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Gagra vs Dinamo Tbilisi Result & Analysis

Date: 08/03/2023
Time: 10:30
Final 3-5
Gagra
Gagra
Vs
22%
25%
53%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Tbilisi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Gagra win✗ Miss
21.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi win✓ Hit
53.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

GagraGagra

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L11D21W10W14L12L20W02L34L00DA·TEL23/10H·SAM30/10H·SIO04/11A·TOR11/11H·DIN26/11A·DIN03/12H·SPA08/12A·SPA12/12H·SAM26/02A·TEL04/03
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.631.401.800.531.47
vs Stronger (17)0.651.880.882.000.441.78
vs Similar (13)1.381.312.001.570.671.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Tbilisi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W20W32W31W20W11D11D21W21W40WH·DIN07/10A·SIO16/10A·DIL22/10H·SAB29/10A·LOK06/11H·TEL10/11A·SAM26/11H·GAG03/12A·DIL25/02H·SAM04/03
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.270.832.670.671.871.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)2.121.002.120.752.111.22
vs Weaker (13)2.460.623.290.571.500.67
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Gagra) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.4%
Under 1.5
18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.1%
Under 2.5
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
35.7%
Under 3.5
64.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.7%
No
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.6%
0-1
8.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-1
6.0%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
Gagra goals ↓
Dinamo Tbilisi goals →
01234
05.9%8.1%8.6%5.4%2.5%
14.5%12%9.8%6.1%2.9%
23.2%6.0%5.6%3.5%1.6%
31.2%2.3%2.1%1.3%0.6%
40.3%0.7%0.6%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gagra goals (down), columns = Dinamo Tbilisi goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dinamo Batumi
2.06
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.97
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.67
Dila
1.67
Samgurali
1.58
Gareji
1.50
Saburtalo
1.42
Telavi
1.08
Gagra
1.06
Samtredia
0.95
Spaeri
0.50
Shukura
0.47
Gagra is 0.92 points worse than Dinamo Tbilisi in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 1.97).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dinamo Tbilisi
2.58
Dinamo Batumi
2.31
Gareji
2.00
Saburtalo
1.61
Dila
1.56
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.53
Samgurali
1.47
Samtredia
1.45
Gagra
1.31
Shukura
1.06
Telavi
1.03
Spaeri
0.50
Gagra is 1.28 goals worse than Dinamo Tbilisi in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 2.58).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.03
Dila
1.08
Dinamo Batumi
1.14
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.36
Saburtalo
1.36
Samgurali
1.42
Telavi
1.66
Samtredia
1.74
Gagra
1.81
Gareji
2.50
Spaeri
2.50
Shukura
3.11
Gagra is 0.44 goals worse than Dinamo Tbilisi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.81 vs 1.36).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

GagraGagra

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi

For 3.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 8.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

1004624106A·PAIH·PAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

40224A·PAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

GagraGagra

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (40)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (24)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (16)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Dinamo Tbilisi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (40)8.06.010.00.10.00.2---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (23)8.06.010.00.20.00.3---
vs Weaker (17)---0.00.00.0---
% over line50%0%100%2%0%5%---
% under line50%100%0%98%100%95%---
This opponent (Gagra) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Saburtalo
10.2
Dinamo Tbilisi
8.0
Dinamo Batumi
7.5
Dila
7.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Dila
5.5
Saburtalo
5.0
Dinamo Batumi
4.7
Dinamo Tbilisi
4.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Dinamo Batumi
27.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

GagraGagra

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D10W00D02L01L10W01L12L00DA·TEL23/10H·SAM30/10H·SIO04/11A·TOR11/11H·DIN26/11A·DIN03/12H·SPA08/12A·SPA12/12H·SAM26/02A·TEL04/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.670.530.730.200.60
vs Stronger (17)0.120.650.250.750.000.56
vs Similar (13)0.690.690.860.710.500.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Tbilisi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D11D11D10W10W01L10W11D20WH·DIN07/10A·SIO16/10A·DIL22/10H·SAB29/10A·LOK06/11H·TEL10/11A·SAM26/11H·GAG03/12A·DIL25/02H·SAM04/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.431.130.130.870.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.760.530.500.121.000.89
vs Weaker (13)1.310.311.860.140.670.50
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Gagra) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gagra over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gagra over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gagra over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

GagraGagra

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D11D10W12L11D10W01L22D00DA·TEL23/10H·SAM30/10H·SIO04/11A·TOR11/11H·DIN26/11A·DIN03/12H·SPA08/12A·SPA12/12H·SAM26/02A·TEL04/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.970.871.070.330.87
vs Stronger (17)0.531.240.621.250.441.22
vs Similar (13)0.690.621.140.860.170.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Tbilisi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W21W20W10W01L10W11D10W20WH·DIN07/10A·SIO16/10A·DIL22/10H·SAB29/10A·LOK06/11H·TEL10/11A·SAM26/11H·GAG03/12A·DIL25/02H·SAM04/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.401.530.531.000.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.350.471.620.621.110.33
vs Weaker (13)1.150.311.430.430.830.17
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Gagra) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gagra over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gagra over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gagra over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (26)
€7m
TK (22)
€7m
DB (25)
€6m
SAB (22)
€6m
DIL (23)
€4m
SAM (24)
€3m
GAG (23)
€3m
SPA (20)
€2m
SAM (4)
€0m
Gagra's squad is €4m less valuable than Dinamo Tbilisi's (€3m vs €7m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (9)
€3m
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (7)
€3m
TK (7)
€2m
DIL (8)
€2m
SAM (9)
€1m
GAG (8)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (1)
€0m
Gagra's attack is €2m less valuable than Dinamo Tbilisi's (€1m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (5)
€2m
SAB (5)
€2m
DB (6)
€1m
SAM (5)
€1m
GAG (6)
€1m
DT (4)
€1m
DIL (6)
€1m
SPA (4)
€0m
SAM (1)
€0m
Gagra and Dinamo Tbilisi have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (10)
€2m
TK (10)
€2m
DIL (9)
€2m
DB (10)
€2m
SAM (10)
€1m
GAG (9)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (2)
€0m
Gagra's defence is €2m less valuable than Dinamo Tbilisi's (€1m vs €3m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
GAG wins
0
Draws
3
DT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Gagra vs Dinamo Tbilisi · H/A from GAG
DateH/AGameScore
03/12/22ADinamo Tbilisi Vs GAG2-1
18/09/22HGAG Vs Dinamo Tbilisi0-1
20/06/22ADinamo Tbilisi Vs GAG5-0
23/04/22HGAG Vs Dinamo Tbilisi1-0

GagraGagra

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/03/23ATelavi Vs GAG0-0
26/02/23HGAG Vs Samgurali3-4
12/12/22ASpaeri Vs GAG2-0
08/12/22HGAG Vs Spaeri2-0
03/12/22ADinamo Tbilisi Vs GAG2-1
26/11/22HGAG Vs Dinamo Batumi1-4
11/11/22ATorpedo Kutaisi Vs GAG0-1
04/11/22HGAG Vs Sioni2-1
30/10/22HGAG Vs Samgurali1-1
23/10/22ATelavi Vs GAG1-0

Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/03/23HDT Vs Samtredia4-0
25/02/23ADila Vs DT1-2
03/12/22HDT Vs Gagra2-1
26/11/22ASamgurali Vs DT1-1
10/11/22HDT Vs Telavi1-1
06/11/22ALokomotivi Tbilisi Vs DT0-2
29/10/22HDT Vs Saburtalo3-1
22/10/22ADila Vs DT2-3
16/10/22ASioni Vs DT0-2
07/10/22HDT Vs Dinamo Batumi1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Gagra
Gagra
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLD1.00
HomeDWLWL1.30
AwayLWLLD0.70
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%35%15%
AVG goals2.602.852.35
Over 1.5 %72%75%70%
Over 2.5 %40%40%40%
Over 3.5 %20%25%15%
Scored1.021.300.75
Conceded1.571.551.60
BTTS42%45%40%
Clean Sheet28%30%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Tbilisi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWW2.23
HomeWWDWW2.45
AwayWWWDW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %68%75%60%
AVG goals2.883.052.70
Over 1.5 %75%75%75%
Over 2.5 %57%70%45%
Over 3.5 %30%45%15%
Scored2.052.451.65
Conceded0.820.601.05
BTTS48%45%50%
Clean Sheet48%55%40%
Corners8.006.0010.00
Cards4.00-4.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi3674
58%
2.1
8341+42
3.4
94%
69%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.31.1
-
2Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi3671
58%
2.0
9349+44
3.9
92%
81%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3132.61.4
-
3Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi3660
44%
1.7
5537+18
2.6
67%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2221.51.0
-
4DilaDila3660
47%
1.7
5639+17
2.6
72%
56%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.61.1
-
5SamguraliSamgurali3657
44%
1.6
5351+2
2.9
72%
56%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.4
-
6SaburtaloSaburtalo3651
39%
1.4
5849+9
3.0
78%
72%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3221.61.4
-
7TelaviTelavi3841
29%
1.1
3963-24
2.7
71%
55%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
8GagraGagra3638
28%
1.1
4765-18
3.1
64%
56%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.8
-
9SamtrediaSamtredia3836
26%
0.9
5566-11
3.2
82%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
10ShukuraShukura3617
11%
0.5
38112-74
4.2
89%
75%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.13.1
-
11GarejiGareji23
50%
1.5
45-1
4.5
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.5
-
12SpaeriSpaeri21
0%
0.5
15-4
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.52.5
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga stats & trends →

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