GAP Connah S Quay FC’s recent three-game winning streak fuels the model’s confidence in a home win, the most likely outcome. The prediction assigns a 50% chance to a home victory, 24% to a draw and 25% to an away win. The average number of goals expected is 3.2, with the most probable total being three goals, a 22% chance. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 11.2% probability, reflecting the balanced nature of the contest.
Home side GAP Connah S Quay FC, playing at home against a weaker opponent, averages six goals scored and none conceded. In contrast, Cambrian & Clydach, away against a stronger side, averages 2.33 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. This disparity underpins the model’s edge.
The model’s suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.4%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.3%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.7% with an 8% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (95.8% with a 3% edge), Under 6.5 (95.7% with a 5% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.6% with a 4% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.2% with an 11% edge) and Under 5.5 (89.7% with a 2% edge).
Results analysis
The win extends GAP Connah S Quay FC’s four-game winning run, confirming the model’s prediction that the home side would triumph. The final score was 3-0, a home win that matched the model’s pick and its 50% probability. The model’s favourite was correct, as indicated by the true flag. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 goals hit at 98.4%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.3%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.0%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 95.8%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.7%, Under 6.5 hit at 95.7%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 94.8%, and Under 5.5 hit at 89.7%. The predicted most likely total of 3 goals, with a 22% chance, proved correct as the match ended 3-0.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
GAP Connah S Quay FC win✓ Hit
50.4%
Avg Implied 58.0% · @ 1.56
Edge
-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.67
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.62
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.61
Draw✗ Miss
24.5%
Avg Implied 22.9% · @ 3.95
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
4.40
Dafabet
4.20
Bet365
4.20
SBO
4.02
Superbet
4.00
Cambrian & Clydach win✗ Miss
25.1%
Avg Implied 19.1% · @ 4.75
Edge
+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
5.60
10Bet
5.50
SBO
5.22
Dafabet
4.90
1xBet
4.86
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.20
1.00
2.50
1.14
1.94
0.88
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
1.67
2.00
1.50
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
2.17
0.96
2.27
1.18
2.08
0.77
vs Weaker (3)
3.00
0.67
6.00
0.00
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Cambrian & Clydach) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cambrian & Clydach
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.20
0.77
2.00
0.85
2.35
0.71
vs Stronger (20)
2.40
0.90
2.50
1.00
2.33
0.83
vs Similar (9)
1.78
0.56
1.00
0.75
2.40
0.40
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (GAP Connah S Quay FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.6%
@ 1.16+5.2%
Under 1.5
16.4%
@ 4.21-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Under
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.50
1xBet
4.40
Marathonbet
4.30
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.5%
@ 1.58+3.2%
Under 2.5
38.5%
@ 2.20-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.64
Marathonbet
1.61
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Under
10Bet
2.35
Bet365
2.30
Betano
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Superbet
2.22
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.2%
@ 2.43+1.6%
Under 3.5
60.8%
@ 1.47-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.58
Bet365
2.50
Marathonbet
2.49
Betano
2.45
Under
10Bet
1.53
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.47
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
62.5%
@ 1.62+6.1%
No
37.5%
@ 2.10-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.70
10Bet
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.63
1xBet
1.62
No
Betfair
2.20
William Hil
2.20
Superbet
2.15
Betano
2.15
1xBet
2.14
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%@ 7.47+5.2%
2-1
9.6%@ 7.21+3.4%
2-0
7.4%@ 7.84+1.8%
1-0
6.9%@ 7.90+1.2%
1-2
6.5%@ 13.87+3.3%
2-2
6.2%@ 13.21+2.8%
3-1
6.0%@ 10.63+1.8%
0-0
5.2%@ 13.49+1.9%
GAP Connah S Quay FC goals ↓
Cambrian & Clydach goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.2%
4.4%
3.5%
1.5%
0.5%
1
6.9%
11%
6.5%
2.8%
0.9%
2
7.4%
9.6%
6.2%
2.7%
0.9%
3
4.7%
6.0%
3.9%
1.7%
0.5%
4
2.2%
2.8%
1.8%
0.8%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = GAP Connah S Quay FC goals (down), columns = Cambrian & Clydach goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barry Town
3.00
The New Saints
2.67
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.50
Penybont
2.00
Llandudno
2.00
Cardiff MET
2.00
Caernarfon Town
2.00
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Airbus UK
1.50
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Briton Ferry
1.17
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.50
Ammanford AFC
0.33
Flint Town United
0.17
Trefelin
0.17
Holywell
0.00
GAP Connah S Quay FC is 1.17 points better than Cambrian & Clydach in terms of average points per game (2.50 vs 1.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Barry Town
2.83
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.83
The New Saints
2.67
Cardiff MET
2.67
Caernarfon Town
2.50
Llandudno
2.17
Airbus UK
1.83
Penybont
1.67
Holywell
1.50
Colwyn Bay
1.33
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Flint Town United
1.00
Briton Ferry
0.83
Ammanford AFC
0.67
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.33
Trefelin
0.33
GAP Connah S Quay FC is 1.50 goals better than Cambrian & Clydach in terms of goals scored per game (2.83 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
The New Saints
0.50
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0.67
Penybont
0.83
Llandudno
1.17
Barry Town
1.17
Cardiff MET
1.17
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Airbus UK
1.50
Caernarfon Town
1.50
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Briton Ferry
1.67
Flint Town United
1.83
Haverfordwest County AFC
2.00
Ammanford AFC
2.33
Trefelin
2.83
Holywell
4.33
GAP Connah S Quay FC is 0.67 goals better than Cambrian & Clydach in terms of goals conceded per game (0.67 vs 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
GAP Connah S Quay FC or Draw✓ Hit
74.9%
Avg Implied 81.0% · @ 1.13
Edge
-6.1%
50%
24%
25%
covers GAP Connah S Quay FC + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.20
BetVictor
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.13
GAP Connah S Quay FC or Cambrian & Clydach✓ Hit
75.5%
Avg Implied 78.4% · @ 1.16
Edge
-2.9%
50%
24%
25%
covers GAP Connah S Quay FC + Cambrian & Clydach
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Draw or Cambrian & Clydach✗ Miss
49.6%
Avg Implied 40.6% · @ 2.25
Edge
+9.0%
50%
24%
25%
covers Draw + Cambrian & Clydach
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.60
SBO
2.41
Bet365
2.40
Unibet
2.25
Betano
2.25
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
84.8%
@ 1.10+0.7%
Under
15.2%
@ 5.84-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Under
1xBet
6.50
Bet365
6.00
Betano
5.50
Superbet
5.35
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
56.2%
@ 1.55-3.2%
Under
43.8%
@ 2.28+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.64
Marathonbet
1.60
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Superbet
1.55
Under
10Bet
2.45
Bet365
2.38
Unibet
2.33
Superbet
2.25
Betano
2.25
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
29.3%
@ 2.63-5.8%
Under
70.7%
@ 1.42+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.88
Betano
2.77
1xBet
2.75
Superbet
2.65
Bet365
2.62
Under
Pinnacle
1.51
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
Unibet
1.41
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
12.3%
@ 4.95-6.3%
Under
87.7%
@ 1.13+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
5.30
1xBet
5.20
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.30
Under
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Cambrian & Clydach over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
72.4%
@ 1.45+8.9%
Under
27.6%
@ 2.53-8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.45
1xBet
1.45
Betano
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
2.69
Betano
2.65
Bet365
2.62
Marathonbet
2.60
1xBet
2.57
Cambrian & Clydach over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
36.9%
@ 3.13+7.4%
Under
63.1%
@ 1.31-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.35
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.14
1xBet
3.10
Betano
3.00
Under
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
Cambrian & Clydach over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.0%
@ 7.36+1.5%
Under
86.0%
@ 1.05-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.70
Bet365
7.50
1xBet
6.90
Betano
6.90
Superbet
6.80
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
Cambrian & Clydach over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.2%
@ 12.38-3.4%
Under
95.8%
@ 1.01+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to GAP Connah S Quay FC, so a minus line means GAP Connah S Quay FC give that many goals of a start and Cambrian & Clydach receive them. At -1, GAP Connah S Quay FC must win by two or more to land; a one-goal GAP Connah S Quay FC win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (GAP Connah S Quay FC)Actual: GAP Connah S Quay FC
GAP Connah S Quay FC -2
13.6%
@ 4.29-6.7%
Draw -2
15.6%
@ 4.43-4.0%
Cambrian & Clydach +2
70.8%
@ 1.45+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.10
Bet365
4.33
Unibet
3.45
Draw
Marathonbet
5.00
Bet365
4.75
Unibet
3.55
Away
Bet365
1.50
Unibet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.38
Handicap -1 (GAP Connah S Quay FC)Actual: GAP Connah S Quay FC
GAP Connah S Quay FC -1
29.2%
@ 2.33-8.4%
Draw -1
21.2%
@ 3.59-3.2%
Cambrian & Clydach +1
49.6%
@ 2.31+11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.62
Betfair
2.60
10Bet
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Unibet
2.05
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.65
10Bet
3.60
Betfair
3.60
Unibet
3.10
Away
10Bet
2.60
Bet365
2.40
Unibet
2.25
Betfair
2.20
Marathonbet
2.10
Handicap +1 (GAP Connah S Quay FC)Actual: GAP Connah S Quay FC
GAP Connah S Quay FC +1
74.9%
@ 1.15+1.6%
Draw +1
14.2%
@ 5.28-1.7%
Cambrian & Clydach -1
10.9%
@ 7.75+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.12
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
4.55
Away
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
6.50
Handicap +2 (GAP Connah S Quay FC)Actual: GAP Connah S Quay FC
GAP Connah S Quay FC +2
89.1%
@ 1.05+0.3%
Draw +2
7.3%
@ 13.00+0.1%
Cambrian & Clydach -2
3.6%
@ 23.00-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.05
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Away
Bet365
23.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.37
1.07
0.29
1.00
0.44
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
1.08
0.38
1.00
0.36
1.15
0.38
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.67
2.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Cambrian & Clydach) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cambrian & Clydach
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.43
0.92
0.46
0.94
0.41
vs Stronger (20)
1.15
0.55
1.38
0.75
1.00
0.42
vs Similar (9)
0.56
0.22
0.25
0.00
0.80
0.40
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (GAP Connah S Quay FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
70.1%
@ 1.26-2.3%
Under 0.5
29.9%
@ 3.30+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Betfair
1.25
Under
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.50
William Hil
3.50
Betfair
3.50
1xBet
3.32
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
34.2%
@ 2.27-6.0%
Under 1.5
65.8%
@ 1.53+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.42
Betano
2.40
Betfair
2.38
Marathonbet
2.33
1xBet
2.31
Under
Bet365
1.57
William Hil
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Superbet
1.55
Betfair
1.53
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.7%
@ 4.93-4.8%
Under 2.5
86.3%
@ 1.11+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.50
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.40
William Hil
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Under
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.12
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
56.7%
@ 1.59-1.4%
Under
43.3%
@ 2.20+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Under
1xBet
2.26
Pinnacle
2.23
Superbet
2.22
Betano
2.15
Marathonbet
2.15
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
13.4%
@ 3.88-10.3%
Under
86.6%
@ 1.21+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.15
Betano
3.80
1xBet
3.70
Under
1xBet
1.23
Betano
1.22
Marathonbet
1.18
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.0%
@ 9.38-6.8%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.02+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.50
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Cambrian & Clydach over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
44.6%
@ 2.43+6.6%
Under
55.4%
@ 1.49-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.51
1xBet
2.44
Betano
2.42
Marathonbet
2.42
Superbet
2.37
Under
Pinnacle
1.50
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.49
1xBet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.47
Cambrian & Clydach over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
14.2%
@ 8.70+3.6%
Under
85.8%
@ 1.03-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.80
1xBet
9.10
Betano
7.20
Under
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
Cambrian & Clydach over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.63
1.43
0.86
0.94
0.44
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.67
1.00
1.50
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
1.08
0.58
1.27
0.82
0.92
0.38
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
0.00
4.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Cambrian & Clydach) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cambrian & Clydach
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.33
1.08
0.38
1.41
0.29
vs Stronger (20)
1.25
0.35
1.12
0.25
1.33
0.42
vs Similar (9)
1.22
0.33
0.75
0.75
1.60
0.00
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
77% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (GAP Connah S Quay FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.4%
@ 1.15-4.3%
Under 0.5
24.6%
@ 4.54+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Under
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.60
Marathonbet
4.55
Betano
4.45
William Hil
4.40
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
43.5%
@ 1.81-7.5%
Under 1.5
56.5%
@ 1.89+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.85
William Hil
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Superbet
1.82
Bet365
1.80
Under
10Bet
1.95
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.91
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.87
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.8%
@ 3.49-8.5%
Under 2.5
82.2%
@ 1.25+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.70
1xBet
3.58
Marathonbet
3.58
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.35
Under
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.21
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
53.7%
@ 1.39-12.5%
Under
46.3%
@ 2.72+12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.39
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.39
Under
1xBet
2.75
Betano
2.75
Superbet
2.65
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
21.3%
@ 2.80-11.5%
Under
78.7%
@ 1.37+11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.98
1xBet
2.80
Betano
2.75
Superbet
2.67
Under
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Superbet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.32
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.2%
@ 6.60-8.9%
Under
94.8%
@ 1.08+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.20
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.06
Cambrian & Clydach over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
52.2%
@ 2.04+6.8%
Under
47.8%
@ 1.69-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.07
Superbet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.04
Betano
1.98
Under
Betano
1.75
Superbet
1.68
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
Cambrian & Clydach over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.1%
@ 6.37+4.6%
Under
80.9%
@ 1.08-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.00
1xBet
6.70
Betano
5.40
Under
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
Cambrian & Clydach over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.3%
@ 10.50-4.6%
Under
95.7%
@ 1.02+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.0%
1.02
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+6.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.7%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.8%
1.08
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.06
-
-
-
+8.9%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
89.7%
1.04
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
BetVictor
1.03
1xBet
1.01
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
89.1%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
87.7%
1.13
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.12
-
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.6%
1.21
1xBet
1.23
Betano
1.22
Marathonbet
1.18
-
-
+10.3%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.3%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.12
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
86.0%
1.05
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
-1.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
85.8%
1.03
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
-
-
-3.6%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
84.8%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
-
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.6%
1.16
Betfair
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.15
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.2%
1.25
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.21
+8.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
80.9%
1.08
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
-
-
-4.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
78.7%
1.37
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Superbet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.32
-
+11.5%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
78.5%
1.17
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.14
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
75.5%
1.16
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
-2.9%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.4%
1.15
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
-4.3%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
74.9%
1.13
Betano
1.20
BetVictor
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.13
-6.1%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
74.9%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.12
-
-
-
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
72.4%
1.45
Unibet
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.45
1xBet
1.45
Betano
1.44
+8.9%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
70.8%
1.45
Bet365
1.50
Unibet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.38
-
-
+10.7%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
70.7%
1.42
Pinnacle
1.51
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
Unibet
1.41
+5.8%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.1%
1.26
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Betfair
1.25
-2.3%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (25)
€3m
HCA (23)
€1m
PEN (18)
€1m
CB (20)
€1m
CT (16)
€1m
BF (19)
€1m
BT (14)
€1m
GCS (9)
€1m
FTU (10)
€1m
CM (11)
€1m
C&C (4)
€0m
LLA (3)
€0m
HOL (3)
€0m
AA (3)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
GAP Connah S Quay FC and Cambrian & Clydach have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (10)
€1m
PEN (8)
€1m
BF (7)
€0m
GCS (5)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CB (5)
€0m
CT (3)
€0m
CM (5)
€0m
FTU (2)
€0m
BT (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
LLA (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
GAP Connah S Quay FC and Cambrian & Clydach have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (7)
€1m
CB (7)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CT (4)
€0m
BT (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
CM (2)
€0m
FTU (3)
€0m
BF (2)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
LLA (0)
€0m
GAP Connah S Quay FC and Cambrian & Clydach have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (8)
€1m
HCA (9)
€1m
CT (9)
€1m
BF (10)
€0m
PEN (7)
€0m
BT (7)
€0m
CB (8)
€0m
FTU (5)
€0m
CM (4)
€0m
C&C (4)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
LLA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
GAP Connah S Quay FC and Cambrian & Clydach have a similar defence value (both €0m).
🤝 15. Games History
H2H record
No previous meetings
0
GCS wins
0
Draws
0
C&C wins
Head-to-head
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Cambrian & Clydach · H/A from GCS
Wales: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: Premier League stats & trends →
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Barry Town
The New Saints
Cardiff MET
Caernarfon Town
Llandudno
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
Airbus UK
Briton Ferry
Haverfordwest County AFC
Ammanford AFC
Flint Town United
Trefelin
Holywell