.5
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.9%
Under 3.5
73.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.3%
No
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
1-0 ✓
10.9%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.4%
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.5%
Gagauziya-Oguzsport goals ↓
Speranis Nisporeni goals →
01234
08.4%5.8%3.4%1.1%0.3%
111%13%5.6%1.8%0.4%
210.0%9.6%4.6%1.5%0.4%
35.5%5.3%2.6%0.8%0.2%
42.3%2.2%1.1%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gagauziya-Oguzsport goals (down), columns = Speranis Nisporeni goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sheriff II
2.68
Victoria Bardar
2.27
Saxan
1.94
FC Stăuceni
1.73
FCM Ungheni
1.41
Făleşti
1.40
Iskra
1.36
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
1.27
Speranis Nisporeni
1.18
Olimp Comrat
1.14
Speranța Drochia
0.68
Vulturii Cutezători
0.50
Floreşti
0.00
Gagauziya-Oguzsport is 0.09 points better than Speranis Nisporeni in terms of average points per game (1.27 vs 1.18).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Victoria Bardar
3.40
Saxan
3.12
Sheriff II
2.95
FC Stăuceni
2.33
FCM Ungheni
2.14
Olimp Comrat
1.86
Iskra
1.55
Speranța Drochia
1.45
Făleşti
1.40
Speranis Nisporeni
1.32
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
1.32
Vulturii Cutezători
1.05
Floreşti
0.00
Gagauziya-Oguzsport and Speranis Nisporeni are level in goals scored per game (both 1.32).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sheriff II
0.59
Saxan
1.12
Speranis Nisporeni
1.27
Victoria Bardar
1.40
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
1.45
FC Stăuceni
1.67
Iskra
1.82
Făleşti
2.07
FCM Ungheni
2.23
Speranța Drochia
2.59
Vulturii Cutezători
2.73
Olimp Comrat
2.91
Floreşti
19.00
Gagauziya-Oguzsport is 0.18 goals worse than Speranis Nisporeni in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 1.27).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Gagauziya-OguzsportGagauziya-Oguzsport

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D02L11D01L11D10W11D00D00DA·VUL14/09A·SPE27/09A·FĂL19/10H·VUL25/10A·SHE01/11H·SPE08/11H·FĂL29/11A·VUL07/12H·SHE07/03A·ISK14/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.590.500.560.220.620.69
vs Stronger (2)2.000.00--2.000.00
vs Similar (11)0.360.730.400.200.331.17
vs Weaker (9)0.560.330.750.250.400.40
Clean sheet %64% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Speranis Nisporeni) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Speranis NisporeniSperanis Nisporeni

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L00D11D20W11D00D11D21WH·GAG27/09A·SHE18/10H·SAX25/10A·VUL01/11A·GAG08/11H·FĂL23/11H·SHE29/11H·SAX07/12A·ISK07/03H·SPE15/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.590.470.880.620.330.33
vs Stronger (5)0.200.400.330.670.000.00
vs Similar (11)0.820.551.200.600.500.50
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %59% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Gagauziya-Oguzsport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gagauziya-Oguzsport over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gagauziya-Oguzsport over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gagauziya-Oguzsport over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Speranis Nisporeni over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Speranis Nisporeni over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Speranis Nisporeni over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Gagauziya-OguzsportGagauziya-Oguzsport

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D03L11D20W03L20W10W23L11D00DA·VUL14/09A·SPE27/09A·FĂL19/10H·VUL25/10A·SHE01/11H·SPE08/11H·FĂL29/11A·VUL07/12H·SHE07/03A·ISK14/03
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.091.001.780.560.621.31
vs Stronger (2)0.000.50--0.000.50
vs Similar (11)0.731.001.400.400.171.50
vs Weaker (9)1.781.112.250.751.401.40
Clean sheet %41% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Speranis Nisporeni) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Speranis NisporeniSperanis Nisporeni

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W02L10W00D02L03L01L12L00D00DH·GAG27/09A·SHE18/10H·SAX25/10A·VUL01/11A·GAG08/11H·FĂL23/11H·SHE29/11H·SAX07/12A·ISK07/03H·SPE15/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.650.941.000.750.331.11
vs Stronger (5)0.401.200.671.000.001.50
vs Similar (11)0.640.731.200.600.170.83
vs Weaker (1)2.002.00--2.002.00
Clean sheet %47% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Gagauziya-Oguzsport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gagauziya-Oguzsport over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gagauziya-Oguzsport over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gagauziya-Oguzsport over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Speranis Nisporeni over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Speranis Nisporeni over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Speranis Nisporeni over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.9%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.573.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FU (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FU (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
3
GAG wins
1
Draws
2
SN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Gagauziya-Oguzsport vs Speranis Nisporeni · H/A from GAG
DateH/AGameScore
08/11/24HGAG Vs Speranis Nisporeni3-1
27/09/24ASperanis Nisporeni Vs GAG3-0
16/08/24HGAG Vs Speranis Nisporeni1-1
24/11/23ASperanis Nisporeni Vs GAG2-4
06/10/23HGAG Vs Speranis Nisporeni2-1
26/08/23ASperanis Nisporeni Vs GAG3-2

Gagauziya-OguzsportGagauziya-Oguzsport

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/03/25AIskra Vs GAG0-0
07/03/25HGAG Vs Sheriff II1-1
07/12/24AVulturii Cutezători Vs GAG4-3
29/11/24HGAG Vs Făleşti2-0
23/11/24ASaxan Vs GAG2-1
08/11/24HGAG Vs Speranis Nisporeni3-1
01/11/24ASheriff II Vs GAG4-0
25/10/24HGAG Vs Vulturii Cutezători3-1
19/10/24AFăleşti Vs GAG3-1
04/10/24HGAG Vs Saxan2-2

Speranis NisporeniSperanis Nisporeni

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/03/25HSN Vs Speranța Drochia2-1
07/03/25AIskra Vs SN1-1
07/12/24HSN Vs Saxan1-2
29/11/24HSN Vs Sheriff II1-2
23/11/24HSN Vs Făleşti2-3
08/11/24AGagauziya-Oguzsport Vs SN3-1
01/11/24AVulturii Cutezători Vs SN0-0
25/10/24HSN Vs Saxan1-1
18/10/24ASheriff II Vs SN2-0
05/10/24AFăleşti Vs SN3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Gagauziya-Oguzsport
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDD1.45
HomeDWWWD1.77
AwayLLLLD1.14
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %41%50%32%
AVG goals3.253.233.27
Over 1.5 %91%86%95%
Over 2.5 %70%64%77%
Over 3.5 %32%36%27%
Scored1.772.051.50
Conceded1.481.181.77
BTTS66%68%64%
Clean Sheet23%23%23%
Corners---
Cards---
Speranis Nisporeni
Speranis Nisporeni
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDW1.28
HomeDLLLW1.60
AwayLLDLD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %35%50%22%
AVG goals3.023.452.65
Over 1.5 %79%85%74%
Over 2.5 %67%75%61%
Over 3.5 %35%40%30%
Scored1.512.001.09
Conceded1.511.451.57
BTTS56%60%52%
Clean Sheet28%30%26%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sheriff IISheriff II2259
86%
2.7
6513+52
3.5
82%
59%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.00.6
-
2Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar1534
73%
2.3
5121+30
4.8
87%
87%
73%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.41.4
-
3SaxanSaxan1631
56%
1.9
5018+32
4.2
100%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.11.1
-
4FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni2231
41%
1.4
4749-2
4.4
91%
82%
68%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.12.2
-
5IskraIskra2230
36%
1.4
3440-6
3.4
77%
55%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
6Gagauziya-OguzsportGagauziya-Oguzsport2228
32%
1.3
2932-3
2.8
82%
55%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.5
-
7FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni1526
53%
1.7
3525+10
4.0
93%
67%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.7
-
8Speranis NisporeniSperanis Nisporeni2226
32%
1.2
2928+1
2.6
77%
50%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
9Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat2225
32%
1.1
4164-23
4.8
95%
91%
68%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.92.9
-
10FăleştiFăleşti1521
47%
1.4
2131-10
3.5
100%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.1
-
11Speranța DrochiaSperanța Drochia2215
18%
0.7
3257-25
4.0
91%
73%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.6
-
12Vulturii CutezătoriVulturii Cutezători2211
14%
0.5
2360-37
3.8
82%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.7
-
13FloreştiFloreşti10
0%
0.0
019-19
19.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.019.0
-
Moldova: Liga 1 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

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