This highly anticipated match in the Slovakia: 2. liga pits Galanta against Pohronie, with the home side looking to bounce back from two consecutive defeats. Galanta's recent form has been underwhelming, with a last 5 record of LLD, including a 0-3 loss to Petržalka. Meanwhile, Pohronie is coming off a win, having beaten MFK Bytča 3-1. The model's selection is a Home win, with a 36% chance of success, closely matched by a 36% probability of an Away win and a 28% probability of a Draw.
The expected total goals stand at 2.8, with the most likely total being 2, and the single most likely score being 1-1 with a 13.2% probability. Galanta's home form has seen them score an average of 0.5 goals per game against stronger opponents, conceding 2.0 goals. In contrast, Pohronie has averaged 3.0 goals scored and 3.5 conceded in away games against weaker opponents.
The model's suggested picks include Over 1.5 with a 77.5% probability, making it a strong selection. Galanta has a 36% chance of winning, a 28% chance of drawing, and a 36% chance of losing to Pohronie.
Results analysis
Galanta’s 2-game winning run continued as they beat Pohronie 2-0, confirming the model’s home win pick. The prediction had a 36 % probability for a home victory, and the model’s selection proved correct. The model’s suggested picks all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.2 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.8 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 98.5 %, Under 6.5 at 97.7 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 94.8 %, Home under 3.5 goals at 94.8 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 94.7 %, and Under 5.5 at 93.8 %. Each probability was expressed as a percentage, and every selection was settled in the match.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Galanta win✓ Hit
36.1%
Avg Implied 30.5% · @ 2.99
Edge
+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.10
1xBet
3.04
Pinnacle
3.03
Betano
3.00
BetVictor
3.00
Draw✗ Miss
27.9%
Avg Implied 27.2% · @ 3.35
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.60
10Bet
3.40
Dafabet
3.40
Betano
3.40
Betfair
3.40
Pohronie win✗ Miss
36.1%
Avg Implied 42.4% · @ 2.15
Edge
-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.20
Pinnacle
2.15
Betfair
2.15
BetVictor
2.15
Superbet
2.15
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Galanta
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.10
1.70
1.00
2.33
2.57
1.43
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (4)
2.75
2.00
1.00
3.00
4.50
1.00
vs Weaker (5)
1.80
1.40
1.00
1.00
2.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Pohronie) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pohronie
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.33
1.92
1.00
1.35
1.59
vs Stronger (4)
2.00
1.25
3.00
1.00
1.67
1.33
vs Similar (25)
1.60
1.32
1.83
1.00
1.38
1.62
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Galanta) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.5%
@ 1.21+2.6%
Under 1.5
22.5%
@ 3.62-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
Superbet
1.19
Under
10Bet
3.90
Superbet
3.70
1xBet
3.58
Marathonbet
3.58
Betano
3.35
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.3%
@ 1.73-1.3%
Under 2.5
47.7%
@ 2.00+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.76
Bet365
1.75
BetVictor
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
Under
Bet365
2.05
10Bet
2.05
Pinnacle
2.02
BetVictor
2.00
Marathonbet
1.97
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.1%
@ 2.71-3.7%
Under 3.5
69.9%
@ 1.38+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.81
Marathonbet
2.70
1xBet
2.70
Superbet
2.70
10Bet
2.70
Under
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.39
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.36
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.4%
@ 1.58-0.5%
No
42.6%
@ 2.17+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.60
BetVictor
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
Betano
1.57
No
Superbet
2.20
10Bet
2.20
William Hil
2.20
BetVictor
2.20
1xBet
2.17
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%@ 5.97+6.3%
2-1
8.3%@ 9.63+4.1%
1-2
8.3%@ 7.82+3.1%
1-0
7.5%@ 9.72+3.3%
0-1
7.5%@ 8.08+2.4%
0-0
7.5%@ 11.02+3.7%
2-0 ✓
6.0%@ 13.83+3.0%
0-2
6.0%@ 10.17+2.0%
Galanta goals ↓
Pohronie goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.5%
7.5%
6.0%
2.8%
1.0%
1
7.5%
13%
8.3%
3.8%
1.3%
2
6.0%
8.3%
5.8%
2.7%
0.9%
3
2.8%
3.8%
2.7%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.0%
1.3%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Galanta goals (down), columns = Pohronie goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Petržalka
3.00
Šamorín
2.50
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Žilina II
1.67
Pohronie
1.67
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.67
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.33
Malženice
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Galanta
1.17
Humenné
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
0.83
Slovan Bratislava II
0.83
MFK Bytča
0.50
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.50
Galanta is 0.50 points worse than Pohronie in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Petržalka
2.67
Šamorín
2.17
Pohronie
2.00
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.83
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Malženice
1.67
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.67
Inter Bratislava
1.50
Tatran Prešov
1.50
Slovan Bratislava II
1.50
Žilina II
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
0.83
MFK Bytča
0.67
Humenné
0.67
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.67
Galanta
0.67
Galanta is 1.33 goals worse than Pohronie in terms of goals scored per game (0.67 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Petržalka
0.33
Šamorín
1.00
Žilina II
1.00
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
1.17
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.33
Humenné
1.50
Galanta
1.50
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Malženice
1.67
Pohronie
1.67
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Slovan Bratislava II
1.67
MFK Bytča
3.17
Galanta is 0.17 goals better than Pohronie in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Galanta or Draw✓ Hit
63.9%
Avg Implied 57.4% · @ 1.60
Edge
+6.5%
36%
28%
36%
covers Galanta + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.65
William Hil
1.62
Betfair
1.62
Marathonbet
1.57
Galanta or Pohronie✓ Hit
72.1%
Avg Implied 73.1% · @ 1.26
Edge
-1.0%
36%
28%
36%
covers Galanta + Pohronie
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Draw or Pohronie✗ Miss
63.9%
Avg Implied 69.4% · @ 1.32
Edge
-5.5%
36%
28%
36%
covers Draw + Pohronie
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.36
William Hil
1.35
Betfair
1.33
Betano
1.32
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Galanta over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.9%
@ 1.28+3.8%
Under
25.1%
@ 3.16-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Under
10Bet
3.20
1xBet
3.12
Galanta over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
40.3%
@ 2.44+2.6%
Under
59.7%
@ 1.48-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.55
1xBet
2.45
Marathonbet
2.45
Betano
2.42
10Bet
2.35
Under
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
10Bet
1.48
1xBet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.46
Galanta over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.3%
Under
83.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galanta over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.2%
Under
94.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
74.9%
@ 1.18-2.3%
Under
25.1%
@ 4.00+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Under
1xBet
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Pohronie over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
40.3%
@ 1.98-6.5%
Under
59.7%
@ 1.73+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.02
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.98
10Bet
1.93
Under
Pinnacle
1.75
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.73
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
Pohronie over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.3%
Under
83.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.2%
Under
94.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Galanta, so a minus line means Galanta give that many goals of a start and Pohronie receive them. At -1, Galanta must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Galanta win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Galanta)Actual: Draw
Galanta -2
6.2%
Draw -2
10.9%
Pohronie +2
82.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Galanta)Actual: Galanta
Galanta -1
17.1%
@ 5.95+2.4%
Draw -1
18.9%
@ 4.55-0.3%
Pohronie +1
63.9%
@ 1.32-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
6.00
Marathonbet
5.90
Draw
Marathonbet
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Away
10Bet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.29
Handicap +1 (Galanta)Actual: Galanta
Galanta +1
63.9%
@ 1.57+8.1%
Draw +1
18.9%
@ 3.91-3.5%
Pohronie -1
17.1%
@ 4.03-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Draw
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.82
Away
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
3.86
Handicap +2 (Galanta)Actual: Galanta
Galanta +2
82.9%
Draw +2
10.9%
Pohronie -2
6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Galanta
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.80
0.00
1.33
1.29
0.57
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (4)
1.00
0.75
0.00
1.50
2.00
0.00
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
0.60
0.00
1.00
1.25
0.50
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Pohronie) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pohronie
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.67
1.15
0.54
0.71
0.76
vs Stronger (4)
1.50
0.75
3.00
1.00
1.00
0.67
vs Similar (25)
0.84
0.64
1.00
0.50
0.69
0.77
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Galanta) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
70.5%
@ 1.31+0.4%
Under 0.5
29.5%
@ 3.07-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
William Hil
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Under
Betfair
3.25
William Hil
3.20
10Bet
3.10
Pinnacle
3.09
Marathonbet
2.88
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
35.7%
@ 2.47-1.3%
Under 1.5
64.3%
@ 1.46+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.53
Betfair
2.50
1xBet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.50
Betano
2.45
Under
Betfair
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.47
William Hil
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.5%
@ 5.63-1.0%
Under 2.5
84.5%
@ 1.11+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
William Hil
5.80
1xBet
5.10
Under
1xBet
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Betfair
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Galanta over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
34.6%
@ 2.12-9.2%
Under
65.4%
@ 1.65+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.16
Betano
2.15
1xBet
2.04
Under
1xBet
1.69
Pinnacle
1.65
Betano
1.62
Galanta over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.7%
@ 6.40-3.6%
Under
89.3%
@ 1.07+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.40
Under
1xBet
1.07
Galanta over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
56.5%
@ 1.85+6.4%
Under
43.5%
@ 1.87-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.90
Pinnacle
1.85
1xBet
1.81
Under
1xBet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.88
Betano
1.82
Pohronie over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
21.9%
@ 5.00+3.6%
Under
78.1%
@ 1.12-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.00
Under
1xBet
1.12
Pohronie over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.3%
Under
94.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Galanta
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.90
1.00
1.00
1.29
0.86
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (4)
1.75
1.25
1.00
1.50
2.50
1.00
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.80
1.00
0.00
0.75
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Pohronie) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pohronie
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.67
0.77
0.46
0.65
0.82
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.67
0.67
vs Similar (25)
0.76
0.68
0.83
0.50
0.69
0.85
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Galanta) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.6%
Under 0.5
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
46.8%
Under 1.5
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
21.1%
Under 2.5
78.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Galanta over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
35.0%
Under
65.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galanta over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
8.2%
Under
91.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galanta over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
59.3%
Under
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
41.6%
Under
58.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.7%
Under
89.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.8%
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-
-
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.3%
1.07
1xBet
1.07
-
-
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
85.3%
1.14
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.12
-
-
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
84.5%
1.11
1xBet
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Betfair
1.11
-
-
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
78.1%
1.12
1xBet
1.12
-
-
-
-
-3.6%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.5%
1.21
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
Superbet
1.19
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
74.9%
1.28
1xBet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
-
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
74.9%
1.18
1xBet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
-
-
-
-2.3%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
72.1%
1.26
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.25
-1.0%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.5%
1.31
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
William Hil
1.30
10Bet
1.30
+0.4%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Slovakia: 2. liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →