Gais are set to host IF Brommapojkarna in a match where the model favours a home win, with a 44% chance of victory, a 30% chance of a draw and a 26% chance of an away win. The expected total goals is 2.4, with the most likely total of 2 goals occurring 27% of the time. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 14% probability. Gais have been strong at home, averaging 2.07 goals scored and conceding only 0.64 against similar opposition, while IF Brommapojkarna, playing away, have managed 1.45 goals scored and 1.18 conceded versus similar teams. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.0%), Under 6.5 (98.9% with a 4% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.0% with a 4% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (98.0% with a 3% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.1% with a 7% edge), Under 5.5 (96.5% with a 7% edge) and Home under 3.5 goals (94.8% with an 11% edge). Gais’ recent form shows a 2-game losing streak, while IF Brommapojkarna are on a 2-game winning run, adding intrigue to the fixture.
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved accurate as Gais secured a 4-0 home win, extending their two-game winning run. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was chosen with a 44% probability and the result matched the forecast. Every suggested selection was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.7%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.9%, Under 6.5 hit at 98.9%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.1%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 98.0%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.8%, Under 5.5 hit at 96.5%, and Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.0%. The model’s selections all performed as expected, confirming the accuracy of its overall assessment.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Gais win✓ Hit
44.0%
Avg Implied 55.9% · @ 1.67
Edge
-11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.71
1xBet
1.70
Bet365
1.70
Dafabet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.68
Draw✗ Miss
29.7%
Avg Implied 24.3% · @ 3.84
Edge
+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.00
Dafabet
4.00
Unibet
4.00
Pinnacle
3.95
10Bet
3.85
IF Brommapojkarna win✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied 19.8% · @ 4.72
Edge
+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
5.00
Dafabet
4.90
Betano
4.85
Pinnacle
4.85
10Bet
4.80
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Gais
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.10
1.93
0.73
1.53
1.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.58
1.21
1.82
0.82
1.38
1.54
vs Weaker (6)
2.33
0.67
2.25
0.50
2.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (IF Brommapojkarna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IF Brommapojkarna
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.47
1.36
1.50
1.31
1.44
vs Stronger (8)
0.88
1.88
0.75
1.75
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (22)
1.50
1.32
1.60
1.40
1.42
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Gais) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.3%
@ 1.21-6.7%
Under 1.5
29.7%
@ 4.06+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Under
Unibet
4.40
Betfair
4.33
Pinnacle
4.22
BetVictor
4.10
Superbet
4.10
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.9%
@ 1.70-12.3%
Under 2.5
57.1%
@ 2.10+12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.75
10Bet
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.72
Under
Unibet
2.16
Betfair
2.15
SBO
2.14
Pinnacle
2.12
10Bet
2.10
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.0%
@ 2.72-12.1%
Under 3.5
78.0%
@ 1.41+12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.85
10Bet
2.80
Bet365
2.75
BetVictor
2.75
Under
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.44
Unibet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
Superbet
1.43
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.0%
@ 1.69-5.9%
No
51.0%
@ 2.06+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.75
Betfair
1.73
Betano
1.70
Superbet
1.69
1xBet
1.69
No
Betfair
2.10
William Hil
2.10
Unibet
2.08
Superbet
2.05
BetVictor
2.05
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%@ 7.04+7.7%
1-0
11.3%@ 7.35+5.2%
0-0
10.4%@ 11.72+6.6%
2-1
8.8%@ 7.46+2.8%
2-0
8.7%@ 8.10+3.1%
0-1
8.0%@ 13.57+4.7%
1-2
6.5%@ 13.69+3.2%
0-2
4.7%@ 26.38+3.0%
Gais goals ↓
IF Brommapojkarna goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
8.0%
4.7%
1.6%
0.4%
1
11%
14%
6.5%
2.2%
0.6%
2
8.7%
8.8%
4.5%
1.5%
0.4%
3
4.0%
4.1%
2.1%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.4%
1.4%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gais goals (down), columns = IF Brommapojkarna goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sirius
2.21
Hammarby FF
1.89
Djurgardens IF
1.84
AIK Stockholm
1.72
BK Hacken
1.63
IF Elfsborg
1.63
Vasteras SK FK
1.53
Malmo FF
1.53
Gais
1.37
IF Brommapojkarna
1.26
IFK Goteborg
1.21
Mjallby AIF
1.11
Kalmar FF
1.00
Degerfors IF
0.84
Orgryte IS
0.74
Halmstad
0.58
Gais is 0.11 points better than IF Brommapojkarna in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 1.26).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sirius
2.47
Hammarby FF
2.32
Djurgardens IF
2.26
BK Hacken
1.74
Malmo FF
1.74
AIK Stockholm
1.56
Vasteras SK FK
1.47
IF Elfsborg
1.42
IF Brommapojkarna
1.42
Mjallby AIF
1.33
Gais
1.32
IFK Goteborg
1.26
Orgryte IS
1.16
Kalmar FF
1.11
Degerfors IF
0.89
Halmstad
0.68
Gais is 0.11 goals worse than IF Brommapojkarna in terms of goals scored per game (1.32 vs 1.42).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gais
0.95
Hammarby FF
0.95
IF Elfsborg
1.00
Djurgardens IF
1.00
Sirius
1.42
AIK Stockholm
1.50
BK Hacken
1.53
Kalmar FF
1.53
Malmo FF
1.58
Mjallby AIF
1.61
IF Brommapojkarna
1.63
Degerfors IF
1.63
Vasteras SK FK
1.74
Halmstad
1.84
IFK Goteborg
2.05
Orgryte IS
2.21
Gais is 0.68 goals better than IF Brommapojkarna in terms of goals conceded per game (0.95 vs 1.63).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hammarby FF
61%
Djurgardens IF
56%
Malmo FF
56%
Mjallby AIF
53%
BK Hacken
52%
AIK Stockholm
52%
IFK Goteborg
51%
Gais
50%
Sirius
48%
IF Elfsborg
48%
Vasteras SK FK
48%
Kalmar FF
47%
IF Brommapojkarna
47%
Degerfors IF
46%
Orgryte IS
43%
Halmstad
41%
Gais is 3.3 percentage points better than IF Brommapojkarna in terms of average possession (50% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Gais
For 5.9 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 10.2 · Total 22.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
IF Brommapojkarna
For 4.9 · Against 5.9 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.6 · Total 2.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 13.2 · Total 23.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Gais
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.8
9.6
3.0
3.2
2.8
24.4
23.3
25.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (38)
10.3
11.0
9.6
3.3
3.2
3.4
24.8
22.9
26.4
vs Weaker (12)
9.9
10.0
9.8
2.0
3.2
0.8
23.1
24.6
21.2
% over line
53%
62%
45%
40%
46%
35%
72%
67%
77%
% under line
47%
38%
55%
60%
54%
65%
28%
33%
23%
This opponent (IF Brommapojkarna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IF Brommapojkarna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.6
10.3
3.4
3.8
3.0
24.4
24.5
24.4
vs Stronger (14)
9.8
10.0
9.7
3.5
4.3
2.9
26.5
25.8
27.1
vs Similar (36)
10.7
10.8
10.5
3.3
3.7
3.0
23.6
24.1
23.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
61%
55%
38%
50%
27%
76%
78%
73%
% under line
42%
39%
45%
62%
50%
73%
24%
22%
27%
This opponent (Gais) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
IFK Goteborg
11.6
Sirius
11.1
Orgryte IS
10.7
BK Hacken
10.7
IF Brommapojkarna
10.7
Djurgardens IF
10.5
AIK Stockholm
10.4
Gais
10.3
Degerfors IF
10.3
Halmstad
10.2
Kalmar FF
10.2
IF Elfsborg
10.0
Mjallby AIF
10.0
Vasteras SK FK
9.9
Hammarby FF
9.9
Malmo FF
9.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Djurgardens IF
4.4
BK Hacken
4.3
IFK Goteborg
4.2
AIK Stockholm
4.2
Degerfors IF
3.9
Malmo FF
3.8
Gais
3.8
Mjallby AIF
3.7
IF Brommapojkarna
3.7
Vasteras SK FK
3.6
Hammarby FF
3.6
Halmstad
3.5
IF Elfsborg
3.5
Sirius
3.5
Kalmar FF
3.4
Orgryte IS
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Malmo FF
25.9
Djurgardens IF
25.7
IFK Goteborg
25.7
Sirius
25.4
Degerfors IF
25.4
Vasteras SK FK
25.1
Gais
25.1
Mjallby AIF
25.0
BK Hacken
24.4
Hammarby FF
24.4
IF Brommapojkarna
24.3
IF Elfsborg
24.3
AIK Stockholm
24.1
Kalmar FF
23.6
Halmstad
23.3
Orgryte IS
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
60.4%
@ 1.48-2.0%
Under 9.5
39.6%
@ 2.44+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Unibet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
1xBet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.46
Under
Superbet
2.62
Betano
2.50
Pinnacle
2.45
Marathonbet
2.41
Unibet
2.35
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
45.2%
Under 3.5
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
66.2%
Under 21.5
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Gais or Draw✓ Hit
73.7%
Avg Implied 80.2% · @ 1.17
Edge
-6.5%
44%
30%
26%
covers Gais + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Gais or IF Brommapojkarna✓ Hit
70.3%
Avg Implied 76.5% · @ 1.22
Edge
-6.1%
44%
30%
26%
covers Gais + IF Brommapojkarna
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
Draw or IF Brommapojkarna✗ Miss
56.0%
Avg Implied 43.3% · @ 2.16
Edge
+12.6%
44%
30%
26%
covers Draw + IF Brommapojkarna
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.25
Betfair
2.25
SBO
2.23
Bet365
2.20
10Bet
2.15
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Gais over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.9%
@ 1.12-8.3%
Under
25.1%
@ 5.53+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Under
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
BetVictor
5.50
Unibet
5.50
Superbet
5.45
Gais over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
40.2%
@ 1.66-16.1%
Under
59.8%
@ 2.14+16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.71
1xBet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.70
BetVictor
1.70
Betano
1.67
Under
Betfair
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Unibet
2.20
Pinnacle
2.16
Superbet
2.12
Gais over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
16.2%
@ 3.04-14.3%
Under
83.8%
@ 1.34+14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.27
BetVictor
3.20
Superbet
3.05
1xBet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.05
Under
Unibet
1.36
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Betfair
1.33
Gais over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
5.2%
@ 6.27-9.7%
Under
94.8%
@ 1.09+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Superbet
6.30
1xBet
6.20
Marathonbet
6.20
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
IF Brommapojkarna over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
63.7%
@ 1.47+0.5%
Under
36.3%
@ 2.53-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.48
Under
Pinnacle
2.64
Betfair
2.63
Superbet
2.55
BetVictor
2.55
10Bet
2.50
IF Brommapojkarna over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
26.9%
@ 3.28-1.4%
Under
73.1%
@ 1.30+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.48
Bet365
3.40
10Bet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.28
1xBet
3.28
Under
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Superbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
IF Brommapojkarna over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.3%
@ 8.31-2.9%
Under
91.7%
@ 1.05+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
8.50
Superbet
8.50
Marathonbet
8.40
1xBet
8.40
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
IF Brommapojkarna over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 21.67-2.5%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
29.00
Superbet
24.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Gais, so a minus line means Gais give that many goals of a start and IF Brommapojkarna receive them. At -1, Gais must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Gais win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Gais)Actual: Gais
Gais -2
8.0%
@ 5.17-9.3%
Draw -2
13.5%
@ 4.72-5.5%
IF Brommapojkarna +2
78.4%
@ 1.41+14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.05
Superbet
5.00
Draw
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
Bet365
4.75
10Bet
4.75
Superbet
4.65
Away
Bet365
1.44
Unibet
1.43
Superbet
1.42
Betfair
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Handicap -1 (Gais)Actual: Gais
Gais -1
21.6%
@ 2.65-11.9%
Draw -1
22.4%
@ 3.54-2.7%
IF Brommapojkarna +1
56.0%
@ 2.15+14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.70
10Bet
2.70
Marathonbet
2.67
Superbet
2.67
Bet365
2.62
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.60
10Bet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
Away
Unibet
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Superbet
2.15
10Bet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.10
Handicap +1 (Gais)Actual: Gais
Gais +1
73.7%
@ 1.17-3.0%
Draw +1
16.1%
@ 6.26+1.8%
IF Brommapojkarna -1
10.2%
@ 10.12+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.15
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Unibet
6.25
Superbet
6.20
Marathonbet
6.10
10Bet
5.75
Away
Bet365
13.00
Unibet
10.00
Superbet
9.40
Marathonbet
9.20
10Bet
9.00
Handicap +2 (Gais)Actual: Gais
Gais +2
89.8%
@ 1.04-1.3%
Draw +2
7.3%
@ 17.00+1.7%
IF Brommapojkarna -2
2.9%
@ 29.00-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.04
Draw
Bet365
17.00
Away
Bet365
29.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Gais
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.50
1.07
0.13
0.67
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.83
0.54
1.00
0.18
0.69
0.85
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.33
1.25
0.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (IF Brommapojkarna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IF Brommapojkarna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.63
0.43
0.64
0.44
0.62
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
0.88
0.25
0.25
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (22)
0.45
0.55
0.50
0.80
0.42
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Gais) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
67.7%
@ 1.32-2.9%
Under 0.5
32.3%
@ 3.16+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Superbet
1.31
Under
Betfair
3.30
Superbet
3.25
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.20
10Bet
3.20
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
30.9%
@ 2.47-6.7%
Under 1.5
69.1%
@ 1.49+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.61
Betano
2.57
SBO
2.56
Betfair
2.55
Marathonbet
2.50
Under
William Hil
1.53
Superbet
1.52
Unibet
1.52
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.9%
@ 5.83-6.0%
Under 2.5
90.1%
@ 1.10+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
6.50
Betfair
6.50
William Hil
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.60
Under
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.12
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gais over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
52.0%
@ 1.64-4.9%
Under
48.0%
@ 2.15+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.67
1xBet
1.64
Superbet
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Under
Unibet
2.23
Pinnacle
2.19
Superbet
2.17
10Bet
2.15
1xBet
2.12
Gais over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
16.1%
@ 4.10-6.4%
Under
83.9%
@ 1.19+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.30
Betano
4.20
1xBet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Superbet
3.90
Under
Superbet
1.21
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
Gais over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.2%
@ 10.17-6.0%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.03+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
11.00
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
IF Brommapojkarna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
35.4%
@ 2.51-1.6%
Under
64.6%
@ 1.47+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.65
Betano
2.55
Superbet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.49
1xBet
2.47
Under
Unibet
1.48
10Bet
1.48
1xBet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.47
IF Brommapojkarna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.1%
@ 8.76-3.4%
Under
92.9%
@ 1.04+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.30
Marathonbet
9.20
Superbet
8.80
10Bet
8.50
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
IF Brommapojkarna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.1%
@ 37.00-98.9%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
37.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Gais
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.60
0.87
0.60
0.87
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.75
0.67
0.82
0.64
0.69
0.69
vs Weaker (6)
1.33
0.33
1.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (IF Brommapojkarna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IF Brommapojkarna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.83
0.93
0.86
0.88
0.81
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.50
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (22)
1.05
0.77
1.10
0.60
1.00
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Gais) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.7%
@ 1.19-1.3%
Under 0.5
23.3%
@ 4.23+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.17
Under
Betano
4.35
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.30
Marathonbet
4.25
1xBet
4.25
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
39.8%
@ 1.90-9.2%
Under 1.5
60.2%
@ 1.83+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.92
1xBet
1.92
Superbet
1.92
William Hil
1.91
Bet365
1.91
Under
Betano
1.88
Unibet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Superbet
1.82
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.5%
@ 3.81-7.9%
Under 2.5
83.5%
@ 1.23+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.85
Betano
3.70
1xBet
3.66
Under
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gais over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
57.5%
@ 1.44-6.9%
Under
42.5%
@ 2.61+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.45
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.44
10Bet
1.44
Under
Betano
2.67
10Bet
2.60
1xBet
2.60
Superbet
2.57
Gais over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
22.3%
@ 3.04-8.2%
Under
77.7%
@ 1.33+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.10
Superbet
3.10
Marathonbet
3.04
1xBet
3.00
Betano
2.95
Under
Betano
1.37
10Bet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Gais over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.0%
@ 7.65-7.1%
Under
95.0%
@ 1.05+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.10
10Bet
8.00
Superbet
7.70
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
IF Brommapojkarna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
44.5%
@ 2.08-0.1%
Under
55.5%
@ 1.67+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Betano
2.07
Superbet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.06
Under
Betano
1.70
10Bet
1.67
Superbet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
1xBet
1.65
IF Brommapojkarna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.5%
@ 6.51-3.7%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.08+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.90
Marathonbet
6.65
Superbet
6.50
10Bet
6.50
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
IF Brommapojkarna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 20.00-3.0%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
22.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.8%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
-
-
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.5%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.05
BetVictor
1.02
+6.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.0%
1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
-
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.8%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
+9.7%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.9%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
91.7%
1.05
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
90.5%
1.15
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
Superbet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
+8.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.1%
1.10
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.12
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.11
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
89.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-1.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.5%
1.08
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
83.9%
1.19
Superbet
1.21
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
+6.4%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
83.8%
1.34
Unibet
1.36
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Betfair
1.33
+14.3%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.5%
1.23
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
+7.9%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
78.4%
1.41
Bet365
1.44
Unibet
1.43
Superbet
1.42
Betfair
1.40
10Bet
1.40
+14.8%
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
78.0%
1.41
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.44
Unibet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
Superbet
1.43
+12.1%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
77.7%
1.33
Betano
1.37
10Bet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
+8.2%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.7%
1.19
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.17
-1.3%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
74.9%
1.12
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
-8.3%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
73.7%
1.17
Betano
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
-6.5%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
73.7%
1.17
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.15
-3.0%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
73.1%
1.30
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Superbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
72.1%
1.27
Unibet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
70.3%
1.22
Betano
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
-6.1%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
70.3%
1.21
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
-6.7%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Gais
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Samuel Salter28%
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson22%
Henry Sletsjoe17%
Max Andersson17%
Rasmus Niklasson17%
William Milovanovic12%
Shalom Ekong12%
Anes Cardaklija8%
Joackim Fagerjord7%
Oscar Pettersson6%
Mergim Krasniqi0%
August Wängberg0%
Jonas Lindberg0%
Dennis Collander0%
Lucas Hedlund0%
Robin Frej0%
Nikola Vasic0%
Matteo de Brienne0%
Oskar Ågren0%
Mohamed Bawa0%
Andreas Hermansen0%
Filip Beckman0%
Robin Wendin Thomasson0%
Blessing Asuman Dankwa0%
Simon Girke Jørgensen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
William Milovanovic44%
Henry Sletsjoe33%
Joackim Fagerjord33%
Robin Wendin Thomasson30%
Samuel Salter17%
Jonas Lindberg14%
Filip Beckman14%
Mohamed Bawa12%
Robin Frej12%
Matteo de Brienne12%
Oskar Ågren12%
Anes Cardaklija8%
Max Andersson6%
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson6%
Mergim Krasniqi0%
August Wängberg0%
Oscar Pettersson0%
Dennis Collander0%
Lucas Hedlund0%
Nikola Vasic0%
Shalom Ekong0%
Andreas Hermansen0%
Rasmus Niklasson0%
Blessing Asuman Dankwa0%
Simon Girke Jørgensen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
William Milovanovic19%
Dennis Collander17%
Rasmus Niklasson17%
Jonas Lindberg14%
Matteo de Brienne12%
August Wängberg11%
Samuel Salter11%
Joackim Fagerjord7%
Robin Frej6%
Max Andersson6%
Mergim Krasniqi0%
Oscar Pettersson0%
Lucas Hedlund0%
Henry Sletsjoe0%
Nikola Vasic0%
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson0%
Oskar Ågren0%
Anes Cardaklija0%
Mohamed Bawa0%
Shalom Ekong0%
Andreas Hermansen0%
Filip Beckman0%
Robin Wendin Thomasson0%
Blessing Asuman Dankwa0%
Simon Girke Jørgensen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikola Vasic50%
Samuel Salter44%
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson28%
Shalom Ekong25%
William Milovanovic12%
Henry Sletsjoe8%
Oscar Pettersson6%
August Wängberg6%
Max Andersson6%
Rasmus Niklasson6%
Mergim Krasniqi0%
Jonas Lindberg0%
Dennis Collander0%
Lucas Hedlund0%
Robin Frej0%
Joackim Fagerjord0%
Matteo de Brienne0%
Oskar Ågren0%
Anes Cardaklija0%
Mohamed Bawa0%
Andreas Hermansen0%
Filip Beckman0%
Robin Wendin Thomasson0%
Blessing Asuman Dankwa0%
Simon Girke Jørgensen0%
IF Brommapojkarna
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mads Hansen40%
Oliver Berg19%
Lukas Björklund18%
Andreas Troelsen16%
Sion Oppong14%
Anton Kurochkin12%
Simon Strand12%
Alex Timossi Andersson11%
Obilor Denzel Okeke10%
David Isso9%
Kamilcan Sever8%
Kaare Barslund6%
Oliver Zandén5%
Kevin Ackermann0%
Serge-Junior Martinsson Ngouali0%
Rasmus Örqvist0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Mohamed Wael Derbali0%
Jordan Simpson0%
Elton Hedstrom0%
Leo Cavallius0%
Oskar Cotton0%
Atle Wahlund0%
Bidemi Amole0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alex Timossi Andersson33%
Atle Wahlund33%
Jordan Simpson27%
Oliver Berg25%
Wilmer Odefalk25%
Serge-Junior Martinsson Ngouali22%
Lukas Björklund18%
Kevin Ackermann17%
Mohamed Wael Derbali14%
Mads Hansen13%
Oliver Zandén11%
Kamilcan Sever8%
Simon Strand6%
Kaare Barslund6%
Leo Cavallius6%
Rasmus Örqvist0%
Obilor Denzel Okeke0%
Andreas Troelsen0%
Anton Kurochkin0%
Elton Hedstrom0%
Oskar Cotton0%
Sion Oppong0%
David Isso0%
Bidemi Amole0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mads Hansen40%
Oliver Berg31%
Anton Kurochkin25%
Oliver Zandén11%
Rasmus Örqvist10%
Oskar Cotton9%
David Isso9%
Kamilcan Sever8%
Sion Oppong7%
Kevin Ackermann0%
Simon Strand0%
Serge-Junior Martinsson Ngouali0%
Alex Timossi Andersson0%
Obilor Denzel Okeke0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Lukas Björklund0%
Mohamed Wael Derbali0%
Andreas Troelsen0%
Jordan Simpson0%
Kaare Barslund0%
Elton Hedstrom0%
Leo Cavallius0%
Atle Wahlund0%
Bidemi Amole0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mads Hansen27%
Oliver Berg12%
David Isso9%
Sion Oppong7%
Oliver Zandén5%
Kevin Ackermann0%
Simon Strand0%
Serge-Junior Martinsson Ngouali0%
Alex Timossi Andersson0%
Rasmus Örqvist0%
Obilor Denzel Okeke0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Lukas Björklund0%
Mohamed Wael Derbali0%
Andreas Troelsen0%
Jordan Simpson0%
Kaare Barslund0%
Anton Kurochkin0%
Elton Hedstrom0%
Leo Cavallius0%
Kamilcan Sever0%
Oskar Cotton0%
Atle Wahlund0%
Bidemi Amole0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (28)
€35m
HF (22)
€35m
SIR (24)
€28m
DI (22)
€27m
MA (24)
€26m
AS (27)
€21m
IG (25)
€18m
IE (26)
€17m
BH (22)
€16m
GAI (29)
€13m
KF (21)
€10m
VSF (24)
€10m
IB (25)
€9m
HAL (20)
€8m
OI (26)
€8m
DI (23)
€6m
Gais's squad is €5m more valuable than IF Brommapojkarna's (€13m vs €9m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (10)
€18m
HF (9)
€13m
MF (8)
€12m
IG (9)
€8m
AS (7)
€8m
DI (6)
€8m
MA (9)
€7m
BH (4)
€6m
IE (9)
€5m
GAI (10)
€5m
KF (8)
€4m
HAL (7)
€4m
IB (10)
€3m
VSF (8)
€3m
OI (7)
€2m
DI (5)
€1m
Gais's attack is €1m more valuable than IF Brommapojkarna's (€5m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DI (6)
€14m
HF (4)
€11m
MF (7)
€11m
MA (6)
€11m
AS (9)
€7m
SIR (5)
€5m
IE (5)
€4m
IG (4)
€3m
GAI (8)
€3m
BH (6)
€3m
VSF (6)
€3m
DI (7)
€3m
KF (5)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
IB (4)
€2m
HAL (4)
€1m
Gais's midfield is €2m more valuable than IF Brommapojkarna's (€3m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (13)
€12m
HF (9)
€10m
MA (9)
€8m
IE (12)
€7m
BH (12)
€7m
DI (10)
€6m
AS (11)
€6m
IG (12)
€6m
GAI (11)
€5m
OI (12)
€4m
SIR (9)
€4m
IB (11)
€4m
VSF (10)
€4m
KF (8)
€3m
HAL (9)
€3m
DI (11)
€3m
Gais's defence is €2m more valuable than IF Brommapojkarna's (€5m vs €4m).
Sweden: Allsvenskan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Allsvenskan stats & trends →
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Sirius
Hammarby FF
Djurgardens IF
IF Elfsborg
BK Hacken
AIK Stockholm
Malmo FF
Vasteras SK FK
IFK Goteborg
Mjallby AIF
Kalmar FF
Degerfors IF
Orgryte IS
Halmstad