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Gagra vs Shukura Result & Analysis

Date: 27/09/2023
Time: 16:00
Final 1-0
Gagra
Gagra
Vs
43%
25%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Shukura
Shukura
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Gagra win✓ Hit
42.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Shukura win✗ Miss
32.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

GagraGagra

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L43W10W00D16L14L02L05L00D13LH·SAM28/05A·SHU01/06A·TEL06/06H·SAM05/08H·DIN13/08A·TOR20/08H·DIN27/08A·SAB02/09H·DIL16/09A·SAM23/09
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.902.001.001.930.802.07
vs Stronger (17)0.652.590.782.560.502.62
vs Similar (10)1.301.101.601.001.001.20
vs Weaker (3)1.001.670.001.001.502.00
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Shukura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ShukuraShukura

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W34L22D05L15L02L15L23L24L00DA·TOR28/05H·GAG01/06H·SAM06/06A·DIN05/08A·SAB15/08H·TEL20/08A·DIL25/08H·DIN02/09A·SAM17/09H·TOR23/09
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
3.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.272.271.532.001.002.53
vs Stronger (3)0.671.000.001.002.001.00
vs Similar (23)1.172.571.642.360.752.75
vs Weaker (4)2.251.502.501.002.002.00
Clean sheet %17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Gagra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
84.3%
Under 1.5
15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.7%
Under 2.5
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.5%
Under 3.5
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
64.9%
No
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
6.0%
1-0 ✓
5.8%
3-1
5.2%
0-0
5.0%
Gagra goals ↓
Shukura goals →
01234
05.0%4.9%4.4%2.2%0.8%
15.8%11%7.6%3.8%1.4%
26.0%8.9%6.7%3.3%1.2%
33.5%5.2%3.9%1.9%0.7%
41.5%2.3%1.7%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gagra goals (down), columns = Shukura goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dinamo Batumi
2.06
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.97
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.67
Dila
1.67
Samgurali
1.58
Gareji
1.50
Saburtalo
1.42
Telavi
1.08
Gagra
1.06
Samtredia
0.95
Spaeri
0.50
Shukura
0.47
Gagra is 0.58 points better than Shukura in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 0.47).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dinamo Tbilisi
2.58
Dinamo Batumi
2.31
Gareji
2.00
Saburtalo
1.61
Dila
1.56
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.53
Samgurali
1.47
Samtredia
1.45
Gagra
1.31
Shukura
1.06
Telavi
1.03
Spaeri
0.50
Gagra is 0.25 goals better than Shukura in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 1.06).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.03
Dila
1.08
Dinamo Batumi
1.14
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.36
Saburtalo
1.36
Samgurali
1.42
Telavi
1.66
Samtredia
1.74
Gagra
1.81
Gareji
2.50
Spaeri
2.50
Shukura
3.11
Gagra is 1.31 goals better than Shukura in terms of goals conceded per game (1.81 vs 3.11).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

GagraGagra

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

ShukuraShukura

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

GagraGagra

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (31)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (16)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (3)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Shukura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ShukuraShukura

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (3)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (41)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (6)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Gagra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
10.2
Saburtalo
10.2
Dila
8.9
Dinamo Tbilisi
7.8
Dinamo Batumi
7.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
6.3
Dila
5.2
Saburtalo
5.0
Dinamo Batumi
4.5
Dinamo Tbilisi
3.2

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Dila
30.7
Torpedo Kutaisi
28.0
Dinamo Tbilisi
25.0
Dinamo Batumi
24.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

GagraGagra

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D13L10W00D14L02L00D02L00D13LH·SAM28/05A·SHU01/06A·TEL06/06H·SAM05/08H·DIN13/08A·TOR20/08H·DIN27/08A·SAB02/09H·DIL16/09A·SAM23/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.371.100.401.000.331.20
vs Stronger (17)0.181.410.221.440.121.38
vs Similar (10)0.600.600.800.400.400.80
vs Weaker (3)0.671.000.000.001.001.50
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Shukura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ShukuraShukura

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D31W20W01L04L01L03L20W11D00DA·TOR28/05H·GAG01/06H·SAM06/06A·DIN05/08A·SAB15/08H·TEL20/08A·DIL25/08H·DIN02/09A·SAM17/09H·TOR23/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.900.730.670.531.13
vs Stronger (3)0.000.330.000.500.000.00
vs Similar (23)0.651.090.910.820.421.33
vs Weaker (4)1.000.250.500.001.500.50
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Gagra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gagra over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gagra over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gagra over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shukura over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shukura over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shukura over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

GagraGagra

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L30W00D00D02L12L02L03L00D00DH·SAM28/05A·SHU01/06A·TEL06/06H·SAM05/08H·DIN13/08A·TOR20/08H·DIN27/08A·SAB02/09H·DIL16/09A·SAM23/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.900.600.930.470.87
vs Stronger (17)0.471.180.561.110.381.25
vs Similar (10)0.700.500.800.600.600.40
vs Weaker (3)0.330.670.001.000.500.50
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Shukura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ShukuraShukura

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W03L02L04L11D01L12L03L13L00DA·TOR28/05H·GAG01/06H·SAM06/06A·DIN05/08A·SAB15/08H·TEL20/08A·DIL25/08H·DIN02/09A·SAM17/09H·TOR23/09
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.370.801.330.471.40
vs Stronger (3)0.670.670.000.502.001.00
vs Similar (23)0.521.480.731.550.331.42
vs Weaker (4)1.251.252.001.000.501.50
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Gagra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gagra over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gagra over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gagra over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shukura over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shukura over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shukura over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.3%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (26)
€7m
TK (22)
€7m
DB (25)
€6m
SAB (22)
€6m
DIL (23)
€4m
SAM (24)
€3m
GAG (23)
€3m
SPA (20)
€2m
SAM (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (9)
€3m
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (7)
€3m
TK (7)
€2m
DIL (8)
€2m
SAM (9)
€1m
GAG (8)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (5)
€2m
SAB (5)
€2m
DB (6)
€1m
SAM (5)
€1m
GAG (6)
€1m
DT (4)
€1m
DIL (6)
€1m
SPA (4)
€0m
SAM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (10)
€2m
TK (10)
€2m
DIL (9)
€2m
DB (10)
€2m
SAM (10)
€1m
GAG (9)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
GAG wins
0
Draws
0
SHU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Gagra vs Shukura · H/A from GAG
DateH/AGameScore
01/06/23AShukura Vs GAG3-4
22/04/23HGAG Vs Shukura2-0

GagraGagra

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/09/23ASamtredia Vs GAG3-1
16/09/23HGAG Vs Dila0-0
02/09/23ASaburtalo Vs GAG5-0
27/08/23HGAG Vs Dinamo Batumi0-2
20/08/23ATorpedo Kutaisi Vs GAG4-1
13/08/23HGAG Vs Dinamo Tbilisi1-6
05/08/23HGAG Vs Samgurali0-0
06/06/23ATelavi Vs GAG0-1
01/06/23AShukura Vs GAG3-4
28/05/23HGAG Vs Samtredia0-1

ShukuraShukura

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/09/23HSHU Vs Torpedo Kutaisi0-0
17/09/23ASamtredia Vs SHU4-2
02/09/23HSHU Vs Dinamo Tbilisi2-3
25/08/23ADila Vs SHU5-1
20/08/23HSHU Vs Telavi0-2
15/08/23ASaburtalo Vs SHU5-1
05/08/23ADinamo Batumi Vs SHU5-0
06/06/23HSHU Vs Samgurali2-2
01/06/23HSHU Vs Gagra3-4
28/05/23ATorpedo Kutaisi Vs SHU1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Gagra
Gagra
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL0.82
HomeLDLLD0.84
AwayWWLLL0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%16%20%
AVG goals2.642.722.56
Over 1.5 %68%72%64%
Over 2.5 %44%40%48%
Over 3.5 %28%24%32%
Scored0.881.000.76
Conceded1.761.721.80
BTTS44%48%40%
Clean Sheet28%32%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Shukura
Shukura
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD1.30
HomeLDLLD1.24
AwayWLLLL1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%36%40%
AVG goals3.203.123.28
Over 1.5 %86%88%84%
Over 2.5 %68%76%60%
Over 3.5 %36%32%40%
Scored1.521.601.44
Conceded1.681.521.84
BTTS58%60%56%
Clean Sheet28%28%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi3674
58%
2.1
8341+42
3.4
94%
69%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.31.1
-
2Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi3671
58%
2.0
9349+44
3.9
92%
81%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3132.61.4
-
3Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi3660
44%
1.7
5537+18
2.6
67%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2221.51.0
-
4DilaDila3660
47%
1.7
5639+17
2.6
72%
56%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.61.1
-
5SamguraliSamgurali3657
44%
1.6
5351+2
2.9
72%
56%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.4
-
6SaburtaloSaburtalo3651
39%
1.4
5849+9
3.0
78%
72%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3221.61.4
-
7TelaviTelavi3841
29%
1.1
3963-24
2.7
71%
55%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
8GagraGagra3638
28%
1.1
4765-18
3.1
64%
56%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.8
-
9SamtrediaSamtredia3836
26%
0.9
5566-11
3.2
82%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
10ShukuraShukura3617
11%
0.5
38112-74
4.2
89%
75%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.13.1
-
11GarejiGareji23
50%
1.5
45-1
4.5
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.5
-
12SpaeriSpaeri21
0%
0.5
15-4
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.52.5
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga stats & trends →

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